science and technology Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Discussion Number 12 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 28 Oct 2019 14:40:20 +0000 000 WTNT43 KNHC 281440 TCDAT3 Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019 Cold waters of 16C and increasing shear caused the deep convection near Pablo's center to dissipate early this morning, and the cyclone now consists of a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds and showers. This lack of deep convection has caused Pablo to now become post-tropical. A recent ASCAT pass showed an area of 30 to 35 kt winds northwest of the center of Pablo, and the initial intensity is set to 35 kt based on those data. In addition, the scatterometer data showed a much larger area of gale-force winds well to the north of, but not directly associated with Pablo. The post-tropical cyclone will move slowly north to northwest over the next day or so, until it is absorbed by a much larger mid-latitude low to its west. The gales occurring north of the Pablo are expected to persist at least until it is absorbed. Additional information on this system can be found in: High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. High Seas Forecasts issued by the UK Met Office under WMO header FQNT21 EGRR and on the web at metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-forecasts/coast-and-sea/high- seas-forecast/. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 46.8N 17.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 29/0000Z 47.4N 17.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 29/1200Z 48.5N 18.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto Full Article
science and technology Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone NESTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WES By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:41:18 +0000 000 FONT11 KNHC 192041 PWSAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NORFOLK VA 34 X 9( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 11(11) 7(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 26(26) 5(31) X(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) RALEIGH NC 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 X 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 44(44) 15(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 31(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 61(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) CHERRY PT NC 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 56(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) NEW RIVER NC 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 60(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SURF CITY NC 34 X 66(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) SURF CITY NC 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 68(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) WILMINGTON NC 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 64(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FLORENCE SC 34 23 29(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) COLUMBIA SC 34 27 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) LITTLE RIVER 34 5 67(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) LITTLE RIVER 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 15 59(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GEORGETOWN SC 34 32 41(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 66 11(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) CHARLESTON SC 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 83 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AUGUSTA GA 34 27 X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) SAVANNAH GA 34 89 X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) SAVANNAH GA 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KINGS BAY GA 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WAYCROSS GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ST MARKS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART Full Article
science and technology Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND ICAO Advisory Number 11 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191117/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: RAYMOND NR: 011 PSN: N1906 W11106 MOV: N 14KT C: 1001HPA MAX WIND By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 17 Nov 2019 14:34:43 +0000 000 FKPZ25 KNHC 171432 TCAPZ5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191117/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: RAYMOND NR: 011 PSN: N1906 W11106 MOV: N 14KT C: 1001HPA MAX WIND: 025KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 17/2100Z N2022 W11102 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 18/0300Z N2137 W11115 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 18/0900Z N2252 W11145 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 18/1500Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: ///KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
science and technology Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone REBEKAH ICAO Advisory Number 7 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191101/0900Z TCAC: KNHC TC: REBEKAH NR: 007 PSN: N4036 W02900 MOV: E 17KT C: 1005HPA MAX WIND: 030KT By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Fri, 01 Nov 2019 08:35:44 +0000 000 FKNT24 KNHC 010832 TCANT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE REBEKAH ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191101/0900Z TCAC: KNHC TC: REBEKAH NR: 007 PSN: N4036 W02900 MOV: E 17KT C: 1005HPA MAX WIND: 030KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 01/1500Z N4019 W02604 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 025KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 01/2100Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: ///KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 02/0300Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: ///KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 02/0900Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: ///KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
science and technology NHC Southwest Atlantic & Caribbean Sea Offshore Waters Forecast By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 09 May 2020 15:13:22 +0000 000 FZNT23 KNHC 091513 OFFNT3 Offshore Waters Forecast for the SW and Tropical N Atlantic and Caribbean Sea NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 22N between 55W and 64W, the SW N Atlantic S of 31N W of 65W including Bahamas, and the Caribbean Sea. Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. AMZ001-100315- Synopsis for Caribbean Sea and Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .SYNOPSIS...High pressure N of the area will support fresh to strong trade winds across the central Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds over most of the remainder of the basin through Sun night. The aerial extent of the strong trades will diminish and reduce to the south-central Caribbean for the remainder period. $$ AMZ011-100315- Caribbean N of 18N W of 85W including Yucatan Basin- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ AMZ013-100315- Caribbean N of 18N between 76W and 85W including Cayman Basin- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ AMZ015-100315- Caribbean Approaches to the Windward Passage- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E to SE swell. .SUN...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E to SE swell. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell. .MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N to NE late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ AMZ017-100315- Gulf of Honduras- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 17N W of 87W, and E to SE 15 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Isolated tstms. .SUN...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered tstms. .SUN NIGHT...S of 17N W of 87W, NE to E winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ AMZ019-100315- Caribbean from 15N to 18N between 80W and 85W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ AMZ021-100315- Caribbean from 15N to 18N between 72W and 80W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell. .TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell. .SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE swell. .MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ AMZ023-100315- Caribbean N of 15N between 64W and 72W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE swell. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell. .SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE swell. .MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ AMZ025-100315- Offshore Waters Leeward Islands- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ AMZ027-100315- Tropical N Atlantic from 15N to 19N between 55W and 60W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N swell. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N swell. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E to SE swell. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. $$ AMZ029-100315- W Central Caribbean from 11N to 15N W of 80W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell. .SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell. .SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell. .MON...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ AMZ031-100315- Caribbean from 11N to 15N between 72W and 80W including Colombia Basin- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE swell. .TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 30 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and NE to E 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE swell. .SUN...E winds 20 to 30 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and E 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE swell. .SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE swell. .MON...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE swell. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ AMZ033-100315- Caribbean S of 15N between 64W and 72W including Venezuela Basin- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell. .TONIGHT...E winds 25 to 30 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell. .SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N to NE swell. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE swell. .MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ AMZ035-100315- Offshore Waters Windward Islands including Trinidad and Tobago- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. $$ AMZ037-100315- Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 15N between 55W and 60W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...NE to E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N to NE swell. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell. .TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell. .WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N swell. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. $$ AMZ039-100315- SW Caribbean S of 11N including Approaches to Panama Canal- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...NE winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. .MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ AMZ101-100315- Synopsis for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .SYNOPSIS...A cold front extending from 31N77W to 29N81W will move across the waters N of the Bahamas through Sun. Weak low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico will track NE across south Florida into the Bahamas Sun through Mon night enhancing winds and generating numerous showers and thunderstorms. In the wake of the low, a cold front will move across the northern and central waters through Mon night, then stall from near 29N65W to central Cuba late Tue. $$ AMZ111-100315- Atlantic from 27N to 31N W of 77W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...N winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell. Scattered tstms. .MON...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ AMZ113-100315- Atlantic from 27N to 31N between 70W and 77W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...W winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .SUN...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered tstms. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to NW to N late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ AMZ115-100315- Atlantic from 27N to 31N between 65W and 70W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...N of 29N, SW to W winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Elsewhere, SW to W winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...N of 29N, W winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to NW to N 15 to 20 kt late. Elsewhere, N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered tstms. .MON...SE winds 15 to 20 kt, shifting to S to SW in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to W to NW in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ AMZ117-100315- Bahamas including Cay Sal Bank- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered tstms. .MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ AMZ119-100315- Atlantic from 22N to 27N E of Bahamas to 70W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...N of 25N, variable winds less than 5 kt in the afternoon. Elsewhere, SE to S winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered tstms. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N to NE swell. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .MON...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. $$ AMZ121-100315- Atlantic from 22N to 27N between 65W and 70W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...S winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ AMZ123-100315- Atlantic S of 22N W of 70W including Approaches to the Windward Passage- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ AMZ125-100315- Atlantic S of 22N between 65W and 70W including Puerto Rico Trench- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ AMZ127-100315- Atlantic from 19N to 22N between 55W and 65W- 1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 .TODAY...E to SE winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N swell. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E to SE swell. .WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ Forecaster Ramos Full Article
science and technology Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Discussion Number 6 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 26 Apr 2020 20:35:34 +0000 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 262035 TCDEP1 Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020 200 PM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020 The cyclone has lacked significant organized deep convection for at least 10 hours, and the system is moving into increasingly more stable air and over sub-25C deg C SSTs. Therefore, the depression has been downgraded to a post-tropical remnant low. The initial intensity is 25 kt is based on several 23-25 kt wind vectors located n-e of the low-level center in a 1718 UTC ASCAT-A overpass. Although the system may still produce some sporadic convection late tonight during the convective maximum period, dry and stable air along with strong westerly shear will likely prevent any appreciable convection from persisting over the next day or so. This should cause the remnant low to weaken and then open up into a trough in 36-48 hours. The initial motion remains 305/08 kt. A substantial low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone is expected to gradually nudge the shallow low toward the west-northwest later this afternoon, followed by a westward motion tonight, with that motion continuing until the system dissipates Monday night. The new NHC track forecast is essentially just an update of the previous advisory track. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php . FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/2100Z 16.2N 119.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 27/0600Z 16.7N 120.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 27/1800Z 17.1N 122.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 28/0600Z 17.3N 125.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart Full Article
science and technology Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Discussion Number 7 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Fri, 01 Nov 2019 08:33:05 +0000 000 WTNT44 KNHC 010832 TCDAT4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192019 500 AM AST Fri Nov 01 2019 Satellite imagery indicates that Rebekah has degenerated to a remnant low as the circulation remains void of deep convection. In addition, the system is starting to merge with a weak frontal system over the northeastern Atlantic. Re-development of deep convection appears unlikely, and the remnants of Rebekah are expected to weaken to a trough between 12-24 h. The initial motion is 095/17, and a slightly faster eastward motion is expected until the system dissipates. This is the last advisory issued on Rebekah by the National Hurricane Center. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. Hazard information for the Azores can be found in regular products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) for those islands at https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/0900Z 40.6N 29.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 01/1800Z 40.2N 24.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
science and technology Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Discussion Number 10 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:41:55 +0000 000 WTNT41 KNHC 192041 TCDAT1 Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Discussion Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162019 500 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019 The center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor made landfall along on St. Vincent Island, Florida, around 1730 UTC. Since then, that center has moved inland over the Florida Panhandle between Apalachicola and Tallahassee. However, during the past hour, a new center appears to have formed farther west along a quasi-occluded frontal boundary. The earlier 40-45 kt winds over water have moved inland and weakened, and the initial intensity of 35 kt is based on a recent wind report of a sustained wind of 33 kt at 5-meters elevation from NOAA buoy 41008/Gray's Reef, Georgia. The initial motion estimate is now northeastward or 055/20 kt. Nestor is forecast to move northeastward over the next 36 hours or so, followed by a turn toward the east once the cyclone reaches the North Carolina Outer Banks. On days 2 an 3, upper-level support is expected to weaken and lift out to the northeast, leaving a weakening extratropical cyclone Nestor behind. The cyclone should then dissipate or merge with another frontal system by 96 h offshore of the U.S. east coast. The new official forecast track is similar to the previous advisory, and lies close to the center of the tightly packed model guidance envelope. Some slight strengthening is expected on Sunday, mainly due to the robust circulation moving out over the warm waters of the far western Atlantic where less friction will affect the cyclone. The official intensity foreast closely follows an average of the 1200 UTC GFS, UKMET, and ECMWF global model intensity forecasts. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Nestor. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. Key Messages: 1. Gale-force winds will gradually develop over the Atlantic waters and along the coasts northeastern Florida and Georgia tonight, and spread northward to the Carolinas on Sunday. 2. Isolated flash flooding is possible across the southeastern United States into Sunday. 3. Wind and coastal flooding hazards along the U.S. East Coast will be covered by non-tropical watches and warnings issued by local NWS offices, since the system is expected to lose its tropical characteristics after it moves inland along the Gulf Coast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 30.4N 84.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 12H 20/0600Z 32.3N 81.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 20/1800Z 35.0N 76.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 21/0600Z 36.8N 72.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 21/1800Z 36.8N 68.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 22/1800Z 36.5N 65.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart Full Article
science and technology Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone OLGA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WIT By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 26 Oct 2019 02:51:07 +0000 000 FONT12 KNHC 260251 PWSAT2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT JACKSON MS 34 21 13(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BATON ROUGE LA 34 83 X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) MORGAN CITY LA 34 81 X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 17 X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) LAFAYETTE LA 34 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) NEW IBERIA LA 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) GFMX 280N 930W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LAKE CHARLES 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAMERON LA 34 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY Full Article
science and technology NHC HF Voice Broadcast (Caribbean/SW Atlantic) By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 09 May 2020 15:14:57 +0000 000 FZNT31 KNHC 091514 OFFN20 Marine Weather HF Voice Broadcast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1114 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 Marine Weather HF Voice Broadcast for the Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 22N between 55W and 64W, the SW N Atlantic S of 31N W of 65W including Bahamas, and the Caribbean Sea. Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. Synopsis for Caribbean Sea and Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W .SYNOPSIS...High pressure N of the area will support fresh to strong trade winds across the central Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds over most of the remainder of the basin through Sun night. The aerial extent of the strong trades will diminish and reduce to the south-central Caribbean for the remainder period. NW Caribbean W of 85W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to less than 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...Variable winds less than 10 kt, becoming NE less than 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...E winds less than 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Caribbean N of 15N between 72W and 85W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft S of 18N, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 25 kt S of 18N, and E 10 to 15 kt elsewhere. Seas 6 to 9 ft S of 18N, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. .SUN...E winds 15 to 25 kt S of 18N, and SE 10 to 15 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft S of 18N, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft S of 18N, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere. .MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Caribbean from 11N to 15N W of 72W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 15 to 25 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and E 10 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .SUN...E winds 20 to 30 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and E 15 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 9 to 12 ft within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and 7 to 10 ft elsewhere. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and E 15 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. SW Caribbean S of 11N .THIS AFTERNOON...NE winds less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TONIGHT...NE winds less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...N winds less than 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N winds less than 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to less than 10 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE winds less than 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Caribbean between 64W and 72W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of Venezuela, and 6 to 9 ft elsewhere. .TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 30 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 15 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of Venezuela, and 6 to 9 ft elsewhere. .SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 15 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of Venezuela, and 7 to 10 ft elsewhere. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 30 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 15 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft Gulf of Venezuela, and 6 to 9 ft elsewhere. .MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Offshore Leeward Islands and adjacent ATLC waters from 15N to 19N W of 55W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Offshore Windward Islands and adjacent ATLC waters from 07N to 15N W of 55W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Synopsis for the the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas .SYNOPSIS...A cold front extending from 31N77W to 29N81W will move across the waters N of the Bahamas through Sun. Weak low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico will track NE across south Florida into the Bahamas Sun through Mon night enhancing winds and generating numerous showers and thunderstorms. In the wake of the low, a cold front will move across the northern and central waters through Mon night, then stall from near 29N65W to central Cuba late Tue. ATLC waters from 27N to 31N W of 77W .THIS AFTERNOON...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...N winds less than 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. ATLC waters from 27N to 31N between 65W and 77W .THIS AFTERNOON...SW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Bahamas N of 22N .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. ATLC waters from 22N to 27N between 65W and the Bahamas .THIS AFTERNOON...S winds less than 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...W of 70W, NE winds less than 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Elsewhere, SE winds less than 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. .TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. ATLC waters S of 22N W of 65W .THIS AFTERNOON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...SE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. ATLC waters from 19N to 22N between 55W and 65W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. .SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. .TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Full Article
science and technology Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR ICAO Advisory Number 10 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191019/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: NESTOR NR: 010 PSN: N3024 W08406 MOV: NE 20KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 035KT By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:43:28 +0000 000 FKNT21 KNHC 192041 TCANT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191019/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: NESTOR NR: 010 PSN: N3024 W08406 MOV: NE 20KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 035KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 20/0300Z N3139 W08218 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 040KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 20/0900Z N3258 W08013 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 040KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 20/1500Z N3419 W07752 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 040KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 20/2100Z N3527 W07531 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 040KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
science and technology NHC Central Caribbean Satellite Tropical Disturbance Rainfall Estimates By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Wed, 22 Jul 2009 00:33:39 +0000 000 TCCA22 KNHC 220036 STDCCA SATELLITE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE RAINFALL ESTIMATES NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0015 UTC WED JUL 22 2009 SYSTEM NAME/IDENTIFIER...CARIBBEAN DIST MAX RAINFALL DATE/TIME LOCATION MOTION MEAN LAST ----------- ------------ ------ ------- ------- 22/0015 UTC 17.2N 69.0W 280/22 2.5 IN 5.0 IN LAST RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION... DISTANCE LEFT OF CENTER RIGHT OF CENTER ------------- --------------- --------------- 0 TO 1 DEGREE 0.4 TO 2.1 IN 0.5 TO 2.2 IN 1 TO 2 DEGREE 0.0 TO 0.6 IN 0.4 TO 1.7 IN 2 TO 3 DEGREE 0.0 TO 0.1 IN 0.6 TO 2.0 IN 3 TO 4 DEGREE 0.0 TO 0.1 IN 2.1 TO 5.0 IN ...LEGEND... SYSTEM NAME/IDENTIFIER...NAME OR NUMBER ASSIGNED TO SYSTEM (E.G. TROPICAL STORM ALPHA, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 01, SURFACE TROUGH) DATE/TIME... DAY OF MONTH AND TIME IN UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATES (UTC) IN A DY/HRMN FORMAT LOCATION... ESTIMATED CENTER OF SYSTEM OR ADVISORY POSITION FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE IN TENTHS OF DEGREES OF LATITUDE AND LONGITUDE MOTION... ESTIMATED DIRECTION AND SPEED OF SYSTEM IN DEGREES AND KNOTS MEAN MAXIMUM RAINFALL... THE 24-HOUR MEAN MAXIMUM ACCUMULATION OF RAINFALL FOR THE SYSTEM IN INCHES BASED ON FOUR SATELLITE IMAGES SIX HOURS APART LAST MAXIMUM RAINFALL... THE MAXIMUM ACCUMULATION OF RAINFALL FOR THE SYSTEM IN INCHES BASED ON THE MOST RECENT SATELLITE IMAGE RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION... THE DISTRIBUTION OF RAINFALL WITHIN FOUR DEGREES (240 NM) LEFT AND RIGHT OF THE SYSTEM CENTER IN ONE DEGREE (60NM) INCREMENTS...LOOKING DOWNSTREAM (1 IN = 25.4 MM) NELSON NNNN Full Article
science and technology Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone SEVENTEEN-E Special Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019 AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL Cyclone SEVENTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITU By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Wed, 16 Oct 2019 17:52:30 +0000 000 FOPZ12 KNHC 161752 PWSEP2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019 AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN Full Article
science and technology NHC NAVTEX Marine Forecast (New Orleans, LA) By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 09 May 2020 15:26:18 +0000 000 FZNT27 KNHC 091526 OFFN06 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1126 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... .SYNOPSIS...A cold front from extends from the Florida Big Bend to 28N90W to 25N95W then transitions to a stationary front to 22N98W. A surface trough is ahead of the front in the Bay of Campeche. The front will move to the central Gulf waters today and gradually stall through Sun. An area of low pressure is expected to develop over the SW Gulf today, and track NE toward South Florida on Sun. The stalled front will then transition back to a cold front and exit the southeastern Gulf on Mon. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms will impact most of the southern and eastern Gulf waters this weekend. Northwest Gulf of Mexico .THIS AFTERNOON...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. North Central and Northeast Gulf of Mexico .THIS AFTERNOON...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Full Article
science and technology Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone PABLO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone PABLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 17.7 WEST By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 28 Oct 2019 14:39:17 +0000 000 FONT13 KNHC 281439 PWSAT3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 17.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER LATTO Full Article
science and technology Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone OCTAVE ICAO Advisory Number 9 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191019/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: OCTAVE NR: 009 PSN: N1136 W12542 MOV: ENE 02KT C: 1009HPA MAX WIND: By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:41:46 +0000 000 FKPZ23 KNHC 192039 TCAPZ3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191019/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: OCTAVE NR: 009 PSN: N1136 W12542 MOV: ENE 02KT C: 1009HPA MAX WIND: 030KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 20/0300Z N1127 W12542 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 025KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 20/0900Z N1119 W12542 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 025KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 20/1500Z N1110 W12542 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 025KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 20/2100Z N1101 W12542 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 025KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
science and technology Eastern Pacific Remnants of PRISCILLA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP192019 0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2019 AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF PRISCILLA WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM S By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 21 Oct 2019 02:34:32 +0000 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 210234 PWSEP4 REMNANTS OF PRISCILLA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192019 0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2019 AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF PRISCILLA WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI Full Article
science and technology Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone SEBASTIEN ICAO Advisory Number 23 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191125/0300Z TCAC: KNHC TC: SEBASTIEN NR: 023 PSN: N4100 W02854 MOV: NE 35KT C: 0993HPA MAX WIND: By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 25 Nov 2019 02:32:11 +0000 000 FKNT25 KNHC 250232 TCANT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191125/0300Z TCAC: KNHC TC: SEBASTIEN NR: 023 PSN: N4100 W02854 MOV: NE 35KT C: 0993HPA MAX WIND: 050KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 25/0900Z N4244 W02445 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 050KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 25/1500Z N4443 W02034 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 050KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 25/2100Z N4658 W01619 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 050KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 26/0300Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: ///KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP $$ Full Article
science and technology More than 200 tornadoes have ravaged the U.S. in the last 12 days By www.mnn.com Published On :: Thu, 30 May 2019 16:24:59 +0000 From Texas and Colorado through the Midwest, South and East Coast, tornadoes are tearing through the U.S. Full Article Climate & Weather
science and technology Batty for bats By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Mon, 19 Apr 2010 16:38:08 +0000 These creatures of the night could be the models for future aircraft. Full Article Animals
science and technology New leaf sensor alerts when plants are thirsty By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 21 Apr 2010 16:23:54 +0000 These tiny, lightweight gadgets could mean huge savings for farmers. Full Article Research & Innovations
science and technology Got silk? By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 12 May 2010 15:46:56 +0000 Researchers are spinning spider silk from goats' milk. Full Article Research & Innovations
science and technology Hand talk: Preserving a language legacy By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Thu, 20 May 2010 14:44:53 +0000 Video: Historical films and field work reveal more about endangered Native American language. Full Article Arts & Culture
science and technology Cybersickness: A virtual bummer By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Tue, 01 Jun 2010 16:53:21 +0000 Video: Is a trip to the 3-D movies making you sick? Full Article Arts & Culture
science and technology Creeping, crawling caterpillars By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 01:14:50 +0000 Video: How these roly-poly, spineless worms are serving as role models for soft material robots. Full Article Research & Innovations
science and technology Lobster virus: Understanding the spread of a new threat By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 16 Jun 2010 21:23:54 +0000 Video: A Florida marine ecologist narrows down the spread of the first lobster virus. Full Article Research & Innovations
science and technology Green roofs By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 23 Jun 2010 20:13:08 +0000 The rooftops of Manhattan are as varied as the city itself. A glance at the city skyline reveals a myriad of shapes and colors. Look a little closer and the sha Full Article Remodeling & Design
science and technology What lice can tell us about human migration By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 30 Jun 2010 15:48:32 +0000 The insect's DNA helps piece together our evolutionary history. Full Article Research & Innovations
science and technology Good vibrations: Treating brain disease with ultrasound waves By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 21 Jul 2010 19:22:54 +0000 Columbia researcher examines how ultrasound could become part of a comprehensive treatment for various degenerative brain diseases. Full Article Research & Innovations
science and technology Black holes: Peering into the heart of darkness By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 21 Jul 2010 19:39:50 +0000 Astronomers use infrared "eyes" to shed light on these enigmatic cosmic structures. Full Article Space
science and technology 'Star Wars' inspired engineer to study human-robot interaction By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 28 Jul 2010 18:32:46 +0000 Video: Dennis Hong is living his dreams — literally — in a lab filled with wacky robots. Full Article Research & Innovations
science and technology Breast cancer and body rhythms By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 04 Aug 2010 15:53:48 +0000 Video: Could working the night shift alter a woman's body clock enough to cause breast cancer? Full Article Fitness & Well-Being
science and technology Fluorescent fruit flies shed new light By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 11 Aug 2010 15:41:17 +0000 Researchers genetically engineer glow-in-the-dark sperm in fruit flies and reveal a wealth of information about sexual selection. Full Article Research & Innovations
science and technology Engineering and music: A powerful duet for art and science By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 18 Aug 2010 16:39:47 +0000 These engineers and musicians are hitting just the right notes. Full Article Arts & Culture
science and technology Studying ducklings to understand the impact of nesting behaviors By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 25 Aug 2010 16:00:13 +0000 Find out what wood ducks are revealing about threats to our fine feathered friends. Full Article Animals
science and technology Citizen science and the study of birds By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 01 Sep 2010 20:33:11 +0000 Volunteers help scientists understand birds and changing habitats. Full Article Fitness & Well-Being
science and technology What if you never had to worry about getting lost? By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 15 Sep 2010 17:10:33 +0000 Video: Keeping better track of yourself and your keys. Full Article Research & Innovations
science and technology Finding hidden oil and gas plumes in the Gulf By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 22 Sep 2010 19:02:18 +0000 Video: Below the surface, thousands of marine creatures are still in danger from the Gulf oil disaster. Full Article Wilderness & Resources
science and technology Sign language learning made easy By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 29 Sep 2010 19:23:02 +0000 From video games to cell phone apps, people are making sign language easier to learn. Full Article Arts & Culture
science and technology Surgical robotics make certain medical procedures possible By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Thu, 14 Oct 2010 22:15:22 +0000 Video: Robots help surgeons transcend human limits. Full Article Research & Innovations
science and technology Conducting science experiments behind bars By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 20 Oct 2010 17:08:26 +0000 Unlocking the mysteries of science in the unlikeliest of places: Prison. Full Article Research & Innovations
science and technology Project IceCube and its frozen secrets By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 27 Oct 2010 15:31:06 +0000 Video: Searching below the surface of Antarctica for the mysterious neutrino. Full Article Research & Innovations
science and technology Mount St. Helens: Rising from the ashes By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Fri, 05 Nov 2010 00:19:27 +0000 Video: Life erupts once again from the once lifeless mountain. Full Article Wilderness & Resources
science and technology Leaf-cutter ants are farmers, pharmacists and energy experts By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Mon, 15 Nov 2010 16:59:48 +0000 Researchers study ants and their complex, productive societies to help address some of human society's most pressing challenges. Full Article Research & Innovations
science and technology Why sleep deprivation is an issue for kids By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Thu, 09 Dec 2010 15:15:00 +0000 Video: Getting enough shut-eye really matters for children, and those who are poor need it the most. Full Article Family Activities
science and technology Camouflage scheme: Squid glows to escape predators By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Thu, 09 Dec 2010 15:48:39 +0000 Video: Learn about the bobtail squid and its interesting relationship with beneficial bacteria. Full Article Animals
science and technology Is love in the air?: Sounds of survival By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 22 Dec 2010 14:55:36 +0000 Eavesdropping on mice for clues about how humans process sound. Full Article Animals
science and technology What birds can teach us about flight By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Wed, 22 Dec 2010 21:42:42 +0000 Looking to the ground before taking to the air–-what ground birds can teach us about flight. Full Article Animals
science and technology Disappearing red shrimp By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Fri, 14 Jan 2011 22:30:16 +0000 These legendary creatures may have something to teach us about survival, even as the clock is ticking on their habitats. Full Article Animals
science and technology Building Rome in a day with virtual reality maps By www.nsf.gov Published On :: Thu, 20 Jan 2011 17:17:19 +0000 Team at Seattle university is creating largest 3-D reconstruction that anyone has ever attempted, rebuilding the world one pixel at a time. Full Article Computers
