000
WTNT65 KNHC 231231
TCUAT5

Tropical Storm Sebastien Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202019
830 AM AST Sat Nov 23 2019

...CENTER OF SEBASTIEN FARTHER NORTHEAST THAN PREVIOUSLY
ESTIMATED...

Recent microwave and visible satellite imagery indicate that the
center of Sebastien is moving faster than forecast and is now
located northeast of previous estimates. This will be reflected in
the next advisory issued by 11 AM AST (1500 UTC).


SUMMARY OF 830 AM AST...1230 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.5N 48.5W
ABOUT 1365 MI...2195 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

The global imbalance between oil supply and demand is set to halve in May, according to Rystad Energy.

Oil was headed for the longest run of daily gains in more than nine months.

Oil's recovery from last month's epic plunge accelerated as production cuts start to whittle down a supply glut.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.

The next phase will further de-risk the 763 billion cubic feet of 2C resources at the Ntorya field.

The contract for the accommodation rig at the Martin Linge field has been pushed to January 2021.

The Permian Basin rig count fell by 27 from the previous week.

000
WTCA42 TJSJ 260313 RRA
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga Advertencia Numero 3
Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL172019
Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
1000 PM CDT viernes 25 de 2019

...OLGA SE CONVIERTE POS-TROPICAL...
...SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA LLUVIA FUERTE Y CONDICIONES SEVERIAS A
TRAVES DE LA COSTA CENTRO DEL GOLFO Y EL LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALEY
EL SABADO...


RESUMEN DE LAS 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION....27.8 NORTE 92.2 OESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 170 MI...275 KM AL SSE DE LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NE O 40 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...999 MB...29.50 PULGADAS


RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:
------------------------------------------
No hay vigilancias o aviso costeros de ciclon tropical
en efecto.

Favor referirse a Pronosticos de Alto Oleaje emitidos por el
Servicio Nacional y los productos emitidos por el Servicio
Nacional de Meteorologa para informacion sobre vigilancias y
avisos no-tropical asociados a este sistema.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO
-----------------------
A las 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), el centro de Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga
estaba localizada en la latitud 27.8 norte, longitud 92.2 oeste. La
pos-tropical ciclon esta moviendose hacia el noreste a cerca de 17
mph (28 km/h) Se pronostica que Olga se mueva rapidamente hacia el
norte a norte-noreste el sabado y despues girarse hacia el noreste
tarde el sabado o doming. En la trayectoria pronosticada, el centro
del ciclon pos-tropical debe moverse a traves del Mississippi Valley
manana y hacis los Great Lakes mas tarde el fin de semana.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph (85 km/h) con
rafagas mas fuertes. Se espera que Olga se debilite despues que el
sistema se mueva sobre tierra el sabado por la manana.

Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 140
millas (220 km) del centro.

La presion minima central estimada basado sobre los datos anteriores
reportado por el Avion Cazahuracan y observaciones de la superficie
sobre el norte del Golfo de Mexico es de 999 mb (29.50 pulgadas).


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO: Vientos con fuerza de galerna asociado con Olga y sus remenantes
deben extenderse sobre sectores de la costa norte del Golfo esta noche y
sabado.

LLUVIA: El ciclon pos-tropical, y lluvia frente al sistema a lo
largo y al norte de la zona frontal a traves de la costa del Golfo
Central deben producir acumulaciones totales de lluvia de 3 a 6
pulgadas con totales maximos de 8 pulgadas a traves de la costa del
Golfo Central hasta sectores del Lower Mississippi Valley y el oeste
del Tennessee Valley hasta el sabado en la manana. Estas lluvias
pudieran producir inundaciones repentinas a traves de la costa del
Golfo Central hacia Lower Mississippi Valley y y el oeste del
Tennessee Valley.

INUNDACIONES COSTERAS: Mareas sobre lo normal e inundaciones costeras
asociadas son posibles a traves de sectores de la costa norte del
Golfo. Favor ver los productos emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de
Meteorologia local para mayor informacion.

TORNADOS: Tornados aislados son posible esta noche hasta el sabado
por la manana a traves de sectores del sureste de Louisiana, sur de
Mississippi, y el oeste de Alabama.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
Este es la ultima advertencia publico emitado por el Servicio
Nacional Huracanes sobre este sistema. Para mas informacion
adicional sobre este sistema se puede ser encontrados en los
pronosticos de alta mar emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de
Meteorologia, debajo del encabezado NFDHSFAT1 de AWIPS, encabezado
FZNT01 KWBC, y en la web a ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Informacion adicional sobre lluvias fuertes y vientos en rafgas
pudiera ser encontrados en los productos de los resumens de
tormentas emitidos por el Centro de Prediccion de Meteorologia en
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc3.html

$$

Pronosticador Zelinsky
Traduccion JPena

The job losses were expected to occur on April 29.

The deal doubles Intrepid's directional drilling capabilities in North America.

Full contract awards are expected shortly for key Phase 1 workstreams.

Shell has agreed to sell its Appalachia shale gas position to National Fuel Gas Co. for $541 million.

The Covid-19 pandemic, coupled with low oil prices, is likely to cause the largest monthly drop in fracking activity ever recorded in the United States, according to Rystad Energy.

The bulk of the cuts --eighty percent-- will come from the exploration and production business.

Figuring out which wells to shut, and for how long, is the hard part.

On the same day OPEC-style oil quotas in Texas were pronounced dead on arrival, shale drillers disclosed more supply cuts.

The FPSO sector has not been immune to the oil industry slowdown, but it might be best-positioned to bounce back when the upstream recovers.

000
WTPZ42 KNHC 161752
TCDEP2

Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172019
100 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019

Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that the
disturbance has become less organized, and there is no sign of a
new center forming offshore at this time. So, while there is still
a small chance that the system could form into a tropical cyclone,
the system no longer poses a threat of bringing tropical-storm
conditions to the coast of Mexico, and this special advisory is
being issued to discontinue the tropical storm watch for the coast
of Mexico. The disturbance should continue to interact with the
mountains of southern Mexico during the next day or so, which should
most likely cause its dissipation after 12 h.

This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center
on this system unless the threat of tropical storm conditions
increases along the coast of Mexico. However, the heavy rainfall
threat, as well as the potential for flash flooding and mudslides
in southern Mexico, should continue for the next day or two.
Please refer to forecasts and warnings from the Meteorological
Service of Mexico for more information on this ongoing threat.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 16/1800Z 16.6N 96.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 17/0000Z 17.3N 97.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
24H 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

Maersk Supply Service has revealed that it will reduce its onshore organization.

Subsea 7 has been awarded a 'sizeable' contract by Independent Oil and Gas for the Blythe and Vulcan Satellites field development.

Above is an artist's impression of Texas LNG's planned liquefaction facilities at the Port of Brownsville. IMAGE SOURCE: Texas LNG Brownsville LLC.

The survey was the first ever OBN seismic survey to be conducted in Egypt and the most detailed survey of the block since 1988.

New figures released this week show a decline in suspected coronavirus cases across the UK's offshore oil and gas sector.

Two of Norway's most influential oil executives asked the government to change a tax proposal that is meant to boost investment.

Oil notched its first back-to-back weekly gain since February.

000
WTNT25 KNHC 250231
TCMAT5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019
0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 28.9W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 35 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 170SE 190SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 240SE 420SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 28.9W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 30.8W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 43.6N 22.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 170SE 190SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 48.1N 14.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 190SE 190SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.0N 28.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON SEBASTIEN. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE UNDER WMO HEADER
FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
FORECASTER LATTO

000
FZNT23 KNHC 091513
OFFNT3

Offshore Waters Forecast for the SW and Tropical N Atlantic and
Caribbean Sea
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to
22N between 55W and 64W, the SW N Atlantic S of 31N W of 65W
including Bahamas, and the Caribbean Sea.

Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.

AMZ001-100315-
Synopsis for Caribbean Sea and Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to
19N between 55W and 64W
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure N of the area will support fresh to
strong trade winds across the central Caribbean, and gentle to
moderate winds over most of the remainder of the basin through Sun
night. The aerial extent of the strong trades will diminish and
reduce to the south-central Caribbean for the remainder period.

$$

AMZ011-100315-
Caribbean N of 18N W of 85W including Yucatan Basin-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to
4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Numerous showers and
scattered tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ013-100315-
Caribbean N of 18N between 76W and 85W including Cayman Basin-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to
6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous showers and
scattered tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ015-100315-
Caribbean Approaches to the Windward Passage-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to
8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E to SE
swell.
.SUN...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E to SE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N to NE late. Seas
2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less.
.WED...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less.

$$

AMZ017-100315-
Gulf of Honduras-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 17N W of 87W, and E to
SE 15 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Isolated tstms.
.SUN...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...S of 17N W of 87W, NE to E winds 10 kt in the
evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, E winds
10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated
tstms.
.MON...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ019-100315-
Caribbean from 15N to 18N between 80W and 85W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E
swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ021-100315-
Caribbean from 15N to 18N between 72W and 80W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft in
N to NE swell.
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE swell.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ023-100315-
Caribbean N of 15N between 64W and 72W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft in
NE swell.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE
swell.
.MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ025-100315-
Offshore Waters Leeward Islands-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ027-100315-
Tropical N Atlantic from 15N to 19N between 55W and 60W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N
swell.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N
swell.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E to SE swell.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

AMZ029-100315-
W Central Caribbean from 11N to 15N W of 80W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to
7 ft in NE swell.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE
swell.
.MON...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ031-100315-
Caribbean from 11N to 15N between 72W and 80W including Colombia
Basin-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 to 12 ft in
N to NE swell.
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 30 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia,
and NE to E 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE
swell.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 30 kt within 90 nm of coast of Colombia, and
E 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE
swell.
.MON...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE
swell.
.MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ033-100315-
Caribbean S of 15N between 64W and 72W including Venezuela Basin-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft in
N to NE swell.
.TONIGHT...E winds 25 to 30 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 20 to
25 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N to NE swell.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE
swell.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ035-100315-
Offshore Waters Windward Islands including Trinidad and Tobago-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

AMZ037-100315-
Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 15N between 55W and 60W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...NE to E winds 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in
N to NE swell.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE
swell.
.WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N swell.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

AMZ039-100315-
SW Caribbean S of 11N including Approaches to Panama Canal-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...NE winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE
swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE
swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell.
.MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ101-100315-
Synopsis for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.SYNOPSIS...A cold front extending from 31N77W to 29N81W will move
across the waters N of the Bahamas through Sun. Weak low pressure
in the Gulf of Mexico will track NE across south Florida into the
Bahamas Sun through Mon night enhancing winds and generating
numerous showers and thunderstorms. In the wake of the low, a
cold front will move across the northern and central waters
through Mon night, then stall from near 29N65W to central Cuba
late Tue.

$$

AMZ111-100315-
Atlantic from 27N to 31N W of 77W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...N winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and
isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E
swell. Scattered tstms.
.MON...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ113-100315-
Atlantic from 27N to 31N between 70W and 77W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...W winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.SUN...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to NW to N late. Seas
3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ115-100315-
Atlantic from 27N to 31N between 65W and 70W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...N of 29N, SW to W winds 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Elsewhere, SW to W winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N of 29N, W winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to NW to N
15 to 20 kt late. Elsewhere, N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to
7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.MON...SE winds 15 to 20 kt, shifting to S to SW in the
afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to W to NW in the
afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

AMZ117-100315-
Bahamas including Cay Sal Bank-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Numerous showers and
scattered tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

$$

AMZ119-100315-
Atlantic from 22N to 27N E of Bahamas to 70W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...N of 25N, variable winds less than 5 kt in the
afternoon. Elsewhere, SE to S winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.SUN...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N to NE
swell. Numerous showers and scattered tstms.
.MON...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

AMZ121-100315-
Atlantic from 22N to 27N between 65W and 70W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...S winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers
and isolated tstms.
.SUN...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers
and isolated tstms.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ123-100315-
Atlantic S of 22N W of 70W including Approaches to the Windward
Passage-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to
5 ft. Isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ125-100315-
Atlantic S of 22N between 65W and 70W including Puerto Rico
Trench-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...SE winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

AMZ127-100315-
Atlantic from 19N to 22N between 55W and 65W-
1113 AM EDT Sat May 9 2020

.TODAY...E to SE winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW to N
swell.
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E to SE
swell.
.WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

$$

Forecaster Ramos

 
 000
 FOPZ12 KNHC 161752
 PWSEP2
                                                                     
 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E                              
 SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4                         
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172019               
 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E WAS   
 LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM 
 SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                     
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
 

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 000
 FKNT25 KNHC 250232
 TCANT5
  
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER  23
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202019
 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019
  
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191125/0300Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       SEBASTIEN
 NR:                       023
 PSN:                      N4100 W02854
 MOV:                      NE 35KT
 C:                        0993HPA
 MAX WIND:                 050KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           25/0900Z N4244 W02445
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      050KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          25/1500Z N4443 W02034
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     050KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          25/2100Z N4658 W01619
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     050KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          26/0300Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     ///KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
  
 $$
 

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