(This post is by Charles) Art Owen (Stanford) read our paper on nesting Rhat to assess convergence in the many-short-chains regime of MCMC. He made a lot of great comments and asked some clarification questions. Notably: It wasn’t clear to me … Continue reading →

Harrison Siegel pointed us to this project with Maximiliano Isi and Will Farr on gravitational-wave analysis. The compare models using predictive evaluation, in particular leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO), as discussed here and here. Siegel writes: We discuss our implementation of the … Continue reading →

Just in time for Halloween, we have a scarily effective implementation of Stan on the web, full of a veritable haunted house of delicious treats. Brian Ward, Jeff Soules, and Jeremy Magland write: Stan Playground is a new open-source, browser-based … Continue reading →

Shane Frederick writes: Trivia question for you. I kept temperature records for 100 days one year in Boston, starting August 15th (day “0”). What would you guess is the correlation between day# and temp? r=??? Shane sends me this kind … Continue reading →

This is Jessica. I got through a long string of deadlines and invited talks and now I’m back to thinking about calibration and decision-making. In a previous post I was wondering about the relationship between calibration and Bayesian use of … Continue reading →

There’s some confusion regarding jumps in election forecasts. New information is coming in every day, so it makes sense that forecasts change too. But they don’t change very much. Each new piece of information tells you only a little bit. … Continue reading →

Paul Alper shares this horrifying news story by Laura Meckler: Brian Ray has spent the last three decades as one of the nation’s top evangelists for home schooling. As a researcher, he has published studies purporting to show that these … Continue reading →

U.S. election day is tomorrow. So let’s talk about something else: 1. Encoding prior information using non-generative modeling I was talking with Hong Ge about the uses of non-generative models in probabilistic programming. An example I gave is the use … Continue reading →

There’s a lot of talk about how the polls can go wrong. Fair enough—I wrote an article a few years ago on failure and success in political polling and election forecasting, and a few years before that, Julia Azari and … Continue reading →

(Before going on, please read the last sentence of the P.P.S. below to put this post in context.) Blake McShane points us to this 1977 article, “Frequentist Probability and Frequentist Statistics,” by Jerzy Neyman, the statistician who made fundamental contributions … Continue reading →

I hadn’t thought about bee dancing for a long time, when someone pointed me to this post by Laura Luebbert and Lior Pachter on a bit of data fraud in biology. Luebbert writes: Four years ago, during the first year … Continue reading →

This post is by Phil. A couple of months ago, this blog had a discussion that was prompted by the fact that 2 of the top 5 female American tennis players are the children of billionaires. One, that could be … Continue reading →

Several people pointed me to this news report on a successful bettor in an election prediction market: Not only did he see Donald Trump winning the presidency, he wagered that Trump would win the popular vote—an outcome that many political … Continue reading →

With news items such How the Trump Whale Correctly Called the Election and Prediction markets got Trump’s victory right; Betting markets predicted a Trump victory, while traditional polls were showing a tossup, prediction markets are having their coming-out party. Before … Continue reading →

Erik van Zwet, Witold Więcek, and I write: Effect sizes typically vary among studies of the same intervention. In a random effects meta-analysis, this variation is explicitly taken into account. However, when we have only one study, the heterogeneity remains … Continue reading →

This post is by Lizzie. I hope you like the cats photo from this summer. I do. I am looking for help. I decided to change my term course (12-14 weeks-long) on `introduction to Bayesian modeling with some hierarchical modeling’ … Continue reading →

I just learned about this paper from 2020, Specification curve analysis, by Uri Simonsohn, Joseph Simmons, and Leif Nelson: Empirical results hinge on analytical decisions that are defensible, arbitrary and motivated. These decisions probably introduce bias (towards the narrative put … Continue reading →

As there are still some blokes around who do not get how critical the Corona pandemic situation in Germany is, I want to boil it down to one number: >90 days left until all intensive care beds in whole of Germany are occupied.(as of April 26th, extrapolating the 7 day average growth rate results in […]

Quite often we hear in the news the lament that “if only we would have enough vaccine!”. In principal that is true, but more the theoretical claim, that only if we would have 170 Mio doses, everybody in Germany could get the two shots … Fact is, that being Germans and doing everything as thorough […]

Dear Reader, Wishing you and yours a very Happy Mother’s Day! See ya on the Net, Barbara J. Feldman “Surfing the Net with Kids” https://www.surfnetkids.com Mother’s Day Cards https://www.surfnetkids.com/resources/mothers-day-cards/ Mother’s Day Cards Printable(** for Premium Members only) https://www.surfnetkids.com/printables/files/printables-club/mothers_day_cards.pdf The history […]

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Dear Reader, What are your plans for Memorial Day weekend? We don’t have specific plans yet, but I do associate Memorial Day with the start of summer. And I’m always reminded of the advice my mother gave me: don’t wear […]

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I love October. Crisp mornings and hot cider help me welcome autumn. Change is in the air—you can feel it. One of my very favorite things about October...

Christian author, speaker, and disability advocate Joni Eareckson Tada was honored with the Pillar Award for History by the Museum of the Bible...

It doesn’t happen all the time, but when it does, it’s ecstatic. The other night, after the lights went out, I tried to get to sleep but couldn’t. My prayer...

The pastor invited Jani to the front of the auditorium. “I want to ask you some questions,” he said, holding her in his arms. “Do you love your mom and dad...

I heard on the news years ago that the Hubble telescope discovered a powerful megastar that is not only one hundred million times brighter than...

I was completely at a loss when, in 1980, I was asked to create a completely unique and original work of art for a Billy Graham...

Major Ian Thomas of The Torchbearers is a powerful preacher but a very humble man. A friend of mine once approached him after he preached...

RAWGraphs is used in many academic resources. In many of... more

This track investigates and explores ways to make visible the... more

When investigating how we frame technology in the design process,... more

The CNRS, the Gephi Consortium and the University of Aalborg... more

data.wikilovesmonuments.it is a visualization platform designed for Wikimedia Italia. The... more

This thesis describes the results of a multi-year experience conducted... more

Since the mid-1970s, the world has witnessed the rise and... more

Carousels are a great way to interactivity to your website. With the Divi Carousel Module 2.0 plugin, you can create carousels for just about any type of content. Showcase client testimonials, images, logos, team members, and more with this intuitive tool. Read on to learn about its features, how to use it, and what it […]

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After years of watching clients struggle with clunky, one-size-fits-all designs, we’ve learned that a great website needs to fit perfectly into any screen it meets, no matter how great the design is. Many see responsive design as a technical maze, but in this post, we’ll try to guide you through some of the challenges (and […]

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The average abandoned cart rate is 70%. That’s every seven out of ten of your store customers who set up their cart don’t complete their purchase—your WooCommerce cart page is leaking money! You can fix this by customizing it. Adding your brand, upsell offers, discount coupons, and trust-building elements are great ways to make customers […]

The post How to Customize Your WooCommerce Cart Page for More Sales! appeared first on Elegant Themes Blog.

Is your website not performing well on mobile devices? Poor layout or slow loading times can cause users to leave your site before they even engage with your content. In today’s mobile-first world, a responsive website is no longer just an option—it’s a necessity. Whether you’re starting fresh or improving an existing website, a responsive […]

The post How to Make a Responsive Website in 2024 (No Coding) appeared first on Elegant Themes Blog.

Managing multiple WordPress websites can be difficult, especially as a freelancer or budding web agency. Keeping track of updates, ensuring security, and optimizing performance for each site can be time-consuming. Additionally, when managing dozens or even hundreds of websites, you’re much more prone to making errors or skipping crucial updates. This is where a site […]

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A New York appellate court upheld a finding that a police officer’s retirement was voluntary and not caused by his prior duty-related injuries. Case: Matter of Carroll v. Nassau County Police Department, No.

A New York appellate court upheld the denial of an emergency medical technician’s hearing loss claim. Case: Matter of DeWolf v. Wayne County, No. CV-23-2014, 06/27/2024, published. Facts: Andrew DeWolf worked for…

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker should have been granted partial summary judgment on his Labor Law claims but split on whether a subcontractor on the project…

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker should have been granted summary judgment on his Labor Law claim for his fall from an unsecured ladder. Case: Rivera v. 712…

A New York appellate court ruled that a company partially owned by an individual serving as the general contractor on a construction project at his private residence was not liable for…

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker should have been denied permission to amend his complaint to add a new defendant to his Labor Law action. Case: Rowe v.

The New York Daily News reports that union officials are claiming that 9/11 first responders have not received workers’ compensation benefits since the CrowdStrike outage last week. Direct deposit payments ranging…

The New York State Workers’ Compensation Board said it has significantly reduced turnaround times in resolving billing disputes between health care providers and payers. The board said it has reduced the…

A New York appellate court ruled that an employee of a staffing service provider could not pursue a civil remedy against her employer’s client for injuries she sustained. Case: Miolan v.

The New York State Workers’ Compensation Board announced that it will expand in September the number of claims that it indexes. The WCB said the majority of claims assembled on or…