Will Marble writes: I’m a Ph.D. student in political science at Stanford. Along with colleagues from the Stanford medical school, law school, and elsewhere, we recently completed a white paper evaluating the evidence for and tradeoffs involved with shelter-in-place policies. To our knowledge, our paper contains the widest review of the relevant covid-19 research. It […]

In comments, Joshua Ellinger points to this news article headlined, “Hundreds of thousands in L.A. County may have been infected with coronavirus, study finds,” reporting: The initial results from the first large-scale study tracking the spread of the coronavirus in [Los Angeles] county found that 2.8% to 5.6% of adults have antibodies to the virus […]

I understand the above quote completely. Life would be so much simpler if my work was just reviewed by my personal friends and by people whose careers are tied to mine. Sure, they’d point out problems, but they’d do it in a nice way, quietly. They’d understand that any mistakes I made would never have […]

Simas Kucinskas writes: I would like to share some recent research (pdf here). In this paper, I develop a new method for estimating R in real time, and apply it to track the dynamics of COVID-19. The method is based on standard epidemiological theory, but the approach itself is heavily inspired by time-series statistics. I […]

Suppose I play EJ in chess—I think his rating is something like 2300 and mine is maybe, I dunno, 1400? Anyway, we play, and my only goal is for the games to last as many moves as possible, and EJ’s goal is to checkmate me in the minimal number of moves. Say I have to […]

The other day I wrote about the challenge in addressing the pandemic—a worldwide science/engineering problem—using our existing science and engineering infrastructure, which is some mix of government labs and regulatory agencies, private mega-companies, smaller companies, university researchers, and media entities and rich people who can direct attention and resources. The current system might be the […]

Kevin Lewis pointed me to this article. It seemed kinda familiar, I took a look at the abstract, and I realized . . . I reviewed this article for the journal! Here was my referee report: The paper seems fine to me. I have only two minor comments, both relating to the abstract. 1. I […]

Carlos Ungil writes: The IHME released an update to their model yesterday. Using now a better model and taking into account the relaxation of mitigation measures their forecast for US deaths has almost doubled to 134k (95% uncertainty range 95k-243k). My [Ungil’s] charts of the evolution of forecasts across time can be found here. I […]

Bruising convention battle calls into question party unity behind the Peterson challenger.

The decision to shelve detailed advice from the nation's top disease control experts for reopening communities during the coronavirus pandemic came from the highest levels of the White House, according to internal government e-mails.

It's understandable for anyone near retirement to feel extra anxious. Just remember your best interests.

Declining state and local government spending really can make an economic downturn worse. And this recession is bad enough already.

Pandemic expected to magnify differences between healthy retailers and those with big financial troubles.

It's the first Orioles game to be played there under a long-term partnership with the Naval Academy.

The Baltimore Orioles' Opening Day will be delayed by at least two weeks after Major League Baseball announced its response to the coronavirus outbreak Thursday.

The union representing 700 hospitality workers at Camden Yards is asking for financial help on what would have been opening day.

The journeyman's career saw a resurgence after he joined the Orioles. He went on to be the MVP of the 2018 World Series with the Boston Red Sox.

The announcement follows MLB's decision that refunds could be issued.

Sanderson, James Aug 31, 1943 - Apr 30, 2020 James Sanderson, 76, of Osprey, Florida, died on Apr 30, 2020. Funeral arrangements by: Your .....

Russo, Jr., Joseph James Oct 30, 1939 - May 6, 2020 Joseph James Russo, Jr., 80, of Punta Gorda, Florida, died on May 6, .....

Holmes, Suzanne Marie Apr 12, 1952 - Apr 28, 2020 Suzanne Marie Holmes 68, passed away peacefully in comfort of her home surrounded by .....

Cain, James W Feb 12, 1949 - Apr 29, 2020 James W Cain, 71, of Bradenton, Florida, died on Apr 29, 2020. Funeral arrangements .....

The inbox was flooded with questions after the first Ask Ray video feature was published, and this week – unlike his maiden voyage – Ray has come up with actual answers to questions from Paulick Report readers (all without the assistance of Google…well, mostly). Several questions were related to the starting gate, including the new 20-stall […]

The post Ask Ray: Starting Gate Questions And Camel Races? appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

There is no firm timeline in place for the resumption of racing at Parx, but when it does happen, it's going to look quite different. That's the word from Sal DeBunda, president of the Pennsylvania Thoroughbred Horsemen's Association in a video update posted on the group's Facebook page last week. DeBunda explained that Pennsylvania Gov. […]

The post Parx Has Several Hurdles To Clear Before Racing Can Resume appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

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Tim Jarrell, a 32 year veteran of the National Park Service, was recently named Chief of the Facilities Management Division at Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/3009-03-19-jarrell.htm

The National Park Service (NPS) is now accepting public comments on the construction of a new Science and Resource Management Facility within Grand Canyon National Park. The NPS proposes to design and construct a facility for use by the Division of Science and Resource Management (SRM). In addition to providing necessary office and storage space, the SRM building will invite visiting scientists, students, and others to utilize classrooms and laboratories, offer training sessions, and have some exhibits and opportunities for experiential learning. This cutting edge facility will utilize alternative energy sources and water conservation technology. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-seeking-comments-on-construction-of-new-science-and-resource-management-facility-within-grand-canyon-national-park.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/implementation-of-south-rim-visitor-transportation-plan.htm

The National Park Service will be burning piles of woody debris on the South Rim of Grand Canyon National Park. The pile burns will occur over the next few weeks as weather conditions allow. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-04-14-piles.htm

Search continues for two still missing in the Colorado River https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/search-continues-for-two-still-missing.htm

Two young men still missing in Colorado River https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/two-still-missing.htm

The Arizona Department of Transportation will open Highway 67 to the North Rim of Grand Canyon National Park on Friday, May 15 by 7:00 a.m. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-05-13-north-rim.htm

The nineteenth annual Grand Canyon Star Party will be held from Saturday, June 13 through Saturday, June 20, 2009 on the South and North Rims of Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-05-20-star.htm

The National Park Service is now accepting comments on mule operations and stock use in Grand Canyon National Park as the agency begins to develop an environmental assessment.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-05-22-stock.htm

  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-06-05-game-reserve.htm

Forest and park managers have agreed it is beneficial to manage both fires under one organization. On Saturday, June 13, the Ruby and Game Reserve fires became the Ruby Complex. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-06-15-fires.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-national-park-employee-receives-award-for-excellence-in-workforce-development.htm

The two fires forming the Ruby Complex have grown to 3,396 acres. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/the-ruby-fire-and-game-reserve-fire-now-managed-as-the-ruby-complex.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-announces-availability-of-environmental-assessment-for-train-operations-in-grand-canyon-national-park.htm

Firefighters completed ignition of the 243 acre Moqui Prescribed Fire on Tuesday, June 23.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-07-01-moqui.htm

A Finding of No Significant Impact (FONISI) was signed Thursday, July 16, by Michael D. Snyder, Regional Director for Intermountain Region of the National Park Service for the implementation of the Exotic Plant Management Plan for Grand Canyon. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/finding-of-no-significant-impact-signed-for-the-exotic-plant-management-plan-at-grand-canyon-national-park.htm

An opinion was filed by the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit today, affirming the United States District Court’s entry of summary judgment for the National Park Service in a lawsuit titled “River Runners for Wilderness, et al v. Stephen P. Martin, et al. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/united-states-court-of-appeals-for-the-ninth-circuit-rules-in-favor-of-national-park-service-in-lawsuit-challenging-grand-canyon-national-parks-colorado-river-management-plan.htm

The National Park Service (NPS) and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) will hold a meeting on Tuesday, July 28 to update an advisory panel on the agencies’ efforts to restore natural quiet in Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-and-federal-aviation-administration-to-hold-meeting-on-grand-canyon-overflights.htm

Grand Canyon National Park Superintendent Steve Martin has announced that an Environmental Assessment (EA) for Supai Camp Improvements is now available for public review and comment. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/environmental-assessment-for-improvements-at-supai-camp-within-grand-canyon-national-park-available-for-public-review-and-comment.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/sixteenth-annual-native-american-heritage-days-starts-august-13-on-north-rim-of-grand-canyon.htm

Grand Canyon National Park Superintendent Steve Martin today announced the availability of the Final Environmental Impact Statement and Assessment of Effect (FEIS/AEF) to update the park’s Fire Management Plan. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-releases-final-environmental-impact-statement-and-assessment-of-effect-to-update-grand-canyon-national-park-fire-management-plan.htm

Construction on Phase I of the improvements called for in Grand Canyon National Park’s South Rim Visitor Transportation Plan (SRVTP) continues to progress.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-08-24_phase_i.htm