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State Officials Plan Unemployment Mobile App As They Cope With Backlog

The state labor secretary says her department has made great strides in ironing out problems with the unemployment website and is trouble shooting errors.




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Co-Founder Of The Beach Boys Writes Song To Remind Us That Better Days Are Yet To Come

Mike Love has released a new song and video titled, "This Too Shall Pass."




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TRACKING: Coronavirus Cases In Maryland, See The Latest Numbers

The number of cases of coronavirus in Maryland continues to rise.




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Weather: Cold, Windy Saturday

Meteorlogist Taylor Grenda has a look ahead to a chilly May weekend.




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Navy's Brandon Colon: Cut From The Mold Of A True Midshipmen WR

It takes a special football player to be a wide receiver in Navy's vaunted triple option offense, and senior Brandon Colon is that special player who fits the mold of a big blocking and pass catching MIdshipmen wide receiver.




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Jim McKay Md Million Day: Maryland's Day At The Races

An action-packed day of world-class racing and a multitude of activities on and off-track is in store when Laurel Park hosts the 32nd annual Jim McKay Maryland Million Saturday, Oct. 21. Listen to WBAL Radio interview with Country Life Farm's Mike Pons who describes as like Christmas in October for Maryland racing




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The Wider World of Jim McKay: Celebrating His Life and His Work

An American treasure who moved to Baltimore as a teen and made Maryland his lifetime home, the late Jim McKay is being honored with an exhibit At Harford Community College that highlights his iconic brioadcasting career along with his love affair with Maryland’s Thoroughbred industry




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State Officials Plan Unemployment Mobile App As They Cope With Backlog

The state labor secretary says her department has made great strides in ironing out problems with the unemployment website and is trouble shooting errors.




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TRACKING: Coronavirus Cases In Maryland, See The Latest Numbers

The number of cases of coronavirus in Maryland continues to rise.




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‘I Think She’ll Take To The Turf’: McPeek To Target 1,000 Guineas With Fantasy Winner Swiss Skydiver

The next target for Swiss Skydiver is firm, trainer Kenny McPeek said late Saturday afternoon, roughly 24 hours after her 2 ½-length victory over Venetian Harbor in the Fantasy Stakes at Oaklawn Park. McPeek said Swiss Skydiver is targeting the 1,000 Guineas (G1), a 1-mile turf race for 3-year-old fillies, June 6 in Newmarket, England. […]

The post ‘I Think She’ll Take To The Turf’: McPeek To Target 1,000 Guineas With Fantasy Winner Swiss Skydiver appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.




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TRACKING: Coronavirus Cases In Maryland, See The Latest Numbers

The number of cases of coronavirus in Maryland continues to rise.




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Weather: Cold, Windy Saturday

Meteorlogist Taylor Grenda has a look ahead to a chilly May weekend.





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First peek at the next 12 Home of the Month selections

Homes include small cabin, remodeled warehouse loft and lakeshore estates.




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Min No Aya Win clinic on the Fond Du Lac reservation during COVID-19.

The Min No Aya Win clinic on the Fond Du Lac reservation has seen a small amount of patients on a daily basis as they prepare for a wave of COVID-19 cases to hit their area. Dr. Vainio MD, a member of the Mille Lacs Band of the Ojibwe tribe has worked at the clinic for decades and has never seen anything like this pandemic. The week of May 4th, he worked the respiratory cases at the clinic. Only one doctor a week takes all the respiratory cases to minimize the amount of people potentially exposed to the virus.




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Teens finding fishing as a hobby during the stay at home order

Teens were photographed fishing at the Rum River Dam in Anoka and at Coon Rapids Dam Regional Park in Coon Rapids Wednesday afternoon and evening, May 6, 2020.




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'Camp Quarantine' homeless encampment grows during the pandemic

What began in March as a small camp consisting of about a couple dozen homeless adults has now swelled to more than 100 residents in tents. Known as "Camp Quarantine," the fast-growing encampment has raised alarms over the health of the camp residents amid the coronavirus pandemic. Construction crews will begin installing a large metal fence around a homeless camp. Police are also expected to be on site too. The fence is being erected to contain the growth of the sprawling camp, which now has about 100 residents in rows of tents. The camp is located on Met Council property along the light-rail line near E. 28th Street and Hiawatha Avenue.




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I’m frustrated by the politicization of the coronavirus discussion. Here’s an example:

Flavio Bartmann writes: Over the last few days, as COVID-19 posed some serious issues for policy makers who, both in the US and elsewhere, have employed statistical models to develop mitigation strategies, a number of non-statisticians have criticized the use of such models as useless or worse. A typical example is this article by Victor […]




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“The Evidence and Tradeoffs for a ‘Stay-at-Home’ Pandemic Response: A multidisciplinary review examining the medical, psychological, economic and political impact of ‘Stay-at-Home’ implementation in America”

Will Marble writes: I’m a Ph.D. student in political science at Stanford. Along with colleagues from the Stanford medical school, law school, and elsewhere, we recently completed a white paper evaluating the evidence for and tradeoffs involved with shelter-in-place policies. To our knowledge, our paper contains the widest review of the relevant covid-19 research. It […]




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The best coronavirus summary so far

I’d still go with this article by Ed Yong, which covers biology, epidemiology, medicine, and politics. Here’s one bit: In 2018, when writing about whether the U.S. was ready for the next pandemic, I [Yong] noted that the country was trapped in a cycle of panic and neglect. It rises to meet each new disease, […]




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Coronavirus in Sweden, what’s the story?

  This post is by Phil Price, not Andrew. I’m going to say right up front that I’m not going to give sources for everything I say here, or indeed for most of it. If you want to know where I get something, please do a web search. If you can’t find a source quickly, […]




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Information or Misinformation During a Pandemic: Comparing the effects of following Nassim Taleb, Richard Epstein, or Cass Sunstein on twitter.

So, there’s this new study doing the rounds. Some economists decided to study the twitter followers of prominent coronavirus skeptics and fearmongers, and it seems that followers of Nassim Taleb were more likely to shelter in place, and less like to die of coronavirus, than followers of Richard Epstein or Cass Sunstein. And the differences […]




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“I don’t want ‘crowd peer review’ or whatever you want to call it,” he said. “It’s just too burdensome and I’d rather have a more formal peer review process.”

I understand the above quote completely. Life would be so much simpler if my work was just reviewed by my personal friends and by people whose careers are tied to mine. Sure, they’d point out problems, but they’d do it in a nice way, quietly. They’d understand that any mistakes I made would never have […]




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New York coronavirus antibody study: Why I had nothing to say to the press on this one.

The following came in the email: I’m a reporter for **, and am looking for comment on the stats Gov Cuomo just released. Would you be available for a 10-minute phone conversation? Please let me know. Thanks so much, and here’s the info: Here is the relevant part: In New York City, about 21 percent, […]




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No, they won’t share their data.

Jon Baron read the recent article, “Presenting Characteristics, Comorbidities, and Outcomes Among 5700 Patients Hospitalized With COVID-19 in the New York City Area,” and sent the following message to one of the authors: I read with interest your article in JAMA. I have been trying to follow this issue closely, if only because my wife […]




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The return of the red state blue state fallacy

Back in the early days of this blog, we had frequent posts about the differences between Republican or Democratic voters and Republican or Democratic areas. This was something that confused lots of political journalists, most notably Michael Barone (see, for example, here) and Tucker Carlson (here), also academics such as psychologist Jonathan Haidt (here) and […]




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More than one, always more than one to address the real uncertainty.

The OHDSI study-a-thon group has a pre-print An international characterisation of patients hospitalised with COVID-19 and a comparison with those previously hospitalised with influenza. What is encouraging with this one over yesterday’s study, is multiple data sources and almost too many co-authors to count (take that Nature’s editors). So an opportunity to see the variation […]




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Controversy regarding the effectiveness of Remdesivir

Steven Wood writes: There now some controversy regarding the effectiveness of Remdesivir for treatment of Covid. With the inadvertent posting of results on the WHO website. https://www.statnews.com/2020/04/23/data-on-gileads-remdesivir-released-by-accident-show-no-benefit-for-coronavirus-patients/ One of the pillars of hope for this treatment is the monkey treatment trial (the paper is here). As an experience clinical trialist I was immediately skeptical of […]




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Coronavirus: the cathedral or the bazaar, or the cathedral and the bazaar?

Raghu Parthasarathy writes: I’ve been frustrated by Covid-19 pandemic models, for the opposite reason that I’m usually frustrated by models in science—they seem too simple, when the usual problem with models is over-complexity. Instead of doing more useful things, I wrote this up here. In his post, Parthasarathy writes: Perhaps the models we’re seeing are […]




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Some of you must have an idea of the answer to this one.

Suppose I play EJ in chess—I think his rating is something like 2300 and mine is maybe, I dunno, 1400? Anyway, we play, and my only goal is for the games to last as many moves as possible, and EJ’s goal is to checkmate me in the minimal number of moves. Say I have to […]




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My talk Wednesday at the Columbia coronavirus seminar

The talk will be sometime the morning of Wed 6 May in this seminar. Title: Some statistical issues in the fight against coronavirus. Abstract: To be a good citizen, you sometimes have to be a bit of a scientist. To be a good scientist, you sometimes have to be a bit of a statistician. And […]




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Resolving the cathedral/bazaar problem in coronavirus research (and science more generally): Could we follow the model of genetics research (as suggested by some psychology researchers)?

The other day I wrote about the challenge in addressing the pandemic—a worldwide science/engineering problem—using our existing science and engineering infrastructure, which is some mix of government labs and regulatory agencies, private mega-companies, smaller companies, university researchers, and media entities and rich people who can direct attention and resources. The current system might be the […]




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“Then the flaming sheet, with the whirr of a liberated phoenix, would fly up the chimney to join the stars.”

I’ve been reading a couple of old books of book reviews by Anthony Burgess. Lots of great stuff. He’s a sort of Chesterton with a conscience, for example in this appreciation of Uncle Tom’s Cabin: As for Tom’s forgiving Christianity—‘O, Mas’r! don’t bring this great sin on your soul! It will hurt you more than […]




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Hey, you. Yeah, you! Stop what you’re doing RIGHT NOW and read this Stigler article on the history of robust statistics

I originally gave this post the title, “Stigler: The Changing History of Robustness,” but then I was afraid nobody would read it. In the current environment of Move Fast and Break Things, not so many people care about robustness. Also, the widespread use of robustness checks to paper over brittle conclusions has given robustness a […]




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Simple Bayesian analysis inference of coronavirus infection rate from the Stanford study in Santa Clara county

tl;dr: Their 95% interval for the infection rate, given the data available, is [0.7%, 1.8%]. My Bayesian interval is [0.3%, 2.4%]. Most of what makes my interval wider is the possibility that the specificity and sensitivity of the tests can vary across labs. To get a narrower interval, you’d need additional assumptions regarding the specificity […]




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Statistics controversies from the perspective of industrial statistics

We’ve had lots of discussions here and elsewhere online about fundamental flaws in statistics culture: the whole p-value thing, statistics used for confirmation rather than falsification, corruption of the pizzagate variety, soft corruption in which statistics is used in the service of country-club-style backslapping, junk science routinely getting the imprimatur of the National Academy of […]




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Bayesian analysis of Santa Clara study: Run it yourself in Google Collab, play around with the model, etc!

The other day we posted some Stan models of coronavirus infection rate from the Stanford study in Santa Clara county. The Bayesian setup worked well because it allowed us to directly incorporate uncertainty in the specificity, sensitivity, and underlying infection rate. Mitzi Morris put all this in a Google Collab notebook so you can run […]




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“Positive Claims get Publicity, Refutations do Not: Evidence from the 2020 Flu”

Part 1 Andrew Lilley, Gianluca Rinaldi, and Matthew Lilley write: You might be familiar with a recent paper by Correira, Luck, and Verner who argued that cities that enacted non-pharmaceutical interventions earlier / for longer during the Spanish Flu of 1918 had higher subsequent economic growth. The paper has had extensive media coverage – e.g. […]




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“So the real scandal is: Why did anyone ever listen to this guy?”

John Fund writes: [Imperial College epidemiologist Neil] Ferguson was behind the disputed research that sparked the mass culling of eleven million sheep and cattle during the 2001 outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease. He also predicted that up to 150,000 people could die. There were fewer than 200 deaths. . . . In 2002, Ferguson predicted that […]




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The week that was: A balance of economy and public health

As heads of state, local leaders, business owners and individual citizens weighed the costs of re-opening the global economy, fears of new outbreaks grew. A central question emerged: How much infection and loss of life will emerge amid the push to restart business?




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What you need to know today about the virus outbreak




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Is my money safe in a bank during the COVID-19 crisis?

Bank runs should not be a concern, thanks to the system that protects your deposits.




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Twin Cities employers rethink office design: 'We are too close together'

Companies are rushing to readjust their office designs as they prepare to reopen workplaces amid the pandemic. Strategists and designers are putting aside past concerns about branding and flashy office amenities to focus on employee safety.




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Close to retirement? How not to panic when the market swoons

It's understandable for anyone near retirement to feel extra anxious. Just remember your best interests.




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A job lost in government has the same economic effect as one lost in a business

Declining state and local government spending really can make an economic downturn worse. And this recession is bad enough already.




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Orioles' Trey Mancini Undergoing Chemotherapy For Stage 3 Colon Cancer

Baltimore Orioles' Trey Mancini announced Tuesday he is undergoing chemotherapy for Stage 3 colon cancer. 




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Smothers, Lawrence J.

Smothers, Lawrence J. Nov 17, 1944 - Apr 30, 2020 Lawrence J. Smothers, 76, of Sarasota, FL, died on Apr 30, 2020. Funeral arrangements .....





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The Friday Show Presented By Kentucky Equine Research: Bloodstock Market Impact

The coronavirus pandemic has disrupted the daily lives of people around the world and virtually every industry has felt the impact of COVID-19 and the measures taken to combat the deadly outbreak. Thoroughbred bloodstock markets are no exception. Sales of 2-year-olds in training are being rearranged and there is uncertainty as the breeding season is […]

The post The Friday Show Presented By Kentucky Equine Research: Bloodstock Market Impact appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.




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I Am Horse Racing Helps Answer The Common Question: What Is Colic?

The team at I am Horse Racing would like to introduce our newest endeavor, a series entitled “Vet's Corner.” This new arm of our video and social media installments will focus on delving into many of the most common ailments, issues, and physical aspects associated with horses, sport horses, and racehorses. We will gather the nation's top minds to speak […]

The post I Am Horse Racing Helps Answer The Common Question: What Is Colic? appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.