Suppose I play EJ in chess—I think his rating is something like 2300 and mine is maybe, I dunno, 1400? Anyway, we play, and my only goal is for the games to last as many moves as possible, and EJ’s goal is to checkmate me in the minimal number of moves. Say I have to […]

The other day I wrote about the challenge in addressing the pandemic—a worldwide science/engineering problem—using our existing science and engineering infrastructure, which is some mix of government labs and regulatory agencies, private mega-companies, smaller companies, university researchers, and media entities and rich people who can direct attention and resources. The current system might be the […]

Seth Flaxman et al. have an updated version of their model of coronavirus progression. Flaxman writes: Countries with successful control strategies (for example, Greece) never got above small numbers thanks to early, drastic action. Or put another way: if we did China and showed % of population infected (or death rate), we’d erroneously conclude that […]

The other day we posted some Stan models of coronavirus infection rate from the Stanford study in Santa Clara county. The Bayesian setup worked well because it allowed us to directly incorporate uncertainty in the specificity, sensitivity, and underlying infection rate. Mitzi Morris put all this in a Google Collab notebook so you can run […]

Part 1 Andrew Lilley, Gianluca Rinaldi, and Matthew Lilley write: You might be familiar with a recent paper by Correira, Luck, and Verner who argued that cities that enacted non-pharmaceutical interventions earlier / for longer during the Spanish Flu of 1918 had higher subsequent economic growth. The paper has had extensive media coverage – e.g. […]

Robin Lee writes: To check for linearity and homoscedasticity, we are taught to plot residuals against y fitted value in many statistics classes. However, plotting residuals against y fitted value has always been a confusing practice that I know that I should use but can’t quite explain why. It is not until this week I […]

David Rohde points us to this new seminar series that has the following description: Machine learning is changing the world we live in at a break neck pace. From image recognition and generation, to the deployment of recommender systems, it seems to be breaking new ground constantly and influencing almost every aspect of our lives. […]

Ivan Oransky points us to this amusing retraction of a meta-analysis. The problem: “Standard errors were used instead of standard deviations when using data from one of the studies”! Actually, I saw something similar happen in a consulting case once. The other side had a report with estimates and standard errors . . . the […]

A sheriff's deputy in North Carolina is facing criminal charges after authorities say he led a group of armed people to wrong home in a search for a missing girl.

Returning Internal Revenue Service workers in Kansas City are being directed to a room well-stocked with face masks, while some other IRS offices were still telling staffers to buy or make their own as the Trump administration starts rolling out a location-based plan for returning more of the some 2 million federal workers to job sites.

Companies are rushing to readjust their office designs as they prepare to reopen workplaces amid the pandemic. Strategists and designers are putting aside past concerns about branding and flashy office amenities to focus on employee safety.

It's the first Orioles game to be played there under a long-term partnership with the Naval Academy.

The Baltimore Orioles' Opening Day will be delayed by at least two weeks after Major League Baseball announced its response to the coronavirus outbreak Thursday.

The commissioner's office said clubs remain committed to playing "as many games as possible" when the season begins.

The union representing 700 hospitality workers at Camden Yards is asking for financial help on what would have been opening day.

Baltimore Orioles' Trey Mancini announced Tuesday he is undergoing chemotherapy for Stage 3 colon cancer. 

The Orioles outfielder was open with reporters after publishing an emotional essay.

Dear Reader, It’s been a month since I left the house to dine at a restaurant with friends. I remember that as the day BEFORE I realized that staying home was the best choice for my health and for our […]

The post [Surnetkids] Gardening appeared first on Newsletters » Surfnetkids.

Sanderson, James Aug 31, 1943 - Apr 30, 2020 James Sanderson, 76, of Osprey, Florida, died on Apr 30, 2020. Funeral arrangements by: Your .....

Herdegen, Richard Jan 31, 1940 - Apr 26, 2020 Richard Herdegen, 80, of Bradenton, FL, died on Apr 26, 2020. Funeral arrangements by: Shannon .....

Saturday's 14-race Florida Derby Day card gets under way at 11:30 a.m. from Gulfstream Park in Hallandale Beach, Fla., and the Grade 1 Derby will feature a full field of 3-year-olds competing for $750,000 and 170 qualifying points for the Kentucky Derby, now scheduled for Sept. 5 (100 points to the winner, 40 to second, […]

The post Triple Crown News Minute Presented By Kentucky Equine Research: Closer Look At Florida Derby Contenders appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

Ricardo Santana Jr., whose six-year streak as Oaklawn's leading rider was ended in 2019 by David Cohen, has been suspended the final 10 racing days of the 2020 race meeting at the Hot Springs, Ark., track for an incident involving Cohen in the stretch run of the seventh race on Sunday, April 5. Santana was […]

The post Elbow Room: Santana Suspended 10 Days By Oaklawn Stewards For Careless Riding appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

By all accounts, the second division of Saturday's Grade 1 Arkansas Derby from Oaklawn in Hot Springs, Ark., going as the 13th race on the 14-race closing-day program, is much deeper in quality than the first division, which is dominated by the Speightstown colt Charlatan, likely an odds-on favorite. Nadal, who like Charlatan is an […]

The post Triple Crown News Minute Presented By Kentucky Equine Research: Arkansas Derby’s Deeper Division appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

In the latest installment of Ask Ray, Paulick Report publisher Ray Paulick answers questions from readers on several topics, and it's apparent from his responses that he's a little edgy after being in isolation since mid-March. A question about why California workouts are almost all designated as “handily” while the rest of the country's workouts […]

The post Ask Ray: Workout Designations, DRF Mystery, Arizona ADW And Edgar Prado appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

Now that the early concerns surrounding Gutenberg have subsided it is clear that the new editor for WordPress is actually an excellent resource for web designers. Especially if you are not the most confident coder. Gutenberg and its block plugins are an intuitive way to build your website and ensure it looks as good as...

Do you have a content-rich WordPress website that you believe will help boost your business profits? Developing a feature and content-rich website is definitely the first step, but you cannot increase your conversions if you have not maximized the engagement on your website. You need to continually work on expanding and improving user engagement so...

Following Governor Whitmer's executive order to close places of public accommodation, the Duderstadt Center and all U-M Library buildings have closed to all visitors as of Monday, March 16 at 3pm.

   https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2009-03-19-followup.htm

Woman injured in mule accident in Grand Canyon National Park https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/mule-accident.htm

The National Park Service and Arizona Public Service will be hosting a public event on Monday, May 18, at 11:00 a.m., to celebrate the installation of eighty-four photovoltaic solar panels at the Grand Canyon Visitor Center. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-05-12-aps.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-06-01-award.htm

On Tuesday, June 9, 2009, the National Park Service began a project to reconstruct the South Kaibab Trail in Grand Canyon National Park. The project is funded, in part, with funds from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-national-park-begins-trail-reconstruction-project-using-funds-received-under-presidents-economic-recovery-plan.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-national-park-employee-receives-award-for-excellence-in-workforce-development.htm

A resident of Grand Canyon National Park was rescued via short-haul this morning after suffering a fall during a recreational climb of Newton Butte. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-07-07-short-haul.htm

The body of a man who drove his car over the edge of the Grand Canyon earlier this week has been identified as that of Gheorghe Chiriac of Apple Valley, California. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-07-17_ident.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-07-20_abduction.htm

An opinion was filed by the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit today, affirming the United States District Court’s entry of summary judgment for the National Park Service in a lawsuit titled “River Runners for Wilderness, et al v. Stephen P. Martin, et al. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/united-states-court-of-appeals-for-the-ninth-circuit-rules-in-favor-of-national-park-service-in-lawsuit-challenging-grand-canyon-national-parks-colorado-river-management-plan.htm

The National Park Service (NPS) and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) will hold a meeting on Tuesday, July 28 to update an advisory panel on the agencies’ efforts to restore natural quiet in Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-and-federal-aviation-administration-to-hold-meeting-on-grand-canyon-overflights.htm

This year National Public Lands Day at Grand Canyon National Park will be commemorated with more than free admission and volunteer opportunities. Park staff and friends will also be celebrating the park’s first Dia de la Familia. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-09-01_npld-dia.htm

The National Park Service (NPS) recently awarded a construction contract to SKY Engineering and Construction, Inc. of Phoenix, Ariz., for the renovation of the Desert View restroom and the replacement of existing chemical toilets with new concrete vault toilet buildings at four locations along Grand Canyon National Park’s Desert View Drive. Locations include: South Kaibab Trailhead, Grandview Overlook and Trailhead, Buggeln Hill Picnic Area, and Tusayan Museum. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/desert-view-restroom-renovation-and-east-rim-drive-toilets-project-to-begin-at-grand-canyon-national-park.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-national-park-to-celebrate-dia-de-la-familia-on-national-public-lands-day.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-hiker-discovered-deceased-below-north-rim-near-toroweap-valley.htm

The body of a man found deceased in an area below the North Rim of Grand Canyon National Park near the Toroweap Valley, has been identified as that of 39 year-old Thomas Peake of Atlanta, Georgia.   https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/body-of-man-found-below-the-north-rim-of-grand-canyon-identified.htm

National Park Service approves temporary mule ride on South Rim of Grand Canyon https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-approves-temporary-mule-ride-on-south-rim-of-grand-canyon.htm

Grand Canyon National Park Superintendent Steve Martin today announced the availability of a prospectus for guided trail rides using mules at the North Rim of Grand Canyon National Park.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-10-09_nr_mules.htm

Grand Canyon National Park’s North and South Rim Artist-in-Residence programs are pleased to announce the artists selected for the October 2009 – September 2010 season. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-10-22_air.htm

The body of a man that was recovered from below the South Rim of Grand Canyon on Saturday afternoon has been identified as that of 62 year-old, B. Holt Vaughn from Broomfield, Colorado.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/body-of-man-recovered-from-below-the-south-rim-of-grand-canyon-identified.htm

A new exhibit is on display at Williams’ historic train depot; and the eye-catching photographs were all taken by Arizona youth.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2009-12-18_photos.htm