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Friday assorted links

1, “New York acted as Grand Central Station for this virus…”  (NYT) 2. An “economics of epidemiology” paper incorporating Lucas-like mechanisms. 3. Who is at most risk from Covid?  A new study based on very good NHS data. 4. Further new data on transmission.  And useful overview of how Covid-19 “works.” Maybe it seems a […]

The post Friday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.




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Coronavirus sports markets in everything, multiple simulations edition

For $20, fans of German soccer club Borussia can have a cut-out of themselves placed in the stands at BORUSSIA-PARK. According to the club, over 12,000 cut-outs have been ordered and 4,500 have already been put in place. Here is the tweet and photo. And some sports bettors are betting on simulated sporting events.  (Again, […]

The post Coronavirus sports markets in everything, multiple simulations edition appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.




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Saturday assorted links

1. How to ration access to scarce, reopening resources. 2. Will Australia do best?  And America’s coronavirus report card (my Bloomberg column).  And the correct Dan Wang link from yesterday (Bloomberg). 3. Derek Lowe on antibody approaches. 4. Crude empirical work suggesting non-essential businesses can be reopened without bringing big problems on net. 5. Yemeni […]

The post Saturday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.




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decoronafied

v. Sober

or Someone or something that has been thoroughly disinfected.

I drank some coffee, Im good and decoronafied, can I have my keys?.Honest I can drive !
or Babe ! Im home! let me take a shower and get decoronafied so I can smash that !




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Include and empower: an international conference on improving the rights and wellbeing of disabled children and young people

When: Thu Dec 3, 2015 to Fri Dec 4, 2015 

Where: Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
Event Status: confirmed
Event Description: Aimed at delegates from across Europe, this conference offers an opportunity to share the successes and challenges of recent developments across Europe, and to explore the creation of inclusive services for all children and young people as part of our shared vision of how they can fulfil their potential. For further information, please visit the event website



  • http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#event

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Thinking of the future: Innovations, & developments for social work practice: social media and digital technology for social work practice.

When: Mon Feb 8, 2016

Where: Stirling Court Hotel, University of Stirling
Event Status: confirmed
Event Description: https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/thinking-of-the-future-innovations-and-developments-for-social-work-practice-tickets-19249165773



  • http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#event

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Things Have Changed

  Clusterfuck Nation For your reading pleasure Mondays and Fridays Support this blog by visiting Jim’s Patreon Page At least in wartime, the bars stay open. That’s how you know this is a different thing altogether from whatever else you’ve seen in your lifetime. Even those of us who signed up for this trip — that is, more »

The post Things Have Changed appeared first on Kunstler.



  • Clusterfuck Nation – Blog

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Forced Liquidation

Clusterfuck Nation For your reading pleasure Mondays and Fridays Support this blog by visiting Jim’s Patreon Page Historians of the future, pan-roasting fresh-caught June bugs over their campfires, may wonder when, exactly, was the moment that the financial world broke with reality. Was it when Nixon slammed the “gold window” shut? When “maestro” Alan Greenspan first more »

The post Forced Liquidation appeared first on Kunstler.



  • Clusterfuck Nation – Blog

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One year after Pulse Nightclub tragedy, new NFPA standard for preparedness and response to active shooter and/or hostile events being developed

As the nation marks the one-year anniversary of the Pulse Nightclub massacre in Orlando this week, a group of experts on active shooter/hostile incident response will assemble at National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) headquarters to develop NFPA 3000, Standard for Preparedness and Response to Active Shooter and/or Hostile Events. It is expected that the initial standard will be completed by early 2018; then the public will have the opportunity to offer input for immediate review.




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NFPA and ESFI work to reduce fatalities caused by electric shock drowning in pools and at marinas

With summer in full swing, the National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) and Electrical Safety Foundation International (ESFI) are joining forces to remind people about the potential electrical hazards in swimming pools, hot tubs and spas, on board boats and in the waters surrounding boats, marinas and launch ramps.




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Fire chiefs share lessons learned from recent high profile emergencies including hurricanes, hi-rise fires and hostile shooting incidents at the Urban Fire Forum

Fire chiefs from France, the United Kingdom, and the United States gathered in Quincy, Massachusetts at the National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) Urban Fire Forum (UFF) to listen to first-hand accounts of some of the biggest emergency response incidents over the past 15 months, including hurricane response in Texas and Florida, the Grenfell Tower fire in London, and the Pulse Nightclub shooting in Orlando.






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FF7 Remake is postponed

Помните, как они суперпафосно анонсировали дату релиза фф15 - и потом её проебали?
Ебучая Скваря опять за своё.
Ремейк семёрки тоже вовремя не выйдет.
Было 3 марта, теперь 10 апреля. Ровно между ремейком третьего резика и киберпанком.
Ничего вы, блядь, не можете нормально сделать.




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Wednesday Evening

Rock on.






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EP 168 - E3 2016 Xbox Media Briefing Reaction

Pradius talks Xbox One S, Project Scorpio and tons of other Xbox stuff. Enjoy!

Episode 168 - YouTube | Frag Tag Radio

Questions or comments? Contact us!
Message us mail@fragtagradio.com. Text or voicemail (1-304-TALK-FTR).




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55 Quotes About Achieving Goals To Help You Stay Motivated

Setting and achieving goals is a process with different phases that will require lots of focus, commitment, and hard work. In order not to get distracted or overwhelmed, there is a need to stay constantly motivated on the journey to reaching your goals. Below are collections of quotes about achieving goals to help you sustain [...]Read More...






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Xbox One X (as-is condition, console only FOR REPAIR, PARTS ONLY NOT NEW IN BOX, YOU MIGHT NEED TO FIX THEM understood? NOTNEW) $139.99 (Ebay seller)

https://www.ebay.com/itm/Microsoft-Xbox-One-X-1TB-Black-Console-as-is-for-repair-or-parts-only/264227168298

 

YMMV obviously--I ordered two of these a month ago and they have been running fine for me.  All I had to do was reinstall the newest system update and they have both been fine with no issues.  One system's issue noted was "freezes" and the other was "no video". 

 

It says he has only 2 in stock, but I bought two a while back and the listing has remained active for the entire time with stock available, so he probably leaves the number low to keep demand going. This is probably a bulk buyer who doesn't extensively troubleshoot the systems.  I am not affiliated with the seller.  Cosmetically, the systems are nice enough to trade in without taking a refurb fee when stores re-open for business.





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PM Studios "Stay Safe" Sale - Featuring Switch/PS4, and Limited Run Games.

PM Studios online store is back and they made a new sale featuring new reprints, overall deals and restock on rare out-of-print titles from Limited Run Games.

 

https://twitter.com/PMStudiosUSA/status/1253401043414781959

 

Also all orders over $49.99 will get Cytus Alpha Limited Edition Original Soundtrack CD for free with the Coupon "FREEGIFT".

 

Kinda sick move they did now.

 

https://www.pm-studios.com/store

 

Edit: Price list.

 

Reprints/Pre-Orders: 
 
Horizon Chase Turbo (Switch) - $29.99
Ministry of Broadcast (Steelbook Edition) (Switch) - $39.99 
 
Deals:
 
Deemo (Switch) $39.99 - $19.99
Opus Collection (Switch) $39.99 - 19.99
Horizon Chase Turbo (First Print - PS4) $29.99 - $14.99
Hover (Switch) - $29.99 - $24.99
WILL: A Wonderful World Limited Edition (Plush, 120 page Artbook, etc) : $79.99 $69.99
WILL: A Wonderful World - Artbook: $29.99 - $24.99

Limited Run Games products:
Mercenaries Series Double Pack (PAX Exclusive): $69.99
Mercenaries Wings Limited Edition (PS4 - LRG) : $59.99
Mercenaries Wings Limited Edition (Switch - LRG): $59.99
Musynx First Print (Vita - LRG): $29.99
Deemo: The Last Recital (Vita - LRG): $29.99
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    Pac-Man Championship Edition 2 (Xbox One, PS4, and Steam) is free until May 10th

    Price is "on sale" for free until May 10th, so claim it while you can.

     

    PS4: https://store.playstation.com/en-us/product/UP0700-CUSA04924_00-PACMANCE2BUNDLE0

     

    Xbox One: https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/p/pac-man-championship-edition-2/bpv04qgbn8j8#activetab=pivot:overviewtab

     

    Steam: https://store.steampowered.com/app/441380/PACMAN_CHAMPIONSHIP_EDITION_2/

     

    This is apparently Bandai-Namco's way of helping keep people entertained while stuck at home amidst the COVID stuff.




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    Gamestop 20%/30%/40%/50% Off, One Day Flash Sale - Update Extended through 5/9




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    What’s Trending? Towns Getting “Tanked”

    Modern policing is often characterized by quasi-militaristic tendencies, from “wars” on drugs and crime to its use armored vehicles and automatic weapons. The Department of Defense 1033 Program, which provides military equipment slated for storage to law enforcement agencies, is a popular way that police and sheriff’s departments acquire military gear. According to data from […]




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    Social Inequality, Medical Fears, and Pandemics

    Who’s afraid of a global pandemic? We all are, at the moment. But like so many other forms of fear, concern about medical issues is much more acute for people in precarious and vulnerable social positions. The privileged—particularly those who are white and upper class—can more afford not to be preoccupied with health and medical […]




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    Trump On Pence Staffer That Tested Positive For COVID19: 'I Don't Know What Happened'

    After it was revealed Friday that Mike Pence's spokesperson, who is Stephen Miller's wife, Katie Miller, tested positive, Trump gave an illogical and moronic response to the media about her and coronavirus testing in general.

    Trump said, "She tested very good for a long period of time, and then all of a sudden today, she tested positive."

    That's the way any virus spreads, especially one as infectious as COVID-19. One day you don't have it, and the next, if you're not protecting yourself, you've got it.

    Trump said he and Pence tested negative after her results came back.

    "So she tested positive out of the blue," he said.

    A person doesn't test positive out of the freaking blue. They were contaminated by somebody else. It's Basic Science 101.

    Trump continued, "This is why the whole concept of tests aren’t necessarily great."

    Trump has admitted how much he hates the idea of testing Americans in general, not because they are unreliable, but because it affects the number of cases that are reported, and makes him look bad.

    What a swell guy.

    Then he made another baffling statement that makes no sense in any reality. Trump said, "The tests are perfect, but something can happen between a test where it’s good and then something happens and all of a sudden…”

    read more




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    Entitled White Man, Todd Starnes, Whines About Wearing A Mask When He Went To Buy A Toaster

    We all know that the most oppressed group in all of history is (checks notes) White Christian Republican Men. They were sold into slavery, forbidden from drinking at certain water fountains or from riding in the front of the bus. They didn't get the right to vote until the last century. They have never won the Presidency. Hell, they don't even get to control their own bodies.

    Wait. Wrong groups.

    White men control pretty much EVERYTHING.

    So, imagine Todd Starnes frustration when he was told by the mean store person that he had to not only wear a mask — but he had to use hand sanitizer — DURING A GLOBAL PANDEMIC. Yes, to put others' safety before your own convenience is hard for the White Christian Republican Man. After all, he has been raised to expect everyone else to bend to his will, not the other way around.

    Here is Todd's super whiny tweet:

    Twitter had thoughts:

    read more




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    COVID-19 spread is fueled by 'stealth transmission'

    Cases of COVID-19 that fly under the radar — without being diagnosed — appear to fuel the rapid spread of the disease.







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    Your Top 5 Relationship Questions: Answered!

    In this episode, we talked about… How to cope if you’re feeling uncertain and anxious because you are apart from your partner, as well as how to deal with boredom and frustration because of too much togetherness… What to do if you have a mismatched vision of what you both want… How to stay in […]

    The post Your Top 5 Relationship Questions: Answered! appeared first on Gala Darling.




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    Haunted Gallery

    Exclusive offer from Giveaway of the Day and ToomkyGames! No third-party advertising and browser add-ons! In Haunted Gallery, a hair-rising hidden object game, the famous exorcist Gwendolyn Rose is going to have to save the world again! This time the road leads her to the Haunted Gallery. Each painting in the gallery is a magic portal to a distant and abandoned place. The Gallery is connected with the real world by invisible threads. The problem is that an evil essence called Custodian has seized power over this sacred place. Help Gwendolyn defeat him!




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    Test your knowledge: Cats

    Test your knowledge: Cats is a test game that will test your knowledge of different cat breeds. Do you know how to look like a variety of cat breeds? Havana, Somalia, Oriental, Peterbald, Maine Coon, Pixibob and many others. Test yourself with our interesting test. The essence of the game - is to choose one correct answer from four options! Answer all the questions correctly and get 48 beautiful achievements!Don't forget to share your result in the comments! Key game features: - Allows you to test your knowledge of feline - For children and adults - Helps to remember and learn how to look and called certain breeds of cats. - 48 achievements




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    Fury Unleashed Is Now Available For Xbox One

      Product Info: Developer: Awesome Games Studio Publisher: Awesome Games Studio Website: Fury Unleashed Twitter: @AwesomeGamesStd




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    Sin Slayers: Enhanced Edition Is Now Available For Xbox One

      Product Info: Developer: Goonswarm Publisher: Black Tower Website: Sin Slayers Twitter: @sinslayersgame




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    EK Releases the Long-Awaited Reflection Distro Plate for Lian LI O11D XL

    The EK-Quantum Reflection PC-O11D XL D5 PWM D-RGB is a custom water cooling reservoir, routing, and pump solution that seamlessly fits into the front of the case. This waterway is also equipped with a physical flow indicator that gives a nice visual representation of the pump's speed.

    The post EK Releases the Long-Awaited Reflection Distro Plate for Lian LI O11D XL appeared first on ThinkComputers.org.





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    Free webinar to help residents be financially prepared for wildfires

    With wildfire season already starting in some regions of the United States and around the corner in others, now is the time to start thinking about your physical and financial preparedness.  To help you be better informed, NFPA is hosting two free




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    Wildfire preparedness throughout the month of May

    First, a big shout out to all of those who participated in Wildfire Community Preparedness Day!  We are always in awe of the number of people and organizations that use the day to take action to make a difference in their community.  Many of




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    Chaos reigns in detailed new views of Jupiter's icy moon Europa

    Scientists have gotten their best look to date at three chaotic patches on the icy surface of Jupiter's moon Europa thanks to decade-old images from a long-defunct spacecraft.




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    Book week 2019: David Adger's Language Unlimited

    Welcome to the second review post of Book Week 2019. See the intro to Book Week 2019 to understand more about what I'm doing this week. Next up we have:

    Language unlimited
    the science behind our most creative power

    by David Adger
    Oxford University Press, 2019


    This is a book for people who like to think about HOW THINGS WORK. It's a serious work of popular science writing, which carefully spells out the mysteries of syntax. And by mysteries, I mean things you've probably never even noticed about language. But once they're pointed out, you have to sit back and say "Whoa." Because even though you hadn't noticed these things, you know them. Remember a few years ago, when the internet was hopping with posts about how we subconsciously know which order to put adjectives in? That's kid's play compared with the stuff that Adger'll teach you about the things you know but don't know about.

    Adger (who is Professor of Linguistics at Queen Mary University, London) describes the situation carefully, clearly, and engagingly, using copious examples and analogies to communicate some really subtle points. (I particularly liked the explanation of form versus function in language, which drew on the form versus the function of alcohol. Chin-chin!) He draws in evidence from neurology, psychology, and computer science to both corroborate his points and to introduce further questions about how language works.

    As I said in the intro to Book week, I have not read all the books I'm reviewing absolutely cover-to-cover. In this case, of the ten chapters, I read 1–3, 7, and 10—and skimmed through the other chapters. The early chapters make the case that there's more to linguistic structure than meets the eye and that human linguistic abilities must consist of something special—they must be qualitatively different from the types of cognition that other animals use and that humans use in non-linguistic communication. Later ones cover issues like how children experience and acquire their first language and what happens when computers try to learn human language. Throughout, the examples feature Adger's partner Anson and his cat Lilly.  I almost feel like I know them now. Hi Anson and Lilly!

    Adger makes clear from the start that his book makes a particular argument in favo(u)r of a particular way of explaining language's mysteries—and that particular way is a Chomskyan way. This means that he makes the case for a Universal Grammar that underlies all human language. I was struck by his willingness and ability to take this all the way for a lay audience. By chapter 9, he is explaining Merge, the key tool of Chomsky's Minimalist Program

    Now, here I have to say: this is not the kind of linguistics I do. It's not just that I'm not a syntactician—though I have, from time to time, dipped my toe into theories grammatical. It's also that I lost faith in theoretical monotheism when I moved from a very Chomskyan undergraduate degree to a more ecumenical linguistics department for my (post)graduate studies. When I arrived for my PhD studies, the department wanted to know which syntactic theories I'd studied, so they could determine which courses I needed to take. I could not tell them. After four years of studying Chomskyan linguistics, I thought I had spent four undergraduate years studying "Syntax". No one had told me that I was studying a theory of syntax, just one among several theories.

    Ever since, I have tended to agnosticism and s{c/k}epticism when it comes to syntactic theory. (This is probably how I ended up as not-a-syntactician; I don't know that it's possible to have a career in grammatical studies without adhering to one theoretical church or another.) Being a lexicologist has meant that I don't have to take sides on these things. And so I play around with different theories and see how they deal with the phenomena I study. When I listen to the evangelists, I listen warily. I tend to find that they oversimplify the approaches of competitor theories, and don't learn as much from them as they could (or, at least, sometimes don't give them credit for their contributions). This is all a very long explanation of why I skipped to chapter 7—the chapter where Adger responds to some non-Chomskyan ideas (mostly personified in the chapter by Joan Bybee).

    So (mostly BrE*) all credit to Adger for spending a chapter on this, and for citing recent work in it. I generally thought his points were fair, but I did what I usually do in response to such theoretical take-downs: I thought "ok, but what about..." I do think he's right that some facts point to the existence of a Universal Grammar, but I also think it's not the only interesting part of the story, and that it's premature to discount arguments that explore the possibility that much of what happens in language learning is based in experience of language and general cognitive abilities. But then, I would think that.

    I definitely recommend the book for people who are interested in the scientific approach to language, but I'd skip the final chapter (10). It is an oddly tacked-on bit about sociolinguistic phenomena, precisely the kinds of things that are not even approached in the theory the rest of the book has been arguing for.

    I congratulate Adger on this strong work that makes extraordinarily abstract concepts clear.





    P.S. Since I'm not doing Differences of the Day on Twitter this week, here's little chart of use of all credit to (frequency per million words) in the Corpus of Global Web-Based English, for good measure.





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    Bolinho com massa de 3 ingredientes

    Este salgadinho leva apenas 3 ingredientes na massa e fica PERFEITO! Você pode fritar ou assar! Recheie com o que você quiser. Como sugestão, te ensino um recheio de carne econômico e delicioso! Anote os ingredientes:

    O post Bolinho com massa de 3 ingredientes apareceu primeiro em Cozinha do Bom Gosto.




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    Free webinar on "Storage Protection under Sloped Ceilings"

    In the event of a fire, a sloped ceiling may alter sprinkler performance from expected results for a conventional horizontal ceiling configuration. Prior computational studies investigated the effect of ceiling slope on sprinkler activation times and




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    Breeching Valves – Should They be Used in Sprinkler Systems?

    What on earth is a breeching valve? A breeching valve, also known as a safety shutoff valve or excess flow valve, monitors pressure and flow in a system. Upon seeing excessive flow, the valve will automatically close, essentially shutting off or




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    AUBE '20/SUPDET® 2020 call for papers issued

    A call for papers has been issued for AUBE ‘20/SUPDET 2020, a joint conference of the 17th International Conference on Automatic Fire Detection (AUBE ’20) and the Suppression, Detection and Signaling Research and Applications Symposium




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    NFPA’s Lorraine Carli named to National Fallen Firefighter Foundation Board of Directors

    The National Fallen Firefighters Foundation (NFFF) recently announced the appointment of new members to their Board of Directors including the addition of Lorraine Carli, National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) vice president of Outreach and