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Roger Penske on the coronavirus: 'No matter how bad it seems, everything's an opportunity'

Penske has seen his company's stock price fall by 40%, his new racing series suspended and the Indy 500 scheduled outside of May for the first time

       




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Larry Curry, who had rollercoaster IndyCar career as team engineer and manager, dies at 68

In a career not without mistakes and disappointments, Larry Curry showed sparks of brilliance during his IndyCar career that spanned five decades.

       




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Cartoonist Gary Varvel: Trump's magic wand

Obama downplays Trump's economic successes

      




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Cartoonist Gary Varvel: Marijuana snake oil

Will the benefits outweigh the risks?

      




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Varvel: How to draw Tariff Man

Watch Gary Varvel's time lapse video of his drawing of President Trump as Tariff Man.

      




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Cartoonist Gary Varvel: Trump is Tariff Man

The president claims to have super trade powers

      




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Cartoonist Gary Varvel: What Democrats want for Christmas

Will the Mueller investigation deliver?

       




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Varvel: How to draw Democrats' Christmas wish

Watch Gary Varvel's time lapse video of his process of drawing the Democrats' Christmas wish.

       




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Varvel: Drawing Mayor Hogsett's 12 days of Christmas

Watch Gary Varvel's time lapse video of his process of drawing Mayor Joe Hogsett's Christmas cartoon.

       




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Cartoonist Gary Varvel: Mayor Hogsett's 12 days of Christmas

A reelection campaign song

       




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Gary Varvel Christmas-themed cartoons

       




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Matthew Tully: Carmel grad fights to bring child home from Honduras

Family faces uncertainty about whether 4-year-old boy can join them in U.S.

      




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Columnist Matt Tully on leave until next year

Tully plans to return to work in early 2018.

      




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Tully: Amid Trump's ugliness, wise words at St. Thomas Aquinas Church

St. Thomas Aquinas Church has long worked with communities in Haiti and Africa. The church responded to the president's recent comments.

      




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Tully: 8 takeaways from Tuesday's primaries

A lot of interesting storylines emerged from Tuesday's primaries. Here are several of them.

       




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Indianapolis remembers Matt Tully

We miss you, friend.

       




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In memory of Matt Tully, Indiana delegation introduces stomach cancer awareness resolution

The Indiana congressional delegation introduced a House resolution expressing support for the goals and ideas of ''Stomach Cancer Awareness Month."

       




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Tully: Donald Trump's ultimate betrayal

Donald Trump's heartless immigration policy must be countered by the many Americans who clearly oppose it.

       




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Swarens: Well done, Matt Tully. You served Indiana well.

With Matt Tully's death, our community has lost a strong and passionate advocate for those whose needs are often overlooked, especially children.

       




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IndyStar columnist Matt Tully dies

Tully wrote nearly 2,000 columns for IndyStar over the years, making an impact across Indianapolis.

       




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Matt Tully's legacy: A fund to support early childhood education

Matt Tully was dedicated to his craft and to this community. The Matthew L. Tully Memorial Fund is a meaningful way to keep his memory and work alive.

       




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Hot Property: A Mad Man episode for this 1950s modern home

Look inside this 1950s modern home at 6474 Meridian St.

       




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Everyone has a favorite dish at Danville's Mayberry Cafe, even Jim Nabors

For nearly 30 years, Danville's Mayberry Cafe has served up Andy Griffith Show themed dishes to locals and even Jim Nabors.

      




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A day at Danville's Andy Griffith Show themed Mayberry Cafe

A day at Danville's Andy Griffith Show themed Mayberry Cafe

      




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Meet Luke, the 2019 Mayberry Cafe Opie look-alike winner

Luke Land, 3, of Danville, Ind., is Mayberry Cafe's 2019 Opie look-alike winner.

      




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Plainfield Correctional Facility inmates grow a garden to give back

Plainfield Correctional Facility inmates grow produce in a garden to give to needy.

      




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For Plainfield inmates, gardening is 'something positive in a kind of negative environment'

Plainfield Correctional Facility inmates donate fruits and vegetables from their garden to community organizations.

      




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Take your Buick Roadmaster station wagon or Honda Civic on a drag race. Here's how.

For 15 years, Lucas Oil Raceway's Wild Wednesday has offered residents around Indianapolis the opportunity to drive fast, drag race — legally.

      




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'You have to show up for the animals': Brownsburg teen's sanctuary has rescued 150+ pigs

Olivia Head discovered there was a high demand for fostering and adopting potbellied pigs. Thus, Oinking Acres Pig Rescue and Sanctuary was born.

       




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'I can't even give them a hug': A look inside a small-town Indiana funeral home

"I love from afar, do the best I can from afar but nothing equals a hug," said Eric Ball, funeral director, owner of David A. Hall Mortuary.

       




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Could Germany afford Irish, Greek and Portuguese default?

The Western world remains where it has been for some time, delicately poised between anaemic recovery and a shock that could tip us back into economic contraction.

Perhaps the most conspicuous manifestation of the instability is that investors can't make up their minds whether the greater risk comes from surging inflation that stems largely from China's irrepressible growth or the deflationary impact of the unsustainable burden of debt on peripheral and not-so-peripheral eurozone (and other) economies.

And whence do investors flee when it all looks scary and uncertain, especially when there's a heightened probability of specie debasement - to gold, of course.

Unsurprisingly, with the German finance minister, Wolfgang Schauble, implying that a writedown of Greece's sovereign obligations is an option, and with consumer inflation in China hitting 5.4% in March, there has been a flight to the putative safety of precious metal: the gold price hit a new record of $1,480.50 per ounce for June delivery yesterday and could well break through $1,500 within days (say the analysts). Silver is hitting 30-year highs.

In a way, if a sovereign borrower were to turn €100bn of debts (for example) into an obligation to repay 70bn euros, that would be a form of inflation - it has the same economic impact, a degradation of value, for the lender. But it is a localised inflation; only the specific creditors suffer directly (though there may be all sorts of spillover damage for others).

And only this morning there was another blow to the perceived value of a chunk of euro-denominated sovereign obligations. Moody's has downgraded Irish government debt to one level above junk - which is the equivalent of a bookmaker lengthening the odds the on that country's ability to avoid controlled or uncontrolled default.

Some would say that the Irish government has made a start in writing down debt, with the disclosure by the Irish finance minister Michael Noonan yesterday that he would want to impose up to 6bn euros of losses on holders of so-called subordinated loans to Irish banks.

But I suppose the big story in the eurozone, following the decision by the European Central Bank to raise interest rates, is that the region's excessive government and bank debts are more likely to be cut down to manageable size by a restructuring - writedowns of the amount owed - than by generalised inflation that erodes the real value of the principal.

The decision of the ECB to raise rates has to be seen as a policy decision that - in a worst case - a sovereign default by an Ireland, or Greece or Portugal would be less harmful than endemic inflation.

But is that right? How much damage would be wreaked if Greece or Ireland or Portugal attempted to reduce the nominal amount they owe to levels they felt they could afford?

Let's push to one side the reputational and economic costs to those countries - which are quite big things to ignore, by the way - and simply look at the damage to external creditors from a debt write down.

And I am also going to ignore the difference between a planned, consensual reduction in sums owed - a restructuring that takes place with the blessing of the rest of the eurozone and the International Monetary Fund - and a unilateral declaration of de facto bankruptcy by a Greece, Ireland or Portugal (although the shock value of the latter could have much graver consequences for the health of the financial system).

So the first question is how much of the impaired debt is held by institutions and investors that could not afford to take the losses.

Now I hope it isn't naive to assume that pension funds, insurance companies, hedge funds and central banks that hold Greek, or Irish or Portuguese debt can cope with losses generated by a debt restructuring.

The reason for mild optimism in that sense is that those who finance investments made by pension funds and insurers - that's you and me by the way - can't get their money out quickly or easily. We simply have to grin and bear the losses to the value of our savings, when the stewards of our savings make lousy investment decisions.

As for hedge funds, when they make bad bets, they can suffer devastating withdrawals of finance by their investors, as and when the returns generated swing from positive to negative. But so long as those hedge funds haven't borrowed too much, so long as they are not too leveraged - and most aren't these days - the impact on the financial system shouldn't be significant.

Finally, if the European Central Bank - for example - ends up incurring big losses on its substantial holdings of Greek, Portuguese and Irish debt, it can always be recapitalised by solvent eurozone nations, notably by Germany and France.

However this is to ignore the node of fragility in the financial system, the faultline - which is the banking industry.

In the financial system's network of interconnecting assets and liabilities, it is the banks as a cluster that always have the potential to amplify the impact of debt writedowns, in a way that can wreak wider havoc.

That's built into their main function, as maturity transformers. Since banks' creditors can always demand their money back at whim, but banks can't retrieve their loans from their creditors (homeowners, businesses, governments), bank losses above the norm can be painful both for banks and for the rest of us.

Any event that undermines confidence in the safety of money lent to banks, will - in a best case - make it more difficult for a bank to borrow and lend, and will, in the worst case, tip the bank into insolvency.


Which, of course, is what we saw on a global systemic scale from the summer of 2007 to the end of 2008. That's when creditors to banks became increasingly anxious about potential losses faced by banks from a great range of loans and investments, starting with US sub-prime.

So what we need to know is whether the banking system could afford losses generated by Greek, Irish and Portuguese defaults.

And to assess this, we need to know how much overseas banks have lent to the governments of these countries and also - probably - to the banks of these countries, in that recent painful experience has told us that bank liabilities become sovereign liabilities, when the going gets tough.

According to the latest published analysis by the Bank for International Settlements (the central bankers'central bank), the total exposure of overseas banks to the governments and banks of Greece, Portugal and Ireland is "just" $362.2bn, or £224bn,

Now let's make the heroic guess that a rational writedown of this debt to a sustainable level would see a third of it written off - which would generate $121bn (£75bn) of losses for banks outside the countries concerned.

If those loans were spread relatively evenly between banks around the world, losses on that scale would be a headache, but nothing worse.

But this tainted cookie doesn't crumble quite like that. Just under a third of the relevant exposure to public sector and banks of the three debt-challenged states, some $118bn, sits on the balance sheets of German banks, according to the BIS.

For all the formidable strength of the German economy, the balance sheets of Germany's banks are by no means the strongest in the world. German banks would not be able to shrug off $39bn or £24bn of potential losses on Portuguese, Irish and Greek loans as a matter of little consequence.

This suggests that it is in the German national interest to help Portugal, Ireland and Greece avoid default.

If you are a Greek, Portuguese or Irish citizen this might bring on something of a wry smile - because you would probably be aware that the more punitive of the bailout terms imposed by the eurozone on these countries (or about to be imposed in Portugal's case) is the expression of a German desire to spank reckless borrowers.

But as I have mentioned here before, reckless lending can be the moral (or immoral) equivalent of reckless borrowing. And German banks were not models of Lutheran prudence in that regard.

If punitive bailout terms make it more likely that Ireland, Greece or Portugal will eventually default, you might wonder whether there has been an element of masochism in the German government's negotiating position.




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Insider: Helio Castroneves is this era's bridesmaid

In IndyCar Series history, driver Helio Castroneves ranks second in second-place race finishes. His legacy, beyond being a three-time Indianapolis 500 winner, might be that of being this era's bridesmaid.

       




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'Business absolutely as normal' for Power, Pagenaud

SONOMA, Calif. – For a weekend with an IndyCar Series championship on the line and a season climaxing at Sonoma Raceway, there might not be two more relaxed drivers than Simon Pagenaud and Will Power.

       




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Avon Schools close through March 20 after second student shows symptoms of the coronavirus

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Most Marion County public schools will close Friday, all will close Monday

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All Indiana schools will remain closed until May 1, state testing canceled

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How Indiana schools make eLearning work

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Coronavirus in Indiana: What will happen if schools are closed longer than May 1?

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Há milhões de pessoas que não lavam as mãos infiltradas entre nós, mesmo com acesso a água encanada e sabão. Mas por que elas não incorporam esse simples hábito de higiene, e como podemos mudar suas cabeças?