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Benin’s landmark elections: An experiment in political transitions

Benin is the new field of dreams and promises kept. In a year when many countries on the continent are changing their constitutions to allow for incumbent presidents to run yet again, Benin, under President Yayi Boni, is respecting the term limits set down in its constitution. Thanks in part to pressure from the population,…

      
 
 




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Africa’s mixed political transitions in the 3 Gs: Gabon, the Gambia, and Ghana

Editor's note: For more on African political transitions, see our interactive African Leadership Transitions Tracker, which presents changes at the head of state level in every African country from independence or end of the colonial period to the present. Africa has gone through a number of leadership transitions in 2016 and with each one the…

      
 
 




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Korean Reunification and U.S. Interests: Preparing for One Korea

 

      
 
 




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U.S. policy and East Asian security: Challenge and response

Evans J.R. Revere discusses the security challenges for U.S. policymakers in East Asia, especially with regards to a militarily powerful China and a nuclear North Korea.

      
 
 




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The U.S.-ROK alliance: Projecting U.S. power and preserving stability in Northeast Asia

The powerful deterrent provided by the U.S.-Republic of Korea (ROK) security alliance has kept the peace on the Korean Peninsula for over 63 years. Today, with the rising threat of a nuclear-armed, aggressive North Korea, growing friction in U.S.-China relations, and rapidly changing security dynamics in the Asia-Pacific region, the U.S.-ROK security alliance is more […]

      
 
 




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The end of grand strategy: America must think small

       




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Reforming the Federal Hiring Process and Promoting Public Service to America’s Youth

In the coming years, the federal government will need to hire more than 200,000 highly skilled workers for a range of critical jobs. In order to fill this hiring gap, young people, who have the right skills and background must be drawn into public service. The government is attracting many outstanding candidates, but the recruitment…

       




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How Millennials Could Upend Wall Street and Corporate America


By 2020, Millennials will comprise more than one of three adult Americans. It is estimated that by 2025 they will make up as much as 75 percent of the workforce.  Millennials’ desire for pragmatic action that drives results will overtake today’s emphasis on ideology and polarization as Boomers finally fade from the scene. Thus, understanding the generation’s values offers a window into the future of corporate America.

Morley Winograd and Michael Hais outline the cultural force of the Millennial generation on the economy as Millennials increasingly dominate the nation’s workplaces and permeate its corporate culture. Winograd and Hais argue that the current culture on Wall Street is becoming increasingly isolated from the beliefs and values of America’s largest adult generation. The authors also include data on Millennials’ ideal employers, their financial behaviors, and their levels of institutional trust in order to provide further insight into this important demographic.

Key Millennial values shaping the future of the American economy include:

  • Interest in daily work being a reflection of and part of larger societal concerns.
  • Emphasis on corporate social responsibility, ethical causes, and stronger brand loyalty for companies offering solutions to specific social problems.
  • A greater reverence for the environment, even in the absence of major environmental disaster.
  • Higher worth placed on experiences over acquisition of material things.
  • Ability to build communities around shared interests rather than geographical proximity, bridging otherwise disparate groups.

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Authors

  • Morley Winograd
  • Michael Hais
Image Source: © Yuya Shino / Reuters
     
 
 




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Stock buybacks: From retain-and reinvest to downsize-and-distribute


Stock buybacks are an important explanation for both the concentration of income among the richest households and the disappearance of middle-class employment opportunities in the United States over the past three decades. Over this period, corporate resource-allocation at many, if not most, major U.S. business corporations has transitioned from “retain-and-reinvest” to “downsize-and-distribute,” says William Lazonick in a new paper.


 

Under retain-and-reinvest, the corporation retains earnings and reinvests them in the productive capabilities embodied in its labor force. Under downsize-and-distribute, the corporation lays off experienced, and often more expensive, workers, and distributes corporate cash to shareholders. Lazonick’s research suggests that, with its downsize-and-distribute resource-allocation regime, the “buyback corporation” is in large part responsible for a national economy characterized by income inequity, employment instability, and diminished innovative capability.

Lazonick also challenges many of the notions associated with maximizing shareholder value, an ideology that has come to dominate corporate America. Lazonick calls for a decrease, or even a ban, in stock buybacks so companies will be able to use these funds to finance capital expenditures but more importantly to attract, train, retain, and motivate its career employees. And some of the funds made available by a buyback ban can even flow to the government, he argues, as tax revenues for investments in infrastructure and human knowledge that can underpin the next generation of innovation.  

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Authors

  • William Lazonick
Image Source: Toru Hanai / Reuters
     
 
 




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More builders and fewer traders: A growth strategy for the American economy


In a new paper, William Galston and Elaine Kamarck argue that the laws and rules that shape corporate and investor behavior today must be changed. They argue that Wall Street today is trapped in an incentive system that results in delivering quarterly profits and earnings at the expense of long-term investment.

As Galston and Kamarck see it, there’s nothing wrong with paying investors handsome returns, and a vibrant stock market is something to strive for. But when the very few can move stock prices in the short term and simultaneously reap handsome rewards for themselves, not their companies, and when this cycle becomes standard operating procedure, crowding out investments that boost productivity and wage increases that boost consumption, the long-term consequences for the economy are debilitating.

Galston and Kamarck argue that a set of incentives has evolved that favors short-term gains over long-term growth. These damaging incentives include:

  • The proliferation of stock buybacks and dividends
  • The increase in non-cash compensation
  • The fixation on quarterly earnings
  • The rise of activist Investors

These micro-incentives are so powerful that once they became pervasive in the private sector, they have broad effects, Galston and Kamarck write. Taken together, they have contributed significantly to economy-wide problems such as: (1) Rising inequality, (2) A shrinking middle class, (3) An increasing wedge between productivity & compensation, (4) Less business investment, and (5) Excessive financialization of the U.S. economy.

So what should be done? Galston and Kamarck propose reining in both share repurchases and the use of stock awards and options to compensate managers as well as refocusing corporate reporting on the long term. To this end, these scholars recommend the following policy steps:

  • Repeal SEC Rule 10-B-18 and the 25% exemption
  • Improve corporate disclosure practices
  • Strengthen sustainability standards in 10-K reporting
  • Toughen executive compensation rules
  • Reform the taxation of executive compensation

Galston and Kamarck state that the American economy would work better if public corporations behaved more like private and family-held firms—if they made long-term investments, retained and trained their workers, grew organically, and offered reasonable but not excessive compensation to their top managers, based on long-term performance rather than quarterly earnings. To make these significant changes happen, the incentives that shape the decisions of CEOs and board of directors must be restructured. Reining in stock buybacks, reducing short-term equity gains from compensation packages, and shifting managers’ focus toward long-term objectives, Galston and Kamarck argue, will help address the most significant challenges facing America’s workers and corporations.  

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Five questions about the VW scandal


Now that that the initial revelations regarding the VW scandal have sunk in it’s time to begin assessing the larger significance of those revelations. While the case and, we predict, VW, will continue for years (we are only at the end of the beginning, and far from the beginning of the end), we are far enough along to see five large questions emerging. These questions will tell us much about the economic, corporate and cultural future of VW and German enterprise. 

1) VW was an integral component of Germany's industrial reputation in Europe, across the Atlantic in the United States, and around the world. Now, that hard-won reputation is at risk. How broad will the damage be to German businesses' reputation not just for quality, but for "premium quality?"

2) Turning from the German business sector to the German economy as a whole, the VW scandal has many ironies, not least of which is that the company was a key driver (so to speak) of the famous German Wirthschaftswunder. Economic health propelled a vanquished Germany to the forefront of Europe’s post-WWII recovery and then made post-Cold War reunification a success. Does the VW scandal have the potential to slow down the overall growth of the German economy, and what are the European and global implications of that at a time when the Chinese economy is also sputtering?

3) From a corporate governance perspective, the scandal represents some of the most boneheaded thinking ever. Following disclosure of the fraud, €14bn (£10bn; $15.6bn) was wiped off VW's stock market value. Whoever knew/orchestrated the scheme thought they would get away with it, but did they really not foresee the consequences or even the likelihood of getting caught? We will long be studying the abnormal “fraud psychology" of this case.

4) Germany ranks among the top ten countries for low corruption according to Transparency International. Yet VW is not alone among German companies in making major headlines with massive ethics failures in recent years, joining Siemens, Bayer, Deutsche Bank, and many others. What does this mean for the future of Germany’s role as a force for anti-corruption at home and internationally?

5) Former VW CEO Winterkorn resigned but claimed he knew nothing about the scandal. What does this say about the structure and management culture of Germany’s largest companies? How widespread is “plausible deniability” in German business culture--and in all business culture everywhere? If so, what are the dangers of this going forward, and what should be done to address them?

Authors

Image Source: © Hannibal Hanschke / Reuters
      
 
 




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From Panama to London: Legal and illegal corruption require action at the UK anti-corruption summit


The leaked information in the Panama Papers from the law firm Mossack Fonseca has captured the headlines for weeks and will continue to do so as further names are exposed. The scandal has placed Panama in the limelight and provided an unprecedented glimpse into the world of hidden money and tax avoidance. To understand its broader context, it is vital that we distinguish between legal corruption, like that exposed by the Panama Papers, and illegal corruption, like that exposed by the Unaoil scandal. Governments must seize the moment to take decisive action against both.  

The U.S., the U.K., and a range of other countries will announce commitments to combat corruption at the Anti-Corruption Summit on May 12, championed by Prime Minister David Cameron as a game-changing event. The question is whether these commitments will deliver concrete actions that target the most costly kinds of corruption that flourish globally today.  

Unfortunately, the world often engages in “summitry” filled with communiques, calls for coordination and exchanging information, or creating another toothless generic initiative, which offer media and photo opportunities that fulfill particular political objectives for some leaders. Let us see if it’s different this time.

Beyond Panama

Mossack Fonseca, and its home country Panama, are just a couple nodes in the vast and complex set of “enablers” of corruption and tax evasion around the world.     

For those seeking secret shelters and corporate shells, the mighty U.S. (which unsurprisingly doesn’t feature much in the Panama Papers) is one of the world’s most appealing destinations: Setting up a shell corporation in Delaware, for instance, requires less background information than obtaining a driver’s license. As seen in the chart below, this opacity, coupled with the size of the U.S. as a haven, means that it has been ranked the third most secretive jurisdiction among close to 100 assessed by the Financial Secrecy Index. Panama is 13th.

Figure 1: Financial Secrecy Index 2015 (Select jurisdictions, from the Tax Justice Network)


Source: The Tax Justice Network’s Financial Secrecy Index http://www.financialsecrecyindex.com/introduction/fsi-2015-results

This graph depicts the top 40 worst performing jurisdictions as well as four select better performing jurisdictions (right of dashed line). The Index combines a qualitative secrecy score based on 15 indicators and a quantitative measure of a jurisdiction's share in global financial services exports. 


And the U.K. is an important enabler of corruption: It has stood by as its offshore jurisdictions and protectorates operate as safe havens for illicit wealth, which the Panama Papers make clear. The British Virgin Islands, for example, were the favored location for thousands of shell companies set up by Mossack Fonseca.  

Beyond tax shelters 

The Panama Papers speak only indirectly to core aspects of today’s global corruption challenge, which are neither about Panama nor taxes. We ought to view the resulting scandals in a broader light, and recognize the immense, complex webs of corruption that increasingly link economic and political elites around the globe.

Grand corruption

The most powerful figures who engage in high-level or “grand” corruption are hardly running scared following the Panama leak. These figures include kleptocrat leaders as well as oligarchs who wield enormous influence on government affairs. Often, these players interact and collude, forming high-powered public-private networks that make the traditional notion of corruption as an illegal transaction between two parties look like child’s play.

Corruption in these elite networks far transcends the unethical behavior of the typical tax avoider, as it involves the abuse of power to accumulate power and assets, often via the direct plunder of public resources, asset stripping, or large-scale bribery. The multi-billion-dollar scandal embroiling the Brazilian oil giant Petrobras illustrates the complexity of colluding networks, and how grand such corruption can inflict political and economic damage of historical proportions on a country. 

The oil sector provides many more illustrations of grand corruption. Few company officials may have been more relieved by the Panama Papers leak than those at Unaoil, whose own scandal had just erupted. Unaoil is an “enabler” company incorporated in Monaco that bribed and influenced government officials in various countries on behalf of multinational companies vying for lucrative procurement contracts. While overshadowed by the Panama leaks, the Unaoil case is at least as emblematic of the challenges in tackling global corruption. For instance, it shows the deeply ingrained practice of Iraqi government officials seeking bribes for the award of contracts and the willingness of companies to provide them.

Corrupt elites, including those embroiled in the Unaoil scandal, often use structures like shell corporations and tax havens (along with real estate and other investments) to hide their ill-gotten funds. However, even if the Panama Papers leak prompts more scrutiny on illicit financial flows and the reform of these opaque financial structures, grand corruption will continue in many locations.  It is noteworthy that the political fallout has been concentrated in relatively well-governed countries that do have accountability and anti-corruption systems in place, as illustrated by the resignations of the prime minister of Iceland, the industry minister of Spain, and the head of Chile’s Transparency International chapter

In sharp contrast, President Vladimir Putin brushed off the leaked Russian information as a Western anti-Putin conspiracy; in China, discussion and dissemination were muffled by media censorship; and, in Azerbaijan, exposure of details on President Aliyev’s family mining interests will hardly dent his hold on power. While reforms leading from the Panama leaks will hopefully deter tax dodgers and unethical corporations and individuals from hiding dirty assets, powerful corrupt leaders will continue to enjoy impunity.

Legal corruption and state capture   

The Panama Papers shed a sliver of light on the type of corruption that is perhaps most damaging and difficult to tackle: legal corruption and state capture. Around the world, powerful economic and political elites unduly influence laws and policies, shaping the rules of the game for their own benefit, or what has been called the “privatization of public policy and lawmaking.” This generates huge rents for the elite, increases their power, and exacerbates a country’s political and economic inequality.

Resource-rich countries provide many illustrations. In Angola, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Nigeria, and Venezuela, for example, political elites have used state-owned resource companies to serve patronage agendas, often—though not exclusively—through legal means.

In many industrialized countries, an example of state capture is the tax system itself. It is in the interest of elites to safeguard a worldwide network of secret offshore companies and tax havens as places to hide wealth—whether acquired legitimately or illicitly. The evidence on tax avoidance from the U.S. is telling: According to Zucman, since the 1950s the effective rate of corporate tax has decreased from 45 to 15 percent, whereas the nominal rate has only decreased from 50 to 35 percent. And U.S. companies make full use of foreign tax havens: According to a new Oxfam report, the top 50 American multinationals reported in 2008 that 43 percent of their foreign earnings came from five tax havens, accounting for only 4 percent of the companies’ foreign workforces. Further, Bourguignon reports that federal tax rates on the richest Americans fell by 15 percent between 1970 and 2004.

Risks of legal corruption in the U.S. run high because private money can so easily sway public affairs. Following the 2010 Citizen United ruling by the Supreme Court, private funds from deep pockets increasingly dominate the conduct of electoral campaigns. The avenues for private money to influence public officials may widen further, if forms of bribery traditionally considered illegal become legalized. A forthcoming Supreme Court decision could make it legal for public officials to receive gifts and other benefits from private individuals (potentially overturning the corruption conviction of a former Virginia governor for doing exactly that).  

What should be done?     

Upfront, there are no easy solutions, especially because powerful decision-makers benefit from this status quo. But there is the opportunity, and public pressure, to reform.  As mentioned, the cause of tackling corruption often attracts token gestures, and David Cameron’s announcement of a new global anti-corruption agency could be at high risk of falling into this category. Rather, countries like the U.S. and U.K. must take firm action to reform their own practices, and push for the same from their partners such as the U.K. crown dependencies and overseas territories, the European Union and G20 members, and the recipients of overseas aid.

First, take legal corruption and state capture seriously. 

Transparency can be one game changer, especially if it addresses the channels of influence through which policy becomes “privatized.” Disclosures of campaign finance contributions, conflicts of interests, assets held by (and tax returns filed by) politicians and public officials, and parliamentary deliberations and votes can all discourage abuse and reveal hidden networks at play. Encouragingly, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) recently issued their first salvo, the report “Financing Democracy,” focusing on a few selected case studies, and as a next step it should be empowered to develop standards and carry out assessments on political finance for all OECD countries.

Transparency will only help if citizens can actively scrutinize and engage with their governments. Civic space is under attack in many jurisdictions, with activists and journalists facing intimidation, prosecution, or worse. Securing rights of expression and assembly should be the business of any international actor concerned with anti-corruption or economic governance. For instance, when considering funding requests from governments with weak records on protecting civil society—like Angola and Azerbaijan—the World Bank and International Monetary Fund as well as donors like the U.S. should prioritize civic accountability as well as broader transparency reforms.

Furthermore, grand corruption will not decline without more effective prosecutions and other sanctions that target bribe-takers, as well as the facilitators and middlemen of corruption, be they lawyers, accountants, or fixers like Unaoil. Of course, law enforcement authorities should also remain vigilant against bribe-paying companies; and governments—including OECD members implementing to varying degrees the OECD foreign bribery convention—would do well to emulate the active enforcement of the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) in this regard. But bribe-takers and facilitators have not faced sufficient scrutiny and sanction.

Second, get rid of shadowy corners.

Lessons yielded by recent events from the 2008 financial crisis to the Panama Papers suggest that major global players should not allow large corners of the global economy to escape scrutiny. The U.S. and the U.K. (with its offshores), should heed the calls for dismantling secrecy and tax havens. Seeds of effort, such as the U.S. government’s decision to require banks to know the identities of the individuals behind shell companies, are now coming to light, but broader efforts, including legislation, will also be required.  

Beneficial ownership transparency should become standard operating procedure, with governments following the example of the U.K., the Netherlands, and others in setting up public registries, and joining the movement toward a global registry. In the case of resource-rich countries, establishing sector-specific registries may be the right place to start. This practice is now mandated by the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative.

Within the extractive sector, home country governments should subject commodity traders to payment disclosure requirements when doing business with governments and state-owned companies. Governments of countries like Switzerland, the U.K., and Singapore that are home to corporate actors shoulder significant responsibility, especially in the current era of low commodity prices, when traders are entering into profitable new deals with cash-strapped resource-producing countries. Shining light in dark corners like these will render them less susceptible to abuse.

Third, prioritize transparency and scrutiny when public resources are allocated.

Whenever a government allocates resources for exploitation, it ought to do so in a fully transparent fashion. The Open Contracting Partnership has made great strides in defining a gold standard for such reporting, including guidance on issues such as open data, corporate identifiers, and beneficial ownership reporting.

Natural Resource Governance Institute research on oil and mining sector corruption shows that multiple types of high-value allocations require scrutiny and contract disclosure. These include the allocation of exploration and production licenses, but also on export, import, or transport rights, which have been associated with corruption in countries such as Indonesia, the Republic of Congo, and Ukraine. And most of the oil sector cases prosecuted under the U.S. FCPA have arisen around the award of service contracts, a segment of the oil industry where the Unaoil and Petrobras scandals also took place. Transparency should be the default setting for any transactions that allocate public resources. Further scrutiny is also needed on the abuse of (mis-)managed exchange rate regimes that generates rents for the few and creates major economic distortions, such as currently in Nigeria, Venezuela, and Egypt.

Concrete impact will also require a major attack on impunity since transparency and freedom of expression are necessary, but insufficient. And governments including those of the U.S. and the U.K. should adopt reforms to address legal corruption and various forms of opacity—whether addressing the capture by money in politics or the “dark corners” among oil traders headquartered in Geneva and London. 

An ambitious commitment to tackling corruption and impunity is not only needed now, but demanded by societies, as events in Brazil and elsewhere show. This is a potentially “game-changing” global moment to make real progress.  

This piece is also available in Spanish and French

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Impact governance and management: Fulfilling the promise of capitalism to achieve a shared and durable prosperity


Capitalism has provided unprecedented wealth and prosperity around the world, but a growing community is raising concerns about whether the promise of the capitalist system to achieve a more shared and durable prosperity can be achieved without systemic changes in the way for-profit corporations are governed and managed. The change in public opinion has become evident among workers, consumers, and investors, as well as through new policies enacted by elected officials of both parties: more than ever before, the public supports businesses that demonstrate positive social change and sustainable development. These new attitudes have begun to take root in corporations themselves, with a growing community of investors, business leaders, and entrepreneurs expressing a fiduciary duty to create value not only for shareholders but for society. However, businesses and investors seeking to harness these opportunities face significant institutional and normative barriers to achieving their goals.

In a new paper, the co-founders of non-profit B Lab, Andrew Kassoy, Bart Houlahan, and Jay Coen Gilbert, write about this overarching culture shift, the importance of and impediments to effective impact governance and impact management to make this shift meaningful and lasting, and how a rapidly growing community of responsible businesses has overcome these barriers, is maximizing its social impact, and is creating pathways for others to follow. The impact and growth of the B Corp movement will be maximized not only through increased adoption by business leaders, but also through the unique roles played by research institutions, the media, policy-makers, investors, and the general public. With enough support, this movement may soon transform shareholder capitalism into stakeholder capitalism, in which businesses can more easily live up to their potential to create a more shared and durable prosperity for all. 


This paper is published as part of the Center for Effective Public Management’s Initiative on 21st Century Capitalism. It is one of more than a dozen papers written by academics and practitioners about the changing role of the corporation and the importance of improving corporate governance. The authors of this paper are the co-founders of B Lab, a nonprofit organization that oversees the certification of B Corporations, and a major subject of this paper. The perspectives put forth in this paper are solely those of the authors, based on their professional expertise in this area.

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Authors

  • Andrew Kassoy
  • Bart Houlahan
  • Jay Coen Gilbert
      
 
 




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Dynamic Stalemate: Surveying Syria's Military Landscape


The Syrian uprising has changed significantly since the first signs of localized armed resistance began emerging in late April 2011. Western states and regional countries opposed to President Assad’s rule failed to manage the formation of an organized and representative political and military opposition body over the past three years. Instead, fragmentation of first the opposition, and then the conflict as a whole, has come to pose numerous serious threats to regional and international security and stability.

In a new Policy Briefing by the Brookings Doha Center, Charles Lister analyzes the Western-backed opposition, the spreading influence of jihadi militants, and the evolving capabilities of pro-government forces. With a definitive military victory seemingly out of reach for all sides of the conflict, Lister argues these parties will remain at a standoff until a political solution is reached. However, as armed groups multiply on either side, even an agreement between government and opposition will be unlikely to end the violence.

Lister concludes that Western and regional countries should focus on two core policy objectives. First: the international community should bolster a cohesive opposition that can challenge the Assad regime in battle as well as in negotiations. Second: the international community should aid Syria’s neighbors in managing the violent spillover of the conflict, particularly curtailing the potential for Syria-based jihadi groups to expand their operations beyond the country.

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Publication: Brookings Doha Center
Image Source: © Stringer . / Reuters
     
 
 




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Qatari Mediation: Between Ambition and Achievement


From 2006 to 2011, Qatar was highly active as a conflict mediator within the greater Middle East, seeking political consensus in Lebanon as well as securing a key peace agreement regarding the Darfur conflict. What were the drivers of Qatari mediation during this time, and how successful were Qatari negotiators in their efforts? How has Qatar’s foreign policy during the Arab Spring affected its ability to act as a mediator? How might Qatar expand its mediation capacity in the future?

In an Analysis Paper, Sultan Barakat weighs the prospects for renewed Qatari mediation efforts in a changing regional landscape. He holds that Qatar’s turn towards a more interventionist foreign policy during the Arab Spring shifted the country’s focus away from mediation, while backlash against the country’s positions has limited its ability to engage with the region’s conflicts.

Drawing on interviews with government officials, Barakat concludes that Qatar’s efforts were much aided by financial resources and wide-ranging political ties which helped drive initial mediation efforts, yet were hampered by a lack of institutional capacity to support and monitor such mediation.

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Authors

Publication: The Brookings Doha Center
Image Source: © Mohamad Dabbouss / Reuters
     
 
 




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Embracing interdependence: the dynamics of China and the Middle East


In 2013, China surpassed the European Union to become the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region’s largest trading partner, and Chinese oil imports from the region rival those of the United States. Do China’s growing interests in the Middle East imply a greater commitment to the region’s security? How can China and regional governments reinforce these ties through greater diplomatic engagement?

In a new Policy Briefing, Chaoling Feng addresses the key choices facing Chinese and Middle East policymakers. She finds that China’s continued reliance on a framework of “non-intervention” is being challenged by the region’s divisive conflicts. Indeed, China’s economic interests face mounting risks when even maintaining “neutrality” can be perceived as taking a side. Furthermore, China’s case-by-case, bilateral engagement with MENA countries has hindered efforts to develop a broader diplomatic approach to the region.

Read "Embracing Interdependence: The Dynamics of China and the Middle East"

Feng argues that China and particularly the GCC states must work to further institutionalize their growing economic interdependence. China, drawing on its experiences in Africa and Latin America, should take a more holistic approach to engagement with the MENA region, while enhancing Chinese institutions for energy trading. GCC countries, for their part, should aim to facilitate bilateral investments in energy production and support China’s plans for Central and West Asian infrastructure development projects.

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Authors

  • Chaoling Feng
Publication: The Brookings Doha Center
Image Source: © POOL New / Reuters
      
 
 




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The responsibility to protect and rebuild higher education in the Arab World


Over the past few years, higher education has been a frequent casualty of the violent conflicts sweeping the Middle East. Campuses have been bombed in Syria, Gaza and now Yemen; occupied or closed in Libya and Iraq; and been the subject of severe police crackdowns across the region. What institutional measures can both regional entities and international bodies take to protect institutions of higher learning in the Arab world? Beyond this, how can strategies of protection be incorporated into programs of reconstruction and development for this much-maligned sector?

Read "Houses of wisdom matter: The responsibility to protect and rebuild higher education in the Arab world"

Sultan Barakat and Sansom Milton, in a new Brookings Doha Center Policy Briefing, contend that higher education is often an unrecognized casualty of these conflicts, with priority given to more pressing humanitarian needs. They assert that the protection and rebuilding of such institutions across the Middle East forms a crucial response to present concerns, helping to shelter and develop strategically vital youth populations. Crucially, they hold that an action plan for higher education in the Arab world cannot end at rebuilding shattered classrooms or rescuing individual scholars.

Ultimately, Barakat and Milton argue for a regional approach to defending and advancing higher education, as a key tool to combat violent extremism, address economic challenges, and encourage social stability. A strategy of “building back better” would allow higher education to serve as an engine for regional revitalization, living up to the historical example set by the region’s centuries-old institutions of higher learning.

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Publication: Brookings Doha Center
Image Source: © Ibraheem Abu Mustafa / Reuter
      
 
 




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Arab Spring 2.0? The shifting sands threatening MENA politics

The Brookings Doha Center (BDC) in partnership with Al Jazeera Center for Studies hosted a panel discussion on June 18th, 2019 on recent uprising developments in the MENA region, comparing and contrasting them with the beginnings of the 2011 Arab Spring. The panelists focused on the popular movements in Algeria and Sudan, assessing their potential…

       




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In 6 charts, see what Americans really think about US policy toward Syria, Iran, and Afghanistan

The following is based on new findings from two consecutive  University of Maryland Critical Issues Polls, conducted September 3-20, and October 4-10. The full results can be found here, and the methodology and questionnaire here. 1From the day President Trump announced his decision to withdraw troops from northern Syria, which we started measuring on October…

       




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The US and the Middle East: What Americans think

The debate over U.S. withdrawal from Syria and the “endless wars” of the Middle East today splits American policymakers and the public, transecting party lines. Eighteen years after the events of September 2001, American sentiment on events in the Middle East has shifted significantly. On October 22, Shibley Telhami, nonresident senior fellow at Brookings and the Anwar…

       




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Around the halls: Experts discuss the recent US airstrikes in Iraq and the fallout

U.S. airstrikes in Iraq on December 29 — in response to the killing of an American contractor two days prior — killed two dozen members of the Iranian-backed militia Kata'ib Hezbollah. In the days since, thousands of pro-Iranian demonstrators gathered outside the U.S. embassy in Baghdad, with some forcing their way into the embassy compound…

       




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Around the halls: Experts react to the killing of Iranian commander Qassem Soleimani

In a drone strike authorized by President Trump early Friday, Iranian commander Maj. Gen. Qassem Soleimani, who led the Quds Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, was killed at Baghdad International Airport. Below, Brookings experts provide their brief analyses on this watershed moment for the Middle East — including what it means for U.S.-Iran…

       




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Trump’s Middle East plan: What does America stand for?

As the Trump administration finally released its long-touted Middle East plan, it orchestrated selective briefings to minimize early criticism and to set a tone of acceptance — including limited, controlled briefings of diplomats and congressional leaders. The result initially muted opposition, allowing administration officials to claim widespread support, and paint the Palestinians as isolated in…

       




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Playful Learning Landscapes: At the intersection of education and placemaking

Playful Learning Landscapes lies at the intersection of developmental science and transformative placemaking to help urban leaders and practitioners advance and scale evidence-based approaches to create vibrant public spaces that promote learning and generate a sense of community ownership and pride. On Wednesday, February 26, the Center for Universal Education and the Bass Center for…

       




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COVID-19 and school closures: What can countries learn from past emergencies?

As the COVID-19 pandemic spreads around the world, and across every state in the U.S., school systems are shutting their doors. To date, the education community has largely focused on the different strategies to continue schooling, including lively discussions on the role of education technology versus distribution of printed paper packets. But there has been…

       




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Top 10 risks and opportunities for education in the face of COVID-19

March 2020 will forever be known in the education community as the month when almost all the world’s schools shut their doors. On March 1, six governments instituted nationwide school closures due to the deadly coronavirus pandemic, and by the end of the month, 185 countries had closed, affecting 90 percent of the world’s students.…

       




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5 traps that will kill online learning (and strategies to avoid them)

For perhaps the first time in recent memory, parents and teachers may be actively encouraging their children to spend more time on their electronic devices. Online learning has moved to the front stage as 90 percent of high-income countries are using it as the primary means of educational continuity amid the COVID-19 pandemic. If March will forever…

       




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Obama, Buhari, and African policy dilemmas

President Barack Obama advocated democratic governance as the key to African progress in his historic address to the Ghanaian parliament on July 11, 2009. Six years later, other policy priorities—especially growth and security—compete with the promotion of democracy. This is a good time for the U.S. to reframe its priorities in Africa: On July 20…

      
 
 




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Dilemmas of democracy and state power in Africa

Editor's note: This piece was originally published in Spanish in a series of essays for the January/March 2016 issue of La Vanguardia. A quarter-century after sub-Saharan Africa experienced an upsurge of democracy, a different and more complicated political era has dawned. The expansion of liberal democracy has slowed in the continent just as it has…

      
 
 




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Crime, jihad, and dysfunction in Nigeria: Has Buhari an answer?

      
 
 




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The United States and Nigeria’s struggling democracy

      
 
 




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Improving All Types of Saving With the UK's Expanded Retirement Savings Platform

Editor's Note: this article originally appeared in the 2012 Print Version of AARP: The Journal.

Using one platform to offer a variety of services

Known in the UK under the term “corporate platform” to indicate that it expands options available on the employer’s benefit platform, the development allows employees to use the employer’s retirement savings mechanism to save and invest for additional nonretirement purposes. When the corporate platform is fully implemented, employees will be able to man­age almost all of their investments and savings plans from one location, thus giving them a con­solidated view of their entire financial status. If carried to its full potential, the expanded saving platform will allow employees to shop for sav­ings products, among options that are available on the platform, instead of having to seek them out from individual suppliers—a search that often takes up work hours. Of even greater value, it gives employees one source to go to for indi­vidualized advice or financial literacy training.

The enhancement has special significance in the UK, where by fall 2012, the larger employers that don’t offer any other type of pension or retirement savings plan, must begin to automatically enroll their employees into basic retirement savings accounts. This requirement is causing a great deal of discussion about the future role of employer-provided benefits, as well as recon­sideration of the fees and services included in a traditional package. The platform enhancements allow an employer to differentiate its employee benefit package from the required basic account structure. It also gives younger employees a benefit of more immediate value, than they would have from a retirement savings account that they won’t access for a good 40 years.

Presentations from a variety of service providers at an October 2011 summit hosted by Pensions Insight, a UK trade journal, showed that the platform can be easily customized to meet the special needs of a specific workforce. Using a single computer interface, employees can select from a wide variety of savings and investment options that are appropriate for their income level and stage of life. Thus, an upper income manager who manages his or her own finances could see more sophisticated products, while an entry-level worker sees more basic sav­ings products. Live presentations by financial professionals who explain what is available on the computer platform add to the system’s value and increase its use.

A place to provide choice and to build financial literacy

The platform will have special value for moderate- and lower-income employees. While higher salaried employees may appreciate the opportunity to build their investments, the real value of the platform will be to enable moder­ate- and lower-income workers to find savings opportunities that they might otherwise miss because they don’t know where to go, are uncertain about what is a fair price, or for a variety of other reasons. Because employees tend to believe that services included on the corporate platform are implicitly endorsed by the employer, they usually have greater faith that the services are from legitimate providers at a fair price.

Employees at all levels can also use the site to receive guidance on individual products or basic financial literacy training. Individuals can choose from a range of options, from short videos on a specific topic by experts or fellow employees, to longer connected courses designed to meet the needs of specific age or income groups. Use is increased when employ­ees receive emails or text messages geared to birthdays or other life events, or generated after the employee visits a specific part of the website.

Understanding the value of peer evaluations to motivate others, some providers include a place where employees can post feedback about spe­cific products or savings choices. These postings help to guide other employees’ decisions and build the reputation of the platform as a source of unbiased information. The site can also include links to outside advisors who can answer specific questions, guide employees to another site for more information, or perform other services either online or over the telephone.

Differing age groups can be contacted and guided through different technologies. At the UK platform summit, David Harris, of Tor Financial Consulting, showed that younger employees preferred different communication methods than either older workers or the usual way employers provide information. However, the platform is able to use a wide variety of methods and is equally effective no matter which is used.

The platform’s value to international policy makers

Although the UK’s platform is intended as an enhancement to employer-provided benefits, it can also be used for a wide variety of policy goals, as the basic structure can be easily adapted to meet almost any nation’s specific tax and savings system. In the United States alone, policy experts have proposed dedicated savings accounts for nonretirement purposes ranging from unemployment benefits and retraining, home purchases, health care, and long-term health care coverage, to repaying student loans or building college balances for children or grandchildren. However, if all of these various accounts were established and funded, it is doubtful the employee would have any money left for food, clothing, and shelter.

Rather than having a host of specific savings programs, employees may be better served by more flexible accounts usable for a variety of purposes, as outside developments or chang­ing needs dictate. The platform concept would allow individuals to choose which purposes they need to save for and how much to save for each. Combined with targeted guidance or education, this structure could expose individuals to pos­sibilities they might not have considered before.

The structure is ideally suited to employment situations, but it could also be used by the self-employed or by consultants at sites aimed specifically at them and sponsored by trade associations, unions, or even government agen­cies. While their circumstances may preclude payroll deductions, the same products could be offered through direct debits to bank accounts.

The added value of nudge

The flexibility of the platform allows it to be used by employees with all levels of financial sophistication, but new participants would benefit from a variation on automatic enroll­ment that places certain amounts, in addition to the retirement savings amount, into a general savings account or similar vehicle. The automatic savings amounts deducted need not be large, and where the law allows, could vary according to employee age, with a larger proportion of the overall deduction going to nonretirement purpose for younger employees and to retirement for older ones.

As with automatic retirement enrollment, the employee would have the ability to vary amounts, divide the total among various accounts, and even stop all future contributions. However, automatic enrollment would offer workers direct experience with the nonretire­ment side of the platform. By varying enrollment in various accounts according to employees’ age, automatic enrollment could encourage them to consider saving for various purposes, such as a first home, college tuition for children, or additional health services.

Improving retirement security

Although the platform is applicable to a wide variety of other uses, its primary purpose is to build retirement security. Before retirement, the platform helps employees understand how to save, what they have, and how much more they need for a comfortable lifestyle. The other savings provide funds that can be used in the event of an emergency, thus helping to reduce leakage from retirement accounts in countries that allow early access to that money. At retire­ment, the platform helps individuals to see what other assets are available, and what loans or other liabilities must be factored in. In the UK, it is also being used to encourage individuals to use annuities and add them to their invest­ments. The UK experience can help to guide US policymakers in their efforts to increase the use of similar products.

The enhanced information and flexibility of the corporate platform should help individuals to better understand their finances and how to meet their goals. It moves retirement savings plans from a minor part of employees’ financial lives, to a central feature that has many more uses than just an event many years in the future. This promotes regular use of the platform, and a fuller understanding of what is necessary for a comfortable retirement.

Authors

Publication: AARP: The Journal
     
 
 




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Retirement Savings in Australia, Asia and Beyond: What are the Lessons for the United States?


Event Information

September 17, 2013
1:30 PM - 4:00 PM EDT

Saul and Zilkha Rooms
The Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Ave., NW
Washington, DC

Register for the Event

Australia's mandatory Superannuation Guarantee requires its citizens to save at least 9 percent of their income towards retirement. In many Asian nations, economic growth has spurred reexamination of pension systems to meet the needs of rapidly evolving societies. Would a mandatory savings plan be more effective than the current U.S. voluntary system? How have Asian nations have restructured their pension systems to deal with legacy costs? And what can Americans learn from the way Australia uses both employer and employee representatives to shape investment choices?

On September 17, the Retirement Security Project at Brookings and the AARP Public Policy Institute hosted a discussion of what the United States might learn from retirement savings systems in Australia and Asia. Opening speakers included Nick Sherry, who helped shape the Australian system as a cabinet minister and ran a Superannuation fund in the private sector, and Josef Pilger, an advisor on pension reform to both the Malaysian and Hong Kong governments and many industry providers. Steve Utkus, David Harris and Benjamin Harris, retirement experts from both the United States and the United Kingdom, considered how reforms in Australia and Asia can shape the American debate and whether this country should adopt key features from those foreign systems.

 

Audio

Transcript

Event Materials

     
 
 




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The KiwiSaver Program: Lessons Learned from New Zealand

Event Information

July 8, 2014
12:00 PM - 2:00 PM EDT

AARP Headquarters
601 E Street NW
Washington, DC 20049

Register for the Event

Seven years ago, New Zealand recognized that if its people did not have sufficient assets as they aged, they would either face economic stress in retirement or place pressure on the government for costly additional benefits, and thus the KiwiSaver program was born. Designed to help citizens build retirement security, it guides individuals with limited financial experience while also giving them complete control of their finances. Benefits of this national automatic enrollment retirement savings plan include a $1,000 kick-start, employer contributions, and an annual tax credit. New Zealand Since its inception in July 2007, KiwiSaver has been deemed a great success, with over half of the eligible population as members, and over 70 percent of 18-24 year olds participating. Although membership continues to grow, it is at a slower rate than that seen in previous years.

Could the success of KiwiSaver mean that a similar program – at either the national or state level – might work here? On July 8th, Diana Crossan, former Retirement Commissioner for New Zealand, will offer her insights into the KiwiSaver program and its impact on New Zealand saving, retirement security, and financial literacy. Ben Harris and David John, deputy directors of the Retirement Security Project at Brookings, will reflect on the role such a program might play in the U.S.

Email international@aarp.org to RSVP » 

     
 
 




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1,000,000 of Our Neighbors at Risk: Improving Retirement Security for Marylanders

Increasingly, many Marylanders are unprepared for retirement.

The US has the broadest range of retirement savings options in the world. There are thousands of retirement products offered. But most Marylanders don’t use them.

The need is growing. The Baby Boomers are the largest generation in history. They will live longer in retirement than any generation in history.

But – financially – many are not prepared. Many have virtually no retirement savings: more than a third those within ten years of retirement age have saved less than $10,000. $10,000 invested and spent over the average person’s retirement works out to about $1,000 of income per year. Even with Social Security, that’s not much to live on.

Fears about retirement are the #1 economic concern. Many Marylanders know they’re unprepared – and they’re worried about it. Concerns about retirement security are now more broadly based than the cost of health care, fear of job loss or other economic concerns – and have been for over a decade.3 Those concerns have grown since the financial crisis, even though the stock market has recovered. Many know they’ll have to defer retirement—and many fear they will never be able to afford to retire at all.

The key to retirement saving is having a retirement plan and contributing to it every paycheck. But many businesses, including most smaller businesses, don’t offer retirement plans. As a result 1,000,000 Marylanders working in private businesses across the State don’t have a retirement plan. There are, of course, individual retirement accounts (IRAs) -- but almost no one uses them who didn’t get access through an employer-based plan via payroll deduction.

Having a plan is essential, but not a panacea. Even when plans are available, many employees don’t join. Many who do contribute and save less than they need to meet their own goals. Even with plans, many will need to save more.

The challenge continues at retirement, because most of these plans are paid out in a single lump sum payment—few plans offer reliable retirement income for life that traditional pensions do. Since most retirees do not consult financial advisors and are not financial experts themselves, some who live longer than average or are unlucky in their investments will find that they haven’t saved enough and will exhaust their savings.

They will, of course, have Social Security. That’s why it’s so important that Social Security be both preserved and strengthened. But the average monthly benefit in Maryland is about $1,300 and for most people Social Security covers only a fraction of their basic needs in retirement. Most Marylanders will need additional income from retirement savings – and the State of Maryland can help them get it.

Other states and other governments are making it easier for people to save and for private employers to help them do it. Maryland should, too. Acting now will save Maryland taxpayers millions in the future.

California, Massachusetts, and Illinois have already enacted legislation. Illinois created a new program that requires employers who have no retirement plan to automatically enroll their employees in a state-created program. Massachusetts authorized a program for uncovered employees of non-profits. California created a board to plan and propose program similar to that in Illinois. Similar legislation is being or has been introduced in some fifteen other states – states all across the country with varying political orientations, populations, and economic bases.

Although there are many variations under consideration, these programs generally provide for an automatic payroll deduction of a set amount unless the employee opts out. Funds are to be invested professionally and may be pooled to achieve higher returns and lower costs. Those who cannot or do not want to make complex financial decisions are not required to do so – their contributions are placed automatically into a reliable fund or set of funds.

In order to ensure that employers – many of whom are small businesses – can participate in a program, it must be designed to help them avoid significant disruption, expense or administrative burden. This can be accomplished by enabling employers to use current payroll processes to help their employees to build retirement security, without requiring employers to make contributions themselves.

If Maryland doesn’t act now, Maryland taxpayers will face higher costs for decades to come.

These plans are designed to be self-sustaining: their operating costs are paid for by plan contributions and the State would not assume any obligations. In practice, however, these plans will end up saving taxpayer funds: If Maryland doesn’t act now, Maryland taxpayers will face higher costs for decades to come, as retirees are forced to turn to State assistance instead of living on their own savings.

There are many ways to improve retirement security. The key is for businesses to help their employees save, without becoming overburdened themselves.

Task Force is not recommending any one approach, but strongly recommends that Maryland join other states, by developing and implementing a plan that helps Marylanders have more secure retirements.We recommend development of a specific state-based program that meets Maryland’s needs from the options discussed in our report.

We Can Do Better: Principles for Improving Marylanders’ Retirement

In developing that program, we recommend the following principles as guidelines:

Make it easier for all Marylanders to save for retirement.

  • Access: Every Marylander should have access to an automatic payroll deduction retirement savings plan through their employer. People who are self-employed or unemployed should be able to make contributions at the same time that they pay their State taxes.
  • Simplicity: People should have access to simple, low cost retirement savings plans that make enrollment automatic (auto-enrollment), that don’t require complex investment and savings decisions by providing low-cost automatic (default) options, and that enable savers to grow their saving rate over time through auto-escalation.
  • Portability: They must be able to keep their retirement savings plan when they change jobs. Individuals should never be forced out of a plan because they change or lose their jobs. Workers should have the choice of keeping their existing retirement savings in the plan when they move to another employer or consolidating their retirement savings by moving it to another retirement plan.
  • Choice: Of course, they should have the ability to change the amount that they save, change their investments, move to another plan, or stop saving entirely.

Make it easier for private employers to help their employees save.

  • Since most of the companies who do not offer a retirement plan are smaller businesses, it’s essential that they aren’t forced to take on significant additional financial, administrative or regulatory burdens.
  • Employers should be able to use their current payroll processes to quickly and easily forward employee contributions to a savings plan without assuming significant additional legal or fiduciary responsibilities or taking on significant additional cost.
  • Employer contributions should not be required, but should be permitted if allowed by federal law.
  • Consumer protection, disclosure, and other protections are essential, but these and other regulatory responsibilities should be undertaken by the program itself and not imposed on businesses.

Make it easier for Marylanders to get reliable retirement income for life.

When people retire, they no longer have a paycheck that provides reliable monthly income. They should be able to have a reliable monthly income stream from their retirement savings, too. Retirees should not have to worry about how much their retirement income might be or how long their pension will last if, like half of Americans, they live longer than average.

Investments should be low cost, provide good value, and be professionally managed.

Any program should be self-sustaining. Maryland should help Marylanders save for retirement without risking the State’s credit. It should cover its own operating costs without relying on taxpayer funding or risking the State’s credit by creating contingent liabilities.

Downloads

Publication: The Maryland Governor’s Task Force to Ensure Retirement Security for All Marylanders
      
 
 




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Model notices and plan sponsor education on lifetime plan participation


I appreciate this opportunity to share my thoughts about ways that retirement plans can provide clear, concise and objective information to participants that enables them to make appropriate decisions.  However, I would go beyond that to provide information that also motivates employees towards actions that will prove to be in their long-term best interest.

General Thoughts about Participant Communications

The shift from traditional pensions to the current defined contribution system places most of the responsibility for making decisions on the participant.  Automatic enrollment and similar features assist them by combining several formerly potentially complex decisions about whether to participate, how much to save and what investment vehicle to use into one question that the employee can effectively answer by doing nothing.  While the result may not be optimal in all situations, it is certainly better for the saver than not saving at all or waiting until he or she has all of the answers – a day that for many may never come.  For these reasons, automatic enrollment and escalation are extremely popular with both those who accept the automatic choices and those who opt out.

Unfortunately, at this time, automatic mechanisms are not available for every decision that an employee might need to make between starting to save and retirement.  Over time, additional mechanisms that are in development will further simplify these plans, but they are not available yet.  Today’s automatic mechanisms also do not necessarily affect the attitudes that participants may have about their saving balances and how they might be used.  To assist in these areas, effective participant communication is needed.

In order to be effective, communications and notices to employees must have a consistent message that regularly appears throughout an employee’s career.  No single notice, no matter how effectively worded or how timely it is provided, will be as effective as a regular series of messages.  And in order to be effective, notices and statements need to be geared to the needs of the participant rather than to provide legal cover to the plan sponsor for any unanticipated situation.  This requires that they be short, clear, simple and to the point. 

This need for regular communication as opposed to a single notice or series of notices is especially true for withdrawal options.  Whether the participant is leaving the employer or retiring, they need to have key information well in advance of when it is needed.  Otherwise, the saver may be influenced by others who are not acting in their best interests or make a decision based on advice from well-meaning, but poorly informed family friends.

An effective participant education plan for lifetime plan participation and effective withdrawal options should have at least three separate parts, which are detailed below.  These include effective information contained in the quarterly statement; notices at the time an employee leaves the plan due to a job change, and a pre-retirement education campaign. 

While all three must have consistent messages, they should also be tailored for specific circumstances.  What follows is a general discussion, as effective model forms require field-testing in focus groups and similar settings.  Unfortunately, forms developed by financial professionals with a deep understanding of key issues often gloss over important background information or have technical wording that confuses non-professionals. 

Another problem with many individual statements and notices is that they contain too much information.  The professionals who developed them recognize the limitations of projection models and seek to compensate by providing a range of results using differing assumptions.  Unfortunately, this either further confuses the reader or appears as a dense block of type that is usually completely skipped.  It is far better to provide a simple illustration with clear warnings of its limitations than to flood the employee with complex information that will be ignored.

Improved Statements with Income Illustrations and Social Security Information

The most important participant education tool is the quarterly statement they receive.  Properly structured, these statements can set the stage for more specific notices before an employee leaves the employer due to either a new job or retirement.  Today’s statements are often too long and inadvertently cause the employee to focus on account balances rather than seeing the retirement plan as a source of future income.  In many cases, they also fail to note that income from the plan should be added to Social Security for a better estimate of total retirement income.  Two major innovations would be to add both income illustrations and to combine 401k statements with the existing Social Security statement.

Income illustrations: Most of today’s quarterly statements focus almost exclusively on the amount that an individual has saved and how much he or she has gained or lost in the previous quarter.  This focus damages the ability of a participant to see the plan as anything other than a savings account.  Faced with a lump sum of retirement savings that may be a much higher amount than an individual has ever had and little or no practical experience about how to translate that amount into an income stream, it would be very easy for a worker to assume that he or she is much better prepared for retirement than is actually the case.  An income illustration would help savers to make earlier and better decisions about how much they may need to save and how best to manage their retirement assets.

The illustrations should also encourage participation both by including both current and projected balances and by showing the additional income that could be expected if the saver slightly increased his or her contributions. 

Including income illustrations for both current and projected retirement savings balances would have a greater incentive effect than just including current balances.  For younger employees, the very small amount of income that would be produced from their current retirement savings balances may discourage them from further savings and thus have the opposite effect of what is in their long-term best interest and the objective of this disclosure.  Including an income illustration for projected balances that assumes continued participation provides a clearer picture of the extent to which the amount that the individual is saving will meet his or her retirement income needs.

Studies show that an illustration of the additional income that can be derived from a higher level of saving is likely to stimulate the participant to increase his or her savings rate.  Plan sponsors should be encouraged to also include balance projections and income illustrations that show how much retirement income an individual would have if they modestly increased the proportion of their income that they contributed to their retirement savings plan.  For instance, in addition to the income illustrations based on their current balances and projected balances assuming their current savings rate, there might be an illustration based on saving an additional one percent of income and another three percent of income. 

Combining Social Security Statements with Quarterly Statements: As a further way of moving the focus of quarterly statements away from lump sums and investment returns and towards retirement income, an accurate estimate of projected Social Security benefits could be added to at least one annual quarterly statement containing an income illustration.  Some 401(k) providers already simulate Social Security benefits and provide this information to account owners, but these providers lack the income and work history data to make a truly accurate projection.  Collaboration between SSA and 401(k) plan administrators could result in adding information from the once annual Social Security statement to at least one 401(k) quarterly report each year.

Two sets of concerns about using Social Security information would need to be addressed: concerns about privacy and concerns about accuracy. Previous discussions of similar proposals failed because of privacy concerns, as many individuals do not want employers to have access to their Social Security information. Account holders’ privacy is a concern for 401(k) providers too, and providers go to great lengths to protect the confidential data in the quarterly statements. To assuage concerns about the data from SSA, Social Security data could be provided directly to 401(k) administrators rather than employers and included on an annual 401(k) statement only if the administrators meet certain SSA-developed privacy standards. Individuals could have control over this decision through the ability to opt in to the service or to opt out, if the service were automatic. This should preserve individual choice and satisfy persons especially concerned about privacy.

To ensure accuracy and consistency, income illustrations of balances in the 401(k) and SSA projections would need to be produced using compatible methodologies that allow the projected monthly income estimates to be combined for a complete picture of estimated retirement income. This is not a terribly difficult problem.  This reform will give people important information about how to plan their futures. They desperately need this information, and providing it should be fairly simple and cost-effective.

Using an Enhanced Statement as a Base for Additional Guidance and Education

An enhanced quarterly statement with a consistent message that retirement plan participation is intended as retirement income will set the stage for more effective education when the participant leaves the employer.  The current statement format that focuses on aggregate savings amount and the performance of investments sends the message that the balances could be used for other purposes.  This encourage leakage when employees change jobs and may leave the impression that the savers has sufficient resources to use part or all of that money for other purposes.

While the information on investment returns is important and should remain on the statement, it should be de-emphasized, with the focus moving to retirement income that it can provide.  As an aside, let me be clear that I do not favor eliminating the ability to withdraw savings before retirement in the event of an emergency.  For one thing, doing so would reduce participation, and could hurt vulnerable populations that have no other major source of savings.  However, the purpose of the quarterly statement should be to inform savers of their future retirement income, and its orientation should be towards that goal.

Encouraging Participants to Preserve Savings When They Move to a New Job

Several studies show that the biggest source of leakage occurs when employees change jobs.  Part of the reason for this loss of savings may be the way that employers handle the discussion about retirement assets upon separation.  A discussion that is centered on the open question of what should we do with your money may encourage savers to simply ask for their money as a lump sum.  This is especially true if the participant is not informed of the tax consequences of an early withdrawal and the potential effect on future retirement income.

On the other hand, if the participant has received a consistent message that the account is for retirement income, and is informed of the potential consequences of withdrawing the money, they would be less likely to take the funds and more likely to leave the money in the current employer’s plan or to roll it into a plan offered by the new employer or an IRA.  Of course, part of this decision would be determined by whether the current employer is willing to allow the money to remain in their plan or if they would prefer it to be moved to another location.

As a side note, the process of combining retirement savings from one employer to another would be much easier if there is a simple mechanism that can be used to make such transfers.  As I can testify from personal experience, it can be extremely complex to roll retirement money from one employers’ plan to another’s even for those of us who work in this field.  Plan administrators from both the sending and receiving plans make this process overly difficult in part because one party needs to know if it is a legitimate transfer as opposed to a withdrawal, and the other needs to know that the money it is receiving has the proper tax status.  While it is beyond the scope of today’s hearing, it is definitely worth the effort for regulators and if necessary legislators to simplify the process and encourage automatic rollovers between employers.

Contents of Model Notices for Participants Changing Employers:

Given this background, a disclosure notice provided to employees who are moving to another employer should include specific information about several topics.  However, a one-shot notice will be far less effective than an educational campaign that includes information about how poor decisions when changing jobs can adversely affect retirement security.  This information should not be limited to when an employee departs; it should also be included in regular communications.

When an employee moves to another employer, he or she needs to know:

  • Ability to retain fund in the account or roll them into another account: The employee should be informed that moving the money to another retirement account, ideally that of the new employer, is the best option.  He or she should also be informed if the current plan is willing to continue to hold the money.  Information about how to effect the rollover and/or a third party willing to assist with the transaction can be provided on a separate sheet.
  • Tax consequences of withdrawing the money: An early withdrawal from a traditional account is usually subject to both income taxes and a penalty.  The employer should be informed of both the combined marginal rate and the total amount of retirement money that will be lost by taking the money out of the system.
  • Effect on retirement security of withdrawing the money: Using an income projection, the participant should be shown that a withdrawal will potentially reduce their income at retirement by a certain dollar amount.  They should also be shown how long it will take to replace that amount of saving.
  • Potential costs of moving to the wrong IRA provider: Moving from a relatively low administrative cost employer plan into an IRA with higher fees could have a major effect on the eventual retirement income.  Participants should be informed of this and offered a separate sheet discussing how to tell if an IRA provider has appropriate fee levels.  This can ge general information rather than tailored to the specific employee.
  • Continuing to save at the same rate in the new employer’s plan: Finally, the employee should be encourage to start saving in the new employer’s plan at least at the same level that they have been contributing to the plan of the current employer.

These disclosures do not need to be extremely detailed or presented in legal terms.  If the participant cannot immediately understand what is being said, the information is essentially useless.  To relieve employers’ worry about legal liability, a model form that protects them from liability would be worth creating.  However, this information is important, and could have a major effect on whether the money leaks out of the retirement system or remains in it.

Finally, the term “model form” does not need to mean a single form.  In cases where a great deal of information needs to be available, one form could summarize the situation, while others provide more detailed information about certain subjects.  However, this does not mean that these other forms should be written in long, legalistic language.  Both the summary form and others should be in clear, concise language with appropriate graphics.

Assisting Participants to Make Appropriate Decisions When They Retire

Decisions about how to translate retirement savings into an appropriate income strategy can be among the most complex that an individual faces.  Even those of us who work in the field can find the decision about whether to use an annuity or longevity insurance to supplement other strategies daunting.  This confusion is only made worse by the focus of today’s quarterly statements on lump sums and investment performance.

Ideally, retirement income disclosures would be combined with an automatic enrollment-like withdrawal strategy that the employee could adopt simply by not opting out.  Unfortunately, while this is the subject of much research by both many groups and companies, it is not currently available.

To be most effective, education on retirement income strategies should not be delayed until the participant reaches a specific age.  Rather, it should begin with the design of the quarterly statement and continue with regular discussions of how to create a retirement strategy throughout an employee’s career.  Even if the participant does not pay much attention for many years, the information will form a backdrop that will be recalled when he or she starts to think about retirement.

Because retirement income strategies are complex, the notices should include both a short summary sheet and individual longer notices on specific topics.  Covered information should include:

  • An overview sheet with general information: A general discussion of how to think of retirement income as well as the general elements that can be combined to provide an appropriate amount of secure income.
  • The role of Social Security: Social Security pays an inflation-indexed annuity that serves as the basis for retirement income strategies.  Employees should be given information about how much they can expect, how to apply for benefits, and the value of delaying their benefits. 
  • What income options are in the employer plan: If the employer plan offers any income options, they should be disclosed and explained.  If not, the employee should be informed that they would need to go outside the plan and given advice on how to select a provider (see below).  This would include the potential problems of turning the money over to a broker to manage.
  • How long an individual is likely to live: Most people have no idea how long they could live in retirement.  A brief discussion of the average longevity for their specific gender and birth cohort along with a notation that average longevity means that half of them will live longer would be helpful.
  • Longevity insurance and how to use it:  Longevity insurance can be a valuable part of a retirement income plan.  How to think about it and choose a policy would be valuable.
  • Using immediate annuities and how to buy one: This is a separate discussion from longevity insurance.  While few of today’s retirees may be interested in immediate annuities, information on how to select one should be included.
  • Positives and negatives of a phased-withdrawal system: Most retirees will use a phased-withdrawal system for at least some of their retirement income.  This would briefly explain the value of one, the drawbacks of withdrawing a set percentage of savings each year, and how to choose a plan.
  • How to choose a financial advisor: Hopefully, may employees will seek the advice of a professional.  If the employer does not provide access to an adviser, tips on how to select one and what questions to ask would be useful.

Again, this is complex information, and employers should also be encouraged to sponsor seminars and counseling sessions for retiring employees.  As mentioned repeatedly, the value of this information and the employee’s receptivity to it would be much greater if it has been part of a regular communications strategy that is simple and accessible.

A Consistent Message Will Enhance Retirement Security

The contents of individual notices are important, but they will be much more effective if they are placed in the context of a communications strategy with a consistent message.  Making the focus of participant education the fact that the purpose of saving in the plan is to produce retirement income rather than lump sums will help participants understand the importance of rolling over their money when changing employers and of developing a sound income strategy when they retire.

Authors

Publication: US Department of Labor Advisory Council on Employee Welfare and Pension Benefit Plans
Image Source: © Max Whittaker / Reuters
      
 
 




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Social Security coverage for state and local government workers: A reconsideration


Since it was created in 1935, Social Security has grown from covering about half of the work force to covering nearly all workers.  The largest remaining exempted group is a subset of state and local government workers (SLGWs).  As of 2008, Social Security did not cover about 27 percent of the 23.8 million SLGWs (Congressional Research Service 2011).  Non-coverage of SLGWs is concentrated in certain states scattered around the country and includes workers in a diverse set of jobs, ranging from administrators to custodial staff.  Some police and fire department employees are not covered.  About 40 percent of public school teachers are not covered by Social Security (Kan and Alderman 2014).    

Under current law, state and local governments that do not offer their own retirement plan must enroll their employees in Social Security.  But if it does offer a retirement plan, the state or local government can choose whether to enroll its workers in Social Security.  

This paper reviews and extends discussion on whether state and local government workers should face mandatory coverage in Social Security.[1]  Relative to earlier work, we focus on links between this issue and recent developments in state and local pensions.  Although some of the issues apply equally to both existing and newly hired SLGWs, it is most natural to focus on whether newly hired employees should be brought into Social Security.[2]  

The first thing to note about this topic is that it is purely a transitional issue.  If all SLGWs were already currently enrolled in Social Security, there would not be a serious discussion about whether they should be removed.  For example, there is no discussion of whether the existing three quarters of all SLGWs that are enrolled in Social Security should be removed from coverage.

Bringing state and local government workers into the system would allow Social Security to reach the goal of providing retirement security for all workers.  The effects on Social Security finances are mixed.  Bringing SLGWs into the system would also help shore up Social Security finances over the next few decades and, under common scoring methods, push the date of trust fund insolvency back by one year, but after that, the cost of increased benefit payments would offset those improvements. 

Mandatory coverage would also be fairer.  Other workers pay, via payroll taxes, the “legacy” costs associated with the creation of Social Security as a pay-as-you-go system.   Early generations of Social Security beneficiaries received far more in payouts than they contributed to the system and those net costs are now being paid by current and future generations.  There appears to be no convincing reason why certain state and local workers should be exempt from this societal obligation.  As a result of this fact and the short-term benefit to the program’s finances, most major proposals and commissions to reform Social Security and all commissions to shore up the long-term federal budget have included the idea of mandatory coverage of newly hired SLGWs.

While these issues are long-standing, recent developments concerning state and local pensions have raised the issue of mandatory coverage in a new light. Linking the funding status of state and local pension plans and the potential risk faced by those employees with the mandatory coverage question is a principal goal of this paper.  One factor is that many state and local government pension plans are facing significant underfunding of promised pension benefits.  In a few municipal bankruptcy cases, the reduction of promised benefits for both current employees and those who have already retired has been discussed.  The potential vulnerability of these benefits emphasizes the importance of Social Security coverage, and naturally invites a rethinking of whether newly hired SLGWs should be required to join the program.  On the other hand, the same pension funding problems imply that any policy that adds newly-hired workers to Social Security, and thus requires the state to pay its share of those contributions, would create added overall costs for state and local governments at a time when pension promises are already hard to meet.  The change might also divert a portion of existing employee or employer contributions to Social Security and away from the state pension program. 

We provide two key results linking state government pension funding status and SLGW coverage. First, we show that states with governmental pension plans that have greater levels of underfunding tend also to have a smaller proportion of SLGW workers that are covered by Social Security.  This tends to raise the retirement security risks faced by those workers and provides further fuel for mandatory coverage.  While one can debate whether future public pension commitments or future Social Security promises are more risky, a solution resulting in less of both is the worst possible outcome for the workers in question.  Second, we show that state pension benefit levels for career workers are somewhat compensatory, in that states with lower rates of Social Security coverage for SLGWs tend to have somewhat higher pension benefit levels.  The extent to which promised but underfunded benefits actually compensate for the higher risk to individual workers of non-Social Security coverage is an open question, though.  

Mandatory coverage of newly hired SLGWs could improve the security of their retirement benefits (by diversifying the sources of their retirement income), raise average benefit levels in many cases (even assuming significant changes in state and local government pensions in response to mandatory coverage), and would improve the quality of benefits received, including provisions for full inflation indexation, and dependent, survivor and disability benefits in Social Security that are superior to those in most state pension plans.  The ability to accrue and receive Social Security benefits would be particularly valuable for the many SLGWs who leave public service either without ever having been vested in a government pension or having been vested but not reaching the steep part of the benefit accrual path.  

Just as there is strong support for mandatory coverage in the Social Security community and literature, there is strong opposition to such a change in elements of the state and local government pension world.  The two groups that are most consistently and strongly opposed to mandatory coverage of newly hired SLGWs are the two parties most directly affected – state and local governments that do not already provide such coverage and their uncovered employees.  Opponents cite the higher cost to both employees and the state and local government for providing that coverage and the potential for losing currently promised pension benefits. They note that public pensions – unlike Social Security – can invest in risky assets and thus can provide better benefits at lower cost.  This, of course, is a best-case alternative as losses among those risky assets could also increase pressure on pension finances.

There is nothing inconsistent about the two sides of these arguments; one set tends to focus on benefits, the other on costs.  They can be, and probably are, all true simultaneously.  There is also a constitutional issue that used to hang over the whole debate – whether the federal government has the right to tax the states and local government units in their roles as employers – but that seems resolved at this point.

Section II of this paper discusses the history and current status of Social Security coverage for SLGWs.   Section III discusses mandatory coverage in the context of Social Security funding and the federal budget.  Section IV discusses the issues in the context of state and local budgets, existing pension plans, and the risks and benefits to employees of those governments.  Section V concludes.



[1] Earlier surveys of these issues provide excellent background.  See Government Accountability Office (1998), Munnell (2005), and Congressional Research Service (2011).

[2] A variety of related issues are beyond the scope of the paper, including in particular how best to close gaps between promised benefits and accruing assets in state and local pension plans and the level of those benefits.   


Note: A revised version of this paper is forthcoming in The Journal of Retirement.

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Structuring state retirement saving plans: A guide to policy design and management issues

Introduction

Many American workers do not have access to employer-sponsored payroll deduction plans for retirement saving. Groups with low rates of access include younger workers, members of minority groups, and those with low-to-moderate incomes. 1 Small business employees are especially at risk. Only about 14 percent of businesses with 100 or fewer employees offer their employees a retirement plan, leaving between 51 and 71 percent of the roughly 42 million people who work for a small business without access to an employer-administered plan (Government Accountability Office 2013).

Lack of access makes it difficult to build retirement wealth. A study by the Employee Benefit Research Institute (2014) shows that 62 percent of employees with access to an employer-sponsored plan held more than $25,000 in saving balances and 22 percent had $100,000 or more. In contrast, among those without access to a plan, 94 percent held less than $25,000 and only three percent hold $100,000 or more. Although workers without an employer-based plan can contribute to Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs), very few do.2 But employees at all income levels tend to participate at high rates in plans that are structured to provide guidance about the decisions they should make (Wu and Rutledge 2014).

With these considerations in mind, many experts and policy makers have advocated for increased retirement plan coverage. While a national approach would be desirable, there has been little legislative progress to date. States, however, are acting. Three states have already created state-sponsored retirement saving plans for small business employees, and 25 are in some stage of considering such a move (Pension Rights Center 2015). John and Koenig (2014) estimate that 55 million U.S. wage and salary workers between the ages of 18 and 64 lack the ability to save for retirement through an employer-sponsored payroll deduction plan. Among such workers with wages between $30,000 and $50,000 only about one out of 20 contributes regularly to an IRA (Employee Benefit Research Institute 2006).

This paper highlights a variety of issues that policymakers will need to address in creating and implementing an effective state-sponsored retirement saving plan. Section II discusses policy design choices. Section III discusses management issues faced by states administering such a plan, employers and employees. Section IV is a short conclusion.

Note: this paper was presented at a October 7, 2015 Brookings Institution event focused on state retirement policies.

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Policy design and management issues for state retirement saving plans


Many American workers do not have access to employer-sponsored payroll deduction plans for retirement saving. Groups with low rates of access include younger workers, members of minority groups, and those with low-to-moderate incomes. Small business employees are especially at risk. Only about 14 percent of businesses with 100 or fewer employees offer their employees a retirement plan, leaving between 51 and 71 percent of the roughly 42 million people who work for a small business without access to an employer-administered plan (Government Accountability Office 2013).

Lack of access makes it difficult to build retirement wealth. A study by the Employee Benefit Research Institute (2014) shows that 62 percent of employees with access to an employer-sponsored plan held more than $25,000 in saving balances and 22 percent had $100,000 or more. In contrast, among those without access to a plan, 94 percent held less than $25,000 and only 3 percent hold $100,000 or more. Although workers without an employer-based plan can contribute to Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs), very few do. But employees at all income levels tend to participate at high rates in plans that are structured to provide guidance about the decisions they should make (Wu and Rutledge 2014).

With these considerations in mind, many experts and policy makers have advocated for increased retirement plan coverage. While a national approach would be desirable, there has been little legislative progress to date. States, however, are acting. Three states have already created state-sponsored retirement saving plans for small business employees, and 25 are in some stage of considering such a move (Pension Rights Center 2015).

This policy brief, based on John and Gale (2015), highlights a variety of issues that policymakers will need to address in creating and implementing an effective state-sponsored retirement saving plan.

Download "Policy Design and Management Issues for State Retirement Saving Plans" »

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