the Webinar: COVID-19: Implications for peace and security in the Middle East By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Sun, 19 Apr 2020 11:26:53 +0000 The Brookings Doha Center (BDC) hosted a webinar discussion on April 22, 2020 about the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on peace and security in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). Panelists assessed the short-term and long-term implications for the region at large whilst also narrowing in on Iraq and Syria. The panel consisted… Full Article
the Education may be pivotal in the 2020 election. Here’s what you need to know. By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 18 Dec 2019 19:55:40 +0000 As 2019 winds down, all eyes will soon turn to the 2020 U.S. presidential election. The cycle promises to dominate the news throughout next year, covering everything from the ongoing impeachment proceedings to health-care reform and more. While education traditionally may not be considered a top-tier issue in national elections, as Brookings’s Doug Harris has… Full Article
the Playful Learning Landscapes: At the intersection of education and placemaking By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 11 Feb 2020 18:35:15 +0000 Playful Learning Landscapes lies at the intersection of developmental science and transformative placemaking to help urban leaders and practitioners advance and scale evidence-based approaches to create vibrant public spaces that promote learning and generate a sense of community ownership and pride. On Wednesday, February 26, the Center for Universal Education and the Bass Center for… Full Article
the Playbrary: A new vision of the neighborhood library By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 20 Feb 2020 15:17:38 +0000 “Shhhhhh.” This is perhaps the sound most associated with libraries. Yet, libraries are also portals to the world outside that take us to faraway places and spur new ideas. Libraries offer community gathering spaces where neighbors without internet access can complete job applications and families can gather for story time. But as times have changed,… Full Article
the The value of systemwide, high-quality data in early childhood education By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 20 Feb 2020 17:38:04 +0000 High-quality early learning experiences—those filled with stimulating and supportive interactions between children and caregivers—can have long-lasting impacts for children, families, and society. Unfortunately, many families, particularly low-income families, struggle to find any affordable early childhood education (ECE) program, much less programs that offer engaging learning opportunities that are likely to foster long-term benefits. This post… Full Article
the Playful learning in everyday places during the COVID-19 crisis—and beyond By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 07 Apr 2020 20:19:31 +0000 Under normal circumstances, children spend 80 percent of their waking time outside the classroom. The COVID-19 pandemic has quite abruptly turned that 80 percent into 100 percent. Across the U.S., schools and child care centers have been mandated to close, and children of all ages are now home full time. This leaves many families, especially… Full Article
the Are our preschool teachers worth more than they were two months ago? By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Mon, 13 Apr 2020 15:05:28 +0000 On March 16, television producer and author Shonda Rhimes tweeted “Been homeschooling a 6-year old and 8-year old for one hour and 11 minutes. Teachers deserve to make a billion dollars a year. Or a week.” Six hundred thousand likes and 100,000 retweets later, it is safe to say her message resonated with the public.… Full Article
the Global Santiago: Profiling the metropolitan region’s international competitiveness and connections By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Mon, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 Over the past two decades, the Santiago Metropolitan Region has emerged on the global stage. Accounting for nearly half of the nation’s GDP, Santiago contains a significant set of economic assets—an increasingly well-educated workforce, major universities, and a stable of large global companies and budding start-ups. These strengths position it well to lead Chile’s path toward a more productive, technology-intensive economy that competes in global markets based on knowledge rather than raw materials. Full Article
the Measuring state and metro global trade and investment strategies in the absence of data By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Mon, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 A dilemma surrounds global trade and investment efforts in metro areas. Economic development leaders are increasingly convinced that global engagement matters, but they are equally (and justifiably) convinced that they should use data to better determine which programs generate the highest return on investment. Therein lies the problem: there is a lack of data suitable for measuring export and foreign direct investment (FDI) activity in metro areas. Economic theory and company input validate the tactics that metros are implementing – such as developing export capacity of mid-sized firms, or strategically responding to foreign mergers and acquisitions – but they barely impact the data typically used to evaluate economic development success. Full Article Uncategorized
the Competitiveness and inclusion in the global economy: A Q&A with San Antonio Mayor Ivy Taylor By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Mon, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 I recently moderated a panel on metropolitan competitiveness and inclusion in the global economy, and was struck by these panelists’ resolve to promote the twin aims of competitiveness and inclusion through public-private collaborations.San Antonio Mayor Ivy Taylor was also slated to join, but due to severe weather, she was unable to leave her home state. Afterwards, I had the chance to ask Mayor Taylor about her vision for an inclusive, internationally-competitive San Antonio. Below is an edited version of our conversation. Full Article Uncategorized
the The West and Turkey: Their Role in Shaping a Wider Global Architecture By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: On May 2, the Center on the United States and Europe at Brookings (CUSE) hosted a discussion with former U.S. National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski. In his remarks, Brzezinski offered perspectives from his new book, Strategic Vision: America and the Crisis of Global Power (Basic Books, 2012), on how the United States and Europe can… Full Article
the Turkey, Europe and the World in 2011 By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: On May 4, the Center on the United States and Europe at Brookings (CUSE) hosted former European Union High Representative for Common Foreign and Security Policy Javier Solana for the seventh annual Sakıp Sabancı Lecture. In his address, Solana offered perspectives on security, stability and democracy in a changing world, and discuss how these changes… Full Article
the The United States and Turkey: Sakip Sabanci Lecture with Philip H. Gordon By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: On March 17, the Center on the United States and Europe at Brookings (CUSE) hosted Assistant Secretary of State and former Brookings Senior Fellow Philip Gordon for the sixth annual Sakip Sabanci Lecture. In his lecture, Assistant Secretary Gordon offered the Obama administration’s perspective on Turkey, its relations with the United States and the European… Full Article
the Lord Christopher Patten: The Challenges of Multilateralism for Europe, Turkey and the United States By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: On May 5, the Center on the United States and Europe at Brookings (CUSE) hosted Lord Christopher Patten for the fifth annual Sakip Sabanci Lecture. In his address, Lord Patten drew on his decades of experience in elected government and international diplomacy to discuss how Turkey, Europe and the United States can realize opportunities for… Full Article
the Righting the Course: The Future of the U.S.-Turkish Relationship By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: On May 8, the Center for the United States and Europe at Brookings (CUSE) hosted R. Nicholas Burns, former under secretary of state for political affairs, for the fourth annual Sakıp Sabancı Lecture. Ambassador Burns focused his address on the future of U.S.-Turkish relations. In March, Ambassador Burns retired as the under secretary of state… Full Article
the America, Turkey and the World By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: At a time of great change in the Middle East and Europe, the Turkey Program of the Brookings Center on the United States and Europe announced the launch of an annual lecture series in honor of Sakip Sabanci. Mr. Sabanci was not only the most prominent Turkish business leader of his generation but a visionary… Full Article
the Emerging Nations and the Evolving Global Economy By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: On May 2, the Center on the United States and Europe at Brookings (CUSE) hosted Kaushik Basu for the ninth annual Sakıp Sabancı Lecture. In his address, Basu discussed the persisting global economic crisis and the policy challenges facing emerging countries. Kaushik Basu is senior vice president (Development Economics) and chief economist of the… Full Article
the Turkey and the Transformation of the Global Political and Economic Landscape By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: On May 1, the Center on the United States and Europe at Brookings hosted the 10th annual Sakıp Sabancı lecture featuring former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright. In her remarks, Secretary Albright offered perspectives on Turkey’s political and economic development during a period of rapid global transformation. She also explored how Turkey’s evolution is shaping its partnership with… Full Article
the Who lives in the places where coronavirus is hitting the hardest? By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 10 Apr 2020 19:17:35 +0000 Every day since the COVID-19 pandemic began surging, The New York Times and other sources have reported the size and geographic scope of coronavirus cases. But in addition to these raw numbers, it is useful to know the key demographic attributes of places with the most cases, in comparison to those with lower (but likely… Full Article
the How COVID-19 will change the nation’s long-term economic trends, according to Brookings Metro scholars By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 14 Apr 2020 17:00:28 +0000 Will the coronavirus change everything? While that sentiment feels true to the enormity of the crisis, it likely isn’t quite right, as scholars from the Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program have been exploring since the pandemic began. Instead, the COVID-19 crisis seems poised to accelerate or intensify many economic and metropolitan trends that were already underway, with huge… Full Article
the COVID-19 is expanding further into Trump country By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 29 Apr 2020 15:59:26 +0000 The COVID-19 pandemic has already shown a dispersion away from the nation’s most urban and densely populated counties to suburban, somewhat whiter, and less politically Democratic parts of the country. Yet the group of counties that newly qualify as areas with a high prevalence of COVID-19 cases are even more dispersed, and represent places where… Full Article
the The midlife dip in well-being: Why it matters at times of crisis By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 05 May 2020 20:04:31 +0000 Several economic studies, including many of our own (here and here), have found evidence of a significant downturn in human well-being during the midlife years—the so-called “happiness curve.” Yet several other studies, particularly by psychologists, suggest that there either is no midlife dip and/or that it is insignificant or “trivial.” We disagree. Given that this… Full Article
the Turning back the Poverty Clock: How will COVID-19 impact the world’s poorest people? By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 06 May 2020 16:43:10 +0000 The release of the IMF’s World Economic Outlook provides an initial country-by-country assessment of what might happen to the world economy in 2020 and 2021. Using the methods described in the World Poverty Clock, we ask what will happen to the number of poor people in the world—those living in households with less than $1.90… Full Article
the Congressional oversight of the CARES Act could prove troublesome By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 15 Apr 2020 19:43:53 +0000 On March 27th, President Trump signed the CARES Act providing for more than $2 Trillion in federal spending in response to the COVID-19 crisis. Overseeing the outlay of relief funding from the bill will be no easy task, given its size, complexity and the backdrop of the 2020 election. However, this is not the first… Full Article
the Inspectors general will drain the swamp, if Trump stops attacking them By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 16 Apr 2020 21:46:46 +0000 Over the past month, President Trump has fired one inspector general, removed an acting inspector general set to oversee the pandemic response and its more than $2 trillion dollars in new funding, and publicly criticized another from the White House briefing room. These sustained attacks against the federal government’s watchdogs fly in the face of… Full Article
the Destroying trust in the media, science, and government has left America vulnerable to disaster By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 01 May 2020 15:34:28 +0000 For America to minimize the damage from the current pandemic, the media must inform, science must innovate, and our government must administer like never before. Yet decades of politically-motivated attacks discrediting all three institutions, taken to a new level by President Trump, leave the American public in a vulnerable position. Trump has consistently vilified the… Full Article
the Get rid of the White House Coronavirus Task Force before it kills again By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 07 May 2020 14:21:30 +0000 As news began to leak out that the White House was thinking about winding down the coronavirus task force, it was greeted with some consternation. After all, we are still in the midst of a pandemic—we need the president’s leadership, don’t we? And then, in an abrupt turnaround, President Trump reversed himself and stated that… Full Article
the How instability and high turnover on the Trump staff hindered the response to COVID-19 By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 07 May 2020 18:04:06 +0000 On Jan. 14, 2017, the Obama White House hosted 30 incoming staff members of the Trump team for a role-playing scenario. A readout of the event said, “The exercise provided a high-level perspective on a series of challenges that the next administration may face and introduced the key authorities, policies, capabilities, and structures that are… Full Article
the In the Republican Party establishment, Trump finds tepid support By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 08 May 2020 18:37:25 +0000 For the past three years the Republican Party leadership have stood by the president through thick and thin. Previous harsh critics and opponents in the race for the Republican nomination like Senator Lindsey Graham and Senator Ted Cruz fell in line, declining to say anything negative about the president even while, at times, taking action… Full Article
the @ Brookings Podcast: Challenges for Women in the African Economy By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 11 May 2012 16:37:00 -0400 In many African countries, women still cannot own land or resources, a significant barrier to their ability to start businesses and take advantage of the continent’s economic potential. Fellow Anne Kamau explores their plight. Video Challenges for Women in the African Economy Authors Anne W. Kamau Full Article
the @ Brookings Podcast: The Path to Progress in the Middle East By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 25 May 2012 11:15:00 -0400 More than a decade after the start of the war in Afghanistan, America continues to face significant challenges in the Middle East. While news of U.S. struggles often dominate foreign policy discussions, Senior Fellow Bruce Riedel says it is important to remember that the United States is also making progress in the region. From the death of Osama bin Laden to an agreement on the use of Afghan military bases for U.S. counterterrorism operations, America is learning from its past mistakes and using these lessons to guide its response to the Arab Spring. We Shouldn't Lose Sight of the Positive Developments in the Middle East Video We Shouldn't Lose Sight of the Positive Developments in the Middle East Authors Bruce Riedel Image Source: MUHAMMAD HAMED Full Article
the @ Brookings Podcast: The American Community Survey By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 08 Jun 2012 13:48:00 -0400 A little-known yearly survey conducted by the Census Bureau gathers a wealth of information that helps guide everything from investments in highways and schools to business decisions about building supermarkets and department stores. The American Community Survey gathers neighborhood-level data that isn’t collected in the decennial Census, providing invaluable information about issues from immigration to income levels. Losing that ground-level view of the changes in American life year after year would be disastrous, says Senior Fellow William Frey. Video William Frey: Why the American Community Survey Is Important Authors William H. Frey Full Article
the @ Brookings Podcast: The Arctic as an Emerging Market By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 29 Jun 2012 00:00:00 -0400 Climate change and the search for resources have turned the Arctic into an emerging market and an important trade route. Senior Fellow Bruce Jones, director of the Managing Global Order project, says that the top of the world poses possibilities for international tensions among interested nations claiming sovereignty, but at least so far, no serious conflicts have emerged. Video Bruce Jones: Arctic Region’s Importance for Trade, Transit and Energy Is Increasing Authors Bruce Jones Full Article
the @ Brookings Podcast: The Changing Balance of Power in Presidential Campaign Reporting By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 20 Jul 2012 00:00:00 -0400 The increasing diversification of news media—from online versions of major newspapers to political bloggers, to 24-hour cable news to social media—plus the profession’s changing economics have caused the balance of power between political reporters and presidential candidates to change. Stephen Hess, senior fellow emeritus, says our very good, well-trained reporters are “almost dangerous” to presidential candidates who are trying to stay on message. Thus, says Hess, the way the press covers campaigns has changed as well, and not for the better. Video Stephen Hess: The Changing Balance of Power in Presidential Campaign Reporting Authors Stephen Hess Full Article
the @ Brookings Podcast: Combine Going Over the Fiscal Cliff with a Stimulus By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 27 Jul 2012 00:00:00 -0400 While falling off the "fiscal cliff" (of automatic spending cuts and tax increases if Congress fails to act) could hurt the economy, expert William Gale says the actual result, if coupled with a temporary economic stimulus, would be greater incentives to make a better long-term budget deal. Video William Gale: Combine Going Over the Fiscal Cliff with a Stimulus Authors William G. Gale Full Article
the @ Brookings Podcast: What Americans Think about the Middle East By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 06 Nov 2012 00:00:00 -0500 From the Arab-Israeli conflict, to the paradigm shift of the Arab Spring, to attacks on U.S. government personnel in Egypt and Libya, to the potentially explosive situation in Syria--events in the greater Middle East region continue to resonate here at home. In a recent study, “Americans on the Middle East,” Nonresident Senior Fellow Shibley Telhami finds that Americans have a great understanding and concern about Middle East events. Learn more about these findings in this episode of @ Brookings. Video Shibley Telhami: What Americans Think about the Middle East Authors Shibley Telhami Full Article
the @ Brookings Podcast: Remaking Federalism and Renewing the Economy By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 14 Nov 2012 00:00:00 -0500 In this post-election season and with a fiscal cliff looming, states and metros have begun the work of meeting their many challenges. They’re implementing game-changing initiatives to create jobs and restructure their economies for the long haul. The federal government needs to take notice and get on board note, Metropolitan Program policy experts Bruce Katz and Mark Muro as they urge a move for remaking our federalism and renewing the economy. Katz and Muro explain in this episode of @ Brookings. Video Bruce Katz and Mark Muro: Remaking Federalism and Renewing the Economy Authors Bruce KatzMark Muro Full Article
the The Six Personalities of Vladimir Putin By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 01 Feb 2013 00:00:00 -0500 Senior Fellows Fiona Hill and Clifford G. Gaddy discuss their book, Mr. Putin: Operative in the Kremlin in a five part podcast series. Fiona Hill: Putin’s Personalities Leveraged to Boost Russia Fiona Hill: Putin’s History in KGB Leads to “Case Officer” Personality Fiona Hill and Cliff Gaddy: The Outsider Influenced Putin’s “Free Market” Personality Clifford Gaddy: Putin the History Man and Survivalist Fiona Hill: Putin’s Statist Personality: Restoring the Greatness of Russia In the book, Hill and Gaddy write that Russian President Vladmir Putin’s style of rule is influenced by his identities as a Statist, a Man of History, a Free Marketeer, a Survivalist, an Outsider, and a Case Officer; these are distinct personalities, they note, that interact and affect policy decisions. On February 6, the Center on the United States and Europe at Brookings hosted an event for the launch of Mr. Putin with a discussion featuring the authors. Video Fiona Hill: Putin’s Statist Personality: Restoring the Greatness of RussiaClifford Gaddy: Putin the History Man and SurvivalistFiona Hill and Cliff Gaddy: The Outsider Influenced Putin’s “Free Market” PersonalityFiona Hill: Putin’s History in KGB Leads to “Case Officer” PersonalityFiona Hill: Putin’s Personalities Leveraged to Boost Russia Authors Fiona HillClifford G. Gaddy Image Source: © Thomas Peter / Reuters Full Article
the Real Specifics: 15 Ways to Rethink the Federal Budget By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 20 Feb 2013 00:00:00 -0500 Despite widespread agreement that the federal budget is on an unsustainable path, there is also widespread disagreement about what should be done. The Hamilton Project asked leading experts from a variety of backgrounds—the policy world, academia, and the private sector, and from both sides of the political aisle—to develop and share their ideas for addressing the deficit. The proposals will be released at two events scheduled for February 22 and February 26. In a dialogue previewing those events, Hamilton Project Director Michael Greenstone and Policy Director Adam Looney discuss some of the key ideas offered by the experts. Greenstone stresses that the goal of the papers is to move beyond the fights and disagreements between President Obama and Congress and to provide some of the poetry, or some of the details, on how government might run better. The papers will also be featured in a book, 15 Ways to Rethink the Federal Budget, and will take on a wide-ranging set of topics, including immigration, transportation, health care, defense spending, and tax expenditures. Video Michael Greenstone and Adam Looney: These Authors Have Drafted Policies That Help the Budget and Provide Economic Benefits Authors Michael GreenstoneAdam Looney Full Article
the The pitfalls and promise of a US-India partnership driven by China By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 27 Feb 2020 19:08:49 +0000 It is quite possible that the “C” word will not be mentioned publicly during Donald Trump’s visit to India this week. A recent report indicated that the U.S. president had no idea that China and India share a 2,500-mile border. Arguably, though, President Trump’s trip would not be taking place without shared concerns about China’s… Full Article
the Tanvi Madan on the US-India-China “Fateful Triangle” By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 17 Mar 2020 19:07:39 +0000 Full Article
the On April 8, 2020, Tanvi Madan discussed the implications of the coronavirus pandemic for the Sino-Indo bilateral relations with ORF By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 08 Apr 2020 19:36:56 +0000 On April 8, 2020, Tanvi Madan discussed the implications of the coronavirus pandemic for the Sino-Indo bilateral relations via teleconference with Observer Research Foundation. Full Article
the On April 16, 2020, Tanvi Madan unpacked how India’s relation with China changed under Narendra Modi and Xi Jinping via teleconference with the Asia Society Switzerland By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 16 Apr 2020 20:02:19 +0000 On April 16, 2020, Tanvi Madan unpacked how India's relation with China changed under Narendra Modi and Xi Jinping via teleconference with the Asia Society Switzerland. Full Article
the 20200421 TheAtlantic Tanvi Madan By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 21 Apr 2020 15:53:36 +0000 Full Article
the India’s coronavirus response, anti-China sentiment, and the communalization of Covid-19 By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 21 Apr 2020 19:46:59 +0000 Full Article
the The mudslinging campaign and Barkha Dutt on the “fear” election of 2019 By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 24 Apr 2020 19:41:39 +0000 Full Article
the How is the coronavirus outbreak affecting China’s relations with India? By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 30 Apr 2020 12:02:00 +0000 China’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic has reinforced the skeptical perception of the country that prevails in many quarters in India. The Indian state’s rhetoric has been quite measured, reflecting its need to procure medical supplies from China and its desire to keep the relationship stable. Nonetheless, Beijing’s approach has fueled Delhi’s existing strategic and economic concerns. These… Full Article
the U.S.–Japan alliance conference: Regional perspectives on the Quadrilateral Dialogue and the Free and Open Indo-Pacific By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Mon, 04 May 2020 20:13:34 +0000 Full Article
the ISIS is pushing Turkey in the wrong direction By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 01 Jul 2016 09:00:00 -0400 Editor’s Note: Turkey's terrorism troubles are bad and getting worse. At least 41 people died Tuesday when authorities say that ISIS attackers opened fire on crowds at Istanbul's airport and then detonated suicide vests, wreaking havoc. Dan Byman writes that Turkey's ISIS problems are bound up in its Syria policy and that the biggest danger of the attacks is that they push Turkey further toward authoritarianism and away from Europe and the United States. This piece was originally published by Slate. Turkey’s terrorism troubles are bad and getting worse. At least 41 people died Tuesday in a terrorist attack on Istanbul’s airport. Authorities say that ISIS attackers opened fire on crowds at the airport and then detonated suicide vests, wreaking havoc. For Turks, such an attack is not a surprise: The country has seen as spate of attacks throughout the country in recent years. ISIS has not formally taken credit for the attack as of Wednesday morning, but it has struck Turkey repeatedly and with growing frequency: ISIS has previously hit Istanbul twice in 2016, including a January suicide bomber attack on Sultanahmet Square that killed 12 in the heart of Turkey’s tourist district. In 2015, Turkey suffered its most deadly terrorist attack ever when more than 100 people were killed after bombs went off near Ankara’s railway station, targeting a rally opposing Turkey’s conflict with its own Kurdish population. In 2013, more than 50 people were killed when car bombs went off in Reyhanli near the Syrian border. Although ISIS is usually blamed for these attacks, Turkey’s Kurds, the Syrian regime, and Syria’s al-Qaida affiliate Jabhat al-Nusra have all been named as suspects. The sheer number of possibilities and the politicized finger-pointing reveals how daunting a challenge Turkey faces on the counterterrorism front. The government of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is trying to fight ISIS, but this is only one of its problems and, so far, not its No. 1 priority. Erdogan’s government also seeks to topple the Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad, and manage its own and the regional Kurdish problem—tough enough tasks without having to also shore up the government’s declining legitimacy. When the Arab Spring broke out in 2011, Turkey seemed a model for aspiring democracies in the Middle East. Here, after all, was a democratic government that embraced political Islam but did so in a seemingly moderate way, was a member of NATO, a booming economic power, and a force for stability in the region. The Middle East, however, has come to Turkey rather than the other way around. Although Turkey’s economy continues to do well, Turkey has far fewer admirers in the West and is often considered part of the problem, even drawing public criticism from President Obama. For many Turks, the Istanbul attack is part of this changing landscape. Asli Aydintasbas, a Turkish analyst, described a “world turned upside down” to the New York Times: Istanbul “was a happening town, cutting edge in arts and culture. It’s the kind of place that Condé Nast would write about. Now this is a Middle Eastern country where these things happen.” Turkey’s ISIS problems are bound up in its Syria policy. Turkey’s ISIS problems are bound up in its Syria policy. Erdogan had cultivated Assad and then was outraged when the Syrian dictator proved to be, well, a dictator. Instead of making reforms to placate protesters, as Erdogan had urged, Assad reached out to Iran and commenced a brutal crackdown that would lead to a civil war in which more than 400,000 Syrians have died so far—most at the hands of the regime, not ISIS. Although the United States prioritizes fighting ISIS, Turkey sees ousting Assad as more important. Ankara has armed and trained opposition fighters and hosted Syrian dissidents. Turkey has backed more radical groups like Ahrar al-Sham, which works with the Islamic State’s affiliate Jabhat al-Nusra. The country’s policy toward ISIS should be seen in this context: Anyone opposing Assad seemed to be on the right side. Although ISIS relies heavily on foreign volunteers for manpower, Turkey dragged its feet and allowed volunteers to transit Turkey unimpeded so as to make their way to fight Assad. European governments reacted with growing concern and anger, fearing that these volunteers would come back and conduct terrorist attacks on the West. In the last year, Turkey has become far tougher on foreign fighters, but it is difficult to uproot the now-extensive radical infrastructure. ISIS attacks on Turkey have grown in response to this crackdown. In addition to public attacks, ISIS has shot and beheaded activists linked to “Raqqa Is Being Silently Slaughtered,” a non-government organization providing information and video footage of the brutal life in ISIS-controlled areas. Such acts and Western pressure have also led to more Turkish military involvement, and this too probably led to an escalation of ISIS attacks. Turkey used tanks and artillery to strike ISIS after the January bombing in Istanbul’s Sultanahmet Square and has shelled ISIS positions in response to ISIS cross-border shelling. Perhaps more importantly, Turkey allows the United States and other coalition countries to base aircraft out of the Incirlik and Diyabakir air bases in southern Turkey for strikes on ISIS. Making things even more complex, Turkey’s own Kurdish problem put it at odds with Washington in the fight against ISIS. From Ankara’s point of view, there are good Kurds and bad Kurds. The good ones include Iraq’s main Kurdish organizations which have good relations and economic ties with Turkey. On the other hand, the Erdogan government sees the Kurdish Workers Party (PKK) as an enemy. The group claims to represent the aspiration of Turkey’s own Kurds, which make up perhaps 20 percent of the population, and past regimes had fought civil wars with the group, leading to 40,000 deaths since the conflict began in 1984. In 1999, the PKK’s leader was captured and the conflict declined in ferocity. Peace seemed at hand as negotiations commenced secretly in 2009, and at the end of 2012 Erdogan publicly embraced the talks. The ceasefire broke down in 2015, however, when Turkey bombed the PKK’s bases in Iraq, and Kurdish violence and terrorism in Turkey returned: Many observers believe Erdogan renewed operations because his electoral fortunes were waning and he sought to stir up nationalist sentiment. With this dynamic in mind, Syria’s small Kurdish group the Democratic Union Party (PYD) has come to play an important role for Turkish policy, ISIS, and Syria. Although the group has historically been minor, its ties to the PKK made Turkey see it as an enemy. This mattered little until central government authority in Syria’s Kurdish areas collapsed. The PYD and other Kurdish groups carved out their own autonomous areas, leading to Turkish fears that the PYD would inspire Turkey’s Kurds to seek independence and would provide the PKK a base for attacks. Washington took a different view: As U.S. military training programs against ISIS proved ineffective, the PYD also emerged as a valuable military ally, perhaps the most effective foe of ISIS within Syria. Even as the United States works with Syria’s Kurds, Turkey has embargoed Kurdish areas in Syria (at a time when humanitarian conditions are desperate) and even threatened to intervene if the Syrian Kurds expand their territory near the Turkish border too much. And to make this more complex, the PYD itself doesn’t work well with other anti-Assad groups, which oppose Kurdish autonomy and are angered by the PYD’s willingness to ignore Assad, making it difficult to square with broader U.S. goals in Syria. All this would be easier for Turkey if the Erdogan government had broad support at home and abroad, but it doesn’t. Recent years have seen massive anti-government protests with the Turkish government responding by stepping up repression. Erdogan changed jobs from prime minister to the more ceremonial role of president, but he remains the power behind—or even in front of —the throne. Turkey has used anti-terrorism as an excuse to crack down on legitimate political dissent at home, straining ties with Europe and the United States. The government is increasingly authoritarian, with crackdowns on press freedom being particularly acute. (And whatever you do, don’t compare Erdogan to Gollum.) The good news is that Turkey is trying to break out of its growing isolation; the bad news is that it is doing so by mending fences with another authoritarian strongman, Russian President Vladimir Putin. [T]he biggest danger of the ISIS attacks is that they push Turkey further toward authoritarianism and away from Europe and the United States. In addition to the horrific loss of lives, the biggest danger of the ISIS attacks is that they push Turkey further toward authoritarianism and away from Europe and the United States. Dictators throughout the Middle East use legitimate security and terrorism dangers to justify delaying reforms, repressing any form of opposition, and labeling all foes as terrorists. The Turkish model, unfortunately, is a Middle Eastern one now. Authors Daniel L. Byman Publication: Slate Image Source: © Murad Sezer / Reuters Full Article
the Civil wars and U.S. engagement in the Middle East By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 06 Jul 2016 12:00:00 -0400 "At the end of the day, we need to remember that Daesh is more a product of the civil wars than it is a cause of them. And the way that we’re behaving is we’re treating it as the cause. And the problem is that in places like Syria, in Iraq, potentially in Libya, we are mounting these military campaigns to destroy Daesh and we’re not doing anything about the underlying civil wars. And the real danger there is—we have a brilliant military and they may very well succeed in destroying Daesh—but if we haven’t dealt with the underlying civil wars, we’ll have Son of Daesh a year later." – Ken Pollack “Part of the problem is how we want the U.S. to be more engaged and more involved and what that requires in practice. We have to be honest about a different kind of American role in the Middle East. It means committing considerable economic and political resources to this region of the world that a lot of Americans are quite frankly sick of… There is this aspect of nation-building that is in part what we have to do in the Middle East, help these countries rebuild, but we can’t do that on the cheap. We can’t do that with this relatively hands off approach.” – Shadi Hamid In this episode of “Intersections,” Kenneth Pollack, senior fellow in the Center for Middle East Policy and Shadi Hamid, senior fellow in the Project on U.S. Relations with the Islamic World and author of "Islamic Exceptionalism: How the Struggle over Islam is Reshaping the World," discuss the current state of upheaval in the Middle East, the Arab Spring, and the political durability of Islamist movements in the region. They also explain their ideas on how and why the United States should change its approach to the Middle East and areas of potential improvement for U.S. foreign policy in the region. Show Notes Fight or flight: America’s choice in the Middle East Security and public order Islamists on Islamism today Temptations of Power: Islamists & Illiberal Democracy in a New Middle East Ending the Middle East’s civil wars A Rage for Order: The Middle East in turmoil, from Tahrir Square to ISIS Building a better Syrian opposition army: How and why With thanks to audio engineer and producer Zack Kulzer, Mark Hoelscher, Carisa Nietsche, Sara Abdel-Rahim, Eric Abalahin, Fred Dews and Richard Fawal. Subscribe to the Intersections on iTunes, and send feedback email to intersections@brookings.edu. Authors Shadi HamidAdrianna PitaKenneth M. Pollack Image Source: © Stringer . / Reuters Full Article