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Stochastic differential equations with a fractionally filtered delay: A semimartingale model for long-range dependent processes

Richard A. Davis, Mikkel Slot Nielsen, Victor Rohde.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 2, 799--827.

Abstract:
In this paper, we introduce a model, the stochastic fractional delay differential equation (SFDDE), which is based on the linear stochastic delay differential equation and produces stationary processes with hyperbolically decaying autocovariance functions. The model departs from the usual way of incorporating this type of long-range dependence into a short-memory model as it is obtained by applying a fractional filter to the drift term rather than to the noise term. The advantages of this approach are that the corresponding long-range dependent solutions are semimartingales and the local behavior of the sample paths is unaffected by the degree of long memory. We prove existence and uniqueness of solutions to the SFDDEs and study their spectral densities and autocovariance functions. Moreover, we define a subclass of SFDDEs which we study in detail and relate to the well-known fractionally integrated CARMA processes. Finally, we consider the task of simulating from the defining SFDDEs.




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Robust modifications of U-statistics and applications to covariance estimation problems

Stanislav Minsker, Xiaohan Wei.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 1, 694--727.

Abstract:
Let $Y$ be a $d$-dimensional random vector with unknown mean $mu $ and covariance matrix $Sigma $. This paper is motivated by the problem of designing an estimator of $Sigma $ that admits exponential deviation bounds in the operator norm under minimal assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of only 4th moments of the coordinates of $Y$. To address this problem, we propose robust modifications of the operator-valued U-statistics, obtain non-asymptotic guarantees for their performance, and demonstrate the implications of these results to the covariance estimation problem under various structural assumptions.




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A unified approach to coupling SDEs driven by Lévy noise and some applications

Mingjie Liang, René L. Schilling, Jian Wang.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 1, 664--693.

Abstract:
We present a general method to construct couplings of stochastic differential equations driven by Lévy noise in terms of coupling operators. This approach covers both coupling by reflection and refined basic coupling which are often discussed in the literature. As applications, we prove regularity results for the transition semigroups and obtain successful couplings for the solutions to stochastic differential equations driven by additive Lévy noise.




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Normal approximation for sums of weighted $U$-statistics – application to Kolmogorov bounds in random subgraph counting

Nicolas Privault, Grzegorz Serafin.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 1, 587--615.

Abstract:
We derive normal approximation bounds in the Kolmogorov distance for sums of discrete multiple integrals and weighted $U$-statistics made of independent Bernoulli random variables. Such bounds are applied to normal approximation for the renormalized subgraph counts in the Erdős–Rényi random graph. This approach completely solves a long-standing conjecture in the general setting of arbitrary graph counting, while recovering recent results obtained for triangles and improving other bounds in the Wasserstein distance.




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Consistent semiparametric estimators for recurrent event times models with application to virtual age models

Eric Beutner, Laurent Bordes, Laurent Doyen.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 1, 557--586.

Abstract:
Virtual age models are very useful to analyse recurrent events. Among the strengths of these models is their ability to account for treatment (or intervention) effects after an event occurrence. Despite their flexibility for modeling recurrent events, the number of applications is limited. This seems to be a result of the fact that in the semiparametric setting all the existing results assume the virtual age function that describes the treatment (or intervention) effects to be known. This shortcoming can be overcome by considering semiparametric virtual age models with parametrically specified virtual age functions. Yet, fitting such a model is a difficult task. Indeed, it has recently been shown that for these models the standard profile likelihood method fails to lead to consistent estimators. Here we show that consistent estimators can be constructed by smoothing the profile log-likelihood function appropriately. We show that our general result can be applied to most of the relevant virtual age models of the literature. Our approach shows that empirical process techniques may be a worthwhile alternative to martingale methods for studying asymptotic properties of these inference methods. A simulation study is provided to illustrate our consistency results together with an application to real data.




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Operator-scaling Gaussian random fields via aggregation

Yi Shen, Yizao Wang.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 1, 500--530.

Abstract:
We propose an aggregated random-field model, and investigate the scaling limits of the aggregated partial-sum random fields. In this model, each copy in the aggregation is a $pm 1$-valued random field built from two correlated one-dimensional random walks, the law of each determined by a random persistence parameter. A flexible joint distribution of the two parameters is introduced, and given the parameters the two correlated random walks are conditionally independent. For the aggregated random field, when the persistence parameters are independent, the scaling limit is a fractional Brownian sheet. When the persistence parameters are tail-dependent, characterized in the framework of multivariate regular variation, the scaling limit is more delicate, and in particular depends on the growth rates of the underlying rectangular region along two directions: at different rates different operator-scaling Gaussian random fields appear as the region area tends to infinity. In particular, at the so-called critical speed, a large family of Gaussian random fields with long-range dependence arise in the limit. We also identify four different regimes at non-critical speed where fractional Brownian sheets arise in the limit.




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Multivariate count autoregression

Konstantinos Fokianos, Bård Støve, Dag Tjøstheim, Paul Doukhan.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 1, 471--499.

Abstract:
We are studying linear and log-linear models for multivariate count time series data with Poisson marginals. For studying the properties of such processes we develop a novel conceptual framework which is based on copulas. Earlier contributions impose the copula on the joint distribution of the vector of counts by employing a continuous extension methodology. Instead we introduce a copula function on a vector of associated continuous random variables. This construction avoids conceptual difficulties related to the joint distribution of counts yet it keeps the properties of the Poisson process marginally. Furthermore, this construction can be employed for modeling multivariate count time series with other marginal count distributions. We employ Markov chain theory and the notion of weak dependence to study ergodicity and stationarity of the models we consider. Suitable estimating equations are suggested for estimating unknown model parameters. The large sample properties of the resulting estimators are studied in detail. The work concludes with some simulations and a real data example.




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SPDEs with fractional noise in space: Continuity in law with respect to the Hurst index

Luca M. Giordano, Maria Jolis, Lluís Quer-Sardanyons.

Source: Bernoulli, Volume 26, Number 1, 352--386.

Abstract:
In this article, we consider the quasi-linear stochastic wave and heat equations on the real line and with an additive Gaussian noise which is white in time and behaves in space like a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $Hin (0,1)$. The drift term is assumed to be globally Lipschitz. We prove that the solution of each of the above equations is continuous in terms of the index $H$, with respect to the convergence in law in the space of continuous functions.




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Fuhlbohm family history : a collection of memorabilia of our ancestors and families in Germany, USA, and Australia / by Oscar Fuhlbohm.

Fuhlbohm (Family)




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The Mercer story and Amy's story / by Amy Moore ; with Ray Moore.

Moore, Amy, 1908-2005.




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The Barnes story / by Amy Moore ; with Ray Moore.

Moore, Amy, 1908-2005 -- Family.




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Newsletter (South East Family History Group (S.A.)).

South East Family History Group (S.A.) -- Periodicals.




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From Westphalia to South Australia : the story of Franz Heinrich Ernst Siekmann / by Peter Brinkworth.

Siekmann, Francis Heinrich Ernst, 1830-1917.




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From the coalfields of Somerset to the Adelaide Hills and beyond : the story of the Hewish Family : three centuries of one family's journey through time / Maureen Brown.

Hewish Henry -- Family.




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The Yangya Hicks : tales from the Hicks family of Yangya near Gladstone, South Australia, written from the 12th of May 1998 / by Joyce Coralie Hale (nee Hicks) (28.12.1923-17.12.2003).

Hicks (Family)




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Gordon of Huntly : heraldic heritage : cadets to South Australia / Robin Gregory Gordon.

South Australia -- Genealogy.




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List of family history books owned by Roy Klemm.

Family histories -- South Australia -- Bibliography.




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The story of Thomas & Ann Stone family : including Helping Hobart's Orphans, the King's Orphan School for Boys 1831-1836 / Alexander E.H. Stone.

King's Orphan Schools (New Town, Tas.)




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GEDmatch : tools for DNA & genealogy research / by Kerry Farmer.

Genetic genealogy -- Handbooks, manuals, etc.




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The Kuerschner story : 1848 - 1999 / compiled by Gerald Kuerschner.

Kuerschner (Family)




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Our Lady of Grace family page of history : a bookweek bicentennial project / edited by Janeen Brian.

Our Lady of Grace School (Glengowrie, S.A.)




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A family history Siglin to Siegele 1530 to 2019 : from Ditzingen, Germany over land and sea / Ian G. Siegele.

Germans -- South Australia.




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No turning back : stories of our ancestors / by David Gambling.

Gambling (Family)




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Daws : the ancestors of Revell Daws.

Daws, Revell.




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South Australian history sources / by Andrew Guy Peake.

South Australia -- History -- Sources.




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Traegers in Australia. 3, Ernst's story : the story of Ernst Wilhelm Traeger and Johanne Dorothea nee Lissmann, and their descendants, 1856-2018.

Traeger, Ernst Wilhelm, 1805-1874.




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Fuhlbohm family history : a collection of memorabilia of our ancestors and families in Germany, USA, and Australia / by Oscar Fuhlbohm.

Fuhlbohm (Family)




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Hubbe family history items

Hubbe (Family)




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Living through English history : stories of the Urlwin, Brittridge, Vasper, Partridge and Ellerby families / Janet McLeod.

Urlwin (Family).




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Cook family history papers

Cook, William, 1815-1897




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Slow tain to Auschwitz : memoirs of a life in war and peace / Peter Kraus.

Kraus, Peter -- Biography.




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From Wends we came : the story of Johann and Maria Huppatz & their descendants / compiled by Frank Huppatz and Rone McDonnell.

Huppatz (Family).




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From alms house to first nation : a story of my ancestors in South Australia : a Sherwell family story / by Pamela Coad (nee Sherwell).

Sherwell (Family)




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Geoff Nixon, man of the land : a history of Gunniguldrie and the Nixon family / Robert Nixon.

Nixon, Geoffrey Owen, 1921-2011.




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How States, Assessment Companies Can Work Together Amid Coronavirus Testing Cancellations

Scott Marion, who consults states on testing, talks about why it's important for vendors and public officials to work cooperatively in renegotiating contracts amid assessment cancellations caused by COVID-19.

The post How States, Assessment Companies Can Work Together Amid Coronavirus Testing Cancellations appeared first on Market Brief.




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Economists Expect Huge Future Earnings Loss for Students Missing School Due to COVID-19

Members of the future American workforce could see losses of earnings that add up to trillions of dollars, depending on how long coronavirus-related school closures persist.

The post Economists Expect Huge Future Earnings Loss for Students Missing School Due to COVID-19 appeared first on Market Brief.




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ACT and Teachers’ Union Partner to Provide Remote Learning Resources Amid Pandemic

ACT and the American Federation of Teachers are partnering to provide free resources as educators increasingly switch to distance learning amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

The post ACT and Teachers’ Union Partner to Provide Remote Learning Resources Amid Pandemic appeared first on Market Brief.




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As States’ Budgets Reel During COVID-19, Districts to Feel the Wrath

State funding for K-12 is likely to fall sharply, though districts could look to protect essentials like distance-learning support and professional development, says school finance expert Mike Griffith.

The post As States’ Budgets Reel During COVID-19, Districts to Feel the Wrath appeared first on Market Brief.




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4 Ways to Help Students Cultivate Meaningful Connections Through Tech

The CEO of Move This World isn't big on screen time, but in the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, technology--when used with care--can help strengthen relationships.

The post 4 Ways to Help Students Cultivate Meaningful Connections Through Tech appeared first on Market Brief.




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Calif. Ed-Tech Consortium Seeks Media Repository Solutions; Saint Paul District Needs Background Check Services

Saint Paul schools are in the market for a vendor to provide background checks, while the Education Technology Joint Powers Authority is seeking media repositories. A Texas district wants quotes on technology for new campuses.

The post Calif. Ed-Tech Consortium Seeks Media Repository Solutions; Saint Paul District Needs Background Check Services appeared first on Market Brief.




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Item 02: William Hilton Saunders WWI diary, 1 January 1917 - 24 October 1917




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Item 04: William Hilton Saunders WWI diary, 18 February 1919 - 8 July 1919




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Item 03: William Hilton Saunders WWI diary, 1 January 1918 - 31 December 1918




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Item 01: William Hilton Saunders WWI diary, February 1916 - 2 January 1917




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Item 05: William Hilton Saunders WWI 1916-1919 address book with poetry




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Arthur Leeman Fulton WWI diary, 1 January - 6 August 1916




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Item 2: George Hugh Morrison diary, 1 January 1917-9 October 1917




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Item 04: Notebook of Colonel Alfred Hobart Sturdee, 8 August 1914 to 25 February 1918




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Item 01: Captain Vernon Sturdee diary, 25 April, 1915 to 2 July, 1915




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Glass stereoscopic slides of Gallipoli, May 1915 / photographed by Charles Snodgrass Ryan