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What past oil crashes say about today’s slump

The oil industry is going through its third crash in prices since the formation of the OPEC cartel. Many are wondering when the market will recover and what oil prices will be when it finally does. The first price crash came in the mid-1980’s, a decade after OPEC’s formation. The second crash came at the onset…

       




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Fewer field trips mean some students miss more than a day at the museum


As every good teacher knows, education is not just about academics. It is about broadening horizons and discovering passions. (The root of education is the Latin e ducere, meaning “to draw out.”) From this perspective, extra-curricular activities count for a great deal. But as Robert Putnam highlights in his book Our Kids, there are growing class gaps in the availability of music, sports, and other non-classroom activities.

Fewer field trips?

Schools under pressure may also cut back on field trips outside the school walls to parks, zoos, theaters, or museums. In the 2008-09 school year, 9 percent of school administrators reported eliminating field trips, according to the annual surveys by the American Association of School Administrators (AASA). That figure rose through the recession:

Just 12 percent of the administrators surveyed about 2015-16 said they had brought back their field trips to pre-recession levels. Museums around the country report hosting fewer students, from Los Angeles and Sarasota, to Minneapolis, and Columbia, Missouri. None of this is definitive proof of a decline in field trips, since we are relying on a single survey question. But it suggests a downward trend in recent years.

Museums help with science tests

If some children are missing out on field trips, does it matter? They may be nice treats, but do they have any real impact, especially when they take time away from traditional learning? There is some evidence that they do.

Middle school children with the chance to go on a field trip score higher on science tests, according to a 2015 study by Emilyn Ruble Whitesell.

She studied New York City middle schools with teachers in Urban Advantage, a program that gives science teachers additional training and resources—as well as vouchers for visiting museums. In some schools, the Urban Advantage teachers used the field trip vouchers more than others. Whitesell exploits this difference in her study, and finds that attending a school with at least 0.25 trips per student increased 8th grade scores by 0.026 standard deviations (SD). The odds of a student passing the exam improved by 1.2 percentage points. There were bigger effects for poor students, who saw a 0.043 SD improvement in test scores, and 1.9 percentage point increase in exam pass rates.

Art broadens young minds

Students visiting an art museum show statistically significant increases in critical thinking ability and more open-minded attitudes, according to a randomized evaluation of student visits to the Crystal Bridges Museum in northwest Arkansas. One example: those who visited the museum more often agreed with statements like: “I appreciate hearing views different from my own” and “I think people can have different opinions about the same thing.” The effects are modest. But the intervention (a single day at the museum) is, too. Again, there were larger effects for poor students:

All this needs to be put in perspective. In comparison with the challenge of closing academic gaps and quality teaching, field trips are small beer. But schools create citizens as well as undergraduates and employees. It matters, then, if we have allowed field trips to become a casualty of the great recession.

Authors

Image Source: © Jacob Slaton / Reuters
     
 
 




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Give fathers more than one day: The case for paternity leave


Feminism needs fathers. Unless and until men and women share the responsibilities of parenting equally, gender parity in the labor market will remain out of reach.

As Isabel Sawhill and I argued in our piece on “Men’s Lib” for the New York Times, “The gender revolution has been a one-sided effort. We have not pushed hard enough to put men in traditionally female roles—that is where our priority should lie now.”

Dads on the home front: Paternity leave

An important step towards gender equality is then the provision of paternity leave, or at least forms of parental leave that can be taken up by fathers as well as mothers. Right now the U.S. is one of the few advanced nations with no dedicated leave for fathers:

But there are reasons to be hopeful. More companies are offering paternity leave or, like Amazon, a “leave bank” that parents can share between them. Hillary Clinton is promising to push for paid family leave if she wins in November. Recent studies of California’s paid leave scheme, introduced in 2004, suggest that there are significant benefits for fathers.

The number of fathers taking leave while the mother is in paid work rose by 50 percent, according to an analysis of the American Community Survey by Ann Bartel of Colombia and her colleagues.

Fathers of sons are more likely to take leave than those with daughters, suggesting that parents particularly value father-son bonding. Fathers were also very much more likely to take leave if they worked in occupations with a high share of female workers, indicating that workplace culture is also a big factor.

Men are more likely to take leave when it is exclusively available to them—with a so-called “use it or lose it” design—and when the period of leave is paid. The Quebec Parental Insurance Plan, for instance, which offers fathers three to five weeks at home with a child, resulted in a 250 percent increase father’s participation in parental leave.

Benefits of paternity leave

Of course, there are costs. Paid leave has to be funded: either through payroll taxes (as most Democrats including Senator Kirsten Gillibrand want), taxes on the wealthy (Clinton’s preferred approach), or tax breaks for firms (as Marco Rubio has suggested).

So what are the upsides? Among the potential benefits from paternity leave are:

  • A more equal division of labor in terms of parenting and childcare
  • More equal sharing of domestic labor, including housework
  • Less stress on the family
  • Closer father-infant bonding
  • Higher pay for mothers (according to a study in Sweden, future income for new mothers rises by 7 percent on average for every month of paternity leave taken by the father)

More than a day

Gender roles have evolved rapidly in recent decades, especially in terms of the place and status of women. But the evolution of our mental models of masculinity, and especially fatherhood, has been slower. Helping fathers to take time to care for their children will help children, families, and women. Fathers need more than a day.

Image Source: © Adrees Latif / Reuters
      
 
 




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Valentine’s Day and the Economics of Love


On Valentine’s Day, even a dismal scientist’s mind turns to love. It’s a powerful feeling, with a value that goes far beyond the millions of chocolate boxes and bouquets that will be delivered this Feb. 14.

Survey data from the Gallup Organization, where Justin works as a senior scientist, allow us to take a uniquely deep look at the state of love around the world. In 2006 and 2007, Gallup went to 136 countries and asked people, “Did you experience love for a lot of the day yesterday?” It’s the largest such dataset ever collected.

The good news: Ours is a loving world. On a typical day, about 70 percent of people worldwide reported a love-filled day. In the U.S., 81 percent felt love, as did 81 percent of Canadians and 79 percent of Italians. Germany and the U.K. were less loving, with slightly less than 3 in 4 people reporting feeling loved. Surprisingly, the same was true of the supposedly romantic French. And if you’re in Japan, please hug someone: Only 59 percent of Japanese said they had experienced love the previous day.

Across the world as a whole, the widowed and divorced are the least likely to experience love. Married folks feel more of it than singles. People who live together out of wedlock report getting even more love than married spouses -- an interesting factoid for conservatives worried about the effects of cohabitation. Women get more love than men, particularly in the U.S.

Young Love

If you’re young and not feeling all that loved this Valentine’s Day, don’t despair: You’re not alone. Young adults are among the least likely to experience love. It gets better with age, ultimately peaking in the mid-30s or mid-40s in most countries before fading again into the twilight years.

Money is related to love. Those with more household income are slightly more likely to experience the feeling. Roughly speaking, doubling your income is associated with being about 4 percentage points more likely to be loved. Perhaps having more money makes it easier to find time for love.

That said, the data aren’t necessarily telling us that money can buy you love. It’s possible that other factors correlated with income, such as height or appearance, are the real source of attraction. Or maybe being loved gives you a boost in the labor market.

What’s perhaps more striking is how little money matters on a global level. True, the populations of richer countries are, on average, slightly more likely to feel loved than those of poorer countries. But love is still abundant in the poorer countries: People in Rwanda and the Philippines enjoyed the highest love ratios, with more than 9 in 10 people providing positive responses. Armenia, Uzbekistan, Mongolia and Kyrgyzstan, with economic output per person in the middle of the range, all had love ratios of less than 4 in 10.

Fun facts aside, we think there is a deeper and more consequential purpose to the study of love. Think about what love means to you. To us, it means caring about others and being cared for. Love is valuable, even if it is absent from both our national accounts and our political discourse.

In the language of economics, love is a form of insurance. It involves bonds of reciprocity that provide support when we’re feeling down, when we’re sick and when times are tough.

More broadly, love has the power to mitigate the free-rider and moral hazard problems associated with social (and private) insurance. Bailing out a bank might encourage executives to take bigger risks in the future, but helping loved ones down on their luck has fewer incentive problems because our loved ones typically care for us in return. Such mutually beneficial relationships make us all more resilient in times of crisis. This is why the household remains one of the most powerful institutions for organizing not just families but also our economic lives.

If we can find more love for our fellow citizens, our society will function better. Hard as this may be to achieve in an era when trust in government, business and one another is low, it’s worth the effort. When you expand the boundaries of trust and reciprocity, you expand the boundaries of what is possible.

Note: This content was first published on Bloomberg View on February 13, 2013.

Publication: Bloomberg
     
 
 




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Saban Forum 2015—Israel and the United States: Yesterday, today, and tomorrow


Event Information

December 4-6, 2015

Online Only
Live Webcast



On December 4 to 6, the Center for Middle East Policy at Brookings hosted its 12th annual Saban Forum, titled “Israel and the United States: Yesterday, today, and tomorrow.” The 2015 Saban Forum included webcasts featuring remarks by Israel’s Minister of Defense Moshe Ya’alon, Chairman of the Yesh Atid Party Yair Lapid, National Security Adviser to President George W. Bush Stephen Hadley, Secretary of State John Kerry, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (via video), and former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton. The forum’s webcast sessions focused on the future for Israelis and Palestinians, Iran’s role in the Middle East, spillover from the war in Syria, and the global threat posed by the Islamic State and other violent jihadi groups.

Over the past twelve years, the Saban Forum has become the premier platform for frank dialogue between American and Israeli leaders from government, civil society, business, and the media. As a result, the Saban Forum is a seminal event, generating new ideas and helping shape the future of the U.S.-Israel relationship.

Join the conversation on Twitter using #Saban15

Video

Audio

Transcript

Event Materials

     
 
 




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Six ways to handle Trump’s impeachment during holiday dinners

It is a holiday dinner and all hell is about to break out in the dining room. One of your relatives asks what you think about the President Donald Trump impeachment proceedings. There is silence around the table because your family is dreading what is about to happen. Everyone knows Uncle Charley loves Trump while…

       




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Africa Industrialization Day: Moving from rhetoric to reality

Sunday, November 20 marked another United Nations “Africa Industrialization Day.” If anything, the level of attention to industrializing Africa coming from regional organizations, the multilateral development banks, and national governments has increased since the last one. This year, the new president of the African Development Bank flagged industrial development as one of his “high five”…

      
 
 




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Super Tuesday Turned Into a Super Flop

The Syndrome, the villain in the 2004 animated movie “The Incredibles,” is an ordinary guy who has a plan to put an end to superheroes by making everyone a superhero.

Syndrome’s evil machinations came to fruition on Tuesday, Feb. 5, 2008.

The political parties permit states to hold their presidential nominating contests as early as the first Tuesday in February, with familiar states such as Iowa and New Hampshire given exemptions. Other states jealous of the attention lavished on those early states plotted to make their primaries or caucuses sooner, sometimes even violating party rules and suffering a penalty as a consequence.

To quote Syndrome, when everyone is a super, no one is a super. And so it was with the Super Tuesday states.

Although not intended, a national primary emerged as 24 states fell over one another in a Keystone Kop spectacle by moving up their primaries and caucuses to Feb. 5.

Some argued that this would be good for the political parties in the general election since only a candidate who could run a national campaign would win the nomination.

Ironically, the candidates acted just like they do in a general election, where they concentrate on the competitive battleground states. On Super Tuesday they decided where they could be competitive, where they could pick up delegates, and targeted their scarce resources to those states.

States that thought they would be relevant found themselves irrelevant safe states that the candidates passed by and simply helped run up delegate totals for their favored candidate.

A year ago, the campaigns were focused on building organizations and cultivating supporters in the early contest states of Iowa and New Hampshire. Some candidate strategies were solely focused on jump-starting their campaigns by winning these early states, and others hoped that decisive wins would quickly seal the nomination. Some of the better-financed campaigns could be forward-looking, but they still would not want to spend time and money on Super Tuesday states unless they were sure they would need to.

By the time the nomination process was whittled down to the remaining players and the campaigns could start their Super Tuesday planning, little time was left to advertise, send direct mail and build volunteer organizations. Even where the campaigns decided they could be competitive, too many states were in play for the campaigns to pour in the same resources they did in Iowa and New Hampshire.

The resulting dynamic had a twofold effect on voter participation in this year of high voter interest.

Lack of competition drove down turnout in states such as New York, where Sens. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) and John McCain (R-Ariz.) were expected to win big victories. Only 19 percent of eligible New Yorkers voted, compared with 53 percent in New Hampshire.

Lack of organization and campaigning drove turnout down across the board, as all primary states combined averaged a turnout rate of 29 percent. Poor organization particularly afflicted the caucuses, which require campaign organizations to mobilize supporters to give up an entire evening. While 16 percent of eligible Iowans attended caucuses, the combined attendance rate for the four states holding caucuses for both political parties was a meager 6 percent.

The silver lining is that continued voter interest buoyed participation where competition and organization failed. Turnout likely would have been much worse if the nominees already had been decided.

As we move forward from Super Tuesday, those states that did not crowd to the front of the line will now find themselves being courted a little more graciously and intensely by the campaigns. This should help increase voter participation. However, the nomination battles are still coming rather fast and furiously, so the campaigns still can’t give the extended engagement they do for the early states. Some campaigns are now facing hard choices as to where they can spend their limited remaining resources. Except for perhaps a few intensely fought competitive states remaining, voter turnout has thus likely peaked in this election cycle.

We expected Super Tuesday to soar into the stratosphere. Instead, it was more of a flop, a cheap imitation of Iowa and New Hampshire. When the dust settles after this primary season and we look back at how the parties nominate their candidates, we will still be searching for a way to have more equitable involvement by voters in all states.

Publication: Roll Call
     
 
 




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What drove Biden’s big wins on Super Tuesday?

Brookings Senior Fellow John Hudak looks at the results of the Super Tuesday presidential primaries and examines the factors that fueled former Vice President Joe Biden's dramatic comeback, why former Mayor Bloomberg's unlimited budget couldn't save his candidacy, and which upcoming states will be the true tests of Biden and Bernie Sanders's competing visions for…

       




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Cyber Grand Challenge contrasts today’s cybersecurity risks

Cade Metz’s article for Wired titled “Hackers Don’t Have to Be Human Anymore. This Bot Battle Proves It” described a curious event that took place in Las Vegas on August 4, 2016. The first Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) Cyber Grand Challenge witnessed seven teams compete for cyber security supremacy. Unlike traditional hacking contests,…

       




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Today’s mayors are tackling new challenges

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Democrats should seize the day with North America trade agreement

The growing unilateralism and weaponization of trade policy by President Trump have turned into the most grievous risk for a rules-based international system that ensures fairness, reciprocity and a level playing field for global trade. If this trend continues, trade policy will end up being decided by interest groups with enough access to influence and…

       




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TreeHugger Radio #201: A Greener iCloud, Obama on Gas, Talking Plants, and Doomsday Dating

This week, Jacob and Brian talk about a greener Apple Inc., crazy-ass weather, Obama's oil and gas issues, and a dating site for the doomsday crowd.




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How an 'Untouchable Day' can boost your productivity

Where distractions are weeded out, focus can take root.




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Jacques Tati's film Playtime was released 50 years ago, but has lessons for us today

We are still befuddled by technology but bumble along.




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This May Day, get outside and celebrate spring.

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Happy 100th birthday, Paul Rudolph

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Happy 210th Birthday, Charles Darwin!

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UK just went 2+ days without burning any coal

The fall of coal has been swift in Britain, and there's no sign of it ever coming back.




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Caltech's Energy Retrofit: From Fuel Cells to a Daylighting Celeostat

On Caltech's campus, student engineers and scientists are busy in labs day and night working on hairy solar panels, termite




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4 Ways to Avoid the Hidden Evils of Valentine’s Day

From child labor to blood diamonds, showing your love can have some seriously unexpected pitfalls.




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14 ways to go green this Valentine's day

A list of ways to share the love with everyone you adore without hating on the environment.




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Valentine’s Day by the numbers, are you sitting down?

The holiday once marked by amorous missives and hand-plucked posies has evolved into a day of staggering statistics.




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Have a sweet Valentine’s Day – without the stuff

In this installment of Town and Country, we talk about skipping consumerism on Valentine’s Day.




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6 beauty recipes that are pink and red for Valentine's Day

Get in the Valentine’s Day mood with these fun DIY beauty recipes for masks, moisturizers, and scrubs – all of which are suitably pink or red for the occasion!




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How to celebrate a green Valentine's Day

The size of one's carbon footprint is not usually a major concern on this romantic holiday, but it can be mitigated with advance planning.




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Don't rush out to buy a last-minute Valentine's Day gift

It's important to remember that every physical gift comes at a cost that's both financial and environmental.




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Valentine's Day is losing its allure with young adults

Is Cupid's appeal fading as millennials find the holiday has become too commercialized?




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Wretched Excess: Private yachts are so yesterday, now it's private floating islands.

But, we ask, are they green and sustainable?




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How to make your wedding day green

A wedding is one of the most important days in a couple's life. If you care about the planet, why not integrate your principles into your big day?




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6 ways to keep it simple on your wedding day

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UNEP & TreeHugger Launch Blogging Contest for World Environment Day

Once again, we're proud to partner with the United Nations Environment Programme to help fight food waste and bring attention to World Environment Day.




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Vote now for World Environment Day Blogging Contest!

Did you know that 50% of food produced is wasted? It is true, but thankfully, the United Nations Environment Program and TreeHugger are helping shine a light on this problem with our fourth annual World Environment Day Blogging Competition.




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Winner announced in World Environment Day blogging contest

Charles Immanuel Akhimien, a Nigerian doctor and writer, will report from WED host country Mongolia.




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U.S. Food Waste Challenge honors World Environment Day

In keeping with this year's theme, the USDA and EPA are launching a challenge to reduce food waste at each step from farm to fork.




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Fighting food waste around the globe in honor of World Environment Day

A round-up of stories addressing the global problem of food waste.




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Mongolia hosts World Environment Day to highlight sustainable future

I was fortunate enough to attend the official start of World Environment Day in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia. Here's why their vision for a sustainable future is so important.




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United Nations Environment Programme announces the 2014 theme of World Environment Day

Vote today for your favorite slogan!




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21-year-old activist wins World Environment Day video competition

The United Nations Environment Programme and goodwill ambassador Don Cheadle have selected a winner. See the video here.




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Ian Somerhalder named Goodwill Ambassador for World Environment Day 2014

The actor known for The Vampire Diaries and Lost joined today's World Environment Day celebrations in Barbados.




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World Environment Day highlights Barbados’ sustainability programs

The host country of the United Nations World Environment day is working to protect its natural resources and adapt to climate change.




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World Environment Day 2015 to promote sustainable lifestyles

The UN Environment Program takes aim at unsustainable consumption in 2015.




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World Environment Day launches logo design competition

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Enter the World Environment Day blogging competition and win a trip to Milan

In anticipation of World Environment Day on June 5, the United Nations Environment Programme is hosting a blogging competition to raise awareness about this year’s theme of sustainable consumption.




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Football star Yaya Touré joins the World Environment Day celebrations as goodwill ambassador

The soccer star arrived in an electric retro-fit Fiat Panda and attended a cooking demonstration.




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Happy Birthday Alfalfa House

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A Not To Be Missed Plastic Ocean Themed Green Drinks NYC Holiday Party This Tuesday

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It's National Handwriting Day. Do you still write by hand?

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Presidents' Day Survey: Who Is The Greenest President?

The results are often surprising.




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One-a-day bananas: Genius at work or waste of packaging? (Survey)

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