pi Atlantic Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 752 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2019 .Post-Tropical Cyclone DORIAN CAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF TROPICAL Cyclone WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST PUBLIC Advisory By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 07 Sep 2019 23:52:47 +0000 000 WTNT85 KNHC 072352 TCVAT5 DORIAN WATCH/WARNING INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 59A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 752 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2019 .POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN CAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE COAST...AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD GRIDS. MEZ017-029-030-080100- /O.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 752 PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2019 $$ ATTN...WFO...CAR... Full Article
pi NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 09 May 2020 17:36:50 +0000 000 AXNT20 KNHC 091736 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1230 PM EDT Sat May 9 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1700 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from 10N14W to 03N24W. The ITCZ extends from 03N24W to 00N38W to 00N50W. Numerous moderate scattered strong convection is noted from 02N-09N between 09W- 22W. Scattered moderate convection is seen within 300 nm of the ITCZ between 32W-50W. GULF OF MEXICO... A cold front extends from Cedar Key Florida to 28N93W to 26N96W, then transitions to a stationary front from 26N96W to the coast of Mexico near 22N98W and inland to beyond 25N101W. As of 1500 UTC, a weak 1014 low is analyzed along the front near 25N96W. Numerous strong convection is over the southwest Gulf of Mexico from 19N-24N between 93.5W-96.5W. Scattered to numerous moderate and isolated strong convection is elsewhere inside the points bounded by 29N96W to 29N90W to 25N92W to 23N86W to 19N97W to 29N96W. A recent ASCAT pass shows strong NE winds over the northern Gulf, north of the cold front and northwest of the surface low near the Texas coast. An area of strong winds are also seen off the NW coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Gentle to moderate winds are over the SE Gulf, as an E-W surface ridge is seen extending along 25N from 73W-88W. The cold front will move S to the central Gulf waters later today and gradually stall through Sun. The weak low pressure over the SW Gulf will track east-northeastward toward South Florida on Sun. The stalled front will then transition back to a cold front and exit the southeastern Gulf on Mon. Numerous showers and thunderstorms will impact most of the southern and eastern Gulf waters through the rest of this weekend. CARIBBEAN SEA... Mid- to upper-level ridging prevails over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea. TPW imagery shows abundant moisture over the western Caribbean. A weak surface trough over Cuba is inducing scattered showers and isolated tstorms north of 20N between 77W-88W. Farther south, troughing extending from the east Pacific over Central America is inducing scattered showers and tstorms from the eastern coast of Honduras to Panama, and extending out offshore to 60 nm from the Caribbean coast of Central America. A recent ASCAT pass shows strong trades between 67W-75W, with fresh trades elsewhere from 10.5N-18N between 63W-79W. Moderate winds are seen elsewhere. High pressure N of the area will support fresh to strong trade winds across the central Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds over most of the remainder of the basin through Sun night. The aerial extent of the strong trades will diminish and will be confined to the south-central Caribbean through the middle of next week. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front has entered the waters east of northern Florida and extends from 32N75W to Daytona Beach Florida to the western Gulf of Mexico. Fresh winds prevail on both sides of the cold front north of 28N between 69W-81W. Strong winds are north of 30N. Only isolated showers are noted with this front. The front will move across the waters N of the Bahamas through Sun. A cold front extends from 32N46W to 28N52W to 25.5N61W. It continues WSW as a stationary front from 25.5N61W to the Bahamas near 23N75W. A surface trough is analyzed from 23N75W across Cuba to 21N83W. Scattered moderate convection is seen over portions of the central and southeastern Bahamas from 22N-24N between 72.5W-76W. Scattered showers and isolated tstorms are elsewhere within 60 nm of the surface trough and stationary front. Isolated showers are along the cold front. A 1025 mb high is centered near 29N37W. A weak surface trough extends across the Canary Islands from 31N14W to 25N23W with isolated showers. Weak low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico will track ENE across South Florida into the Bahamas Sun through Mon night, enhancing winds and generating numerous showers and thunderstorms. In the wake of the low, a cold front will move across the waters east of Florida and the northern Bahamas through Mon night, then stall from near 29N65W to central Cuba late Tue. $$ Hagen Full Article
pi Chesapeake Adopts Poison Pill After Shares Plummet By www.rigzone.com Published On :: Thu, 23 Apr 2020 21:23:52 GMT While the company has pushed to transition into an oil explorer, that move could prove pointless after crude's historic crash. Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Hurricane Kiko Tropical Cyclone Update...Corrected By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 15 Sep 2019 00:37:11 +0000 000 WTPZ63 KNHC 150036 CCA TCUEP3 Hurricane Kiko Tropical Cyclone Update...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 530 PM PDT Sat Sep 14 2019 Corrected location coordinates ...HURRICANE KIKO NEAR MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH... Recent satellite-based intensity estimates indicate that Hurricane Kiko has rapidly strengthened since the last advisory. The maximum sustained winds have increased to 110 mph (175 km/h). The higher intensity will be reflected in the next forecast advisory, which will be issued before 800 PM PDT. SUMMARY OF 530 PM AST...0030 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 119.7W ABOUT 760 MI...1225 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES $$ Forecaster Zelinsky Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone OCTAVE Forecast/Advisory Number 9 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 125.7W AT By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:37:46 +0000 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 192037 TCMEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 125.7W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 125.7W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 125.8W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 11.4N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.1N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 10.8N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 10.9N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 11.7N 125.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 12.4N 125.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 12.0N 124.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 125.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM $$ FORECASTER BERG Full Article
pi Atlantic Tropical Storm Karen Tropical Cyclone Update By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 23:59:44 +0000 000 WTNT62 KNHC 222359 TCUAT2 Tropical Storm Karen Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122019 800 PM AST Sun Sep 22 2019 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES... The government of Barbados has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for St. Vincent and the Grenadines. $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Advisory Number 4 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Wed, 16 Oct 2019 17:52:30 +0000 000 WTPZ32 KNHC 161752 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172019 100 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...DISTURBANCE NOW UNLIKELY TO BRING TROPICAL-STORM CONDITIONS TO THE COAST OF MEXICO... ...RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.6N 96.6W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM WNW OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM N OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch for the coast of southeastern Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches of warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 96.6 West. The system is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. On this track, the disturbance is expected to move farther inland over southeastern Mexico during the next several hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. While the chances that the disturbance will become a tropical cyclone are decreasing, there is still a small chance that a tropical depression could develop if the center can re-form along the coast later today or tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches along the southwest coast of Mexico from Chiapas to Jalisco, and 2 to 4 inches over southern Guatemala. Isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible in Mexico. Rainfall in both Guatemala and Mexico could produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: A few wind gusts to tropical-storm force may occur along portions of the coast of southeastern Mexico today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Please refer to forecasts and warnings from the Meteorological Service of Mexico for more information on the ongoing rainfall threat. $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Sebastien Discussion Number 23 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 25 Nov 2019 02:32:11 +0000 000 WTNT45 KNHC 250232 TCDAT5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Sebastien Discussion Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202019 1100 PM AST Sun Nov 24 2019 Sebastien has lost its tropical characteristics this evening. The deep convection has decoupled from the low-level circulation, and these features are now separated by a distance of 100 n mi and increasing. Two partial ASCAT passes revealed that the surface low is becoming stretched out, and there is some evidence of a boundary, possibly a front, extending northeast from the center. Furthermore, recent observations from Corbo and Flores islands in the Azores indicated a slight temperature decrease as the center passed by to the north of those islands, suggesting that a weak cold front is associated with the the cyclone. Based on all of these data, there is high confidence that Sebastien has transitioned to an extratropical cyclone. The initial advisory intensity is 50 kt which is based on 47 kt winds sampled by the scatterometer and a subjective intensity estimate from TAFB. Post-tropical cyclone Sebastien is moving northeastward at 35 kt, embedded in the strong flow to the southeast of a mid- to upper- level trough. This motion, and the cyclone's current intensity, is expected to persist for the next day or so, before the cyclone merges with a higher-latitude low. The cyclone will likely bring gusty winds and heavy rains to portions of the Azores through Monday morning. Please see products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and the Atmosphere (IPMA) for more details. Additional information on this system can be found in: High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/0300Z 41.0N 28.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 12H 25/1200Z 43.6N 22.7W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 26/0000Z 48.1N 14.2W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 26/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW $$ Forecaster Latto Full Article
pi Atlantic Tropical Storm OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA... ...DAMAGING WINDS STILL OCCURRING INLAND... NOAA Doppler weather radar data indicate that the center of Michael is now moving into south-central Georgia. Tropical storm-force winds continue over central and By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Thu, 11 Oct 2018 04:00:43 +0000 000 WTNT64 KNHC 110400 TCUAT4 Tropical Storm Michael Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018 1200 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...12 AM EDT POSITION UPDATE... ...MICHAEL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA... ...DAMAGING WINDS STILL OCCURRING INLAND... NOAA Doppler weather radar data indicate that the center of Michael is now moving into south-central Georgia. Tropical storm-force winds continue over central and southern Georgia, and are spreading across the coast of southeastern Georgia. This will be the last hourly position update issued by the National Hurricane Center on Michael. The next intermediate advisory will be issued at 2 AM EDT...0600 UTC. SUMMARY OF 1200 AM EDT...0400 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.3N 83.6W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSW OF MACON GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...115 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
pi NTU and SMI launch comprehensive report to help the shipping industry adopt alternative and greener fuels By news.ntu.edu.sg Published On :: Wed, 15 Apr 2020 16:00:00 GMT ... Full Article All
pi Developing tests to diagnose Covid-19 in minutes By news.ntu.edu.sg Published On :: Sun, 03 May 2020 16:00:00 GMT At least two research groups in NTU are working on speeding up the process of identifying infected Covid-19 patients with test kits that can show results in minutes, instead of the current day-long wait for polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test results.... Full Article All
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Sebastien Advisory Number 23 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 25 Nov 2019 02:31:36 +0000 000 WTNT35 KNHC 250231 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Sebastien Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202019 1100 PM AST Sun Nov 24 2019 ...SEBASTIEN NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.0N 28.9W ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM NNW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of the remnants of Sebastien. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Sebastien was located near latitude 41.0 North, longitude 28.9 West. Sebastien is moving toward the northeast near 40 mph (65 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Post-tropical cyclone Sebastien should maintain its intensity before merging with another low during the next day or two. Gale-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND AND RAIN: The cyclone is expected to bring gusty winds and rain to the Azores through Monday morning. Please see products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and the Atmosphere (IPMA) for more information. SURF: Swells generated by Sebastien are expected to affect the Azores during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Sebastien. Additional information on this system can be found in: High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at: www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2 $$ Forecaster Latto Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone Octave Advisory Number 9 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:38:43 +0000 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 192038 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Octave Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182019 200 PM PDT Sat Oct 19 2019 ...OCTAVE BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.6N 125.7W ABOUT 1300 MI...2090 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Octave was located near latitude 11.6 North, longitude 125.7 West. Octave is moving toward the east-northeast near 2 mph. A slow and erratic motion is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Berg Full Article
pi Atlantic Hurricane Lorenzo Tropical Cyclone Update By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 29 Sep 2019 02:07:56 +0000 000 WTNT63 KNHC 290207 TCUAT3 Hurricane Lorenzo Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132019 1010 PM AST Sat Sep 28 2019 ...LORENZO STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... Recent satellite data indicate that Lorenzo has continued to rapidly strengthen to an extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds near 160 mph (260 km/h). This increase in intensity will be reflected in the forecast issued at 11 pm AST (0300 UTC). SUMMARY OF 1010 PM AST...0210 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.1N 45.0W ABOUT 1410 MI...2270 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.31 INCHES $$ Forecaster Brown/Latto Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Narda Tropical Cyclone Update By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 29 Sep 2019 13:17:02 +0000 000 WTPZ61 KNHC 291316 TCUEP1 Tropical Storm Narda Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162019 915 AM CDT Sun Sep 29 2019 ...CENTER OF NARDA NOW NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO... Satellite imagery and data from coastal stations in Mexico indicate that the center of Narda is northwest of the previous advisory position and it is now located close to the coast of Mexico near Zihuatanejo. The Mexican Navy station at Puerto Vicente recently reported sustained winds of 38 mph (62 km/h) and a wind gust of 52 mph (84 km/h). SUMMARY OF 915 AM CDT...1315 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.6N 101.7W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM W OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Advisory Number 12 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 28 Oct 2019 14:38:49 +0000 000 WTNT33 KNHC 281438 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019 ...COLD WATERS FINALLY TAKE THEIR TOLL ON PABLO... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...46.8N 17.7W ABOUT 730 MI...1170 KM NE OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo was located near latitude 46.8 North, longitude 17.7 West. Pablo is moving toward the north near 5 mph (7 km/h), and a slow north to northwest motion is expected over the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. The post-tropical cyclone is forecast to dissipate by Tuesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. Gale-force winds, some of which are not directly associated with Pablo, are expected to persist well to the north of the cyclone through at least Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Pablo. Additional information on this system can be found in: High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at: www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2 High Seas Forecasts issued by the UK Met Office under WMO header FQNT21 EGRR and on the web at: metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-forecasts/coast-and-sea/high- seas-forecast/. $$ Forecaster Latto Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone PABLO Forecast/Advisory Number 12 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.8N 17.7W AT 28/1500Z By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 28 Oct 2019 14:38:49 +0000 000 WTNT23 KNHC 281438 TCMAT3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.8N 17.7W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 420SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.8N 17.7W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 46.6N 17.7W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 47.4N 17.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 48.5N 18.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 46.8N 17.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW...AND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE UK MET OFFICE UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT21 EGRR. $$ FORECASTER LATTO Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone OLGA Forecast/Advisory Number 3 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL Cyclone WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIO By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 26 Oct 2019 02:50:41 +0000 000 WTNT22 KNHC 260250 TCMAT2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND PRODUCTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR INFORMATION ON THE NON-TROPICAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 92.2W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 120SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 450SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 92.2W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 92.5W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 31.8N 90.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 38.0N 88.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 43.5N 83.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N 92.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond Discussion Number 11 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 17 Nov 2019 14:32:57 +0000 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 171432 TCDEP5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202019 800 AM MST Sun Nov 17 2019 Raymond has degenerated into a remnant low with 25-kt winds. Satellite images indicate that the circulation is elongated and that the thunderstorm activity is well removed from the area of minimum pressure due to very strong wind shear. In addition, observations from the Mexican Navy automatic station at Isla Socorro which is located near Raymond indicate that winds are between 15 and 20 kt. The low is moving northward around 14 kt, but this motion is uncertain since the circulation is elongated and poorly defined. Raymond's remnants are expected to move northward and then north-northwestward and eventually become absorbed by a large developing trough west of the Baja California peninsula in about 24 to 36 hours. The combination of the remnants of Raymond and the developing trough west of the peninsula will bring heavy rains into southern portions of the Baja California peninsula over the next day or two. These rains could cause life-threatening flash flooding. This is the last NHC advisory on Raymond. For additional information about the remnant low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/1500Z 19.1N 111.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 18/0000Z 21.0N 111.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 18/1200Z 23.5N 112.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone SEVENTEEN-E Special ICAO Advisory Number 4 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191016/1800Z TCAC: KNHC TC: SEVENTEEN-E NR: 004 PSN: N1636 W09636 MOV: NW 12K By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Wed, 16 Oct 2019 17:54:36 +0000 000 FKPZ22 KNHC 161752 TCAPZ2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E SPECIAL ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191016/1800Z TCAC: KNHC TC: SEVENTEEN-E NR: 004 PSN: N1636 W09636 MOV: NW 12KT C: 1007HPA MAX WIND: 025KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 16/2100Z N1657 W09706 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 025KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 17/0300Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: ///KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 17/0900Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: ///KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 17/1500Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: ///KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR Forecast/Advisory Number 10...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 CORRECTED 12 FT SEAS RADII CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS Advisory... THE TROPICAL Storm WARN By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 21:00:16 +0000 000 WTNT21 KNHC 192059 CCA TCMAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 CORRECTED 12 FT SEAS RADII CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO TROPICAL CYCLONE COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 84.1W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......210NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 84.1W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 85.0W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 32.3N 81.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 35.0N 76.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 36.8N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 36.8N 68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 36.5N 65.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N 84.1W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON NESTOR. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER STEWART Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Advisory Number 7 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Fri, 01 Nov 2019 08:32:34 +0000 000 WTNT34 KNHC 010832 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192019 500 AM AST Fri Nov 01 2019 ...REBEKAH BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.6N 29.0W ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM N OF FAIAL ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah was located near latitude 40.6 North, longitude 29.0 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east near 20 mph (31 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate this afternoon or tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Hazard information for the Azores can be found in products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) at https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
pi Ciclon post-tropical Nestor Advertencia Numero 10 SNM Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL162019 Traduccion por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 500 PM CDT sabado 19 de octubre de 2019 ...CICLON POST-Tropical NESTOR SOBRE TIERRA EN L By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:59:54 +0000 000 WTCA41 TJSJ 192059 TCPSP1 BOLETIN Ciclon post-tropical Nestor Advertencia Numero 10 SNM Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL162019 Traduccion por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 500 PM CDT sabado 19 de octubre de 2019 ...CICLON POST-TROPICAL NESTOR SOBRE TIERRA EN LA PENINSULA DE LA FLORIDA... ...ESTA ES LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA... RESUMEN DE LAS 500 PM CDT...2100 UTC... INFORMACION ----------------------------------------------------------- LOCALIZACION...30.4 N 84.1 O CERCA DE 70 MI...115 KM NE DE APALACHICOLA FLORIDA CERCA DE 10 MI...20 KM E DE TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH...65 KM/H MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NE O 55 GRADOS A 23 MPH...37 KM/H PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...999 MB...29.50 PULGADAS VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS -------------------- RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO: El Aviso de Tormenta Tropical ha sido descontinuado para las costas golfo, Florida. RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO: No existen avisos ni vigilancias tropicales. DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO ---------------------- A las 500 PM CDT (2100 UTC), imagenes satelitales, data del Radar Doppler de la NOAA y observaciones de superficies indicaron que el centro del ciclon post-tropical Nestor estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 30.4 norte, longitud 84.6 oeste. El ciclon post-tropical se esta moviendo hacia el noreste cerca de 23 mph (37 km/h), y este movimiento se espera que continue esta domingo en la noche. En el pronostico de trayectoria, el ciclon post-tropical Nestor se movera sobre tierra sobre el Panhandle de la Florida esta tarde y el domingo. se espera que el cilon se mueva fuera de la costa a Carolina del Norte al oeste de aguas del Atlantico tarde el domingo. Los vientos maximos sostenidosestan han disminuido a cerca de 40 mph (65 km) con rafagas mas altas. Se anticipa un poco de cambio en la intensidad posible el domingo en la noche y el lunes cuando el ciclon post-tropical se mueva sobre el oeste del Atlantico. La presion minima central estimada por observaciones en la superficie es de 999 mb (29.50 pulgadas). PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ------------------------- LLUVIA: Se espera que el ciclon post-tropical Nestor produzca lluvia adiconal de hasta 1 a 3 pulgadas este fin de semana a traves de sectores del sureste de los Estados Unidos. VIENTOS: Vientos de fuerza galerna se desarrollaran a traves de sectores de las costas del Atlantico y sureste de los Estados unidos mas tarde hoy y esta noche. TORNADOS: Algunos tornados son posibles durante mitad del dia en la Peninsula norte y central de Florida y tarde hoy y esta noche sobre areas costeras de Georgia y las Carolinas. MAREJADA CICLONICA: Los niveles de marejada ciclonica continuaran disminuyendo durante esta noche a lo largo de la costa del Golfo de la Florida. PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA ------------------- Esta es la ultima advertencia emitida por el Centro nacional de Huracanes sobre Nestor. Informacion adicional sobre este sistema puede ser encontrada en High Seas Forecasts emitido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia... bajo AWIPS encabezado NFDHSFAT1 y WMO encabezado FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Pronosticador Stewart Traduccion Ingles Full Article
pi Atlantic Tropical Storm Sebastien Tropical Cyclone Update By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 23 Nov 2019 12:31:08 +0000 000 WTNT65 KNHC 231231 TCUAT5 Tropical Storm Sebastien Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202019 830 AM AST Sat Nov 23 2019 ...CENTER OF SEBASTIEN FARTHER NORTHEAST THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED... Recent microwave and visible satellite imagery indicate that the center of Sebastien is moving faster than forecast and is now located northeast of previous estimates. This will be reflected in the next advisory issued by 11 AM AST (1500 UTC). SUMMARY OF 830 AM AST...1230 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.5N 48.5W ABOUT 1365 MI...2195 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES $$ Forecaster Zelinsky Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND Forecast/Advisory Number 11 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 111.1W A By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 17 Nov 2019 14:32:28 +0000 055 WTPZ25 KNHC 171432 TCMEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 111.1W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 111.1W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 111.3W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.0N 111.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.5N 112.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 111.1W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC, AND ON THE WEB AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP $$ FORECASTER AVILA Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone ONE-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119. By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 26 Apr 2020 20:34:57 +0000 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 262034 PWSEP1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART Full Article
pi Oil Rally Runs Out of Steam on Trepidation By www.rigzone.com Published On :: Wed, 06 May 2020 08:00:13 GMT Oil's rally ran out of steam after prices doubled over five days. Full Article
pi COVID-19 Inspires Downhole Monitoring Model By www.rigzone.com Published On :: Tue, 28 Apr 2020 11:41:28 GMT Acoustic Data has developed a remote downhole monitoring deployment model that overcomes travel restrictions tied to the COVID-19 pandemic. Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone PABLO ICAO Advisory Number 12 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191028/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: PABLO NR: 012 PSN: N4648 W01742 MOV: N 04KT C: 0995HPA MAX WIND: 035KT FCS By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 28 Oct 2019 14:39:17 +0000 000 FKNT23 KNHC 281439 TCANT3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191028/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: PABLO NR: 012 PSN: N4648 W01742 MOV: N 04KT C: 0995HPA MAX WIND: 035KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 28/2100Z N4712 W01750 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 035KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 29/0300Z N4740 W01800 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 035KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 29/0900Z N4813 W01811 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 035KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 29/1500Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: ///KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP $$ Full Article
pi Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga Advertencia Numero 3 Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL172019 Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 1000 PM CDT viernes 25 de 2019 ...OLGA SE CONVIERTE POS-Tropical... ...SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA LLU By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 26 Oct 2019 03:13:26 +0000 000 WTCA42 TJSJ 260313 RRA TCPSP2 BOLETIN Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga Advertencia Numero 3 Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL172019 Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 1000 PM CDT viernes 25 de 2019 ...OLGA SE CONVIERTE POS-TROPICAL... ...SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA LLUVIA FUERTE Y CONDICIONES SEVERIAS A TRAVES DE LA COSTA CENTRO DEL GOLFO Y EL LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALEY EL SABADO... RESUMEN DE LAS 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMACION --------------------------------------------------- LOCALIZACION....27.8 NORTE 92.2 OESTE ALREDEDOR DE 170 MI...275 KM AL SSE DE LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NE O 40 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...999 MB...29.50 PULGADAS RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO: ------------------------------------------ No hay vigilancias o aviso costeros de ciclon tropical en efecto. Favor referirse a Pronosticos de Alto Oleaje emitidos por el Servicio Nacional y los productos emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologa para informacion sobre vigilancias y avisos no-tropical asociados a este sistema. DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO ----------------------- A las 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), el centro de Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga estaba localizada en la latitud 27.8 norte, longitud 92.2 oeste. La pos-tropical ciclon esta moviendose hacia el noreste a cerca de 17 mph (28 km/h) Se pronostica que Olga se mueva rapidamente hacia el norte a norte-noreste el sabado y despues girarse hacia el noreste tarde el sabado o doming. En la trayectoria pronosticada, el centro del ciclon pos-tropical debe moverse a traves del Mississippi Valley manana y hacis los Great Lakes mas tarde el fin de semana. Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph (85 km/h) con rafagas mas fuertes. Se espera que Olga se debilite despues que el sistema se mueva sobre tierra el sabado por la manana. Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 140 millas (220 km) del centro. La presion minima central estimada basado sobre los datos anteriores reportado por el Avion Cazahuracan y observaciones de la superficie sobre el norte del Golfo de Mexico es de 999 mb (29.50 pulgadas). PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ------------------------- VIENTO: Vientos con fuerza de galerna asociado con Olga y sus remenantes deben extenderse sobre sectores de la costa norte del Golfo esta noche y sabado. LLUVIA: El ciclon pos-tropical, y lluvia frente al sistema a lo largo y al norte de la zona frontal a traves de la costa del Golfo Central deben producir acumulaciones totales de lluvia de 3 a 6 pulgadas con totales maximos de 8 pulgadas a traves de la costa del Golfo Central hasta sectores del Lower Mississippi Valley y el oeste del Tennessee Valley hasta el sabado en la manana. Estas lluvias pudieran producir inundaciones repentinas a traves de la costa del Golfo Central hacia Lower Mississippi Valley y y el oeste del Tennessee Valley. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS: Mareas sobre lo normal e inundaciones costeras asociadas son posibles a traves de sectores de la costa norte del Golfo. Favor ver los productos emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia local para mayor informacion. TORNADOS: Tornados aislados son posible esta noche hasta el sabado por la manana a traves de sectores del sureste de Louisiana, sur de Mississippi, y el oeste de Alabama. PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA ------------------- Este es la ultima advertencia publico emitado por el Servicio Nacional Huracanes sobre este sistema. Para mas informacion adicional sobre este sistema se puede ser encontrados en los pronosticos de alta mar emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia, debajo del encabezado NFDHSFAT1 de AWIPS, encabezado FZNT01 KWBC, y en la web a ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Informacion adicional sobre lluvias fuertes y vientos en rafgas pudiera ser encontrados en los productos de los resumens de tormentas emitidos por el Centro de Prediccion de Meteorologia en www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc3.html $$ Pronosticador Zelinsky Traduccion JPena Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond Advisory Number 11 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 17 Nov 2019 14:32:28 +0000 056 WTPZ35 KNHC 171432 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202019 800 AM MST Sun Nov 17 2019 ...RAYMOND DEGENERATED INTO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW... ...RAINS ARE STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 111.1W ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Raymond was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 111.1 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 16 mph (26 km/h) and a turn toward the north-northwest is expected tonight or Monday. On the forecast track, Raymond's remnants are expected to move near the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The system is forecast to dissipate late Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across the southern portions of Baja California Sur with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. This rainfall may produce life threatening flash floods. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on this system please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Avila Full Article
pi Gyrodata Sells Directional Drilling Division to Intrepid By www.rigzone.com Published On :: Fri, 01 May 2020 11:50:14 GMT The deal doubles Intrepid's directional drilling capabilities in North America. Full Article
pi Amid Oil Rout, Challenge Is Picking Which Wells Close By www.rigzone.com Published On :: Mon, 04 May 2020 16:09:42 GMT Figuring out which wells to shut, and for how long, is the hard part. Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Discussion Number 4 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Wed, 16 Oct 2019 17:52:59 +0000 000 WTPZ42 KNHC 161752 TCDEP2 Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172019 100 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019 Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that the disturbance has become less organized, and there is no sign of a new center forming offshore at this time. So, while there is still a small chance that the system could form into a tropical cyclone, the system no longer poses a threat of bringing tropical-storm conditions to the coast of Mexico, and this special advisory is being issued to discontinue the tropical storm watch for the coast of Mexico. The disturbance should continue to interact with the mountains of southern Mexico during the next day or so, which should most likely cause its dissipation after 12 h. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system unless the threat of tropical storm conditions increases along the coast of Mexico. However, the heavy rainfall threat, as well as the potential for flash flooding and mudslides in southern Mexico, should continue for the next day or two. Please refer to forecasts and warnings from the Meteorological Service of Mexico for more information on this ongoing threat. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/1800Z 16.6N 96.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE 12H 17/0000Z 17.3N 97.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND 24H 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone SEBASTIEN Forecast/Advisory Number 23 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POST-T By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 25 Nov 2019 02:31:37 +0000 000 WTNT25 KNHC 250231 TCMAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC MON NOV 25 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEBASTIEN. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 28.9W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 35 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 170SE 190SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 240SE 420SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 28.9W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 30.8W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 43.6N 22.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 170SE 190SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 48.1N 14.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 190SE 190SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.0N 28.9W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON SEBASTIEN. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW. $$ FORECASTER LATTO Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone ONE-E ICAO Advisory Number 6 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20200426/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: ONE-E NR: 006 PSN: N1612 W11924 MOV: NW 08KT C: 1007HPA MAX WIND: 02 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 26 Apr 2020 20:36:45 +0000 000 FKPZ21 KNHC 262034 TCAPZ1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20200426/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: ONE-E NR: 006 PSN: N1612 W11924 MOV: NW 08KT C: 1007HPA MAX WIND: 025KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 27/0300Z N1632 W12024 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 27/0900Z N1648 W12124 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 27/1500Z N1700 W12224 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 27/2100Z N1709 W12327 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 020KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone REBEKAH Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone REBEKAH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.0 WE By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Fri, 01 Nov 2019 08:32:34 +0000 000 FONT14 KNHC 010832 PWSAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE REBEKAH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE REBEKAH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone OLGA ICAO Advisory Number 3 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191026/0300Z TCAC: KNHC TC: OLGA NR: 003 PSN: N2748 W09212 MOV: NE 15KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 045KT FCST By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 26 Oct 2019 02:51:44 +0000 000 FKNT22 KNHC 260251 TCANT2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191026/0300Z TCAC: KNHC TC: OLGA NR: 003 PSN: N2748 W09212 MOV: NE 15KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 045KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 26/0900Z N3027 W09100 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 040KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 26/1500Z N3321 W08955 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 035KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 26/2100Z N3627 W08858 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 030KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 27/0300Z N3922 W08715 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 030KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP $$ Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 17 Nov 2019 14:32:57 +0000 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 171432 PWSEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Discussion Number 3 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 26 Oct 2019 02:53:39 +0000 000 WTNT42 KNHC 260253 TCDAT2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172019 1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019 Earlier this evening, the last 2 passes through Olga made by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft showed that the cyclone becoming embedded within a cold front. Strong northwesterly flow was observed within 10 n mi northwest of Olga's center and a sharp temperature and dew point gradient was measured across the cyclone. It does not appear that Olga has separated from the front in any significant way since the plane left. In fact, recent surface observations suggest that either the front passes through the center of the cyclone or its circulation has become poorly defined. Based on all these data, Olga is now classified as post-tropical and this is the last NHC advisory. Since Olga is entangled with the front, the winds and seas associated the front are now considered to be representative of the overall system. The intensity of the post-tropical cyclone is set at 45 kt based on SFMR winds of 48 kt and flight-level winds of 54 kt found by the plane behind the front. No substantial change in Olga's strength is anticipated before it reaches the coast Saturday morning, and the winds should decrease quickly thereafter. The post-tropical cyclone is forecast to move quickly up the Mississippi Valley on Saturday, before turning northeastward toward the Great Lakes late Saturday or early Sunday. Dissipation is anticipated before the end of the weekend. Severe weather, including heavy rain, gusty winds, and isolated tornadoes will be the primary hazard associated with post-tropical Olga as it races northward. Coastal flooding is also possible tonight along portions of the Louisiana coast. For more information specific to your area, please see products from your local weather service office at weather.gov. Key messages: 1. Olga is now a post-tropical cyclone. Detailed information about hazards related to wind, rainfall, coastal flooding, and tornadoes can be found in products issued by local National Weather Service forecast offices, available at weather.gov FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0300Z 27.8N 92.2W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 26/1200Z 31.8N 90.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 27/0000Z 38.0N 88.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 27/1200Z 43.5N 83.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Discussion Number 12 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Mon, 28 Oct 2019 14:40:20 +0000 000 WTNT43 KNHC 281440 TCDAT3 Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 1100 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019 Cold waters of 16C and increasing shear caused the deep convection near Pablo's center to dissipate early this morning, and the cyclone now consists of a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds and showers. This lack of deep convection has caused Pablo to now become post-tropical. A recent ASCAT pass showed an area of 30 to 35 kt winds northwest of the center of Pablo, and the initial intensity is set to 35 kt based on those data. In addition, the scatterometer data showed a much larger area of gale-force winds well to the north of, but not directly associated with Pablo. The post-tropical cyclone will move slowly north to northwest over the next day or so, until it is absorbed by a much larger mid-latitude low to its west. The gales occurring north of the Pablo are expected to persist at least until it is absorbed. Additional information on this system can be found in: High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. High Seas Forecasts issued by the UK Met Office under WMO header FQNT21 EGRR and on the web at metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-forecasts/coast-and-sea/high- seas-forecast/. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 46.8N 17.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 29/0000Z 47.4N 17.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 29/1200Z 48.5N 18.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone NESTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WES By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:41:18 +0000 000 FONT11 KNHC 192041 PWSAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NORFOLK VA 34 X 9( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 11(11) 7(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 26(26) 5(31) X(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) RALEIGH NC 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 X 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 44(44) 15(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 31(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 61(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) CHERRY PT NC 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 56(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) NEW RIVER NC 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 60(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SURF CITY NC 34 X 66(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) SURF CITY NC 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 68(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) WILMINGTON NC 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 64(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FLORENCE SC 34 23 29(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) COLUMBIA SC 34 27 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) LITTLE RIVER 34 5 67(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) LITTLE RIVER 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 15 59(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GEORGETOWN SC 34 32 41(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 66 11(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) CHARLESTON SC 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 83 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AUGUSTA GA 34 27 X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) SAVANNAH GA 34 89 X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) SAVANNAH GA 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KINGS BAY GA 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WAYCROSS GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ST MARKS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND ICAO Advisory Number 11 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191117/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: RAYMOND NR: 011 PSN: N1906 W11106 MOV: N 14KT C: 1001HPA MAX WIND By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 17 Nov 2019 14:34:43 +0000 000 FKPZ25 KNHC 171432 TCAPZ5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191117/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: RAYMOND NR: 011 PSN: N1906 W11106 MOV: N 14KT C: 1001HPA MAX WIND: 025KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 17/2100Z N2022 W11102 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 18/0300Z N2137 W11115 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 18/0900Z N2252 W11145 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 020KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 18/1500Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: ///KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone REBEKAH ICAO Advisory Number 7 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191101/0900Z TCAC: KNHC TC: REBEKAH NR: 007 PSN: N4036 W02900 MOV: E 17KT C: 1005HPA MAX WIND: 030KT By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Fri, 01 Nov 2019 08:35:44 +0000 000 FKNT24 KNHC 010832 TCANT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE REBEKAH ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192019 0900 UTC FRI NOV 01 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191101/0900Z TCAC: KNHC TC: REBEKAH NR: 007 PSN: N4036 W02900 MOV: E 17KT C: 1005HPA MAX WIND: 030KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 01/1500Z N4019 W02604 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 025KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 01/2100Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: ///KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 02/0300Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: ///KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 02/0900Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: ///KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
pi Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Discussion Number 6 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sun, 26 Apr 2020 20:35:34 +0000 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 262035 TCDEP1 Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020 200 PM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020 The cyclone has lacked significant organized deep convection for at least 10 hours, and the system is moving into increasingly more stable air and over sub-25C deg C SSTs. Therefore, the depression has been downgraded to a post-tropical remnant low. The initial intensity is 25 kt is based on several 23-25 kt wind vectors located n-e of the low-level center in a 1718 UTC ASCAT-A overpass. Although the system may still produce some sporadic convection late tonight during the convective maximum period, dry and stable air along with strong westerly shear will likely prevent any appreciable convection from persisting over the next day or so. This should cause the remnant low to weaken and then open up into a trough in 36-48 hours. The initial motion remains 305/08 kt. A substantial low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone is expected to gradually nudge the shallow low toward the west-northwest later this afternoon, followed by a westward motion tonight, with that motion continuing until the system dissipates Monday night. The new NHC track forecast is essentially just an update of the previous advisory track. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php . FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/2100Z 16.2N 119.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 27/0600Z 16.7N 120.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 27/1800Z 17.1N 122.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 28/0600Z 17.3N 125.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Discussion Number 7 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Fri, 01 Nov 2019 08:33:05 +0000 000 WTNT44 KNHC 010832 TCDAT4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Rebekah Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192019 500 AM AST Fri Nov 01 2019 Satellite imagery indicates that Rebekah has degenerated to a remnant low as the circulation remains void of deep convection. In addition, the system is starting to merge with a weak frontal system over the northeastern Atlantic. Re-development of deep convection appears unlikely, and the remnants of Rebekah are expected to weaken to a trough between 12-24 h. The initial motion is 095/17, and a slightly faster eastward motion is expected until the system dissipates. This is the last advisory issued on Rebekah by the National Hurricane Center. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. Hazard information for the Azores can be found in regular products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) for those islands at https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/0900Z 40.6N 29.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 01/1800Z 40.2N 24.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Discussion Number 10 By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:41:55 +0000 000 WTNT41 KNHC 192041 TCDAT1 Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Discussion Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162019 500 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019 The center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor made landfall along on St. Vincent Island, Florida, around 1730 UTC. Since then, that center has moved inland over the Florida Panhandle between Apalachicola and Tallahassee. However, during the past hour, a new center appears to have formed farther west along a quasi-occluded frontal boundary. The earlier 40-45 kt winds over water have moved inland and weakened, and the initial intensity of 35 kt is based on a recent wind report of a sustained wind of 33 kt at 5-meters elevation from NOAA buoy 41008/Gray's Reef, Georgia. The initial motion estimate is now northeastward or 055/20 kt. Nestor is forecast to move northeastward over the next 36 hours or so, followed by a turn toward the east once the cyclone reaches the North Carolina Outer Banks. On days 2 an 3, upper-level support is expected to weaken and lift out to the northeast, leaving a weakening extratropical cyclone Nestor behind. The cyclone should then dissipate or merge with another frontal system by 96 h offshore of the U.S. east coast. The new official forecast track is similar to the previous advisory, and lies close to the center of the tightly packed model guidance envelope. Some slight strengthening is expected on Sunday, mainly due to the robust circulation moving out over the warm waters of the far western Atlantic where less friction will affect the cyclone. The official intensity foreast closely follows an average of the 1200 UTC GFS, UKMET, and ECMWF global model intensity forecasts. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Nestor. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. Key Messages: 1. Gale-force winds will gradually develop over the Atlantic waters and along the coasts northeastern Florida and Georgia tonight, and spread northward to the Carolinas on Sunday. 2. Isolated flash flooding is possible across the southeastern United States into Sunday. 3. Wind and coastal flooding hazards along the U.S. East Coast will be covered by non-tropical watches and warnings issued by local NWS offices, since the system is expected to lose its tropical characteristics after it moves inland along the Gulf Coast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 30.4N 84.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 12H 20/0600Z 32.3N 81.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 20/1800Z 35.0N 76.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 21/0600Z 36.8N 72.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 21/1800Z 36.8N 68.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 22/1800Z 36.5N 65.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone OLGA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL Cyclone OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WIT By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 26 Oct 2019 02:51:07 +0000 000 FONT12 KNHC 260251 PWSAT2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT JACKSON MS 34 21 13(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BATON ROUGE LA 34 83 X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) MORGAN CITY LA 34 81 X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 17 X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) LAFAYETTE LA 34 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) NEW IBERIA LA 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) GFMX 280N 930W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LAKE CHARLES 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAMERON LA 34 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY Full Article
pi Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone NESTOR ICAO Advisory Number 10 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191019/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: NESTOR NR: 010 PSN: N3024 W08406 MOV: NE 20KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 035KT By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2019 20:43:28 +0000 000 FKNT21 KNHC 192041 TCANT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NESTOR ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191019/2100Z TCAC: KNHC TC: NESTOR NR: 010 PSN: N3024 W08406 MOV: NE 20KT C: 0999HPA MAX WIND: 035KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 20/0300Z N3139 W08218 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 040KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 20/0900Z N3258 W08013 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 040KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 20/1500Z N3419 W07752 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 040KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 20/2100Z N3527 W07531 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 040KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP .. Full Article
pi NHC Central Caribbean Satellite Tropical Disturbance Rainfall Estimates By www.nhc.noaa.gov Published On :: Wed, 22 Jul 2009 00:33:39 +0000 000 TCCA22 KNHC 220036 STDCCA SATELLITE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE RAINFALL ESTIMATES NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0015 UTC WED JUL 22 2009 SYSTEM NAME/IDENTIFIER...CARIBBEAN DIST MAX RAINFALL DATE/TIME LOCATION MOTION MEAN LAST ----------- ------------ ------ ------- ------- 22/0015 UTC 17.2N 69.0W 280/22 2.5 IN 5.0 IN LAST RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION... DISTANCE LEFT OF CENTER RIGHT OF CENTER ------------- --------------- --------------- 0 TO 1 DEGREE 0.4 TO 2.1 IN 0.5 TO 2.2 IN 1 TO 2 DEGREE 0.0 TO 0.6 IN 0.4 TO 1.7 IN 2 TO 3 DEGREE 0.0 TO 0.1 IN 0.6 TO 2.0 IN 3 TO 4 DEGREE 0.0 TO 0.1 IN 2.1 TO 5.0 IN ...LEGEND... SYSTEM NAME/IDENTIFIER...NAME OR NUMBER ASSIGNED TO SYSTEM (E.G. TROPICAL STORM ALPHA, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 01, SURFACE TROUGH) DATE/TIME... DAY OF MONTH AND TIME IN UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATES (UTC) IN A DY/HRMN FORMAT LOCATION... ESTIMATED CENTER OF SYSTEM OR ADVISORY POSITION FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE IN TENTHS OF DEGREES OF LATITUDE AND LONGITUDE MOTION... ESTIMATED DIRECTION AND SPEED OF SYSTEM IN DEGREES AND KNOTS MEAN MAXIMUM RAINFALL... THE 24-HOUR MEAN MAXIMUM ACCUMULATION OF RAINFALL FOR THE SYSTEM IN INCHES BASED ON FOUR SATELLITE IMAGES SIX HOURS APART LAST MAXIMUM RAINFALL... THE MAXIMUM ACCUMULATION OF RAINFALL FOR THE SYSTEM IN INCHES BASED ON THE MOST RECENT SATELLITE IMAGE RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION... THE DISTRIBUTION OF RAINFALL WITHIN FOUR DEGREES (240 NM) LEFT AND RIGHT OF THE SYSTEM CENTER IN ONE DEGREE (60NM) INCREMENTS...LOOKING DOWNSTREAM (1 IN = 25.4 MM) NELSON NNNN Full Article
