an Comment: Bayes, Oracle Bayes, and Empirical Bayes By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Thu, 18 Jul 2019 22:01 EDT Thomas A. Louis. Source: Statistical Science, Volume 34, Number 2, 202--205. Full Article
an Bayes, Oracle Bayes and Empirical Bayes By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Thu, 18 Jul 2019 22:01 EDT Bradley Efron. Source: Statistical Science, Volume 34, Number 2, 177--201.Abstract: This article concerns the Bayes and frequentist aspects of empirical Bayes inference. Some of the ideas explored go back to Robbins in the 1950s, while others are current. Several examples are discussed, real and artificial, illustrating the two faces of empirical Bayes methodology: “oracle Bayes” shows empirical Bayes in its most frequentist mode, while “finite Bayes inference” is a fundamentally Bayesian application. In either case, modern theory and computation allow us to present a sharp finite-sample picture of what is at stake in an empirical Bayes analysis. Full Article
an Generalized Multiple Importance Sampling By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Fri, 12 Apr 2019 04:00 EDT Víctor Elvira, Luca Martino, David Luengo, Mónica F. Bugallo. Source: Statistical Science, Volume 34, Number 1, 129--155.Abstract: Importance sampling (IS) methods are broadly used to approximate posterior distributions or their moments. In the standard IS approach, samples are drawn from a single proposal distribution and weighted adequately. However, since the performance in IS depends on the mismatch between the targeted and the proposal distributions, several proposal densities are often employed for the generation of samples. Under this multiple importance sampling (MIS) scenario, extensive literature has addressed the selection and adaptation of the proposal distributions, interpreting the sampling and weighting steps in different ways. In this paper, we establish a novel general framework with sampling and weighting procedures when more than one proposal is available. The new framework encompasses most relevant MIS schemes in the literature, and novel valid schemes appear naturally. All the MIS schemes are compared and ranked in terms of the variance of the associated estimators. Finally, we provide illustrative examples revealing that, even with a good choice of the proposal densities, a careful interpretation of the sampling and weighting procedures can make a significant difference in the performance of the method. Full Article
an Gaussian Integrals and Rice Series in Crossing Distributions—to Compute the Distribution of Maxima and Other Features of Gaussian Processes By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Fri, 12 Apr 2019 04:00 EDT Georg Lindgren. Source: Statistical Science, Volume 34, Number 1, 100--128.Abstract: We describe and compare how methods based on the classical Rice’s formula for the expected number, and higher moments, of level crossings by a Gaussian process stand up to contemporary numerical methods to accurately deal with crossing related characteristics of the sample paths. We illustrate the relative merits in accuracy and computing time of the Rice moment methods and the exact numerical method, developed since the late 1990s, on three groups of distribution problems, the maximum over a finite interval and the waiting time to first crossing, the length of excursions over a level, and the joint period/amplitude of oscillations. We also treat the notoriously difficult problem of dependence between successive zero crossing distances. The exact solution has been known since at least 2000, but it has remained largely unnoticed outside the ocean science community. Extensive simulation studies illustrate the accuracy of the numerical methods. As a historical introduction an attempt is made to illustrate the relation between Rice’s original formulation and arguments and the exact numerical methods. Full Article
an Rejoinder: Response to Discussions and a Look Ahead By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Fri, 12 Apr 2019 04:00 EDT Vincent Dorie, Jennifer Hill, Uri Shalit, Marc Scott, Dan Cervone. Source: Statistical Science, Volume 34, Number 1, 94--99.Abstract: Response to discussion of Dorie (2017), in which the authors of that piece express their gratitude to the discussants, rebut some specific criticisms, and argue that the limitations of the 2016 Atlantic Causal Inference Competition represent an exciting opportunity for future competitions in a similar mold. Full Article
an Comment: Contributions of Model Features to BART Causal Inference Performance Using ACIC 2016 Competition Data By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Fri, 12 Apr 2019 04:00 EDT Nicole Bohme Carnegie. Source: Statistical Science, Volume 34, Number 1, 90--93.Abstract: With a thorough exposition of the methods and results of the 2016 Atlantic Causal Inference Competition, Dorie et al. have set a new standard for reproducibility and comparability of evaluations of causal inference methods. In particular, the open-source R package aciccomp2016, which permits reproduction of all datasets used in the competition, will be an invaluable resource for evaluation of future methodological developments. Building upon results from Dorie et al., we examine whether a set of potential modifications to Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART)—multiple chains in model fitting, using the propensity score as a covariate, targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE), and computing symmetric confidence intervals—have a stronger impact on bias, RMSE, and confidence interval coverage in combination than they do alone. We find that bias in the estimate of SATT is minimal, regardless of the BART formulation. For purposes of CI coverage, however, all proposed modifications are beneficial—alone and in combination—but use of TMLE is least beneficial for coverage and results in considerably wider confidence intervals. Full Article
an Comment on “Automated Versus Do-It-Yourself Methods for Causal Inference: Lessons Learned from a Data Analysis Competition” By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Fri, 12 Apr 2019 04:00 EDT Susan Gruber, Mark J. van der Laan. Source: Statistical Science, Volume 34, Number 1, 82--85.Abstract: Dorie and co-authors (DHSSC) are to be congratulated for initiating the ACIC Data Challenge. Their project engaged the community and accelerated research by providing a level playing field for comparing the performance of a priori specified algorithms. DHSSC identified themes concerning characteristics of the DGP, properties of the estimators, and inference. We discuss these themes in the context of targeted learning. Full Article
an Matching Methods for Causal Inference: A Review and a Look Forward By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Thu, 05 Aug 2010 15:41 EDT Elizabeth A. StuartSource: Statist. Sci., Volume 25, Number 1, 1--21.Abstract: When estimating causal effects using observational data, it is desirable to replicate a randomized experiment as closely as possible by obtaining treated and control groups with similar covariate distributions. This goal can often be achieved by choosing well-matched samples of the original treated and control groups, thereby reducing bias due to the covariates. Since the 1970s, work on matching methods has examined how to best choose treated and control subjects for comparison. Matching methods are gaining popularity in fields such as economics, epidemiology, medicine and political science. However, until now the literature and related advice has been scattered across disciplines. Researchers who are interested in using matching methods—or developing methods related to matching—do not have a single place to turn to learn about past and current research. This paper provides a structure for thinking about matching methods and guidance on their use, coalescing the existing research (both old and new) and providing a summary of where the literature on matching methods is now and where it should be headed. Full Article
an Heteromodal Cortical Areas Encode Sensory-Motor Features of Word Meaning By www.jneurosci.org Published On :: 2016-09-21T09:33:18-07:00 The capacity to process information in conceptual form is a fundamental aspect of human cognition, yet little is known about how this type of information is encoded in the brain. Although the role of sensory and motor cortical areas has been a focus of recent debate, neuroimaging studies of concept representation consistently implicate a network of heteromodal areas that seem to support concept retrieval in general rather than knowledge related to any particular sensory-motor content. We used predictive machine learning on fMRI data to investigate the hypothesis that cortical areas in this "general semantic network" (GSN) encode multimodal information derived from basic sensory-motor processes, possibly functioning as convergence–divergence zones for distributed concept representation. An encoding model based on five conceptual attributes directly related to sensory-motor experience (sound, color, shape, manipulability, and visual motion) was used to predict brain activation patterns associated with individual lexical concepts in a semantic decision task. When the analysis was restricted to voxels in the GSN, the model was able to identify the activation patterns corresponding to individual concrete concepts significantly above chance. In contrast, a model based on five perceptual attributes of the word form performed at chance level. This pattern was reversed when the analysis was restricted to areas involved in the perceptual analysis of written word forms. These results indicate that heteromodal areas involved in semantic processing encode information about the relative importance of different sensory-motor attributes of concepts, possibly by storing particular combinations of sensory and motor features. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT The present study used a predictive encoding model of word semantics to decode conceptual information from neural activity in heteromodal cortical areas. The model is based on five sensory-motor attributes of word meaning (color, shape, sound, visual motion, and manipulability) and encodes the relative importance of each attribute to the meaning of a word. This is the first demonstration that heteromodal areas involved in semantic processing can discriminate between different concepts based on sensory-motor information alone. This finding indicates that the brain represents concepts as multimodal combinations of sensory and motor representations. Full Article
an Smart women don't smoke / Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London (33 Stillness Road, London SE23 1NG) : Cleanair, Campaign for a Smoke-free Environment, [1989?] Full Article
an We thank you for not smoking / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG) : Cleanair, Campaign for a Smoke-free Environment, [198-?] Full Article
an 'Smoke gets in your eyes' / Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London (33 Stllness Rd, London, SE23 1NG) : Cleanair, Campaign for a Smoke-free Environment, [198-?] Full Article
an 'Smoking is slow-motion suicide' / Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 ING) : Cleanair, Campaign for a Smoke-free Environment, [198-?] Full Article
an Smoking affects us all. / Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG) : Cleanair, Campaign for a Smoke-free Environment, [198-?] Full Article
an If you must smoke don't exhale / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG) : Cleanair, Campaign for a Smoke-free Environment, [198-?] Full Article
an Passive smoking kills / Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, Smoke-free Environment (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an Be nice to yourself and others / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, Smoke-free Environment (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an Pollution / Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, Smoke-free Environment (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an Cleanair not smoke / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, Smoke-free Environment (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an No smoking no hate / Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, Smoke-free Environment (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an No smoking zone / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, Smoke-free Environment (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an Heart burn. / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, Smoke-free Environment (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an Smoking is anti-social / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, Smoke-free Environment (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an Tapadh leibh airson nach do smoc sibh / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London (33 Stillness Rd, SE23 1NG) : Cleanair, Campaign for a Smoke-free Environment, [198-?] Full Article
an No smoking is the norm / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, Smoke-free Environment (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an We thank you for not smoking / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG) : Cleanair, Campaign for a Smoke-free Environment, [198-?] Full Article
an No smoking zone / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, Smoke-free Environment (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an We thank you for not smoking / Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, [1988?] Full Article
an If you must smoke don't exhale / Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, [1988?] Full Article
an Muchas gracias por no fumar / Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, [1988?] Full Article
an Merci de ne pas fumer / Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, [1988?] Full Article
an Elle est classe, elle ne fume pas / Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London (33 Stillness Road, London SE23 1NG) : Cleanair, [1989?] Full Article
an We thank you for not smoking / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG) : Cleanair, Campaign for a Smoke-free Environment, [198-?] Full Article
an No smoking is the norm / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, Smoke-free Environment (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an Be nice to yourself and others / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair, Smoke-free Environment (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an दिल की जलन। = Heart burn. / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [1989?] Full Article
an Dila jalana = Heart burn. / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an Hārtabarna = Heart burn. / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an Ha gubin wadnahaaga! = Heart burn. / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an Hārta jbalē = Heart burn. / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an Heat burn. / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair (33 Stillness Rd, London, SE23 1NG), [198-?] Full Article
an Gracias por no fumar / deseño : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: [London] : Cleanair, Campaña para un Medio Ambiente Libre de Humo, [198-?] Full Article
an No fumar es la moda / deseño : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: [London] : Cleanair, Campaña para un Medio Ambiente Libre de Humo, [198-?] Full Article
an Muchas gracias por no fumar / Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: [London] : Cleanair, [1989?] Full Article
an Tapadh leibh airson nach do smoc sibh / design: Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London (33 Stillness Road London SE23 1NG) : Cleanair Campaign for a Smoke-free Environment, [198-?] Full Article
an Zona de no fumar / deseño : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London : Cleanair Campaña para un Medio Ambiente Libre de Humo, [198-?] Full Article
an Elle est classe, elle ne fume pas / Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London (33 Stillness Rd, SE23 1NG) : Cleanair, [198-?] Full Article
an Cleanair posters to create a smoke-free environment / designed by Biman Mullick ; published by Cleanair. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: London (33 Stillness Road, London SE23 ING) : Cleanair, [198-?] Full Article
an Smoking is bad for your image / design : Biman Mullick. By search.wellcomelibrary.org Published On :: [London?], [199-?] Full Article