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A “Nuclear Umbrella” for Ukraine? Precedents and Possibilities for Postwar European Security

Europe after the Russo-Ukrainian War must develop a new security structure to defend against any Russian aggression. The safest option is a non-offensive, confidence-building defense. This option includes proposals such as the “spider in the web” strategy and the “porcupine” strategy to provide for European security in a region threatened by Russian expansion—without relying on the threat of nuclear war.




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It's Not Too Late for Restrained U.S. Foreign Policy

Stephen Walt writes that those who favor foreign policy restraint believe the United States should trade and invest in other countries, encourage other states to do the same, and be open to managed immigration instead of building walls in a fit of xenophobia.




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How to Prevent a War Over Taiwan

Joseph Nye argues that the "one China" formula, if combined with other measures to bolster deterrence against any sudden acts of aggression, can still help to keep the peace.




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Should the West Engage with Russia on Science and Conversation While the War in Ukraine Continues?

Confronted by the accelerating climate crisis, Western governments, NGOs, and academia are grappling with a difficult question: Should the West engage with Russia on science and conservation, at a time when Russia is waging an unjust and violent war on a sovereign nation?

This study group, led by Arctic Initiative Senior Fellow Margaret Williams, is evaluating the costs and benefits of renewing cooperation with Russia on science and conservation issues.




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A Message from Ukraine: Do Not Provoke Putin—with Weakness

Mariana Budjeryn writes that despite, or perhaps because, of this ever-present shadow of war, the 16th annual Kyiv Security Forum, which was held in March 2024, was a display of camaraderie and solidarity with Ukraine, with sincere dues paid to Ukraine's bravery, sacrifices, and resilience, as well as in recognition that Ukraine belongs in the transatlantic security architecture.




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Biden's Frailty Doesn't Endanger America

Stephen Walt writes that doubts about Biden’s ability to do the job over the next six months must be balanced against the qualities that Trump exhibited when he oversaw U.S. foreign policy. Insider accounts of Trump’s first term portray him as erratic, mercurial, uninterested in details, and incapable of giving most foreign-policy problems sustained attention.




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A Failure of Security and Democracy

Juliette Kayyem writes that politicians and security experts, especially those focused on the upcoming conventions in Milwaukee and Chicago and future political rallies, must now reckon with the evident mismatch between what we know about political violence—it is pervasive and indiscriminate, according to the FBI—and how we plan for it.




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Explainer: What is the Bonn Climate Change Conference?

The intersessional conference stands as one of the most important regular milestones in international climate negotiations, but its relatively unknown status compared to the COPs has made it difficult to understand its place in international climate policymaking.




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America Should Aim for Competitive Coexistence with China

Joseph Nye writes that Washington's strategy towards Beijing should be to avoid either a hot or cold war, co-operate when possible and marshal its assets to shape China's external behaviour. This can be done through deterrence and a strengthening of both alliances and international institutions.




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The Other Side of the Strait: The Strategic Significance of the Houthi’s Aggression for East Africa

Iranian-backed militants in Yemen are clashing with the United States and British naval forces in the Red Sea over Israel’s operations in Gaza, all in a complex dance for geopolitical leverage in the Middle East. Yet, there is another region with a stake in the conflict brewing in the Bab al-Mandab strait, one seemingly beyond the world’s purview – the Horn of Africa.




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Europe’s Carbon Border Tax Advances the Fight Against Climate Change

At first glance, the European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism may look like a potential source of international discord. But a closer look suggests that the EU’s strict carbon-pricing regime may be the best chance the world has to achieve the Paris climate agreement’s ambitious emissions-reduction goals.




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Challenging Biases and Assumptions in Analysis: Could Israel Have Averted Intelligence Failure?

The human tragedy continuing to unfold in Gaza and Israel reminds us how important it is to get strategic forecasting right. While in no way excusing Hamas’ culpability for 7 October, we also cannot dismiss the fact that the failure to anticipate and prepare for such an attack has had grave consequences for communities on both sides of this conflict, undermined efforts to bring peace and prosperity to the region, and affected global interests through the expansion of the conflict to the Red Sea and potentially beyond. 




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America Still Retains a Soft Power Advantage over China

Joseph Nye posits that an open civil society that allows protest can be a soft power asset.




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Building a Durable Peace in Ukraine

In June, Ukraine’s most powerful backers met at the G7 summit before attending Ukraine’s peace conference in Switzerland, which hosted representatives from nearly eighty countries. For one week, they met to discuss Volodymyr Zelensky’s ten-point peace plan, announced a plan to fund Ukraine using frozen Russian assets, and introduced a U.S.-Ukraine bilateral security agreement. As the United States and its allies are working to put Ukraine in the best position possible for eventual ceasefire negotiations, what should their top priority be?




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Strategic Myopia: The Proposed First Use of Tactical Nuclear Weapons to Defend Taiwan

David Kearn argues that the idea that the first use of nuclear weapons since 1945 would be by the United States in the defense of Taiwan against a conventional Chinese invasion would have significant, negative, and long-lasting, diplomatic ramifications. It is difficult to fathom the myriad potential consequences, but U.S. nuclear weapon use would almost certainly shatter the non-proliferation regime as a functioning entity, incentivize states (including China) to acquire or improve their existing nuclear arsenal, and damage America's standing globally.




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Russia's Invasion of Ukraine and Its Impact on the Global Nuclear Order

Mariana Budjeryn presents "Russia's Invasion of Ukraine and Its Impact on the Global Nuclear Order" at the DOE/NNSA Administrator's Strategy Forum




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The Enormous Risks and Uncertain Benefits of an Israeli Strike Against Iran's Nuclear Facilities

Assaf Zoran argues that an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities may have the opposite result of prompting an escalation in Iran’s nuclear developments, a pattern previously observed in response to kinetic actions attributed to Israel.




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US-China Cooperation Remains Possible

Joseph S. Nye advocates for identifying areas for cooperation between the United States and China such as climate change and public health.




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The Iran-Russia Friendship Won't Wither Under Raisi's Successor

Nicole Grajewski describes former Iranian President Raisi’s hardline stance and his willingness to deepen ties with Russia as assets. Collaboration with a like-minded authoritarian with a bent for confronting the West proved particularly valuable after Russia invaded Ukraine.




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Old and New Lessons from the Ukraine War

Joseph Nye Russia's war on Ukraine is still raging, and no one knows when or how it will end. Nonetheless, the past two years have borne out several predictions concerning what does and does not work in twenty-first-century conflicts involving major powers.




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AI and the Decision to Go to War: Future Risks and Opportunities

This short article introduces our Special Issue on 'Anticipating the Future of War: AI, Automated Systems, and Resort-to-Force Decision Making'. The authors begin by stepping back and briefly commenting on the current military AI landscape. They then turn to the hitherto largely neglected prospect of AI-driven systems influencing state-level decision making on the resort to force.




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The Terrorism Warning Lights Are Blinking Red Again

Two and a half decades [after 9/11], Christopher Wray, the director of the FBI, is sounding similar alarms. His discussions within the Biden administration are private, but his testimony to Congress and other public statements could not be more explicit. Testifying in December to members of the Senate Intelligence Committee, Wray said, “When I sat here last year, I walked through how we were already in a heightened threat environment.” Yet after Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, “we’ve seen the threat from foreign terrorists rise to a whole nother level,” he added. In speaking about those threats, Wray has repeatedly drawn attention to security gaps at the United States’ southern border, where thousands of people each week enter the country undetected.




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Event Debrief: Planning the Mid-Transition for Just and Sustainable Decarbonization

Emily Grubert, Associate Professor of Sustainable Energy Policy and of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Earth Sciences at the University of Notre Dame, discussed the dangers of an unplanned transition from a fossil-based energy system to a zero-carbon energy system during a talk at Harvard Kennedy School.







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Circulation de l�information transatlantique: comment s�assurer que les investisseurs am�ricains ne voient pas d��crans vides - Trans-Atlantic Information Flow

Trans-Atlantic Information Flow






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San Diego Padres And Mercury Insurance Host Second Annual Event To Assemble 1,000 Care Packages For Marines And Sailors Overseas - Mercury Packing Party for Troops

Mercury Packing Party for Troops






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THE ONCE AND FUTURE JEWEL OF THE JERSEY SHORE: HISTORIC, MULTI-BILLION-DOLLAR REDEVELOPMENT TO RESHAPE, RECLAIM, AND REVIVE ASBURY PARK WATERFRONT - The Asbury Park Waterfront

The Asbury Park Waterfront





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BGC Partners And Cantor Fitzgerald Raise Approximately $12 Million On BGC's Eleventh Annual Charity Day - BGC Charity Day 2015

Dozens of nonprofits, celebrities and BGC partners unite for Charity Day 2015.




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Cantor Fitzgerald and BGC Partners Raise Approximately $12 Million on Cantor Fitzgerald's Annual Charity Day - Cantor Fitzgerald Charity Day 2015

Dozens of charities and celebrity ambassadors join Cantor Fitzgerald on their 5th annual Charity Day in New York




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Goodwill� Teams Up With Sony Pictures Entertainment To Support Release Of "Hotel Transylvania 2" And To Combat Unemployment - Hotel Transylvania 2 Shop Goodwill Ad

Hotel Transylvania 2 Shop Goodwill Ad





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Club Med : Les Fran�ais oseraient-il enfin l�cher-prise? - Microtrottoir CSA � Club Med

Microtrottoir CSA � Club Med




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The Clayton Built� "Patriot" Home Available to Homeowners - The Patriot

The Patriot offers modern amenities along with brand-name appliances. For each unit sold, Clayton will donate $100 to Hope for the Warriors�.