000
WTNT32 KNHC 260251
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172019
1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019

...OLGA BECOMES POST-TROPICAL...
...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER TO THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SATURDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.8N 92.2W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SSE OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal tropical cyclone watches or warnings in
effect.

Please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service and products from local National Weather Service forecast
offices for information on the non-tropical watches and warnings
associated with this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga
was located near latitude 27.8 North, longitude 92.2 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 17 mph (28
km/h). Olga is forecast to move quickly northward to
north-northeastward on Saturday and then turn northeastward late
Saturday or Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of the
post-tropical cyclone will move up the Mississippi Valley tomorrow
and toward the Great Lakes later this weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected after the cyclone moves over land Saturday
morning.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on earlier data from
an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft and surface
observations over the northern Gulf of Mexico is 999 mb (29.50
inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Gale-force winds associated with Olga and its remnants should
spread over portions of the northern Gulf coast tonight and Saturday
morning.

RAINFALL: The post-tropical cyclone, along with rainfall ahead of
the system along and north of the frontal boundary across the
Central Gulf coast, is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with maximum totals of 8 inches
across the Central Gulf coast into portions of the Lower Mississippi
Valley and western Tennessee Valley through Saturday morning. These
rains may produce flash flooding across the Central Gulf coast into
the Lower Mississippi Valley and western Tennessee Valley.

COASTAL FLOODING: Above-normal tides and associated coastal
flooding are possible across portions of the northern Gulf coast.
Please see products from local National Weather Service forecast
offices for additional information.

TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible tonight into Saturday
morning across parts of southeast Louisiana, southern Mississippi,
and western Alabama.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Additional information about heavy rainfall and wind gusts can be
found in storm summary products issued by the Weather Prediction
Center at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc3.html

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

Egami Group's CEO joins The PR Week to discuss launching her own agency and the latest industry news.

PwC external communications leader Megan DiSciullo talks about her switch from agency life to leading external comms at PwC, as well as the latest industry news.

...

...

...

A study of families in Singapore with terminally ill children found that parents tend to defer discussing their psychological pain with their spouses to protect them from emotional distress. The study, conducted by psychologists at NTU through interviews, revealed the parents’ preference to support each other in pragmatic and solution-oriented ways such as discussing treatment options, arranging care plans and sharing caregiving responsibilities....

...

The rejuvenated Yunnan Garden, a sprawling open space of greenery, waterscapes and heritage landmarks, will officially open at Nanyang Technological University, Singapore (NTU Singapore) on 13 February 2020. The 9-hectare heritage precinct – bigger than 12 soccer fields – preserves the Garden’s legacy while enriching it as an educational and recreation hub, making it a go-to place not just for the NTU community, but also for the residents who live in the wider Jurong neighbourhood....

...

Professor Su Guaning, President Emeritus of Nanyang Technological University, Singapore (NTU Singapore), has been elected to the United States' National Academy of Engineering (NAE)....

...

...

​The NTU Open House and NTU Career Fair, two of the biggest annual events in the calendar at NTU Singapore, will be presented virtually this year, in response to the evolving Covid-19 situation and advice to avoid crowds and holding large-scale events....

Scientists at Singapore’s Nanyang Technological University (NTU Singapore) have created a paper-like material derived from pollen that bends and curls in response to changing levels of environmental humidity....

...

...

...

Primary care health workers now have a guide for conducting remote consultation of suspected COVID-19 patients, developed by a team of researchers from Singapore and the UK....

...

NTU Singapore has unveiled its COVID-19 Relief Package comprising three new coordinated measures to assist students facing hardship due to the pandemic....

...

NTU has announced the second part of its COVID-19 Relief Package aimed at supporting final-year undergraduates as they enter a tight job market amid the pandemic....

...

With its fresh and bold design, engaging content, and the creative use of augmented reality (AR) in its bimonthly magazine for students, NTU has earned approval from new and old readers alike, and now the evaluators at the prestigious International Association of Business Communicators (IABC) Gold Quill Awards this year....

000
WTNT22 KNHC 260250
TCMAT2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172019
0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN
EFFECT.

PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AND PRODUCTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICES FOR INFORMATION ON THE NON-TROPICAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 92.2W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 450SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 92.2W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 92.5W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 31.8N 90.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 38.0N 88.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 43.5N 83.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N 92.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY

000
WTCA42 TJSJ 260313 RRA
TCPSP2

BOLETIN
Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga Advertencia Numero 3
Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL172019
Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
1000 PM CDT viernes 25 de 2019

...OLGA SE CONVIERTE POS-TROPICAL...
...SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA LLUVIA FUERTE Y CONDICIONES SEVERIAS A
TRAVES DE LA COSTA CENTRO DEL GOLFO Y EL LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALEY
EL SABADO...


RESUMEN DE LAS 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION....27.8 NORTE 92.2 OESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 170 MI...275 KM AL SSE DE LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NE O 40 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...999 MB...29.50 PULGADAS


RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:
------------------------------------------
No hay vigilancias o aviso costeros de ciclon tropical
en efecto.

Favor referirse a Pronosticos de Alto Oleaje emitidos por el
Servicio Nacional y los productos emitidos por el Servicio
Nacional de Meteorologa para informacion sobre vigilancias y
avisos no-tropical asociados a este sistema.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO
-----------------------
A las 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), el centro de Pos-Tropical Ciclon Olga
estaba localizada en la latitud 27.8 norte, longitud 92.2 oeste. La
pos-tropical ciclon esta moviendose hacia el noreste a cerca de 17
mph (28 km/h) Se pronostica que Olga se mueva rapidamente hacia el
norte a norte-noreste el sabado y despues girarse hacia el noreste
tarde el sabado o doming. En la trayectoria pronosticada, el centro
del ciclon pos-tropical debe moverse a traves del Mississippi Valley
manana y hacis los Great Lakes mas tarde el fin de semana.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 50 mph (85 km/h) con
rafagas mas fuertes. Se espera que Olga se debilite despues que el
sistema se mueva sobre tierra el sabado por la manana.

Vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 140
millas (220 km) del centro.

La presion minima central estimada basado sobre los datos anteriores
reportado por el Avion Cazahuracan y observaciones de la superficie
sobre el norte del Golfo de Mexico es de 999 mb (29.50 pulgadas).


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO: Vientos con fuerza de galerna asociado con Olga y sus remenantes
deben extenderse sobre sectores de la costa norte del Golfo esta noche y
sabado.

LLUVIA: El ciclon pos-tropical, y lluvia frente al sistema a lo
largo y al norte de la zona frontal a traves de la costa del Golfo
Central deben producir acumulaciones totales de lluvia de 3 a 6
pulgadas con totales maximos de 8 pulgadas a traves de la costa del
Golfo Central hasta sectores del Lower Mississippi Valley y el oeste
del Tennessee Valley hasta el sabado en la manana. Estas lluvias
pudieran producir inundaciones repentinas a traves de la costa del
Golfo Central hacia Lower Mississippi Valley y y el oeste del
Tennessee Valley.

INUNDACIONES COSTERAS: Mareas sobre lo normal e inundaciones costeras
asociadas son posibles a traves de sectores de la costa norte del
Golfo. Favor ver los productos emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de
Meteorologia local para mayor informacion.

TORNADOS: Tornados aislados son posible esta noche hasta el sabado
por la manana a traves de sectores del sureste de Louisiana, sur de
Mississippi, y el oeste de Alabama.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
Este es la ultima advertencia publico emitado por el Servicio
Nacional Huracanes sobre este sistema. Para mas informacion
adicional sobre este sistema se puede ser encontrados en los
pronosticos de alta mar emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de
Meteorologia, debajo del encabezado NFDHSFAT1 de AWIPS, encabezado
FZNT01 KWBC, y en la web a ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Informacion adicional sobre lluvias fuertes y vientos en rafgas
pudiera ser encontrados en los productos de los resumens de
tormentas emitidos por el Centro de Prediccion de Meteorologia en
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc3.html

$$

Pronosticador Zelinsky
Traduccion JPena

Longer-term, the outlook for US production is not all gloom as domestic demand will clearly return.

Here are some of Rigzone's top stories during the last week, just in case you missed them...

Oil notched its first back-to-back weekly gain since February.

 
 000
 FKNT22 KNHC 260251
 TCANT2
  
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER   3
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172019
 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019
  
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191026/0300Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       OLGA
 NR:                       003
 PSN:                      N2748 W09212
 MOV:                      NE 15KT
 C:                        0999HPA
 MAX WIND:                 045KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           26/0900Z N3027 W09100
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      040KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          26/1500Z N3321 W08955
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     035KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          26/2100Z N3627 W08858
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     030KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          27/0300Z N3922 W08715
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     030KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
  
 $$
 

000
WTNT42 KNHC 260253
TCDAT2

Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172019
1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 25 2019

Earlier this evening, the last 2 passes through Olga made by an Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft showed that the cyclone
becoming embedded within a cold front. Strong northwesterly flow was
observed within 10 n mi northwest of Olga's center and a sharp
temperature and dew point gradient was measured across the cyclone.
It does not appear that Olga has separated from the front in any
significant way since the plane left. In fact, recent surface
observations suggest that either the front passes through the center
of the cyclone or its circulation has become poorly defined. Based
on all these data, Olga is now classified as post-tropical and this
is the last NHC advisory.

Since Olga is entangled with the front, the winds and seas
associated the front are now considered to be representative of the
overall system. The intensity of the post-tropical cyclone is set at
45 kt based on SFMR winds of 48 kt and flight-level winds of 54 kt
found by the plane behind the front. No substantial change in Olga's
strength is anticipated before it reaches the coast Saturday
morning, and the winds should decrease quickly thereafter. The
post-tropical cyclone is forecast to move quickly up the Mississippi
Valley on Saturday, before turning northeastward toward the Great
Lakes late Saturday or early Sunday. Dissipation is anticipated
before the end of the weekend.

Severe weather, including heavy rain, gusty winds, and isolated
tornadoes will be the primary hazard associated with post-tropical
Olga as it races northward. Coastal flooding is also possible
tonight along portions of the Louisiana coast. For more information
specific to your area, please see products from your local weather
service office at weather.gov.

Key messages:

1. Olga is now a post-tropical cyclone. Detailed information about
hazards related to wind, rainfall, coastal flooding, and tornadoes
can be found in products issued by local National Weather Service
forecast offices, available at weather.gov


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 27.8N 92.2W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 26/1200Z 31.8N 90.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 27/0000Z 38.0N 88.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 27/1200Z 43.5N 83.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

 
 000
 FONT12 KNHC 260251
 PWSAT2
                                                                     
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3      
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172019               
 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR  
 LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
 WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
 WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
     OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
 THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
 PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 JACKSON MS     34 21  13(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
  
 NEW ORLEANS LA 34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
  
 BATON ROUGE LA 34 83   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
  
 MORGAN CITY LA 34 81   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
  
 ALEXANDRIA LA  34 17   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
  
 LAFAYETTE LA   34 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
  
 NEW IBERIA LA  34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
  
 GFMX 280N 930W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
  
 LAKE CHARLES   34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
  
 CAMERON LA     34 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
  
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER ZELINSKY                                                 
 

Looking for a shortcut to salvation? The pope has an offer too good to resist.

Whipping up decadent Valentine's Day desserts don't have to mean tons of refined sugar. Try these healthier, but delicious recipes.

Inspired by Amy Poehler’s character on “Parks and Recreation,” Feb. 13 is all about celebrating female friendships.

Scientists at RMIT University in Melbourne, Australia, want to put errant butts to an intriguing new use.

On March 21, the American Academy of Pediatrics announced its support for gay marriage, as well as foster care and adoption rights for same-sex couples.

As the Supreme Court prepares to hear arguments in two gay marriage cases, it's easy to forget how far opinions have moved on the issue.

Here are the key facts about the cases and what's behind them.

Thanks in part to shows like 'Modern Family,' a majority of Americans are now in favor of same-sex marriage.

Though childbirth is frequently spoken of in terms of pain and punishment, some women do experience what are known as orgasmic or ecstatic births.

Male primates may have become monogamous to protect their offspring from being killed by rival males.

Unlike many humans, some monkeys are genuinely faithful to their mates.