si US 10 year yield looks to close at the highest level since July 1 By www.forexlive.com Published On :: Tue, 12 Nov 2024 18:21:18 GMT The high yield close for the 10-year note last week reached 4.433%. The current yield is currently at 4.4315%, up 12.3 basis points. A close above would be the highest close going back to July 1, 2024 when the close came in at 4.465%. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com. Full Article Technical Analysis
si Trade ideas thread - Wednesday, 13 November, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas By www.forexlive.com Published On :: Tue, 12 Nov 2024 20:59:39 GMT Good morning, afternoon and evening all. Any charts, technical analysis, trade ideas, thoughts, views, ForexLive traders would like to share and discuss with fellow ForexLive traders, please do so: This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com. Full Article News
si Economic calendar in Asia - Wednesday, November 13, 2024 - Fed speaker By www.forexlive.com Published On :: Tue, 12 Nov 2024 20:59:46 GMT There were numerous Fed speakers on Tuesday, US time:Fed's Kashkari: The fundamentals seems strong and I'm optimistic that will continueFed's Barkin: Fed in position to respond appropriately regardless of how economy evolvesFed's Waller: Makes no comments on economy or monetary policy outlookand we get one more today in Asia:2200 GMT / 1700 US Eastern time - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker speaks on "Fintech, AI and the Changing Financial Landscape". Which doesn't sound too promising for remarks from him on the economy or monetary policy. But, perhaps we'll get a mortsel thrown to us in any Q&A. ***As for the data agenda, it's a bit of a yawn, none of it likely to move around major FX upon release. From Japan we'll get an update of wholesale inflation - the PPI for October. The Producer Price Index (PPI) in Japan is also known as the Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI)its a measure of the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their outputis calculated by the Bank of JapanUnlike the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures the price change that consumers see for a basket of goods and services, the CGPI focuses on the change in the prices of goods sold by companies.The PPI reflects some of cost pressures faced by producersits based on a basket of goods that represents the range of products produced within the Japanese economy, including items such as:raw materials like metals and chemicalssemi-finished goodsand finished productsdifferent weights are assigned to each category within the index based on its contribution to the overall economy.it does not account for the quality improvements in goods and services over time, which might lead to overestimation of inflationadditionally, it reflects only the prices of domestically produced goods, leaving out the impact of imported goodsThe PPI can be used as a guide to inflationary pressures in the economy:If producers are facing higher costs, they may pass these on to consumers, leading to higher consumer prices.***From Australia we'll get wages data for Q3. Wage growth is expected to keep slowing (y/y) in Q3 2024. With the labor market softening, upward pressure on wages has been easing over recent quarters. In Commonwealth Bank of Australia's preview they cite their internal data as indicating a quarterly wage growth of around 0.9%, a notable decrease from the 1.3% growth seen in the same quarter last year, which had been boosted by a significant 5.75% increase in award and minimum wages. As a result, the annual wage growth rate is projected to fall to 3.6%, bringing it closer to a level compatible with sustainable, in-target inflation.While the labour market softening, but from strong levels, the RBA is eyeing wage growth as a factor helping keep inflation sticky. A moderation in growth for wages will be welcomed by the bank if it translates into softening price pressure also. This snapshot from the ForexLive economic data calendar, access it here.The times in the left-most column are GMT.The numbers in the right-most column are the 'prior' (previous month/quarter as the case may be) result. The number in the column next to that, where there is a number, is the consensus median expected. I’ve noted data for New Zealand and Australia with text as the similarity of the little flags can sometimes be confusing. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com. Full Article News
si US CPI data due Wednesday - possible upside surprise. By www.forexlive.com Published On :: Tue, 12 Nov 2024 22:41:06 GMT CPI data from the US due today, Wednesday, November 13, 2024. Greg popped up a preview earlier:US CPI to be released tomorrow at 8:30 AM. Expectations are for 0.2% MoMIn a recent note, BMO previewed the data also. Analysts at the bank suggest that any significant influence from recent storms on inflation data is likely limited, meaning market reactions to any deviation in core inflation—either upward or downward—may be pronounced. The consensus forecast calls for a steady +0.3% rise in core CPI for the month, with expectations leaning toward a possible upside surprise. A +0.4% reading or higher would make waves, particularly against the backdrop of the recent election results. The logic suggests that if inflation was already ticking up before the GOP’s victory, the added impact of tariffs and potential trade conflicts could fuel further inflationary momentum. However, BMO analysts also point out that while targeted tariffs may not universally drive up prices, this assumption currently shapes US rates market sentiment. With this market outlook in mind, BMO expects that an upside surprise in October’s inflation numbers could have a meaningful impact on yields, increasing their upward trajectory. At present, actual inflation data is seen as the most direct factor that could push 10-year yields beyond the 4.50% threshold. A softer-than-expected core CPI reading could trigger a rally in the Treasury market, though there appears to be a limit to how much the market will temper expectations for inflation following Trump’s victory. Instead, BMO anticipates the market will continue to define a trading range in this post-election landscape, characterized by a mix of cautious optimism and prevailing skepticism. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com. Full Article News
si Deribit and SignalPlus Launch $200,000 Winter Trading Competition By www.forexlive.com Published On :: Mon, 04 Nov 2024 09:36:45 GMT Deribit, the world’s premier Bitcoin and Ethereum options exchange, in partnership with SignalPlus, a leading options trading dashboard and analytics hub, is excited to unveil the second edition of the Winter Trading Competition 2024.This year's competition offers participants a $200,000 USDC prize pool, along with various prizes such as iPhones, PlayStation 5s, and other rewards. Additionally, participants will benefit from valuable learning opportunities and insightful trading sessions designed to enhance their skills and strategies, making this the biggest and most rewarding crypto trading contest of the year.The Winter Trading Competition 2024 is open to all retail participants who utilize their Deribit accounts to trade cryptocurrency options, futures and spot on the SignalPlus platform. Registrations are open and will remain open until December 9th 2024. The competition begins today November 4th to December 9th, 2024, spanning 35 days of intense trading action.US Election Registration Bonus As an added incentive, traders who register by November 5 will receive a US Election Option, available as part of a limited-time bonus. Registrations remain open until December 9, 2024.Luuk Strijers, Chief Executive Officer at Deribit, “We’re thrilled to launch the second edition of our trading competition in collaboration with SignalPlus. Following the remarkable success of last year’s iteration, we are excited to raise the bar even higher this time. The growth and enthusiasm we witnessed have inspired us to expand the competition, offering even more opportunities for participants to showcase and expand their skills.”Competition Highlights:Prizes and Rewards: Compete in both individual and team categories, with special bonuses for team leaders and daily prize draws.Referral Program: Up to 10,000 USDC in rewards is available through a referral program for inviting others to register and trade on Deribit.Sign-Up Incentives : Bonuses are available for all registrations, first trades, and inviting friends, with participants eligible for prizes that range from cash rewards to tech products.Luxury and Variety: Participants have the chance to win various rewards, including iPhone 16s, iPads, Apple Watches, cash prizes in USDC, and travel to Thailand.Prestigious Recognition: Top individual winners will earn honorary certificates, while winning teams will take home trophies.Learning opportunities: Participants will also gain access to six master-level options AMAs (Ask Me Anything sessions) and Deribit’s product training hosted by industry experts, available absolutely free. These sessions are designed to elevate trading skills.Chris Yu, Co-Founder of SignalPlus, added: “We’re excited to collaborate with Deribit on this landmark trading competition. At SignalPlus, our mission is to enhance the trading experience through innovation, and this event reflects that commitment. By combining our advanced technology with Deribit’s robust platform, we’re offering participants an unparalleled opportunity to engage with crypto options in fresh, dynamic ways, pushing the boundaries of strategy and skill.”Competition Rules and Rewards:Individual Race: Individual participants will compete through semi-final and final stages, with prizes awarded to the top 35 traders. The highest-ranking trader will earn up to 5,000 USDC.Team Contest: The top five teams will win prizes ranging from 1,000 to 5,000 USDC. Additionally, each day for 35 days, one team member will win a luxurious trip to Thailand.Daily Draws: For 35 consecutive days, 111 lucky participants will win cash rewards daily.Daily Lucky Ranks: Every day, 9 special traders will receive prizes ranging from 10 to 300 USDC.Extra Incentives: Over 10,000 bonus prizes are available for registering, inviting friends, and making your first trade – the rewards keep flowing!Key Details:Prize Pool: 200,000 USDC.Registration Period: October 23rd – December 9th, 2024.Competition Period: November 4th – December 9th, 2024.Seize the opportunity to compete with top traders globally and start your journey toward exciting prizes today!About DeribitDeribit (https://www.deribit.com/) is a centralized, institutional-grade crypto derivatives exchange for options and futures trading. With state-of-the-art infrastructure, Deribit offers instantaneous price discovery, low-latency trading, advanced risk mitigation services, and deep liquidity through a network of top-tier market makers. Led by a team with decades of experience in options trading across all markets, Deribit facilitates a significant majority of all crypto options trading and adheres to robust proof of assets and liabilities procedures to ensure the highest standards.About SignalPlusSignalPlus provides a world-class options trading dashboard that covers risk tracking, profit/loss attribution, strike and theta analysis. Users can execute multi-legged orders with embedded algorithms to minimize slippage and conduct in-depth profit/loss and exposure assessments using simulation tools and scenario analysis. SignalPlus also automates delta hedging across varying market conditions and offers real-time trade notifications through Telegram, empowering traders with the insights and tools needed for successful trading. This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com. Full Article Education
si Jambo and Lif3 Partner to Make Crypto Payments Accessible to Millions in Emerging Markets By www.forexlive.com Published On :: Tue, 05 Nov 2024 14:39:31 GMT Jambo, a leading builder of web3 mobile infrastructure, today announced its partnership with Lif3, the revolutionary omni-chain DeFi Layer-1 ecosystem, to offer millions of Jambo phone users in over 120 countries, with easier access to peer-to-peer crypto payments through the Lif3 mobile app.Founded by serial entrepreneur and web3 investor Harry Yeh, Lif3’s strategic collaboration merges its innovative DeFi ecosystem with Jambo’s expertise in mobile technology tailored for emerging economies, facilitating developing countries’ access to the world’s financial market.Emerging markets face unique challenges that require innovative solutions for real problems. In regions like Africa, where 57% of the ~1.5bn population remains unbanked and 50% without access to a smartphone, the collaboration between Jambo and Lif3 is designed to address these issues by providing secure, user-friendly access to real-time crypto payments.This initiative will empower millions by facilitating enhanced connectivity, improved security, and streamlined access to digital financial services. Additionally, the Lif3 mobile app will be pre-installed on the JamboPhone, complemented by quests and educational programs to help users familiarize themselves with the new technology while earning rewards.Speaking about the partnership, Harry Yeh, Managing Director of Quantum FinTech Group, said, “Lif3 is committed to unlocking financial opportunities for everyone, everywhere. By partnering with Jambo, we’re simplifying access to decentralized financial solutions, including crypto payments and AI-integrated solutions. This is a pivotal step toward bridging economic gaps and transforming lives in emerging markets.” Adding to this, James Zhang, co-founder of Jambo said, “In many regions across emerging markets, an entire family shares one smartphone and a family member can only use it for a few hours a day. Owning a JamboPhone opens up new possibilities–like discovering a new life. By embedding Lif3 directly within the Jambo ecosystem, we're making it easier than ever for users in emerging markets to safely and efficiently engage with the digital economy. The integration of Lif3 into the JamboPhone is a game-changer for crypto payments, opening new pathways to economic participation that were previously unimaginable.”The partnership will feature pre-installed Lif3 apps on all JamboPhones globally, allowing users to get their crypto wallet instantaneously and engage in a host of DeFi features integrated within the Lif3 ecosystem. The initiative also plans to include educational programs to assist new users in navigating the web3 space safely and becoming savvy digital citizens.The Jambo and Lif3 collaboration not only enhances access to digital technologies but also paves the way for financial inclusion in regions where traditional banking has been out of reach. This initiative directly targets the gap in financial services, aiming to bring the unbanked into the economic fold and ignite economic growth from the ground up.About JamboJambo (https://jambophone.xyz/) – The Most Globally Distributed DePIN Smartphone. Jambo's vision is to bring emerging markets on-chain through building the largest web3 mobile infrastructure network. Jambo is backed by investors globally, including Paradigm, Tiger Global, Pantera, Delphi and more. Jambo is onboarding the next billion users to web3 with the JamboPhone 2, a premiere web3 Android smartphone starting at only $99 preloaded with the world of web3 at their fingertips. The Jambo Ecosystem is preinstalled on the phone and features web3 mobile games, wallets, payment infrastructure, and more.About Lif3Lif3.com is revolutionizing the blockchain industry with its omni-chain DeFi ecosystem and curated Layer-1 blockchain. The self-custody Lif3 Wallet, available on the App Store and Google Play, empowers users by unlocking the full potential of Web3, transforming consumer DeFi, Gaming, iGaming, music, entertainment, and more. $LIF3 is currently listed on Bitfinex, Bitmart, and MEXC.About Quantum Fintech GroupQuantum Fintech Group is a private investment group founded in 2020, and is focused on providing superior returns in the alternative asset space focusing specifically on blockchain investments. This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com. Full Article Education
si AMEGA Launches the Lucky Deposit Draw – Your Chance to Win Every Month! By www.forexlive.com Published On :: Tue, 12 Nov 2024 11:45:58 GMT Introduction to Amega Amega is a multi-award-winning global financial broker, authorized, licensed, and regulated by the Mauritius Financial Services Commission under investment license No. GB22200548. Its mission is to make trading simple and accessible to traders of all levels and backgrounds, through the introduction of new technologies, groundbreaking innovations, and a client-first mentality. Amega prides itself on providing a safe and transparent trading environment, allowing investors to trade a variety of assets with unparalleled ease of mind.The Lucky Deposit draw Amega’s Lucky Deposit Draw is here to give traders a monthly boost!Participating is simple! All you need to do is make a minimum deposit of $50 during the month and have an active trading history with Amega. Once you're eligible, you'll be entered into the lucky draw, where 5 lucky traders will walk away with incredible monetary prizes that can be used to trade or be withdrawn as physical cash.What are the prizes?1st winner: $100 2nd winner: $80 3rd winner: $60 4th winner: $40 5th winner: $20Every month, there’s a fresh chance to boost your trading capital or cash out — it’s up to you! The Lucky Deposit Draw is your monthly opportunity to win, and Amega is here to make sure you have the chance to get ahead. No complicated requirements – just trade, deposit, and win!Ready to make this month your lucky month?Sign up today, create your account in seconds, make your deposit, and get in on the draw! Visit amega.finance to learn more about Amega and its many benefits, such as the Loyalty Cashback Program which offers volume-based cash rewards for every single trade, regardless of the market direction. Good Luck! This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com. Full Article Education
si Japan's Seven & i Holdings is considering a management buyout By www.forexlive.com Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 02:43:23 GMT Japan's Seven & i Holdings is considering a management buyout to take itself private with funding from banks, Itochu Corp. and the founding Ito family in a transaction that could be worth US$58 billion"People with knowledge of the matter" cited in the reports via Nikkei and Bloomberg. The Japanese owner of 7-Eleven is considering going private by buying back its own shares in a bid to avoid a takeover attempt by Canadian rival Alimentation Couche-Tard, the news report says. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com. Full Article News
si ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Awaiting US CPI data By www.forexlive.com Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 04:33:01 GMT Fed speakers on energy, the economy, and maybe policy due on WednesdayUS CPI data due Wednesday, the ranges of estimates (& why they're crucial to know)AUD traders heads up - Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock speaks ThursdayThe argument for a near-term Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate cut remains very thinJapan's Seven & i Holdings is considering a management buyoutBank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Catherine Mann speaking WednesdayAustralia - "Wage inflation is moderating as expected"PBoC promised stronger damping to support CNY, and that's what are seeingPBOC sets USD/ CNY mid-point today at 7.1991 (vs. estimate at 7.2305)Dogecoin catches a bid on Trump's new DOGE department headed by MuskTrump names Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy to lead Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)Australia data - Wage Price Index for Q3 2024: +0.8% q/q (expected +0.9%, prior +0.8%)Japan PPI (October) +0.2% m/m (expected 0%) and +3.4% y/y (expected +3.0%)Barclays on oil - current market dynamics relatively stable, doesn't foresee major shiftsECB Interest Rate Forecast: Deutsche Bank's 7 reasons for projecting a lower terminal rateBoA expect a 4% EPS benefit for S&P 500 equites from Trump corporate tax cutsUS CPI data due Wednesday - possible upside surprise.Green shoots in China? Excavator sales grew 15% in OctoberForexlive Americas FX news wrap 12 Nov: Bitcoin hits $90K. Stocks fall. USD moves higher.NY Fed Perli says there's been more friction in money mkts lately, repo rate rise orderlyAmazon’s Bezos sells US$1.25bn of sharesUS indices close lower on the day. No new records today.Bitcoin trades above $90,000 for the first time. It broke the $80,000 level on MondayTrade ideas thread - Wednesday, 13 November, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas Small ranges prevailed during Asia time with many traders content to wait until the US inflation data later.US CPI data due Wednesday, the ranges of estimates (& why they're crucial to know)Data events during the session here were lower-tier. We had PPI data from Japan coming in higher than expected. Renewed yen weakness pushed up import costs for some goods. At the margin, an argument can be made that the data was supportive of a nearer-term Bank of Japan rate hike. Against this is, of course, is the new political pressure on the Bank to not hike until wages are seen rising at the next round of wage negotiations in (Japan's) spring. Many months away. The Bank of Japan next meet on December 18 - 19. USD/JPY moved a little higher, but didn’t get to 155.00. As I post its around the middle of its session range circa 154.80. Data from Australia showed wage growth moderating a little. This is not sufficient for the Reserve Bank of Australia to cut its cash rate any time soon. The next meeting is December 9 – 10, and then in February (17 – 18).Earlier this week People’s Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng emphasized that the Bank will not let the yuan plummet without a fight:Will step up countercyclical adjustmentShould resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshootToday the Bank set the USD/CNY reference rate more than 300 points lower than model estimates (ie a stronger yuan). The Bank delivered on its word to support the yuan. Offshore yuan has jumped (lower USD/CNH). Bitcoin sat near US$88K. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com. Full Article News
si It's a bare economic calendar for the session ahead By www.forexlive.com Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 06:21:34 GMT European trading will be a bit of a snoozer as such with a lack of headlines. But perhaps we might get some interesting market moves to talk about in the run up to the US CPI report. USD/JPY is now inching just above 155.00 for the first time since end July while EUR/USD is looking heavy near the April low of 1.0601. Those will be two of the more interesting charts in play currently.Elsewhere, US futures are pointing lower with gold back up slightly just above $2,600 and Bitcoin is down to below $87,000 after briefly brushing up against the $90,000 mark overnight. So, there are some mixed moves in there for the time being.In terms of data releases, there's just the US MBA mortgage applications at 1200 GMT. With rates having shot higher post-election, that is likely to keep sentiment in a more dour spot after last week's report here.As for euro area releases, there's nothing on the agenda for today. This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com. Full Article News
si Gold Technical Analysis – It’s a make it or break it moment for gold By www.forexlive.com Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 08:17:50 GMT Fundamental OverviewGold is now down almost 6% from the US election day. That shouldn’t be surprising as the last time we got a red sweep gold dropped by more than 16%.The reason is that a red sweep brings a more expansionary fiscal policy and should be not only positive for growth but also for inflation. In fact, the market now sees just two 25 bps rate cuts in 2025 which is already much less than the four projected by the Fed in September.In the bigger picture, gold remains in a bullish trend as real yields will likely continue to fall amid the Fed’s easing cycle, but for now the short-term trend is to the downside due to the repricing in rate cuts expectations. Gold Technical Analysis – Daily TimeframeOn the daily chart, we can see that gold is now trading near the key trendline around the 2600 level. This is where the buyers are stepping in with a defined risk below the trendline to position for a rally into a new all-time high. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking lower to increase the bearish bets into the next trendline around the 2400 level. Gold Technical Analysis – 4 hour TimeframeOn the 4 hour chart, we can see more clearly the strong support zone we have around the 2600 level where there’s the confluence of the previous swing low level and the trendline. We can see that we also have a downward trendline defining the current bearish momentum. If we get a pullback, the sellers will likely lean on it to position for the break below the major trendline, while the buyers will look for a break higher to increase the bullish bets into a new all-time high.Gold Technical Analysis – 1 hour TimeframeOn the 1 hour chart, we can see that we have another minor downward trendline defining the bearish momentum on this timeframe. More aggressive sellers might lean on this one to position for the break of the major trendline, while the buyers will look for a break higher to target the pullback into the next downward trendline. The red lines define the average daily range for today. Upcoming CatalystsToday, we have the US CPI report. Tomorrow, we get the latest US Jobless Claims figures. On Friday, we conclude the week with the US Retail Sales data. See the video below This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com. Full Article Technical Analysis
si EURUSD Technical Analysis – The price is at a key level ahead of the US CPI By www.forexlive.com Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 09:56:52 GMT Fundamental OverviewThe puzzling weakness in the US Dollar following Trump’s victory looks more and more like it was just a “sell the fact” reaction. The greenback is now back in the driving seat, and we might have also seen some pre-positioning in the past couple of days into a potentially hot US CPI report today.At the latest Fed’s decision, Fed Chair Powell said that they expect bumps on inflation and that one or two bad data months on inflation won’t change the process. This keeps the 25 bps cut in December in place even if we get higher inflation readings.The market though is forward-looking, and the rise in Treasury yields showed that the market sees risks to the inflation outlook. Moreover, the red sweep could increase those fears if the progress on inflation stalls, or worse, reverses. The market might have already assigned some premium to a higher than expected print, so there's some risk of a short-term "sell the fact" reaction on a higher than expected number.It goes without saying that a bigger than expected upside surprise should see the momentum increasing immediately with the US Dollar likely rallying across the board and Treasury yields shooting higher. On the other hand, a soft print will likely see the US Dollar and Treasury yields falling, although one can argue that it's just going to provide a pullback to go long the US Dollar and short bonds again at even better levels as future conditions will likely see inflation getting stuck above the target or even moving back higher.EURUSD Technical Analysis – Daily TimeframeOn the daily chart, we can see that EURUSD broke through the key support zone around the 1.0777 following the Trump’s victor, retested it and eventually continued lower. We are now testing another key level at 1.06 handle, and this is where the buyers are stepping in with a defined risk below the level to position for a rally back into the 1.0777 level. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking lower to increase the bearish bets into the 1.05 handle next.EURUSD Technical Analysis – 4 hour TimeframeOn the 4 hour chart, we can see that we have a downward trendline defining the current bearish momentum. We can expect the sellers to lean on it to position for the break below the 1.06 handle, while the buyers will look for a break higher to increase the bullish bets into the 1.0777 level. EURUSD Technical Analysis – 1 hour TimeframeOn the 1 hour chart, we can see that we have a minor resistance zone around the 1.0630 level where we have the trendline for confluence. This is where the sellers are likely to step in with a defined risk above the trendline to position for the break below the 1.06 handle. The buyers, on the other hand, will look for a break higher to increase the bullish bets into the 1.0777 level. The red lines define the average daily range for today. Upcoming CatalystsToday, we have the US CPI report. Tomorrow, we get the latest US Jobless Claims figures. On Friday, we conclude the week with the US Retail Sales data. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com. Full Article Technical Analysis
si USDCHF Technical Analysis – A look at the chart ahead of the US CPI By www.forexlive.com Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 10:30:46 GMT Fundamental OverviewThe puzzling weakness in the US Dollar following Trump’s victory looks more and more like it was just a “sell the fact” reaction. The greenback is now back in the driving seat, and we might have also seen some pre-positioning in the past couple of days into a potentially hot US CPI report today.At the latest Fed’s decision, Fed Chair Powell said that they expect bumps on inflation and that one or two bad data months on inflation won’t change the process. This keeps the 25 bps cut in December in place even if we get higher inflation readings.The market though is forward-looking, and the rise in Treasury yields showed that the market sees risks to the inflation outlook. Moreover, the red sweep could increase those fears if the progress on inflation stalls, or worse, reverses. The market might have already assigned some premium to a higher than expected print, so there's some risk of a short-term "sell the fact" reaction on a higher than expected number.It goes without saying that a bigger than expected upside surprise should see the momentum increasing immediately with the US Dollar likely rallying across the board and Treasury yields shooting higher. On the other hand, a soft print will likely see the US Dollar and Treasury yields falling, although one can argue that it's just going to provide a pullback to go long the US Dollar and short bonds again at even better levels as future conditions will likely see inflation getting stuck above the target or even moving back higher.USDCHF Technical Analysis – Daily TimeframeOn the daily chart, we can see that USDCHF broke through the key downward trendline following Trump’s victory and, after a brief pullback, continued higher as the trend in the US Dollar remains skewed to the upside. We now have an upward trendline defining the current bullish momentum. If we get a pullback, we can expect the buyers to lean on it to position for a rally into new highs, while the sellers will look for a break lower to pile in for a drop into the 0.85 handle. USDCHF Technical Analysis – 4 hour TimeframeOn the 4 hour chart, we can see that we have another minor upward trendline defining the bullish momentum on this timeframe. The buyers will likely keep on leaning on it to push into new highs, while the sellers will look for a break lower to start targeting new lows.USDCHF Technical Analysis – 1 hour TimeframeOn the 1 hour chart, there’s not much to add here as the buyers will look for a bounce around the trendline, while the sellers will look for a break. The US CPI report today is going to be a major catalyst, so it would be better to wait for the release before taking any position. The red lines define the average daily range for today.Upcoming CatalystsToday, we have the US CPI report. Tomorrow, we get the latest US Jobless Claims figures. On Friday, we conclude the week with the US Retail Sales data. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com. Full Article Technical Analysis
si Japan government reportedly mulls continuing electricity, gas price subsidies next year By www.forexlive.com Published On :: Wed, 13 Nov 2024 10:35:00 GMT For some context, these subsidies did come to an end in May but were reinstated in August through to October to cope with the warmer weather. Subsequently, they were continued until this year-end but the funds had to be drawn from reserves in the budget for the fiscal year that started in April.NHK is now reporting that the government is considering keeping these subsidies from January through to March next year. Amid a higher cost of living in key populated areas such as Tokyo, the measure above is mainly to try and combat rising consumer prices. This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com. Full Article News
si NAB Statement on Passing of Richard Bates By www.nab.org Published On :: 2 Jan 2021 00:00:00 EST WASHINGTON, D.C. – In response to the passing on Disney Senior Vice President of Government Relations Richard Bates, the following statement can be attributed to NAB President and CEO Gordon Smith: Full Article
si NAB Statement on Department of Justice Decision on ASCAP and BMI Consent Decrees By www.nab.org Published On :: 15 Jan 2021 00:00:00 EST WASHINGTON, D.C. – In response to the Department of Justice's decision to take no action on the consent decrees governing the performance royalty organizations ASCAP and BMI, the following statement can be attributed to NAB President and CEO Gordon Smith: Full Article
si NAB Statement on Presidential Inauguration By www.nab.org Published On :: 20 Jan 2021 00:00:00 EST WASHINGTON, D.C. – In response to the inauguration of President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris, the following statement can be attributed to NAB President and CEO Gordon Smith: Full Article
si NAB Statement on Designation of Jessica Rosenworcel as Acting FCC Chair By www.nab.org Published On :: 21 Jan 2021 00:00:00 EST WASHINGTON, D.C. – In response to today's announcement by President Joe Biden that Jessica Rosenworcel will serve as acting chair of the Federal Communications Commission, the following statement can be attributed to NAB President and CEO Gordon Smith: Full Article
si NAB Announces Creation of Advisory Committee Focused on Diversity, Equity and Inclusion By www.nab.org Published On :: 28 Jan 2021 00:00:00 EST WASHINGTON, D.C. – The National Association of Broadcasters (NAB) today announced the creation of an advisory committee to the NAB Board of Directors that will provide insights and suggestions on diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) issues. The committee will consist of senior-level broadcasters who are women and people of color, and may include current NAB and NAB Leadership Foundation (NABLF) board members who are committed to advancing DEI issues in broadcasting. Full Article
si Research Shows Mounting Enthusiasm Among NAB Show Attendees to Return in Late 2021 By www.nab.org Published On :: 2 Feb 2021 00:00:00 EST Full Article
si NAB Statement on Passing of Rush Limbaugh By www.nab.org Published On :: 17 Feb 2021 00:00:00 EST WASHINGTON, D.C. – In response to the passing of Rush Limbaugh, the following statement can be attributed to NAB President and CEO Gordon Smith: Full Article
si NAB Launches New Program to Deepen Engagement with All Levels of Broadcast Professionals By www.nab.org Published On :: 1 Mar 2021 00:00:00 EST Full Article
si NAB Statement on Inclusion of Vaccine Awareness Campaign in Coronavirus Relief Legislation By www.nab.org Published On :: 10 Mar 2021 00:00:00 EST WASHINGTON, D.C. – In response to the inclusion of $1 billion for a vaccine awareness campaign in the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021, the following statement may be attributed to NAB President and CEO Gordon Smith: Full Article
si NAB Statement on Introduction of Modern Television Act By www.nab.org Published On :: 11 Mar 2021 00:00:00 EST WASHINGTON, D.C. – In response to the introduction of the Modern Television Act of 2021 by Reps. Steve Scalise (R-LA) and Anna Eshoo (D-CA) that would eliminate the legal underpinnings of the local broadcast system, the following statement can be attributed to NAB Senior Vice President of Communications Ann Marie Cumming: Full Article
si Testimony of Emily Barr at Congressional Hearing on Impact of Big Tech Competition on Local Media By www.nab.org Published On :: 12 Mar 2021 00:00:00 EST WASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, the House Judiciary Subcommittee on Antitrust, Commercial, and Administrative Law is holding a hearing titled "Reviving Competition, Part 2: Saving the Free and Diverse Pres." Full Article
si NAB Statement on Increase in Violence Against Asian Americans and March 16 Shootings in Atlanta By www.nab.org Published On :: 18 Mar 2021 00:00:00 EST NAB Statement on Increase in Violence Against Asian Americans and March 16 Shootings in Atlanta Full Article
si Host Mario Lopez to Receive 2021 NAB Television Chairman’s Award By www.nab.org Published On :: 30 Mar 2021 00:00:00 EST Full Article
si New NAB Spotlight Series Features Dialogue with Members of Congress on Diversity, Equity and Inclusion By www.nab.org Published On :: 31 Mar 2021 00:00:00 EST Washington, D.C. -- U.S. Rep. Karen Bass (CA-37) will be the inaugural guest in an exclusive new Spotlight Series from the National Association of Broadcasters (NAB) featuring members of Congress discussing key initiatives to advance diversity, equity and inclusion and their perspectives on broadcast media. Full Article
si NAB Statement on Supreme Court Decision on Review of Media Ownership Ruling By www.nab.org Published On :: 1 Apr 2021 00:00:00 EST Full Article
si NAB Announces Leadership Transition By www.nab.org Published On :: 7 Apr 2021 00:00:00 EST Washington, D.C. -- National Association of Broadcasters President and CEO Gordon H. Smith announced today his plans to transition to an advisory and advocacy role effective Dec. 31, 2021. The organization’s Chief Operating Officer Curtis LeGeyt has been named the next president and CEO of NAB effective Jan. 1, 2022. Full Article
si NAB Show Premiere Opening Session Explores Broadcasting in the Pandemic By www.nab.org Published On :: 9 Apr 2021 00:00:00 EST Full Article
si Charlyn Stanberry Joins NAB as Vice President of Government Relations By www.nab.org Published On :: 12 Apr 2021 00:00:00 EST Washington, D.C. -- The National Association of Broadcasters announced Charlyn Stanberry has joined the organization as vice president of Government Relations, effective today. Stanberry will report to Shawn Donilon, executive vice president of Government Relations. Full Article
si Testimony of Gordon Smith at Congressional Hearing on Communicating Trusted Vaccine Information By www.nab.org Published On :: 15 Apr 2021 00:00:00 EST WASHINGTON, D.C. – NAB President and CEO Gordon Smith testified today before the Senate Commerce Committee's Subcommittee on Communications, Media, and Broadband at a hearing titled "Shot of Truth: Communicating Trusted Vaccine Information." Full Article
si NAB Show Premiere Session to Explore Emerging Benefits of Edge Technology for Broadcasters By www.nab.org Published On :: 19 Apr 2021 00:00:00 EST Washington, D.C. -- NAB Show Premiere will examine the future impact of edge technology on radio and television broadcasters during a session titled “Livin’ on the Edge: Advances in Computing and Networking to Drive Innovation in Broadcasting.” The session, which will air on Wednesday, April 21st at 3 p.m. ET and be available on-demand, will present a new study about opportunities created by wider adoption of edge technologies in the next three to four years. Full Article
si NextGen TV Demo Shows How Journalists Can Use Technology to Fight Misinformation By www.nab.org Published On :: 20 Apr 2021 00:00:00 EST Full Article
si NAB Statement on Introduction of Resolution Opposing Performance Royalty on Local Radio By www.nab.org Published On :: 4 May 2021 00:00:00 EST WASHINGTON, DC -- A bipartisan coalition of 77 members of the House of Represenatives and eight Senators have joined together to introduce resolutions in Congress opposing "any new performance fee, tax, royalty, or other charge" on local broadcast radio stations. The Local Radio Freedom Act (LRFA) signals members of Congress's opposition to any potential legislation that would impose new performance royalties on broadcast radio stations for music airplay. Full Article
si NAB President and CEO Gordon Smith Delivers Remarks at State Leadership Conference By www.nab.org Published On :: 11 May 2021 00:00:00 EST WASHINGTON, D.C. – National Association of Broadcasters (NAB) President and CEO Gordon Smith delivered remarks today at NAB's State Leadership Conference. The annual gathering of 500 radio and TV station owners and executives from all 50 states is designed to educate the broadcast industry to advocate on relevant legislative and regulatory issues. This year’s conference is a virtual-only event. Full Article
si 25 Representatives, Six Senators Join as Local Radio Freedom Act Cosponsors By www.nab.org Published On :: 17 May 2021 00:00:00 EST WASHINGTON, DC -- Twenty-five members of the House of Representatives and six Senators have added their support to a resolution opposing "any new performance fee, tax, royalty, or other charge" on local broadcast radio stations. The Local Radio Freedom Act (LRFA), which signals members of Congress's opposition to any potential legislation that imposes new performance royalties on broadcast radio stations for music airplay, now has 112 cosponsors in the House and 14 in the Senate. Full Article
si Award-winning Actor and Host Nick Cannon Confirmed For Two NAB Show Signature Events By www.nab.org Published On :: 18 May 2021 00:00:00 EST Full Article
si NAB Statement on Passing of George Beasley By www.nab.org Published On :: 2 Jun 2021 00:00:00 EST Washington, D.C. -- In response to the passing of Beasley Media Group Founder and Executive Chairman of the Board George Beasley at age 89, the following statement can be attributed to NAB President and CEO Gordon Smith: Full Article
si ‘All Things Considered’ to Be Inducted Into NAB Broadcasting Hall of Fame By www.nab.org Published On :: 3 Jun 2021 00:00:00 EST Full Article
si Futurist and Renowned Author Rishad Tobaccowala to Keynote Radio Show Session on Transformation By www.nab.org Published On :: 8 Jun 2021 00:00:00 EST Full Article
si NAB Statement on Introduction of Legislation Imposing Performance Royalty on Local Radio Stations By www.nab.org Published On :: 24 Jun 2021 00:00:00 EST Full Article
si Congressional Veterans Affairs Committee Leadership Awarded Inaugural Dingell Award By www.nab.org Published On :: 13 Jul 2021 00:00:00 EST Full Article
si Television Network Affiliate Groups to Hold Meetings at 2021 NAB Show By www.nab.org Published On :: 15 Jul 2021 00:00:00 EST Full Article
si NAB Statement on House Passage of Media Diversity Legislation By www.nab.org Published On :: 20 Jul 2021 00:00:00 EST WASHINGTON, D.C. -- In response to passage of the MEDIA Diversity Act of 2021 (H.R. 1754) and a resolution reaffirming Congress's commitment to media diversity and pledging to work with the private sector on solutions eliminating barriers to media diversity (H.Res. 277), the following statement can be attributed to NAB President and CEO Gordon Smith: Full Article
si Anna Chauvet Joins NAB as Vice President of Public Policy By www.nab.org Published On :: 30 Aug 2021 00:00:00 EST Washington, D.C. -- Anna Chauvet has joined the National Association of Broadcasters as vice president of Public Policy, effective today. Chauvet will report to Shawn Donilon, executive vice president of Government Relations. Full Article
si Media Ownership Rules Are Detrimental to Competition, Localism and Diversity, NAB Says By www.nab.org Published On :: 3 Sep 2021 00:00:00 EST Washington, D.C. -- The regulatory framework governing ownership of broadcast radio and television stations harms broadcasters’ ability to compete in the marketplace, impedes localism and fails to promote diversity in ownership, the National Association of Broadcasters (NAB) said in comments filed with the Federal Communications Commission (FCC). Full Article
si NAB Launches Diversity Symposium at NAB Show By www.nab.org Published On :: 3 Sep 2021 00:00:00 EST Full Article
si NAB Launches New Ad Campaign Emphasizing the Importance of Trusted, Local Broadcast Journalism By www.nab.org Published On :: 16 Sep 2021 00:00:00 EST Washington, D.C. -- The National Association of Broadcasters (NAB) today launched new spots underscoring the importance of fact-based broadcast radio and television journalism at a time when misinformation is running rampant on social media. Full Article