w Harvard Project Releases New Paper on Creating Subnational Climate Institutions in China By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Dec 18, 2019 Dec 18, 2019Michael Davidson explores Chinese provinces’ roles in formulating and implementing climate-change policy, in the context of a broader understanding of administrative and political relationships between provincial and central governments. Full Article
w Harvard Project Engages with Policymakers, Issue Advocates, and Others at COP-25 in Madrid By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Jan 7, 2020 Jan 7, 2020With representatives from nearly 200 countries gathering in December in Madrid, Spain for the 25th annual UN climate change conference (COP-25), the Harvard Project on Climate Agreements played a very active role by engaging with policymakers, issue advocates, academics, and journalists to help inform the discussions. Full Article
w Environmental Insights Interview with Jos Delbeke By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Jan 8, 2020 Jan 8, 2020Jos Delbeke, Professor at the European University Institute in Florence and at the KU Leuven in Belgium, recounted the history of carbon pricing and voiced his optimism for further international efforts to combat climate change in the newest episode of "Environmental Insights: Discussions on Policy and Practice from the Harvard Environmental Economics Program." Full Article
w Former European Commission Climate Negotiator Jos Delbeke Shares Firsthand Account of Carbon Pricing Evolution in New Episode of “Environmental Insights” By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Jan 8, 2020 Jan 8, 2020Jos Delbeke, Professor at the European University Institute in Florence and at the KU Leuven in Belgium, recounted the evolution of carbon pricing and voiced his optimism for further international efforts to combat climate change in the newest episode of “Environmental Insights: Discussions on Policy and Practice from the Harvard Environmental Economics Program.” Full Article
w The Potential Promises and Pitfalls of Solar Geoengineering: An Interview with David Keith By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Feb 7, 2020 Feb 7, 2020Professor Robert Stavins interviews David Keith, Gordon McKay Professor of Applied Physics at the Harvard John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, and Professor of Public Policy at Harvard Kennedy School, considered one of the world's leading scholars on solar geoengineering. Full Article
w Harvard Professor David Keith Discusses Potential Promises and Pitfalls of Solar Geoengineering in New Episode of "Environmental Insights" By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Feb 7, 2020 Feb 7, 2020David Keith, Gordon McKay Professor of Applied Physics at the Harvard John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, and Professor of Public Policy at Harvard Kennedy School, discussed his groundbreaking research and policy work in the field of solar geoengineering in the newest episode of “Environmental Insights: Discussions on Policy and Practice from the Harvard Environmental Economics Program.” Listen to the interview here. Full Article
w Coronavirus Crisis Shows Cracks in the U.S. Governing System, Analysts Say By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 8, 2020 Apr 8, 2020China’s autocratic system has performed better in some aspects than America’s democracy so far in responding to the coronavirus pandemic, but it is too early to write off the United States despite its many early missteps, analysts at a China Institute event said. Full Article
w China After Coronavirus – Should We Ever Trust Beijing Again? By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 8, 2020 Apr 8, 2020The coronavirus has exposed even deeper fault lines in the increasingly acrimonious U.S.-China relationship. The U.S. is now taking appropriate measures to mitigate the risk to our national security of relying on China for critical technology, precious metals and medical supplies. Full Article
w Will the New Oil Pact Open a Broader Dialogue Between Trump and Putin? By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 13, 2020 Apr 13, 2020Since President Trump moved into the White House, he has been eager for a dramatic initiative with Russian President Vladimir Putin, and he may finally have found one in Sunday’s announcement of a joint American-Russian-Saudi effort to stabilize world oil prices. Full Article
w No, the Coronavirus Will Not Change the Global Order By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 16, 2020 Apr 16, 2020Joseph Nye advises skepticism toward claims that the pandemic changes everything. China won't benefit, and the United States will remain preeminent. Full Article
w This Virus Is Tough, but History Provides Perspective: The 1968 Pandemic and the Vietnam War By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 24, 2020 Apr 24, 2020Nathaniel L. Moir recounts the events of 1968: The war in Vietnam and extensive civil unrest in the United States — and yet another big problem that made life harder. In 1968, the H3N2 pandemic killed more individuals in the United States than the combined total number of American fatalities during both the Vietnam and Korean Wars. Full Article
w How COVID-19 is Testing American Leadership By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 26, 2020 Apr 26, 2020Joseph Nye suggests that a new U.S. administration might take a leaf from the success of the post-1945 American presidents that are described in Do Morals Matter? Presidents and Foreign Policy from FDR to Trump. The United States could launch a massive COVID-19 aid program like the Marshall Plan. Full Article
w Why Bernie Sanders Will Win in 2020, No Matter Who Gets Elected By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 28, 2020 Apr 28, 2020Stephen Walt writes that even though Bernie Sanders is out of the presidential race, the time has come for many of the policies that he promoted: Universal Healthcare; Democratic Socialism; Income Redistribution; and Foreign Policy. Full Article
w What Caused the COVID-19 Testing Deficit? By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 30, 2020 Apr 30, 2020As the divergent experiences of the US and South Korea show, testing can be the difference between disease containment and catastrophe. Rather than relying on national governments to ensure the rapid development, production, and deployment of diagnostics during outbreaks, the world needs a global coordinating platform. Full Article
w Romney's Reckless China Rhetoric Risks New Cold War By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: May 3, 2020 May 3, 2020Rachel Esplin Odell argues for a wiser and more conservative strategy that resists the temptation to exaggerate the challenge posed by China. Full Article
w The United States Forgot Its Strategy for Winning Cold Wars By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: May 5, 2020 May 5, 2020Stephen Walt writes that arguments against U.S. offshore balancing misunderstand history. The strategy that worked against the Soviet Union can work against China. Full Article
w Maxwell Taylor's Cold War: From Berlin to Vietnam By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: May 6, 2020 May 6, 2020Nathaniel Moir reviews Maxwell Taylor's Cold War: From Berlin to Vietnam by Ingo Trauschweizer. Full Article
w Next Moves on Climate Policy: A Conversation with Sue Biniaz By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: May 8, 2020 May 8, 2020Sue Biniaz, former lead climate negotiator for the United States, shared her thoughts on the postponement of COP-26, and on the possible re-engagement of the U.S. in the international effort to address climate change in the newest episode of “Environmental Insights: Discussions on Policy and Practice from the Harvard Environmental Economics Program,” a podcast produced by the Harvard Environmental Economics Program. Full Article
w How to Topple Dictators and Transform Society By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Jan 3, 2020 Jan 3, 2020Nonviolent resistance scholar Erica Chenoweth explains the key ingredients of successful social movements. Full Article
w 2020–2021 International Security Program Research Fellowships: Apply Now By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Jan 9, 2020 Jan 9, 2020The International Security Program (ISP) is still accepting applications for 2020–2021. ISP is a multidisciplinary research group that develops and trains new talent in security studies by hosting pre- and postdoctoral research fellows. Full Article
w What Makes for a Moral Foreign Policy? By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Jan 21, 2020 Jan 21, 2020Joseph Nye's new book rates the efforts of presidents from FDR to Trump. Full Article
w Rami Khouri's interview on Aljazeera TV discussing the appointment of the new Lebanese government. By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Jan 22, 2020 Jan 22, 2020Rami Khouri's interview on Aljazeera TV discussing the appointment of the new Lebanese government amidst continuing protests and clashes with police. Full Article
w Lebanon has formed a controversial new government in a polarised, charged atmosphere, and protesters are not going to be easily pacified by its promises, explains Rami Khoury. By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Jan 22, 2020 Jan 22, 2020The fourth consecutive month of Lebanon's unprecedented political and economic crisis kicked off this week with three dramatic developments that will interplay in the coming months to define the country's direction for years to come: Escalating protests on the streets, heightened security measures by an increasingly militarising state, and now, a new cabinet of controversial so-called "independent technocrats" led by Prime Minister-designate Hassan Diab. Seeking to increase pressure on the political elite to act responsibly amid inaction vis-a-vis the slow collapse of the economy, the protesters had launched the fourth month of their protest movement, which had begun on 17 October last year, with a 'Week of Anger', stepping up their tactics and targeting banks and government institutions. Full Article
w Rami Khouri on Euronews TV discussing the Trump-Netanyahu Middle East initiative. By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Jan 29, 2020 Jan 29, 2020Rami Khouri's on Euronews TV discussing the Trump-Netanyahu Middle East initiative. Full Article
w Armed Rebel Groups Lobby in D.C., Just Like Governments. How Does That Influence U.S. Policy? By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Feb 6, 2020 Feb 6, 2020Armed rebel groups push for funding and recognition, and often get it. Full Article
w H-Diplo Review Essay 192 on Lawson. Anatomies of Revolution By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Feb 14, 2020 Feb 14, 2020Emily Whalen reviews Anatomies of Revolution by George Lawson (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2019). Full Article
w Grow Up About Dictators, America! By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mar 2, 2020 Mar 2, 2020The U.S. Democratic primary has exposed an obsession with morality when it comes to foreign policy that is harmful to strategic and moral objectives alike, Stephen M. Walt writes. Full Article
w How Do Past Presidents Rank in Foreign Policy? By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mar 2, 2020 Mar 2, 2020How do presidents incorporate morality into decisions involving the national interest? Moral considerations explain why Truman, who authorized the use of nuclear weapons in Japan during World War II, later refused General MacArthur's request to use them in China during the Korean War. What is contextual intelligence, and how does it explain why Bush 41 is ranked first in foreign policy, but Bush 43 is found wanting? Is it possible for a president to lie in the service of the public interest? In this episode, Professor Joseph S. Nye considers these questions as he explores the role of morality in presidential decision-making from FDR to Trump. Full Article
w The Future of the Transatlantic Defense Relationship: Views from Finland and the EU By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mar 3, 2020 Mar 3, 2020February 7, 2020: With the advent of the digital age and the rise of Russia and China as global powers, the EU must do more to defend itself and its relationship with the United States, according to Janne Kuusela, Director General Janne Kuusela. In an event moderated by Cathryn Clüver Ashbrook, Executive Director of the Future of Diplomacy Project and the Project on Europe and the Transatlantic Relationship he explained why Finland could be a potential paradigm for the EU’s defense strategy. Full Article
w Beyond Trade: The Confrontation Between the U.S. and China By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mar 3, 2020 Mar 3, 2020Could China and the US be stumbling down the path Germany and the United Kingdom took at the beginning of the last century? The possibility will strike many readers as inconceivable. But we should remember that when we say something is “inconceivable,” this is a claim not about what is possible in the world, but rather about what our limited minds can imagine. My answer to the question of whether we are sleepwalking toward war is “yes.” Full Article
w Q&A with Amy Austin Holmes By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mar 24, 2020 Mar 24, 2020Amy Austin Holmes is the Kuwait Foundation Visiting Scholar with the Belfer Center’s Middle East Initiative. An Associate Professor of Sociology at the American University in Cairo, she has lived and taught in the Middle East since 2008 and is an expert on minority groups such as Kurds, Syriac-Assyrian Christians, and Nubians. She is the author of the 2019 book Coups and Revolutions: Mass Mobilization, the Egyptian Military, and the United States from Mubarak to Sisi. In the Q&A section of this newsletter, we asked Amy Austin Holmes about her work. Full Article
w What Allies Want: Reconsidering Loyalty, Reliability, and Alliance Interdependence By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 12, 2020 Apr 12, 2020Is indiscriminate loyalty what allies want? The First Taiwan Strait Crisis (1954–55) case suggests that allies do not desire U.S. loyalty in all situations. Instead, they want the United States to be a reliable ally, posing no risk of abandonment or entrapment. Full Article
w Analysis: Iraqi Protesters Will Likely Push Forward Despite Violence By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Feb 7, 2020 Feb 7, 2020Since last October, Iraqis have staged peaceful anti-government protests throughout Baghdad and the southern provinces. These mass protest movements have drawn attention for their unifying nationalistic rhetoric, their irreverence for traditional societal and political figures, and for their strict adherence to peaceful means in the face of increasing brutality by the government’s forces and paramilitary groups. Full Article
w Bridging the Euphrates? How we Respond to the Idlib Crisis Could Ease or Aggravate Tensions Between Turkey and the SDF By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Mar 4, 2020 Mar 4, 2020Given that the Turkish-backed SNA has clearly stated their intention to launch another operation against the SDF, how will the US ensure that the ammunition provided to Turkey is not used against the SDF? Full Article
w Green Ambitions, Brown Realities: Making Sense of Renewable Investment Strategies in the Gulf By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Mar 13, 2020 Mar 13, 2020Gulf countries have hailed their investments in renewable energy, but some basic questions remain about the extent to which it makes sense for GCC states to invest aggressively in renewables. The sheer magnitude of such investments will require these countries to mobilize significant public resources. Therefore, such an assessment requires these countries to focus on national interests, not just a desire to be perceived as constructive participants in the global transition away from carbon energy. This report starts by identifying four common strategic justifications for investing in renewable energy in GCC countries. Each of these rationales highlights a different aspect of renewable energy investments. In addition, each rationale is based on different assumptions about the underlying drivers of such investments, and each rationale is based on different assumptions about the future of energy. Full Article
w Belfer Center Spring 2020 Newsletter By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Mar 24, 2020 Mar 24, 2020The coronavirus pandemic has slowed the economy, but it hasn’t put dozens of other major global issues on pause. From a rapidly changing Middle East and Brexit to great power rivalry and 2020 election security, Belfer Center scholars have been active in the classroom and out in the field sharing impactful research. This issue of our newsletter, produced before COVID-19 became a full-fledged pandemic, shares highlights from this work. Full Article
w Building Bridges with the Middle East By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Mar 24, 2020 Mar 24, 2020The Belfer Center’s Middle East Initiative (MEI) is tackling changes in the Middle East with a multi-pronged approach. By bringing together the world’s top academic and policy experts to debate issues at the core of the transformation, and by providing a range of on-campus, field experiences, and other opportunities for students and research fellows, MEI is helping develop the next generation of Middle East leaders and scholars and providing policy-relevant research on challenges facing the region today. Full Article
w Q&A with Amy Austin Holmes By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Mar 24, 2020 Mar 24, 2020Amy Austin Holmes is the Kuwait Foundation Visiting Scholar with the Belfer Center’s Middle East Initiative. An Associate Professor of Sociology at the American University in Cairo, she has lived and taught in the Middle East since 2008 and is an expert on minority groups such as Kurds, Syriac-Assyrian Christians, and Nubians. She is the author of the 2019 book Coups and Revolutions: Mass Mobilization, the Egyptian Military, and the United States from Mubarak to Sisi. In the Q&A section of this newsletter, we asked Amy Austin Holmes about her work. Full Article
w Yuree Noh: Bridging People’s Welfare in Government and Society By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Mar 24, 2020 Mar 24, 2020Yuree Noh moved to the United States from Seoul, Korea to further her education. Her plan was to then return to Korea to become a policy-maker who would build bridges between Korea and the Middle East. Full Article
w The Twin Crises and the Prospects for Political Sectarianism in Lebanon By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Apr 4, 2020 Apr 4, 2020LCPS solicited the opinion of key experts to answer one question: “Will the financial crisis, exacerbated further by COVID-19, strengthen or loosen the power of Lebanon’s governing political parties?” Full Article
w Measuring National Power: Is Vladimir Putin’s Russia in Decline? By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: May 4, 2018 May 4, 2018As Vladimir Putin embarks on another six-year term as Russia’s president, Western pundits and policymakers are left wondering whether his reelection means that Moscow’s muscular policies toward America and other Western powers will continue or even escalate. But what is the reality of Russian power in the Putin era? Is Russia a rising, declining or stagnating power? How does its standing in the global order compare to other nations, including the United States, China and European powers? Full Article
w The U.S.-Russia Initiative to Prevent Nuclear Terrorism Newsletter: March - May 2018 By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Jun 9, 2018 Jun 9, 2018U.S. and Russian experts ponder denuclearization of Korean Peninsula. Graham Allison on changing the odds of nuclear terrorism. William Tobey on insights on UNSCR 1540. Siegfried Hecker calls for revival of U.S.-Russian nuclear cooperation. Full Article
w Is Vladimir Putin’s Russia in Decline? We Figured Out How to Measure ‘National Power.’ By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Jun 20, 2018 Jun 20, 2018Where does Russia stand as Vladimir Putin embarks on another six-year term as president? Analysts have been trying to figure out whether Russia has been rising, declining or stagnating since Putin ascended to power in 1999. Full Article
w When Does Vladimir Putin’s Russia Send In Troops? By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Aug 7, 2018 Aug 7, 2018This month marks the tenth anniversary of Vladimir Putin’s first military intervention abroad, in Georgia. Since then there have been two more, continuing to this day, in Ukraine and Syria in 2014 and 2015, respectively. And still it’s worth asking: When does Putin authorize the use of military force, overtly or covertly, against other countries and why? Full Article
w Center Experts Comment on Significance of Withdrawing from INF Treaty By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Oct 22, 2018 Oct 22, 2018Following the news that the Trump administration plans to abandon the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, signed in 1987 by Ronald Reagan and Mikhail Gorbachev, ten Belfer Center nuclear and U.S.-Russia relations experts offered their thoughts on the significance and consequences of this action. Full Article
w The U.S.-Russia Initiative to Prevent Nuclear Terrorism Newsletter: June - November 2018 By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Nov 21, 2018 Nov 21, 2018Graham Allison on likelihood of another 9/11 and need to deny terrorists nuclear weapons. Bunn and Roth on regaining nuclear security momentum. New books on lessons of U.S.-Russian non-proliferation cooperation and on preventing illicit nuclear trade. Study: Congress needs to play a more active role in nuclear security. Full Article
w Putin’s Remarks on Use of Nuclear Weapons Are Confusing, But Unlikely to Constitute a Shift in Nuclear Posture By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Nov 28, 2018 Nov 28, 2018Russian President Vladimir Putin’s eschatological talk of nuclear Armageddon at this year’s Valdai forum has stirred up heated debates on how well his description of Russia’s potential use of nuclear weapons matches the country’s official military doctrine. However, a close look at Putin’s Oct. 18 remarks and Russia’s 2014 military doctrine reveals that, while Putin deviated from the language in the doctrine, he did not lie on the first use issue. Nor did he seem to be hinting at a shift in Russia’s nuclear posture. More likely, he was signaling to Washington that the existing nuclear arms control treaties need to remain in place for the sake of ensuring strategic stability in the U.S.-Russian nuclear dyad and avoiding an accidental war between the two countries. Full Article
w Jihadists from Ex-Soviet Central Asia: Where Are They? Why Did They Radicalize? What Next? By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Dec 7, 2018 Dec 7, 2018Thousands of radicals from formerly Soviet Central Asia have traveled to fight alongside IS in Syria and Iraq; hundreds more are in Afghanistan. Not counting the fighting in those three war-torn countries, nationals of Central Asia have been responsible for nearly 100 deaths in terrorist attacks outside their home region in the past five years. But many important aspects of the phenomenon need more in-depth study. This research paper attempts to answer four basic sets of questions: (1) Is Central Asia becoming a new source of violent extremism that transcends borders, and possibly continents? (2) If so, why? What causes nationals of Central Asia to take up arms and participate in political violence? (3) As IS has been all but defeated in Iraq and Syria, what will Central Asian extremists who have thrown in their lot with the terrorist group do next? And (4) do jihadists from Central Asia aspire to acquire and use weapons of mass destruction? If so, how significant a threat do they pose and who would be its likeliest targets? Full Article
w Lessons for Leaders: What Afghanistan Taught Russian and Soviet Strategists By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Feb 28, 2019 Feb 28, 2019The following is a selection of military-political lessons gleaned mostly from the recollections of Soviet strategists who were involved in making and executing the fateful decision to send troops to Afghanistan, as well as from writings by some of post-Soviet Russia’s prominent military analysts. Where possible, the author made an effort to relay these strategists’ analysis of the failures and successes of the intervention because he felt that such assessments, based on first-hand experience, are not always given their due in English-language literature on the subject. Full Article
w Trump Takes Risky Gamble Meeting with Kim and Walking Into North Korea By www.belfercenter.org Published On :: Jun 30, 2019 Jun 30, 2019President Trump’s trip Sunday to the Demilitarized Zone between North and South Korea and his historic decision to cross briefly into North Korea was a made-for-TV diplomatic spectacular. But it was also a test of whether personal diplomacy can trump (so to speak) longstanding definitions of a country’s national interests by persuading North Korean leader Kim Jong Un to end his nuclear weapons program. Full Article