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Tambora and the year without a summer: how a volcano plunged the world into crisis / Wolfgang Behringer ; translated by Pamela Selwyn

Browsery QE523.T285 B4413 2019




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The new mind readers: what neuroimaging can and cannot reveal about our thoughts / Russell A. Poldrack

Browsery RC349.D52 P65 2018




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Conference organising in times of chaos

To the surprise of exactly no one, we cancelled CSS Day 2020, originally slated for 11th and 12th of June. In this post I’d like to explain our reasoning, and call for a gesture of solidarity and support to small, independent conference organisers.

All CSS Day attendees received a mail with details about the reimbursement process. If you did not receive it we do not have your correct email address on file, and you should contact us.

Being a good attendee

If you want the independent web conference community to continue to exist in the future, there are a few things you can do for your friendly local conference organiser.

  1. Make sure they can reach you. Check your email address in their sales system.
  2. If the conference offers the option, and if you can afford it at all, allow them to move your ticket forward to the next edition. This will give them some financial breathing room. See it as an interest-free loan aimed at preserving the ecosystem all of us built.
  3. Be understanding of delays and uncertainties. All conference organisers must chart their own course, and some will be taking a wait-and-see approach, especially if their conferences are scheduled for late June or beyond.
  4. If conferences do run, be accepting of a sharply diminished experience. It is very likely that conferences sell way fewer tickets than usual, and the most obvious way of saving money is removing luxury items such as nice extra catering options, afterparties with free drinks, diversity tickets, captioning, possbily even wifi. Speakers may be asked to waive their speaking fee. The entire conference might be moved online. Be accepting of such occurrences, and remember that they’re aimed at allowing the organisers to support themselves and their families.

A good example of the last point is the perfmatters conference over in the US. It switched to an online conference, but offered no refunds for the sharp decline in experience because the money was already spent. As a partial recompense, all attendees were allowed to invite someone else to the online conference.

I fully support Estelle in this difficult decision, but at the same time I’m glad I don’t have to do the same.

More in general, the question is whether we want the independent web conference community to survive. (I do, but I’m biased.) If we stick together, and attendees are accepting of cancellations, sharp service level declines, and possibly even loss of money, we might survive.

If we don’t, in a few years we’ll only have corporate conferences with a corporate agenda to attend.

Your choice.

Being a good sponsor

As a sponsor, there are also a few things you can do:

  1. If you can afford it, and the sum is not too large, allow cancelled conferences to retain your sponsorship money, possibly as a down payment for a sponsorship next year.
  2. Be accepting of point 4 above. If you had earmarked your sponsorship for a specific purpose, be prepared to waive that purpose.
  3. That last point will likely remain true for the next year. Please do not earmark future sponsorships, but allow the organiser to spend it as they see fit — and that includes avoiding personal bankruptcy.

Conference finances

Just so you understand my perspective: with one stroke I lost 1/3rd of my annual income. The situation is dire, though fortunately not hopeless. Other conference organisers are hit even harder.

The real question for me personally is whether performance.now(2020), 12th anf 13th of November, will run. Right now we think it will, but if it doesn’t I lose another third of my annual income and I have a real problem.

CSS Day was still far removed from the break-even point. That was completely expected at this time of the year, and even ten days ago we didn’t worry about it. Now, however, we must work with a scenario where we will not sell any more tickets, and where some current ticket holders will ask for a reimbursement. Thus, the financial risk of running the conference has gone from fairly low to enormous. This informs all decisions we took.

A small, independent web conference of our type breaks even when about 60-75% of the tickets are sold. Any number below 60% means that the organisers will have to pay money out of their own pocket.

We try to keep prices relatively restrained, that’s why the break-even point is so high. Huge corporate IT conferences have quite different break-even points, especially if they use the sponsor money to actually pay for the conference and put the complete proceedings of the ticket sales in their own pockets.

June cancelled

It is possible that the de-facto travel ban will be rescinded by early June. The big question is when exactly that will happen. Even if we are absurdly positive and say that we’ll be out of the woods by late April or early May, people will still be understandably concerned about their health, and will not be amenable to booking a trip for the next month.

That means that, in practice, even in a fairy-tale positve scenario we will sell way fewer tickets than last year. It is quite likely we will stay below the magical 65% line that breaks us even. Remember: every single cent we’d pay would come from our own pocket, since we’re going to reimburse the tickets and lose that money. The risk is simply too big, and we decline to run it. The organisers of the XOXO festival explain this problem more clearly than I can.

An added benefit is that we have not yet made any large payments to the venue and the hotel, and if we cancel now we won’t have to. Our suppliers are understanding of the situation, and it appears that the only costs we have to pay is a single speaker flight. That’s manageable.

Online conference? Nope

So: no physical conference in June. But what about an online conference or a postponed one?

Moving conferences online is frequently suggested on Twitter — mostly by people who have no experience in organising conferences. Sure we could try to do that, but there are considerable downsides:

  1. Will our audience buy tickets for an online-only conference? Our mailing lists and past audience have self-selected for a desire to attend a physical conference, where not only the talks, but also the social gatherings in the hallways are very important. Some people don’t like that, but our audience very much does.
  2. The ticket price would have to be significantly lower than for a physical conference. Of course, the costs would also be significantly lower, but a much lower ticket price still means much less profit per ticket. Financially, it might work. Then again, it might not. We just don’t know.
  3. What about our current ticekt holders? Our ticketing system allows us to reimburse them (and we will do so), but it has no option to partially reimburse the tickets of those attendees who’d like to switch to the online conference. We’d have to go through a manual process of invoicing and reimbursing that is likely to take a LOT of time.
  4. Then we’d have to find suitable software for online conferences. No doubt there are quite a few good options, but since we have no experience it would take us a long time to pick one.
  5. The biggest problem with online conferencing software is that we cannot test it. If something goes wrong on the conference day itself, we essentially do not know what to do, attendees become dissatisfied, and our brand suffers. People might even ask for a reimbursement — and we can’t even tell them they’re wrong.
  6. The massive uncertainty that comes with the software will have caused us to live in a state of ultra-stress for weeks, and that is not conducive to reasoning and clarity of thought.
  7. Finally, all of this would take a lot of extra time that we cannot spend on other jobs. Although it’s possible we would make some money, it’s also possible that we won’t. The risk is too high.

So our huge time investment and stress load might not actually pay out, and I personally might still be left with a gaping hole of about 1/3rd of my annual income after spending way too many weeks on a solution that didn’t work, left everyone dissatisfied, and precluded me from doing other work while stressing me out so much that I have to take a few weeks’ break without having any money.

I will not go that route. The risk is too high.

Postponing? Nah

Postponing the conference is a more realistic approach. But to which dates? The venue was kind enough to offer us early September dates, but we doubt those are going to work.

Same problem as always: will people buy tickets? They might, but they might not. The risk is too high.

There are additional risks, as Niels Leenheer, who was recently forced to cancel the Fronteers 2020 conference, outlines in a recent article. If many conferences move to fall dates, they will compete not only with one another, but also with the regularly-scheduled conferences that would take place in fall anyway. It’s a lose-lose scenario for everyone.

Part of conference organising is the careful planning of the date. You do not want to be too close to similar conferences, and you’re bound to conference season anyway, which stretches from early March to late June and then from mid September to early December — at least in Europe.

Moreover, once you have a time slot that you have used for several years in a row, your attendees — and your competitors — adjust to that. Changing it is something not to be considered lightly, and will affect not only your own conference, but also other ones planned around the new dates. Solidarity requires us to stay away from the time slots of other independent web conferences.

Also, speakers may have other obligations by that time, or they might still decline to come due to health concerns. All this is entirely understandable, and while we have built up a great network of supportive former speakers who would probably be willing to help us out, it wouldn’t be the conference our attendees bought a ticket for. Besides, it would mean repeating speakers year over year, something we generally try to avoid.

Finally, this would cost us some extra time, though not nearly as much as moving the conference online. Is it the wisest course of action to spend that extra time on postponing the conference instead of looking for other jobs? I don’t think so.

The risk is too high. It’s far better to write off CSS Day 2020 entirely and use the freed-up time to make money in other ways.

***

So that’ where we stand right now. The independent web conference community is taking a severe hit, and we are no exception. Still, we aim to return.

There’s one silver lining: when all this is over there will be pent-up demand for conferences. Plenty of people enjoy going to them, and while skipping one is not a great hardship, skipping an entire conference season might be. So with a little bit of luck our conferences might return to normal in 2021.

If we stick together and show some solidarity we can survive this.

Stay healthy,




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Playing board games online

One of the things that keeps me fairly upbeat these days is playing board games and D&D with my friends online. Since others might want to do the same, I thought I’d jot down some notes on how I do it.

I briefly tried Tabletopia but didn"t like it. I understand why they built the interface as they did, but I found it very hard and very confusing to use, and it took us about 45 minutes to even start understanding the system. Granted, we picked Teotihuacan for our test game, which may not have been the best of choices.

So I continued using my homebrew system, and it works great so far.

Technical set-up

I use Whereby (the former appear.in), a WebRTC service that works absolutely GREAT. I totally recommend it to everyone for your online communication needs. The greatest thing about it is that you just go to a URL, ask the people you want to communicate with to go to the same URL, give permissions, enter the room, and start talking. No sign-ups or logins or whatever.

I have a pro account (or whatever it’s called) that allows 12 simultaneous connections to my room. You can also just grab a room name, go there, and start communicating, but these free rooms have a maximum of four simultaneous connections. So I advise you to take a paid account; you will most likely need more than four connections for playing board games online.

Besides, fuck free. The free Internet is slowly coming to an end and you should pay for services you like and use, or they won’t survive (or sell your data; see also Zoom).

Whereby works on modern Chromium-based browsers, and also in Firefox (though I haven’t tried Firefox on Android yet). It does not work in Safari iOS, but an app is available that works as simply as the web client.

Then figure out how many devices you own that you can use. On the whole, I send out three streams: my 'social' stream (my face, basically) from my laptop, the main board stream from my iPad, and a secondary board stream from a Samsung S6 I happened to have lying around. I occasionally use my real Samsung phone (an S7) as a third cam, for instance to make sure that everyone has the same bits and pieces on mirrored player boards.

Plug in all devices you use, and make sure any phones are on at least 25% charge or so before starting. My Samsung phones, especially, tend to spend a lot of juice on keeping the streams running, and even though plugged in all the time they might end up with less battery charge after a gaming session.

Mute Whereby on all devices except for your social stream. One very annoying thing I noticed is that, both on the iPad and on the Samsungs, it is impossible to turn off the sound completely. Therefore you need to do two things:

  1. Disable sound input by clicking on the microphone icon in the bottom bar.
  2. Disable sound output of all connections by clicking the Mute option in the menu you get after clicking on the three bullets icon in the upper right corner. You must repeat this for every connection.

You can only mute the output once everyone else has joined the stream. If someone drops out and re-joins you must mute them again. This is annoying; but it’s caused by idiotic device vendors not allowing you to mute the sound completely by using the provided hardware buttons — don’t ask me why they took this stupid step.

Now ask the others to join you. If possible and necessary they can also add their own cameras, for instance to show their player boards.

Picking the game

With the technical set-up out of the way, you should pick your game. I found that there are two absolute necessities here:

  1. All players must own the game, so that they can copy the moves of the other players.
  2. The game should have little to no hidden information.

So you might need to buy the same game as your friends. If you are in the Amsterdam area, please support your friendly local game store Friends & Foes instead of the big online retailers. Friends & Foes deliver in Amsterdam (I just ordered Tzolkin from them).

The two games I played most often so far are Azul and Alchemists. I am currently gearing up to try Madeira, Istanbul and Tzolkin; they should work as well.

Azul, Madeira, and Tzolkin have no hidden information at all. They have a variable set-up (and in case of Azul this is repeated each round), but that should be no problem.

Appoint one player or group of players as the Master; the other ones have Copies. The Master players draw all the randoms and show them to the other players, who copy them on to their Copy boards. Having the Master set provide all random draws is very important, since usually quite a bit of design thought went in to deciding exactly how many of one type of card or tile are available. These distributions should not be disturbed!

Azul

With Azul it is very important that all players set up copies of all other players’ personal boards. Part of the game is figuring out which tiles other players are likely to want, and for that all players need an overview of who has which tiles in which position.

Wnen I stream Azul, the main camera is on the central part with the available tiles. Other players can copy that if they like, but it’s not really necessary if the stream is clear enough. My secondary camera is on my own player board, so that everyone can see what I’m doing.

During the game all players clearly state their moves; for instance “I take the two blues with the star, and I put them on my three row.” I take the tiles from the central part, and the other players see me doing that, so they can correct me. They don’t see my copy of their playing baords, but that has never been a problem yet, as long as everyone gives clear instructions.

After a round has ended but before scoring I start up my tertiary camera to stream my copies of everyone else’s player boards, just to make sure no mistakes were made. Then I score each player’s board while showing it on camera. We repeat our final scores orally, just to be sure, and then the Master player sets up for the next round by drawing random tiles from my Master bag.

Alchemists

Alchemists does have a little bit of hidden information: random ingredients drawn, and random helper cards we always call Friendly Friends. (I forget their official name.) The Master player draws these cards for me and shows them on their camera without looking. I take the corresponding cards from my own copy of the game. This works fine, and the distribution of ingredients and Friendly Friends remains intact.

Alchemists really only needs a Master main board stream and social streams; there is no reason to add more cameras.

Although Alchemists’ board is pretty big, it doesn’t contain all that much information, which is good for online gaming. I just need to see which artifacts and ingredients are drawn (and copy them to my own board), and where players place their action cubes (and copy them as well). If I can’t see it clearly I just ask, and that works fine.

Part of Alchemists becomes much easier. In real life every player needs a beautifully-designed but sometimes cumbersone player contraption to both visualise their research and hide it from the other players.


Credit: Karel_danek

Online, it’s not necessary, and I find that my research and thinking flows much easier. Other players cannot see my board, and that gives me a lot more space to work with.

Madeira, Istanbul and Tzolkin

I haven’t played Madeira, Istanbul and Tzolkin yet, but they do not contain hidden information; just start-of-game randoms, plus the random buildings that occasionally appear in Tzolkin and the bonus cards in Istanbul. I do not think these will cause a problem.

The bigger problem might be that their boards are much more involved, and there’s a lot of game state to track. I might need to use two cameras to stream them accurately; I’m not sure yet. We’ll figure that out once we do the first session.




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從滬港通到深港通 : 互聯互通與香港新機遇 = Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect : opportunities for Hong Kong / 編著彭琳, 梁海明.

Location Multiple Locations
Call No. HG5802 .P46 2017




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Around 30 Indian institutions are working to develop a nCoV-19 vaccine

A few of them are expected to move into clinical trials later this year.




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Fitbit conducts large scale study to identify atrial fibrillation using its wearable tech

Fitbit on Thursday launched its Fitbit Heart Study, a large-scale, virtual study to validate the use of its wearable technology to identify heart acti




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Indian Psychiatric Society joins TikTok to share tips on mental health during Covid-19

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Solar power generation problems, solutions, and monitoring / Peter Gevorkian (Vector Delta Design Group)

Gevorkian, Peter, author




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Solar photovoltaic power optimization : enhancing system performance through operations, measurement, and verification / Michael Ginsberg

Ginsberg, Michael (Energy consultant), author




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Singularities of mappings: the local behaviour of smooth and complex analytic mappings / David Mond, Juan J. Nuño-Ballesteros

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Strange functions in real analysis / A.B. Kharazishvili

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Fourier restriction, decoupling, and applications / Ciprian Demeter

Dewey Library - QA403.5.D46 2020




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Difference equations for scientists and engineering: interdisciplinary difference equations / Michael A. Radin (Rochester Institute of Technology, USA)

Dewey Library - QA431.R3255 2019




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Stochastic processes in science, engineering, and finance / Frank Beichelt

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Probability theory and statistical inference: empirical modelling with observational data / Aris Spanos

Dewey Library - QA273.S6875 2019




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Mathematical modelling, optimization, analytic and numerical solutions Pammy Manchanda, René Pierre Lozi, Abul Hasan Siddiqi, editors

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Understanding advanced statistical methods / Peter H. Westfall, Information Systems and Quantitative Sciences, Texas Tech University, USA, Kevin S.S. Henning, Department of Economics and International Business, Sam Houston State University, USA

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Quaternionic de Branges spaces and characteristic operator function Daniel Alpay, Fabrizio Colombo, Irene Sabadini

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The cryptoclub: using mathematics to make and break secret codes / Janet Beissinger, Vera Pless

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Nonlinear dynamics of structures, systems and devices: proceedings of the First International Nonlinear Dynamics Conference (NODYCON 2019). / Walter Lacarbonara, Balakumar Balachandran, Jun Ma, J. A. Tenreiro Machado, Gabor Stepan, editors

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System dynamics: theory and applications / Brian Dangerfield, editor

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Decision making theories and methods based on interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets Shuping Wan, Jiuying Dong

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Building Bridges II: mathematics of László Lovász / Imre Bárány, Gyula O.H. Katona, Attila Sali, editors

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Clustering methodology for symbolic data / Lynne Billard (University of Georgia), Edwin Diday (Universite de Paris IX--Dauphine)

Dewey Library - QA278.55.B55 2020




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Reinforcement learning and optimal control / by Dimitri P. Bertsekas

Dewey Library - QA402.5.B465 2019




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Understanding Mathematical Proof.

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Variational problems in topology: the geometry of length, area and volume / A.T. Fomenko

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Nonlinear dynamics and control: proceedings of the first International Nonlinear Dynamics Conference (NODYCON 2019). / Walter Lacarbonara, Balakumar Balachandran, Jun Ma, J.A. Tenreiro Machado, Gabor Stepan, editors

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Worked examples in mathematics for scientists and engineers / G. Stephenson

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Algebraic techniques and their use in describing and processing uncertainty: to the memory of Professor Elbert A. Walker / Hung T. Nguyen, Vladik Kreinovich, editors

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Inverse Problems and Related Topics: Shanghai, China, October 12-14 2018 / Jin Cheng, Shuai Lu, Masahiro Yamamoto, editors

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Mathematical modelling and scientific computing with applications: ICMMSC 2018, Indore, India, July 19-21 / Santanu Manna, Biswa Nath Datta, Sk. Safique Ahmad, editors

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New trends in nonlinear dynamics: proceedings of the first International Nonlinear Dynamics Conference (NODYCON 2019). / Walter Lacarbonara, Balakumar Balachandran, Jun Ma, J.A. Tenreiro Machado, Gabor Stepan, editors

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The Joy of SET: the Many Mathematical Dimensions of a Seemingly Simple Card Game.

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Approximation and modeling with B-splines / Klaus Höllig, Jörg Hörner

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Bayesian philosophy of science: variations on a theme by the Reverend Thomas Bayes / Jan Sprenger, Stephen Hartmann

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Modulation spaces: with applications to pseudodifferential operators and nonlinear Schrödinger equations / Árpád Bényi, Kasso A. Okoudjou

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Recent Advances in Mathematics and Technology: Proceedings of the First International Conference on Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics, Kenitra, Morocco, March 26-27, 2018 / edited by Serge Dos Santos, Mostafa Maslouhi, Kasso A. Okoudjou

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Solving problems in mathematical analysis. Tomasz Radożycki

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Time series analysis using SAS Enterprise guide Timina Liu, Shuangzhe Liu, Lei Shi

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Solving problems in mathematical analysis. Tomasz Radożycki

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The psychology of problem solving: the background to successful mathematics thinking / Alfred S. Posamentier (City University of New York, USA) [and three others]

Dewey Library - QA63.P67 2020




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Mathematical methods in physics, engineering, and chemistry / Brett Borden and James Luscombe

Barker Library - QC20.B67 2020




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Patently mathematical: picking partners, passwords, and careers by the numbers / Jeff Suzuki

Hayden Library - QA41.S9395 2019




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Advances in experimental philosophy of logic and mathematics / edited by Andrew Aberdein and Matthew Inglis

Dewey Library - QA9.A3875 2019




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Letter to BS: E-commerce firms to find it tough to bring delivery boys back

The police should not have roughed up or ill-treated delivery boys




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Letter to BS: Any delay in unshackling the economy could be harmful

The situation demands side-pocketing of the provisions of the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act, urgent clearance of goods and services tax dues to the states




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How merely a change of rule can draw more FDI in sectors like insurance

Despite the presence of 24 life insurance companies and 34 non-life companies, the needle of insurance penetration in the country has hardly moved over the years




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Letter to BS: Enact laws offering social security to migrant workers

The states where they migrate to earn their livelihood treat them as uninvited guests