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Leave-one-out cross validation (LOO) for an astronomy problem

Harrison Siegel pointed us to this project with Maximiliano Isi and Will Farr on gravitational-wave analysis. The compare models using predictive evaluation, in particular leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO), as discussed here and here. Siegel writes: We discuss our implementation of the … Continue reading




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Calibration is sometimes sufficient for trusting predictions. What does this tell us when human experts use model predictions?

This is Jessica. I got through a long string of deadlines and invited talks and now I’m back to thinking about calibration and decision-making. In a previous post I was wondering about the relationship between calibration and Bayesian use of … Continue reading




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A 10% swing in win probability corresponds (approximately) to a 0.4% swing in predicted vote

There’s some confusion regarding jumps in election forecasts. New information is coming in every day, so it makes sense that forecasts change too. But they don’t change very much. Each new piece of information tells you only a little bit. … Continue reading




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Violent science teacher makes ridiculously unsupported research claims, gets treated by legislatures/courts/media as expert on the effects of homeschooling

Paul Alper shares this horrifying news story by Laura Meckler: Brian Ray has spent the last three decades as one of the nation’s top evangelists for home schooling. As a researcher, he has published studies purporting to show that these … Continue reading




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Probabilistic numerics and the folk theorem of statistical computing

U.S. election day is tomorrow. So let’s talk about something else: 1. Encoding prior information using non-generative modeling I was talking with Hong Ge about the uses of non-generative models in probabilistic programming. An example I gave is the use … Continue reading




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Polling by asking people about their neighbors: When does this work? Should people be doing more of it? And the connection to that French dude who bet on Trump

Several people pointed me to this news report on a successful bettor in an election prediction market: Not only did he see Donald Trump winning the presidency, he wagered that Trump would win the popular vote—an outcome that many political … Continue reading




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Humility and Confidence

Major Ian Thomas of The Torchbearers is a powerful preacher but a very humble man. A friend of mine once approached him after he preached...




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Consolidation thesis – rawgraphs in the academy

RAWGraphs is used in many academic resources. In many of... more




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Visualizing genetic networks of Gustave Roud’s literary works

The project provides a visual representation of the creative process... more




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Alternative narratives for data activism and data literacy

This track investigates and explores ways to make visible the... more




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Research through Visualization in Literary Criticism

This thesis describes the results of a multi-year experience conducted... more




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Divi Plugin Highlight: Divi Carousel Module 2.0

Carousels are a great way to interactivity to your website. With the Divi Carousel Module 2.0 plugin, you can create carousels for just about any type of content. Showcase client testimonials, images, logos, team members, and more with this intuitive tool. Read on to learn about its features, how to use it, and what it […]

The post Divi Plugin Highlight: Divi Carousel Module 2.0 appeared first on Elegant Themes Blog.




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Divi 5 Public Alpha Progress Update (200+ Changes)

Last month, we released the Divi 5 Public Alpha, and we’ve been 100% focused on fixing the bugs you’ve been reporting. We released two new versions (Public Alpha Version 1 and Public Alpha Version Two), including over 200 bug fixes and improvements. Download The Divi 5 Alpha Next Stop, Stability We have our eyes set […]

The post Divi 5 Public Alpha Progress Update (200+ Changes) appeared first on Elegant Themes Blog.




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Divi 5 Update: Public Alpha Version 3

The Divi 5 Public Alpha is available for testing. As we progress towards the final release, we’ll update Divi 5 every two weeks, appearing as a standard update in your WordPress dashboard. If you use Divi 5, you’ll notice an update notification for Public Alpha Version 3 today. Thanks to everyone who has reported bugs so […]

The post Divi 5 Update: Public Alpha Version 3 appeared first on Elegant Themes Blog.




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Carrier Loses Contest to Liability for Injuries

A New York appellate court rejected an insurance carrier’s challenge to its liability for injuries two workers suffered while being transported in a van to a jobsite. Case: Matter of Reyes Bonilla…




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Police Officer's Retirement Not Related to Prior On-Duty Injuries

A New York appellate court upheld a finding that a police officer’s retirement was voluntary and not caused by his prior duty-related injuries. Case: Matter of Carroll v. Nassau County Police Department, No.




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Worker Gets Summary Judgment on Labor Law Claim; Court Splits on Judgment for Subcontractor

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker should have been granted partial summary judgment on his Labor Law claims but split on whether a subcontractor on the project…




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Homeowner's Company Not Liable for Worker's Injuries

A New York appellate court ruled that a company partially owned by an individual serving as the general contractor on a construction project at his private residence was not liable for…




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WCB Reports Faster Resolution of Medical Billing Disputes

The New York State Workers’ Compensation Board said it has significantly reduced turnaround times in resolving billing disputes between health care providers and payers. The board said it has reduced the…




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Staffing Service Provider's Employee Can't Get Tort Remedy From Employer's Client

A New York appellate court ruled that an employee of a staffing service provider could not pursue a civil remedy against her employer’s client for injuries she sustained. Case: Miolan v.




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Employer Liable for Comp Gets Dismissal of Worker's Civil Claim

A New York appellate court ruled that an employer was entitled to the dismissal of an injured worker’s civil claims against it after it was held liable for workers’ compensation…




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Carrier's Failure to Issue Disclaimer of Liability to Additional Insureds Can't Avoid Coverage

A federal appellate court ruled that an insurance carrier’s failure to issue notice of its disclaimer of liability to two additional insureds prevented it from relying on an exclusion to defeat demands…




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Property Owners, Architect Not Liable for Labor Law Claims

A New York appellate court ruled that the owners of a private residence and their architect were entitled to summary judgment dismissing the Labor Law and negligence claims against them…




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Worker Not Entitled to Relief From Adverse Summary Judgment

A New York appellate court ruled that an injured worker could not obtain relief from an adverse grant of summary judgment. Case: Benegas v. Ardsley Country Club Inc., Nos. 2020-04106 and…




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Worker Gets Summary Judgment on Labor Law Claim for Slip and Fall

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker was properly granted summary judgment on his Labor Law claim for a workplace slip-and-fall injury. Case: Oliveira v. Top Shelf Electric Corp., No.




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Worker Struck by Falling Object Gets Summary Judgment on Labor Law Claim

A New York appellate court upheld a grant of summary judgment on a worker’s Labor Law claim for his injuries from being struck by a falling object. Case: Tejada-Rodriguez v. 76…




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No Summary Judgment for Worker Struck by Falling Materials

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker struck by falling materials was not entitled to summary judgment on his Labor Law claim. Case: Shewprasad v. KSK Construction Group LLC, No.




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Worker Fails to Link Amputation of Leg to Prior Work Accident

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker failed to prove the amputation of his leg was related to his injuries from a fall in 2006. Case: Matter of DiPippo…




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Worker Hit by Falling Tree Gets Summary Judgment on Labor Law Claim

A New York appellate court upheld a grant of summary judgment in a Labor Law claim by a worker injured by a falling tree. Case: Ells v. City of Niagara Falls, No. 644…




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Carrier Liable for Worker's Claim After Coverage Ended

A New York appellate court ruled that a carrier was liable for a worker’s claim even though her date of disablement fell after the coverage ended. Though Travelers Indemnity Co. of America's…




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Supreme Court Clarifies Carrier's Rights, Obligations to Collect on Subrogation Lien

The Nevada Supreme Court overturned its own precedent and ruled that an insurance carrier does not need to intervene or otherwise participate in a worker’s third-party claim to recover on…




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WCA Accepting Applications for Judge

The New Mexico Workers’ Compensation Administration is accepting applications from attorneys who want to serve as judges. Judge Leonard Padilla Judge Leonard Padilla is retiring on Aug. 30 after more than…




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WCA Extends Deadline for Judicial Applications

The New Mexico Workers’ Compensation Administration extended the deadline to apply for a soon-to-be vacant judicial seat until Aug. 5. The WCA in May announced that it would accept applications through…




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Worker's Choice of Pleading Removes Court's Jurisdiction Over Retaliation Claim

The New Mexico Court of Appeals ruled that an injured worker pleaded his retaliation claims in such a way as to remove his case from the jurisdiction of the state…




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Selection Committee Seeks Comments on IME Applicants

The New Mexico Workers’ Compensation Administration announced that an advisory committee seeks comments on two independent medical examiner applicants. The IME Provider Selection Committee is considering authorizing Drs. Alan Altman and…




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WCA Seeks Public Review of Rule Changes

New Mexico's Workers' Compensation Administration says rule changes will take effect on Jan. 1, and the agency invites the public to take part in a webinar and to submit comments…




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Fee Schedule Public Comment Period Opens

The New Mexico Workers' Compensation Administration is accepting public comments on the 2025 fee schedule and billing instructions. Written public comments will be accepted until the close of business on Nov. 1 and should be…




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Widow Gets Award for Delivery Driver's Death from Being Crushed by Own Cargo

The New Jersey Superior Court’s Appellate Division upheld an award of benefits to the widow of a worker who was crushed to death by the cargo he was delivering. Case: Urena…




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Worker Fails to Allege Viable Claims for Discrimination, Retaliation

A federal appellate court ruled that an injured worker failed to allege a viable claim of disability discrimination or workers’ compensation retaliation. Case: Wraith v. Wayfair Inc., No. 23-2400, 09/11/2024, unpublished. Facts:…




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Supreme Court Says Injured Police Officers Must Repay Sick Leave Benefits to City

The New Hampshire Supreme Court ruled that a group of injured police officers were obligated to repay the sick leave benefits they received while awaiting a determination of their eligibility…




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Labor Department Posts Practice Guidelines Online

The Delaware Department of Labor adopted rules allowing it to post the Workers’ Compensation Oversight Panel’s health care practice guidelines on its website. In May, the department proposed repealing regulations that…




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New Law Expands Eligibility for Safety Program, Premium Discounts

More Delaware employers will be able to participate in the state’s Workplace Safety Program and earn premium discounts, under a new law. Senate Bill 306, enacted by Gov. John Carney in…




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Court Upholds Finding on Compensability for Knee Injury, Overturns PTD Award

The Nebraska Court of Appeals upheld a finding of compensability for a worker’s knee injury, but overturned the award of permanent total disability benefits as unsupported by adequate factual findings. Case:…




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Injury Claims Increase Slightly for Third Year

The total number of reported injuries increased for a third consecutive year in 2023, according to the latest annual statistical report published by the Nebraska Workers’ Compensation Court. The WCC said…




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Court Upholds Award for Assembly Line Worker With Neck, Finger Injuries

The Nebraska Court of Appeals upheld an award of benefits to an assembly line worker for her neck and finger injuries. Case: Mendoza v. Honeywell American Meter Co., No. 23-807, 05/28/2024,…




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Court Says Board Applied Wrong Standard of Proof to Deny Worker's PPD Claim

Hawaii’s Intermediate Court of Appeals overturned the denial of a worker’s claim for permanent partial disability benefits, finding that the Labor and Industrial Relations Appeals Board imposed the wrong standard…




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AI Matches the Abilities of the Best Math Olympians

Until now computers have failed to solve mathematical problems. But the AI program AlphaGeometry has succeeded in finding proofs for dozens of theorems from the International Mathematical Olympiad




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This Nomadic Eccentric Was the Most Prolific Mathematician in History

The bizarre life and legacy of Paul Erdős, the most prolific mathematician ever




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Scientists Destroy Illusion That Coin Toss Flips Are 50–50

Researchers go to great lengths to prove a tiny bias in coin flipping




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The Strangely Serious Implications of Math's 'Ham Sandwich Theorem'

A simple solution to gerrymandering crumbles when confronted with math’s ‘ham sandwich theorem’