on COVID-19 is a health crisis. So why is health education missing from schoolwork? By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Mon, 06 Apr 2020 16:31:15 +0000 Nearly all the world’s students—a full 90 percent of them—have now been impacted by COVID-19 related school closures. There are 188 countries in the world that have closed schools and universities due to the novel coronavirus pandemic as of early April. Almost all countries have instituted nationwide closures with only a handful, including the United States, implementing… Full Article
on Top 10 risks and opportunities for education in the face of COVID-19 By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 10 Apr 2020 16:07:02 +0000 March 2020 will forever be known in the education community as the month when almost all the world’s schools shut their doors. On March 1, six governments instituted nationwide school closures due to the deadly coronavirus pandemic, and by the end of the month, 185 countries had closed, affecting 90 percent of the world’s students.… Full Article
on 5 traps that will kill online learning (and strategies to avoid them) By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Mon, 04 May 2020 22:55:06 +0000 For perhaps the first time in recent memory, parents and teachers may be actively encouraging their children to spend more time on their electronic devices. Online learning has moved to the front stage as 90 percent of high-income countries are using it as the primary means of educational continuity amid the COVID-19 pandemic. If March will forever… Full Article
on Nigeria’s 2015 Elections: Prologue to the Past? By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Mon, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 In the 45 years since the Nigerian civil war ended in January 1970, Nigeria has often seemed on the verge of making significant political advances. While its population soared, however, the country stumbled through one contentious electoral exercise after another, interspersed with military rule. The recent 2015 elections, which elevated Muhammadu Buhari to the powerful… Full Article Uncategorized
on American-Nigerian cooperation: An uncertain start to the Buhari era By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Mon, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 Editor's note: Below is an introduction and transcript from a WBEZ 91.5 interview with Richard Joseph on Nigerian President Muhammad Buhari. The hope that the July 20 meeting between President Barack Obama and President Muhammadu Buhari would heal the rift between their countries concerning the fight against Boko Haram was not fully realized. Two days… Full Article
on Crime, jihad, and dysfunction in Nigeria: Has Buhari an answer? By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Mon, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 Full Article
on New Regulations Enhance Savers’ Retirement Security By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 08 Feb 2012 10:40:00 -0500 Americans who use defined contribution retirement savings plans (for example, 401(k) or 403(b) plans) or Individual Retirement Accounts will see their retirement security enhanced by two recently announced regulatory initiatives. The first is a series of Treasury Department/IRS proposed regulations that such individuals to use annuity-like guaranteed lifetime income products. The second is a final Department of Labor rule requiring complete fee disclosure to employers sponsoring retirement saving plans. Together, the two initiatives will give current retirement savers and future retirees more flexibility in structuring their retirement incomes, while making it possible to avoid excessive or hidden fees. Four Treasury/IRS proposals, which were developed under the leadership of our former RSP colleague Mark Iwry, deal with several of the most pressing issues faced by employers and savers that currently reduce the use of annuities. The first proposal would reduce barriers to giving retiring savers the option of annuitizing part of their account balances. Currently, people need to annuitize either the entire balance or none at all. People are naturally wary of annuitizing the entire amount because it leaves them with little in the way of a cash cushion for emergencies. By choosing to annuitize part of the balance, people can retain a lump sum for emergency or other purposes. A second proposal would remove a technical impediment to using longevity annuities, an annuity that is typically purchased close to retirement but does not begin to pay benefit until the retiree reaches age 85 or a similar age. Longevity annuities enable retirees to manage their money for a set period of time, secure in the knowledge that the longevity annuity will provide income after that, should they live longer than expected. The third proposal would allow an individual to begin to partially annuitize their savings well before retirement. Starting to annuitize early by buying small pieces of an annuity over twenty or so years allows the saver to avoid having to make a “once and for all” decision and allows the savers to spread out the interest rate risk over time. This option had been subject to a requirement that the saver get a notarized statement from his or her spouse (if any) concerning whether the annuity covers just the saver or both the saver and his or her spouse. The proposal allows this to be handled by the issuing insurer when payments would begin rather than when purchases begin. The fourth proposal would apply to relatively rare case where the employer has both a retirement savings plan and a traditional defined benefit pension, and would allow an employee to buy a low-cost annuity through the employer’s DB pension. These four regulatory changes are positive developments. The changes announced today eliminate unintentional barriers to the use of lifetime income products without dictating how individuals should use them. Some may choose to partially annuitize at retirement, some to use longevity annuities to protect them in later years, and some to begin to buy annuities well before retirement. Whatever the choice, the proposals open up new options to future retirees, and should encourage even more market innovations. At about the same time, the Department of Labor released final regulations requiring providers to disclose all direct and indirect fees to the employer sponsoring a 401(k) plan. The regulations will add needed transparency on fees that will enable increased competition to produce better results for employers and employees. Despite removing a required template of charges, the new regulations nevertheless give employers a complete and accurate picture of all charges they have to pay, including indirect fees paid by the provider to others. Currently, many indirect fees are not disclosed even though they may reduce the earnings of participants. Endorsed by industry and consumer groups, the disclosures will enable employers who use this information properly to meet their fiduciary responsibility to choose a responsible fee level. What is even more important, the full disclosure will enable employers to structure their 401(k) plan so that individual savers can get the best returns possible, and not be subject to unreasonable fees. While much more remains to be done to improve retirement savings plan, the steps taken by the proposed Treasury/IRS regulations and the Department of Labor’s final regulations will help savers to improve retirement security. Authors William G. GaleDavid C. John Image Source: © Rebecca Cook / Reuters Full Article
on Retirement Savings in Australia, Asia and Beyond: What are the Lessons for the United States? By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 17 Sep 2013 13:30:00 -0400 Event Information September 17, 20131:30 PM - 4:00 PM EDTSaul and Zilkha RoomsThe Brookings Institution1775 Massachusetts Ave., NWWashington, DC Register for the EventAustralia's mandatory Superannuation Guarantee requires its citizens to save at least 9 percent of their income towards retirement. In many Asian nations, economic growth has spurred reexamination of pension systems to meet the needs of rapidly evolving societies. Would a mandatory savings plan be more effective than the current U.S. voluntary system? How have Asian nations have restructured their pension systems to deal with legacy costs? And what can Americans learn from the way Australia uses both employer and employee representatives to shape investment choices? On September 17, the Retirement Security Project at Brookings and the AARP Public Policy Institute hosted a discussion of what the United States might learn from retirement savings systems in Australia and Asia. Opening speakers included Nick Sherry, who helped shape the Australian system as a cabinet minister and ran a Superannuation fund in the private sector, and Josef Pilger, an advisor on pension reform to both the Malaysian and Hong Kong governments and many industry providers. Steve Utkus, David Harris and Benjamin Harris, retirement experts from both the United States and the United Kingdom, considered how reforms in Australia and Asia can shape the American debate and whether this country should adopt key features from those foreign systems. Audio Retirement Savings in Australia, Asia and Beyond: What are the Lessons for the United States? Transcript Uncorrected Transcript (.pdf) Event Materials 20130917_retirement_savings_transcript Full Article
on State of the Union Speech Promotes New Retirement Savings Vehicles By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 30 Jan 2014 11:05:00 -0500 In this year’s State of the Union Address, President Obama announced a new retirement savings account for workers whose employers do not offer any form of pension or savings plan. He also promoted the Automatic IRA, a retirement savings plan that originated at the Retirement Security Project and has been in the Administration’s budget for several years. Only about half of workers has access to a retirement savings plan at work. Millions of Americans lack the ability to save at work via payroll deductions. And while these individuals could in theory save on their own in an IRA, the best estimate is that only about one in twenty eligible to contribute to an IRA actually do so on a regular basis. To help solve this problem, the President announced the creation of My Retirement Account, or “MyRA.” Similar to the R-Bond discussed in a recent AARP Public Policy Institute paper written by William Gale, David John and Spencer Smith, MyRA would allow individuals to save in a government bond account similar to the one offered as an option to federal employees through the Thrift Savings Plan. The details are unclear (there’s a WhiteHouse fact sheet here), but MyRA would allow new savers and those with small balances to accumulate retirement savings without either having to pay administrative charges or face market risk. Employers would not administer the plan or have any fiduciary responsibilities related to the accounts. Importantly, too, contributions come from employees, not employers. The plan is meant to build off of existing institutions—payroll deduction, Roth IRAs, the G-fund in federal employees’ thrift saving accounts. And it is meant to supplement, not substitute for, 401(k) and other company-based retirement plans. It accomplishes the latter by only allowing contributions up to the IRA limit, by limiting investment choice, and by having people with more than a set balance move into a regular account. This approach is a boon to those who can only afford small contributions to retirement accounts. Private sector funds often require minimum contributions that are out of reach of low-income savers or assess high fees to offset their costs. The key questions are whether employers will participate and whether automatic enrollment (that is, a regular contribution on behalf of all employees who do not opt out) would be allowed for MyRA accounts. Research suggests that automatic enrollment would greatly boost the number of employees who participate. President Obama also promoted the Automatic IRA, but that would require congressional action, something that has not happened so far. Because the Automatic IRA would require employers with more than 10 employees to offer retirement accounts, it would likely dramatically increase the number of workers who save for retirement. It would also give employees a greater choice of investment options and serve as a permanent retirement savings plan, rather than a starter account like MyRA. With Tuesday night’s mention of both proposals, the president made retirement security a priority. Both proposals would allow workers to build economic security through their own efforts and promote the kind of values and self-reliance that both sides of the political spectrum find attractive. Authors William G. GaleBenjamin H. HarrisDavid C. John Full Article
on Testimony before the Oregon Retirement Savings Task Force By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 14 May 2014 00:00:00 -0400 Thank you for allowing me to testify before you today on the need to improve retirement savings opportunities for employees of private sector small businesses and ways to structure such an effort. I am David John, a Senior Strategic Policy Advisor in AARP’s Public Policy Institute, AARP’s internal think tank. In addition, I am a Deputy Director of the Retirement Security Project at the Brookings Institution. Before I joined AARP last year, I was a Senior Research Fellow at the Heritage Foundation for almost 15 years. My testimony this afternoon will focus on three areas: first, that there is a very real and growing retirement security problem in the United States; second, that the existing products and efforts are not resolving this problem; and third, that there are some approaches that Oregon could take that are compatible with existing law and would help future retirees to have a more comfortable retirement. These proposed actions would also help both your state and the country as a whole avoid the high costs of doing nothing. Let me be clear from the start that simply talking about increased education is not enough. This is a problem that will require action to improve. The Problem Facing Us Oregon and our nation face a serious problem if a large proportion of our workforce remains unable to save for retirement through an employer-related payroll deduction plan. This situation affects both those approaching retirement and those who are just starting their careers. However, older workers may have much higher access to defined benefit plans, and thus be much better off than younger employees who will have nothing to rely upon other than savings and Social Security. Social Security is the foundation of retirement security both here and nationwide. In Oregon alone, its benefits keep hundreds of thousands out of poverty, but for most people, Social Security’s average benefit level of about $1,300 a month[1] does not provide enough for a comfortable retirement. That is about $15,600 a year. Economic security requires both Social Security benefits and sufficient additional savings to supplement them. The lack of savings—and the opportunity to save at work through payroll deduction—is where the problem lies. Various industry groups and columnists have claimed that all is well, and that there really is not a problem. However, on close examination, there are holes in their figures, and they often focus on today’s retirees and those close to retirement, people who are much more likely to have a traditional defined benefit pension plan than younger workers who need to be saving now will have. Even then, the numbers are not pretty. National data from the non-partisan Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) show that in 2013, 51 percent of workers aged 45–54 had less than $25,000 in total savings and investments.[2] These are people between 10 and 20 years from retirement. Among workers aged 55 and above, those within 10 years of retirement, 43 percent had less than $25,000 in total savings and investments. These household savings numbers exclude home equity and defined benefit pensions (if any). Savings of that amount will not take an individual through one year of retirement, much less the 20 plus years that most healthy 65-year-olds are likely to experience. Interestingly, the question in 2014 was revised to separate out those with access to an employer-sponsored retirement savings plan or pension and those without.[3] The answers showed once again the value of such a plan and the cost of not having one. About 62 percent of employees with access to a retirement saving plan through their employer had more than $25,000 saved, and 22 percent had $100,000 or more. However, 94 percent of those without access to such a plan had under $25,000 in total savings and investments, and only 3 percent had $100,000 or more. Just to place these numbers in perspective, any amount of retirement savings is certainly better for a retiree than no retirement savings at all, but it takes a significant amount gradually built over a long period of time to build a significant level of financial security. Retirement savings of $100,000,[4] a sum that only 30 percent of the workers age 45–54 and only 42 percent of those age 55+ in the EBRI survey will equal or exceed, buys additional monthly income of $589 ($7,100 annually) for men at age 65 and $552 a month ($6,600 annually) for women at that age.[5] That would give men with $100,000 in retirement savings and average Social Security benefits a monthly retirement income of about $1,800 ($22,700 annually) and women with the same savings and Social Security benefits a monthly income of $1,750 ($22,200). Neither figure is likely to produce a comfortable retirement, and the EBRI data suggest that even that is out of reach for well over half of all Americans. Admittedly, these are rough numbers, and many people will receive higher-than-average Social Security benefits. However, many other people will end up receiving much less than average. We know from other research that five groups are most likely to undersave: small business employees, lower-income individuals, women, younger workers, and members of minority groups. However, the problems are not limited to just these five groups. By the way, the recent column by Robert Samuelson[6] that repeats industry assurances that all is well cited the Investment Company Institute (ICI) as saying that the median value of IRA and 401(k) accounts held by people aged 55–64 is $100,000.[7] If that is true, then half of all those with such accounts would have annual retirement incomes equal to or less than the $22,000-plus level I just mentioned if they receive average Social Security benefits. To make matters worse, when calculating the average amount in such accounts, researchers usually exclude those who have no account at all. In the case of the ICI data Samuelson cites, it appears that approximately 25 percent of households aged 55–64 did not have either a 401(k) or an IRA. They face an even worse future. How can industry researchers present the existing retirement system as working very well? The answer is by using selective statistics. As an example, the EBRI study includes a question asking how many employees have saved for retirement.[8] The answer for 2013 is 66 percent of all workers and 74 percent of those aged 55 to 64. If one stopped there, the picture would look very good. It is only when one digs in deeper and asks how much they have saved that the true problem becomes evident. Similarly, other studies[9] that show no serious problem focus on today’s retirees, who had much more access to a traditional defined benefit pension than tomorrow’s retirees will. While many of today’s retirees are comfortable, their success does not imply that younger workers will automatically have the same future. Access to Workplace Savings Is Essential It is not that people do not want to save or cannot save. They do. The problem is often the lack of access to a convenient savings plan, and the inability to understand the many savings options that exist. The existence of a workplace retirement savings plan is important. A recent Boston College Center for Retirement Research paper[10] found that access to a workplace retirement savings plan or pension is second only to having a job as the most important factor in assisting moderate- to low-income individuals to build retirement security. A wide variety of research shows that only about half of the U.S. workforce has the ability to save for retirement or has a pension at work. While there are a variety of data sources, each with its own strengths and weaknesses, another Boston College study[11] found that the coverage statistics are comparable between data sources when the same standards are applied. This included a study of IRS records[12] that appeared to show otherwise. Regardless of the exact percentage point used to estimate coverage, the sad fact is that millions of Americans currently lack the ability to save for retirement at work through payroll deduction. This is especially true for small business employees. A recent U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) study[13] found that only about 14 percent (one in seven) of businesses with 100 or fewer employees offer their employees such a plan, and that between 51 percent and 71 percent of the roughly 42 million people who work for a small business lack the ability to save for retirement. PPI research shows that about 642,000 Oregonians between the ages of 18 and 64—about 47.6 percent—are employed by a company that does not offer a pension or retirement savings plan.[14] The Oregon number is slightly better than the 51.1 percent national figure. That translates into 57 million Americans who are employed by the private sector and cannot save for retirement at work. These are not just younger employees who are new to the workforce. They include midcareer individuals who move from a large company that offered a retirement plan to a smaller company that does not. Often, these midcareer workers end up with a gap in their savings history that damages their ability to build economic security. The Need for Better Coverage Is Widely Acknowledged AARP is certainly not the only organization to recognize the need to increase the number of people able to save for retirement through a payroll deduction plan or account. Here, in Oregon, the Retirement in Reach Coalition[15] is a broad-based collection of business, professional, labor, and civic groups that have come together to help more Oregonians to save. Nationally, a number of organizations, including many prominent research institutions, have written about the number of people who lack the ability to save for retirement and the need to improve coverage. Please note that these organizations do not necessarily support any specific solution or, indeed, any solution at all. However, all have written about either the need to expand coverage or how retirement security would be improved through greater coverage. As an example, Putnam Investments CEO Robert L. Reynolds has written about the need to improve the ability to save in a short paper titled “Three Steps that Could Shore up Retirement.”[16] The paper noted that “today—two years since the first boomers turned 65—the Employee Benefit Research Institute estimates that 49% of American workers are still ‘not confident at all’ or ‘not too confident’ about having enough money in retirement, 57% of pre-retirees have less than $25,000 saved for the future, and 32% of all workers do not have access to a retirement saving plan at work.” The paper’s Step Two was: “Access to workplace savings for all workers. Any worker paying FICA taxes should have access to a retirement savings plan at work.” Other organizations that have either issued papers or made statements about the number of people who lack an employer-sponsored retirement savings or pension plan include the following: the Brookings Institution’s Retirement Security Project,[17] the New America Foundation,[18] the Aspen Institute,[19] the U.S. Chamber of Commerce,[20] the Heritage Foundation,[21] and the Urban Institute.[22] Again, this is not to imply that any of these organizations endorse any approach that Oregon might decide to take on retirement savings or that they support any part of my testimony. I mention them solely to show that concern about limited opportunities to save for retirement is widespread. Those without an Employer-based Plan In theory, everyone without an employer-based plan could save in an IRA, but EBRI research estimates that only about 1 out of 20 actually does so regularly.[23] In addition, payroll deduction is viewed as very important for encouraging retirement savings by people at every income level[24]. Overall, 61.5 percent of those surveyed in the EBRI 2011 Retirement Confidence Survey said that payroll deduction was very important for encouraging them to save for retirement, and another 27.8 percent said that it was somewhat important. Together, 89.3 percent said that it was either very or somewhat important. Further, the survey also found that a significant number of those currently saving would either stop or reduce their saving if payroll deduction was not available. It is much easier for people to save regularly if their savings are deducted from their paycheck before they receive it. Otherwise, the press of immediate bills tends to crowd out savings for longer-term goals. Another factor in the extremely low savings rate among those who can use only an IRA is availability and trust. Especially in low-income neighborhoods, there are often no financial institutions nearby other than check-cashing outlets. Low-income individuals are often reluctant to go to financial outlets in other areas as they may feel that they are not welcome or that they will be treated poorly. Another drawback that applies to individuals of all income levels is the fear that they will be taken advantage of. Because financial professionals will know much more about the subject than their potential customers and may use unfamiliar terms, people have a very real fear that they will be talked into something that benefits the financier rather than the saver. In addition, behavioral research shows that when people are faced with an important decision where they are uncertain what to do, they do nothing. This inertia factor is especially present in financial decisions like retirement savings. These are reasons why an approach that focuses solely on additional education is extremely unlikely to succeed. Such an approach does nothing to increase the number of local financial outlets or opportunities to save. In addition, such financial literacy training often uses the same complex terms that potential savers find confusing. There is a value to training, but only in addition to expanded access to retirement savings. On the other hand, when employees are presented with a plan at work that is structured in a way that provides guidance, they take the opportunity to save. This is true at all income levels. The Boston College study on why lower-income people are less likely to save that I mentioned earlier[25] showed very similar take-up rates between income levels. Eighty-six percent of those with incomes under 300 percent of the poverty line participated in a retirement savings system or pension if they were offered one and were eligible, compared to 95 percent of those with higher incomes. Existing Products Are Not the Solution Opponents of a state-sponsored retirement savings effort often cite the number and kind of existing products that are currently available to small businesses. A joint IRS/U.S. Department of Labor publication[26] lists seven types of retirement savings plans that are currently available. Unfortunately, most of them are both expensive and complicated or require the employer to make a contribution. Only one that is not widely available really enables small businesses to offer their employees an opportunity to save without saddling them with high costs or requiring savings. Both the traditional 401(k) and the automatic enrollment 401(k) are excellent solutions for employers who are willing to offer them. However, the GAO found[27] that smaller employers can pay much higher administrative costs than those paid by larger employers. In addition, they can be complicated and require employers to play a more active role than many are willing to do. Three other plans, the SEP IRA, the SIMPLE IRA, and the safe harbor 401(k), are either totally financed by employer contributions or require employers to make contributions. In addition, another of the seven options—a profit-sharing plan—is both completely financed with employer contributions and doesn’t require regular funding. While this plan does allow for profit sharing in good years, it does not necessarily include regular contributions that an individual can use to finance a retirement income. The seventh type of retirement savings account available to small businesses is the payroll deduction IRA. It does not require (or allow) any employer contribution, or saddle the employer with complex regulatory burdens or impose significant costs. All the employer has to do is make it available to employees, deduct the contributions from their paychecks, and then send it to the financial provider. Unfortunately, it is not widely available or sold, as it offers financial services companies only limited income potential. Oregon can help to change that situation. Another type of retirement savings tool, MyRA, was announced in President Obama’s January State of the Union speech. MyRA has some very positive features,[28] but it is not a solution or a substitute for anything Oregon might decide to do to help more people to save for retirement. A key weakness is that an individual can only have a maximum of $30,000 in MyRA. That is not nearly enough for any appreciable improvement in financial security. Second, MyRA savings will be deposited only in government bonds. While that investment is completely safe, it does not allow any real investment growth. An individual with just a MyRA is likely to get little more than the inflation-adjusted amount they contributed. Why Oregon Should Be Concerned about This Problem This is a state problem because doing nothing will mean higher state and local taxes for your children and grandchildren. Low-income retirees will need state and local services financed by state and local taxes for health care, housing, senior centers, and a host of other services. As Oregon ages and the baby boomers retire, the demand from this population for additional state government services will only grow. However, there is a simple, low-cost alternative to taxpayer-funded government services. What Oregon Can Do to Help The statute that created the Oregon Retirement Savings Task Force includes the limitation that you cannot recommend anything that might be contrary to the federal Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA). Some would have you believe that this limits you to proposing additional employee education. This is not the case. While ERISA as it is currently written does limit Oregon’s options, there are still avenues open to the state that would help to directly increase the number of Oregonians who can save for retirement at work. Oregon could still sponsor a payroll deduction IRA[29] that could be available at low cost to every resident of the state who is not currently covered by another retirement savings or pension plan. Such an account could be available through either state-managed investments or one or more private sector providers chosen and monitored by a state agency. The state, the employer, or any private sector provider would not be responsible for the performance of the savings, and there would be no promised retirement benefits. All of the savings would come from and be owned exclusively by the individual saver. It would be up to the saver to monitor his or her eligibility and compliance with contributions rules. The small costs of such a program could be paid out of fees assessed on the accounts, or the start-up costs could be subsidized by the state. A key fact is that the only liability faced by the employer would be to collect and forward individual contributions to the provider or agency on a timely basis. In theory, such contributions could be forwarded using the same schedule as the state currently uses to collect its income tax revenues. Federal law limits the role of the employer to encourage its employees to save for retirement through providing general information about the payroll deduction IRA program. The employer is also allowed to answer any questions about the program or to refer them to the IRA provider and provide any informational materials written by the IRA provider, as long as no endorsement by the employer is provided. At all times, the employer must remain neutral about the provider. This is not a perfect plan, and it does not include features that many who support increased access to retirement savings would like to see. However, we believe that such a plan would be legal and, if combined with an educational program, could increase retirement savings among Oregonians. As federal law either changes or is reinterpreted, additional features and services could be added. This would be a starting place, not a final destination. Automatic Enrollment At this point, any Oregon plan would probably not require the use of automatic enrollment. However, as both state and federal law evolve, it would be helpful to explore encouraging that feature in any retirement savings plan. Under automatic enrollment, an employee continues to have total control over his or her retirement savings decisions, but unless the employee decides otherwise, he or she is enrolled and saves a set percentage of income in a specific investment choice. Automatic enrollment uses behavioral economics to make inertia work for the employee. These features work. The five groups mentioned earlier that are most likely to undersave (women, younger employees, small business employees, lower-income employees, and minority groups) all see their participation rates climb from very low levels to close to 90 percent. And employees like automatic enrollment. A 2007 survey[30] of automatically enrolled workers showed that 95 percent found that it made saving easy. Eighty-five percent started to save earlier than they would have without it. Almost all of the employees who were automatically enrolled and remained in the plan said that they were satisfied with the process (97 percent) and were glad their company offered automatic enrollment (98 percent). Even those who were automatically enrolled and decided not to save liked the feature, with 90 percent being satisfied with the process and 79 percent being glad their company offered automatic enrollment. Conclusion Again, thank you for allowing me to testify today. Improving the ability to save for retirement through the increased availability of payroll deduction savings would address a real need both here in Oregon and nationwide. From a policy standpoint, an active program that increases the access that small business employees have to payroll deduction retirement savings plans would help the nearly 650,000 Oregonians who don’t currently have such an opportunity. It would enable them to build economic security through their own efforts. BEST PRACTICES: A universally available payroll deduction IRA that is available to any Oregonian who currently lacks an employer-provided retirement savings or pension plan. A very short list of available investments that includes both a stable value fund and a balanced or target date fund. New savers would go into a previously designated investment unless they chose otherwise. Savers wishing other investments would be able to find other IRA accounts. Regular statements that clearly indicate investments, earnings, fees, and account balance. A number indicating the monthly retirement income that such a plan could produce if the current amount is saved would be very helpful. A coordinated statewide education program that explains the accounts and how to use them as well as the value of saving for retirement. Financial literacy classes in every school. [1] “Fast Facts and Figures about Social Security 2013,” U.S. Social Security Administration Office of Retirement and Disability Policy. This is the number for new retirement awards. The average amount is slightly lower. http://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/chartbooks/fast_facts/2013/fast_facts13.html#page5 [2] 2013 Retirement Confidence Survey Fact Sheet #4,” Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI). http://www.ebri.org/pdf/surveys/rcs/2013/Final-FS.RCS-13.FS_4.Age.FINAL.pdf [3] “2014 RCS FACT SHEET #6,” EBRI. http://ebri.org/pdf/surveys/rcs/2014/RCS14.FS-6.Prep-Ret.Final.pdf. [4] As mentioned, the EBRI numbers are for household savings excluding home equity and defined benefit pensions (if any). The calculations on how retirement savings would affect total retirement income assume that the entire amount of those household savings is used to purchase an annuity for one individual. In reality, only a portion of household savings would be available to be converted into retirement income, and that amount is likely to be divided between two earners, so these numbers probably overstate the effect on retirement income. [5] These annuitized amounts were calculated at http://www.incomesolutions.com/ on May 9, 2014. [6] Robert J. Samuelson, “Are We Under-Saving for Retirement?” Washington Post, April 27, 2014. http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/robert-samuelson-are-we-under-saving-for-retirement/2014/04/27/6cd02562-cc93-11e3-95f7-7ecdde72d2ea_story.html [7] According to the 2010 Survey of Consumer Finance (SCF), the median retirement account balance for families headed by a person aged 55–64 is $100,000. This number only includes the approximately 60 percent of those households that have a positive retirement account balance and excludes those that have no positive retirement account balance. See the SCF chart book at http://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/scf/files/2010_SCF_Chartbook.pdf, and click on “retirement accounts” and “age of head.” [8] “2013 Retirement Confidence Survey Fact Sheet #4,” EBRI. http://www.ebri.org/pdf/surveys/rcs/2013/Final-FS.RCS-13.FS_4.Age.FINAL.pdf [9] John Karl Scholz and Ananth Seshadri, “Are All Americans Saving ‘Optimally’ for Retirement?” Michigan Retirement Research Center Research Paper No. 2008-189, September 1, 2008. http://ssrn.com/abstract=1337653 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1337653. [10] April Yanyuan Wu and Matthew S. Rutledge, “Lower-Income Individuals without Pensions: Who Misses Out and Why,” Boston College Center for Retirement Research working paper CRR WP 2014-2, March 2014. http://crr.bc.edu/working-papers/lower-income-individuals-without-pensions-who-misses-out-and-why/. [11] Alicia H. Munnell and Dina Bleckman, “Is Pension Coverage a Problem in the Private Sector?” Boston College Center for Retirement Research IB#14-7, April 2014 [12] Howard M. Iams and Patrick J. Purcell, “The Impact of Retirement Account Distributions on Measures of Family Income,” Social Security Bulletin, Vol. 73 No. 2, 2013. http://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/ssb/v73n2/v73n2p77.html [13] RETIREMENT SECURITY: Challenges and Prospects for Employees of Small Businesses,” Statement of Charles A. Jeszeck, Director, Education, Workforce, and Income Security, GAO-13-748T, July 16, 2013. http://www.gao.gov/assets/660/655889.pdf. [14] The full list of states is available at http://action.aarp.org/site/DocServer/Workers_without_a_Retirement_Plan.pdf?docID=1961 [15] For more information, including a list of members, please see http://www.retirementinreach.org/. [16] Robert L. Reynolds, “Three Steps that Could Shore up Retirement,” Putnam Investments blog entry, July 9, 2013. http://www.theretirementsavingschallenge.com/2013/07/three-steps-that-could-shore-up-retirement-security/. [17] J. Mark Iwry and David C. John, “Pursuing Universal Retirement Security through Automatic IRAs,” Brookings Institution, July 2009. http://www.brookings.edu/research/papers/2009/07/automatic-ira-iwry [18] Reid Cramer, Justin King, Elliot Schreur, and Aleta Sprague, “Solving the Retirement Puzzle, The Potential of myRAs to Build a Personal Safety Net,” New America Foundation, May 12, 2014. http://assets.newamerica.net/publications/policy/solving_the_retirement_puzzle?utm_source=Assets+Solving+the+Retirement+Puzzle+myRA+release&utm_campaign=myRA+paper+release&utm_medium=email. [19] “Comments to the Committee on Ways and Means Working Group on Pensions and Retirement,” Aspen Institute’s Initiative for Financial Security, April 10, 2013. http://www.aspeninstitute.org/sites/default/files/content/docs/pubs/Ways%20%26%20Means%20Pensions%26Retirement%20Submission_Final.pdf [20] See the joint statement on retirement security on page 1 at https://www.uschamber.com/sites/default/files/documents/files/021038_LABR%20Rethinking%20Retirement%20Event%20Summary_final.pdf. [21] 21 David C. John, “Time to Address the Retirement Saving Crisis,” Heritage Foundation Issue Brief #3759, October 18, 2012. http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2012/10/time-to-address-the-retirement-savings-crisis [22] Barbara A. Butrica and Richard W. Johnson, “How Much Might Automatic IRAs Improve Retirement Security for Low- and Moderate-Wage Workers?” Urban Institute, Brief 33, July 2011. http://www.urban.org/uploadedpdf/412360-Automatic-IRAs-Improve-Retirement-Security.pdf. [23] Unpublished estimates from the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) of the 2004 Survey of Income and Program Participation Wave 7 Topical Module (2006 data). [24] Jack VanDerhei, “The Impact of Modifying the Exclusion of Employee Contributions for Retirement Savings Plans from Taxable Income: Results from the 2011 Retirement Confidence Survey,” EBRI Notes, March 2011. http://www.ebri.org/pdf/notespdf/EBRI_Notes_03_Mar-11.K-Taxes_Acct-HP.pdf. [25] April Yanyuan Wu and Matthew S. Rutledge, “Lower-Income Individuals without Pensions: Who Misses out and Why,” Boston College Center for Retirement Research working paper CRR WP 2014-2, March 2014. http://crr.bc.edu/working-papers/lower-income-individuals-without-pensions-who-misses-out-and-why/. [26] See IRS Publication 3998, Choosing a Retirement Solution for Your Small Business, for an outline of the seven types of retirement accounts. http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/p3998.pdf. [27] “RETIREMENT SECURITY: Challenges and Prospects for Employees of Small Businesses,” Statement of Charles A. Jeszeck, Director, Education, Workforce, and Income Security, GAO-13-748T, July 16, 2013. http://www.gao.gov/assets/660/655889.pdf. [28] For an outline of MyRA, see http://www.treasury.gov/connect/blog/Documents/FINAL%20myRA%20Fact%20Sheet.pdf [29] A brief discussions of payroll deduction IRAs can be found in IRS Publication 4587, Payroll Deduction IRAs for Small Businesses. http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/p4587.pdf. [30] http://www.retirementmadesimpler.org/Library/FINAL%20RMS%20Topline%20Report%2011-5-07.pdf Authors David C. John Publication: Oregon Retirement Savings Task Force Full Article
on The KiwiSaver Program: Lessons Learned from New Zealand By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 08 Jul 2014 12:00:00 -0400 Event Information July 8, 201412:00 PM - 2:00 PM EDTAARP Headquarters601 E Street NWWashington, DC 20049 Register for the EventSeven years ago, New Zealand recognized that if its people did not have sufficient assets as they aged, they would either face economic stress in retirement or place pressure on the government for costly additional benefits, and thus the KiwiSaver program was born. Designed to help citizens build retirement security, it guides individuals with limited financial experience while also giving them complete control of their finances. Benefits of this national automatic enrollment retirement savings plan include a $1,000 kick-start, employer contributions, and an annual tax credit. New Zealand Since its inception in July 2007, KiwiSaver has been deemed a great success, with over half of the eligible population as members, and over 70 percent of 18-24 year olds participating. Although membership continues to grow, it is at a slower rate than that seen in previous years. Could the success of KiwiSaver mean that a similar program – at either the national or state level – might work here? On July 8th, Diana Crossan, former Retirement Commissioner for New Zealand, will offer her insights into the KiwiSaver program and its impact on New Zealand saving, retirement security, and financial literacy. Ben Harris and David John, deputy directors of the Retirement Security Project at Brookings, will reflect on the role such a program might play in the U.S. Email international@aarp.org to RSVP » Full Article
on Better Financial Security in Old Age? The Promise of Longevity Annuities By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 06 Nov 2014 10:00:00 -0500 Event Information November 6, 201410:00 AM - 12:00 PM ESTFalk AuditoriumBrookings Institution1775 Massachusetts Avenue NWWashington, DC 20036 Register for the EventLongevity annuities—a financial innovation that provides protection against outliving your money late in life—have the potential to reshape the retirement security landscape. Typically bought at retirement, a longevity annuity offers a guaranteed stream of income beginning in ten or 20 years at a markedly lower cost than a conventional annuity that begins paying out immediately. Sales have grown rapidly and it will be even easier to purchase the annuities in the future given new Treasury regulations. While economists have touted the attractiveness of longevity annuities as a way to ensure the ability to maintain one’s living standards late in life, significant barriers to a robust market remain—including lack of consumer awareness, questions about product value, and employer concerns with taking on fiduciary responsibility by offering these products to their employees. Can longevity annuities overcome these barriers to find widespread popularity among Americans retirees? On November 6, the Retirement Security Project hosted a panel of experts to discuss the potential for these products to contribute to the economic security of older Americans, in addition to policy reforms that could lead to greater take-up by retirement plan sponsors and consumers alike. Following a presentation by Katharine Abraham that laid out the issues, two panels of prominent experts added their insights on the promise and challenges of this burgeoning market. Video Better Financial Security in Old-Age? The Promise of Longevity AnnuitiesUnderstanding Longevity AnnuitiesEliminating Barriers to Market DevelopmentLongevity Annuities Are Not Necessarily Niche ProductsThe Adverse Selection Issue Audio Better Financial Security in Old-Age? The Promise of Longevity Annuities Transcript Uncorrected Transcript (.pdf) Event Materials 06_retirement_longevity_annuities_abraham_harrislongevity_annuities_presentation_abraham20141106_longevity_annuities_transcript Full Article
on Retirement Security a Priority in the 2015 State of the Union By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 20 Jan 2015 16:48:00 -0500 In the 2015 State of the Union Address, President Obama made retirement security a priority for his Administration by promoting the Automatic IRA, a retirement savings plan that originated at the Retirement Security Project. The proposals would increase the ability of part-time workers to join their employer’s plan and improve tax incentives for businesses that either start an Automatic IRA or other type of retirement plan or add automatic enrollment to an existing plan. Only about half of all American workers have access to a payroll deduction retirement savings plan at work. For part-time workers, fewer than four in ten have the opportunity to save at work. And while these individuals could in theory save on their own in an IRA, the best estimate is that only about one in twenty eligible to contribute to an IRA actually do so on a regular basis. Last year, the President announced the creation of My Retirement Account, or “MyRA.” Similar to the R-Bond discussed in a recent AARP Public Policy Institute paper written by William Gale, David John and Spencer Smith, MyRA would allow individuals to save up to $15,000 in a government bond account similar to the one offered as an option to federal employees through the Thrift Savings Plan. Now, the White House proposes to build on the MyRA. Because the Automatic IRA would require employers with more than 10 employees to offer retirement accounts, about 30 million more workers would have the opportunity to save for retirement via payroll deduction. Using automatic enrollment, a mechanism that both works and that employees strongly support, the Automatic IRA would serve as a permanent retirement savings plan, rather than a starter account like MyRA. To further increase the number of retirement savers, the Obama Administration also proposes to allow part-time employees who have worked for the employer for at least 500 hours a year for the past three years to make voluntary contributions to the employer’s plan. Currently, employers are allowed to exclude any employee who works less than 1,000 hours per year. And to encourage employers to offer retirement plans, the existing tax credits for small employers who start a new retirement plan or pension would be greatly expanded. Small employers who create an Automatic IRA would be eligible for a $3,000 tax credit, while those who open another type of retirement plan would be eligible for a $4,500 tax credit. And just adding automatic enrollment to an existing plan would earn a small employer a tax credit of $1,500. While these proposals would all need the approval of congress, they may well be able to rise above the usual political maneuvering. For instance, both left and right have made positive comments about the Automatic IRA, and businesses should support the call for expanded tax credits to cover their costs in implementing the plans. Most important, the president continues to make retirement security a priority with practical solutions that would allow many more Americans to build retirement security through their own efforts. His proposals promote the kind of values and self-reliance that both sides of the political spectrum find attractive. Authors William G. GaleDavid C. John Image Source: © Brian Snyder / Reuters Full Article
on New UK annuity reforms – lessons from the United States By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 24 Feb 2015 00:00:00 -0500 American experience strongly suggests that the coming UK pension freedoms sound better in theory than they will work in practice. After nearly a decade where the UK has been the gold standard for retirement savings policy, it is about to take a step that it may regret. As annuity purchases are not required, very few Americans buy them, feeling that they are spending a great deal of money for a comparatively small monthly income. Even those in traditional DB pension plans usually take a lump sum if they are allowed to do so. As a result, many US retirees spend unwisely, trust the wrong financial advisor, or make other financial mistakes. Many people greatly overestimate how long their savings will last. Most others assume (often wrongly) that they can manage their own money as well as anyone else or that they can live comfortably on Social Security alone. U.S. Social Security pays a benefit that depends on the retirees’ individual income history. The average annual amount is about $13,000 (GBP 8,700). One survey found that in West Virginia, a state with a relatively low average income, 78% of those near retirement and 67% of those at retirement would likely outlive their financial assets. Workers with lower incomes are most at risk. A recent national study found that by the 20th year of retirement, more than 81% of Americans with incomes up to $27,000 would run short of money, as would 38% of those earning up to $42,000, and 19% of those with incomes up to $65,000. Even 8% of those with the highest incomes could not meet their expenses. Advice alone is not likely to help. US experience shows that literally every minute that passes after general advice is given reduces the chance that the consumer will act on it – even when they have decided to do so. And even a significant number of those who consult with a financial planner fail to act on that guidance. What does show promise is income illustration. In a 2014 U.S. survey, 85% of plan participants found estimates of the income they could anticipate from their retirement savings useful, and 35% said that they would save more. Income illustrations change the framing of retirement saving from gross amounts saved to retirement income. Annuity-like products become insurance against running out of money, something Americans are increasingly concerned about. Two other potential developments may help. One is longevity insurance, an annuity that provides income only after a set age. Purchasing a policy defines how long one must make retirement savings last, and the retiree is protected against running out of money. Because longevity insurance is deferred, one can receive higher amounts of monthly income for a lower cost. In 2014, $50,000 would buy $275 a month at age 65 or $1200 a month starting at age 80. Another idea is an automatic enrollment trial annuity. As developed by several Brookings Institution colleagues and me, new retirees would automatically use part of their savings for a two year annuity unless the retiree refused it. The rest of their savings would be available as a lump sum. After the trial period, the annuity would become permanent if they did nothing or they could cancel it and take the rest of their money as a lump sum. The many annuity horror stories from the UK show a definite need for change, but the coming reforms go too far. US experience suggests that too many UK retirees are likely to see their savings exhausted all too quickly. There are alternatives that could do a better job of protecting retirees. Authors David C. John Publication: Age UK Image Source: © Kai Pfaffenbach / Reuters Full Article
on Model notices and plan sponsor education on lifetime plan participation By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 28 May 2015 00:00:00 -0400 I appreciate this opportunity to share my thoughts about ways that retirement plans can provide clear, concise and objective information to participants that enables them to make appropriate decisions. However, I would go beyond that to provide information that also motivates employees towards actions that will prove to be in their long-term best interest. General Thoughts about Participant Communications The shift from traditional pensions to the current defined contribution system places most of the responsibility for making decisions on the participant. Automatic enrollment and similar features assist them by combining several formerly potentially complex decisions about whether to participate, how much to save and what investment vehicle to use into one question that the employee can effectively answer by doing nothing. While the result may not be optimal in all situations, it is certainly better for the saver than not saving at all or waiting until he or she has all of the answers – a day that for many may never come. For these reasons, automatic enrollment and escalation are extremely popular with both those who accept the automatic choices and those who opt out. Unfortunately, at this time, automatic mechanisms are not available for every decision that an employee might need to make between starting to save and retirement. Over time, additional mechanisms that are in development will further simplify these plans, but they are not available yet. Today’s automatic mechanisms also do not necessarily affect the attitudes that participants may have about their saving balances and how they might be used. To assist in these areas, effective participant communication is needed. In order to be effective, communications and notices to employees must have a consistent message that regularly appears throughout an employee’s career. No single notice, no matter how effectively worded or how timely it is provided, will be as effective as a regular series of messages. And in order to be effective, notices and statements need to be geared to the needs of the participant rather than to provide legal cover to the plan sponsor for any unanticipated situation. This requires that they be short, clear, simple and to the point. This need for regular communication as opposed to a single notice or series of notices is especially true for withdrawal options. Whether the participant is leaving the employer or retiring, they need to have key information well in advance of when it is needed. Otherwise, the saver may be influenced by others who are not acting in their best interests or make a decision based on advice from well-meaning, but poorly informed family friends. An effective participant education plan for lifetime plan participation and effective withdrawal options should have at least three separate parts, which are detailed below. These include effective information contained in the quarterly statement; notices at the time an employee leaves the plan due to a job change, and a pre-retirement education campaign. While all three must have consistent messages, they should also be tailored for specific circumstances. What follows is a general discussion, as effective model forms require field-testing in focus groups and similar settings. Unfortunately, forms developed by financial professionals with a deep understanding of key issues often gloss over important background information or have technical wording that confuses non-professionals. Another problem with many individual statements and notices is that they contain too much information. The professionals who developed them recognize the limitations of projection models and seek to compensate by providing a range of results using differing assumptions. Unfortunately, this either further confuses the reader or appears as a dense block of type that is usually completely skipped. It is far better to provide a simple illustration with clear warnings of its limitations than to flood the employee with complex information that will be ignored. Improved Statements with Income Illustrations and Social Security Information The most important participant education tool is the quarterly statement they receive. Properly structured, these statements can set the stage for more specific notices before an employee leaves the employer due to either a new job or retirement. Today’s statements are often too long and inadvertently cause the employee to focus on account balances rather than seeing the retirement plan as a source of future income. In many cases, they also fail to note that income from the plan should be added to Social Security for a better estimate of total retirement income. Two major innovations would be to add both income illustrations and to combine 401k statements with the existing Social Security statement. Income illustrations: Most of today’s quarterly statements focus almost exclusively on the amount that an individual has saved and how much he or she has gained or lost in the previous quarter. This focus damages the ability of a participant to see the plan as anything other than a savings account. Faced with a lump sum of retirement savings that may be a much higher amount than an individual has ever had and little or no practical experience about how to translate that amount into an income stream, it would be very easy for a worker to assume that he or she is much better prepared for retirement than is actually the case. An income illustration would help savers to make earlier and better decisions about how much they may need to save and how best to manage their retirement assets. The illustrations should also encourage participation both by including both current and projected balances and by showing the additional income that could be expected if the saver slightly increased his or her contributions. Including income illustrations for both current and projected retirement savings balances would have a greater incentive effect than just including current balances. For younger employees, the very small amount of income that would be produced from their current retirement savings balances may discourage them from further savings and thus have the opposite effect of what is in their long-term best interest and the objective of this disclosure. Including an income illustration for projected balances that assumes continued participation provides a clearer picture of the extent to which the amount that the individual is saving will meet his or her retirement income needs. Studies show that an illustration of the additional income that can be derived from a higher level of saving is likely to stimulate the participant to increase his or her savings rate. Plan sponsors should be encouraged to also include balance projections and income illustrations that show how much retirement income an individual would have if they modestly increased the proportion of their income that they contributed to their retirement savings plan. For instance, in addition to the income illustrations based on their current balances and projected balances assuming their current savings rate, there might be an illustration based on saving an additional one percent of income and another three percent of income. Combining Social Security Statements with Quarterly Statements: As a further way of moving the focus of quarterly statements away from lump sums and investment returns and towards retirement income, an accurate estimate of projected Social Security benefits could be added to at least one annual quarterly statement containing an income illustration. Some 401(k) providers already simulate Social Security benefits and provide this information to account owners, but these providers lack the income and work history data to make a truly accurate projection. Collaboration between SSA and 401(k) plan administrators could result in adding information from the once annual Social Security statement to at least one 401(k) quarterly report each year. Two sets of concerns about using Social Security information would need to be addressed: concerns about privacy and concerns about accuracy. Previous discussions of similar proposals failed because of privacy concerns, as many individuals do not want employers to have access to their Social Security information. Account holders’ privacy is a concern for 401(k) providers too, and providers go to great lengths to protect the confidential data in the quarterly statements. To assuage concerns about the data from SSA, Social Security data could be provided directly to 401(k) administrators rather than employers and included on an annual 401(k) statement only if the administrators meet certain SSA-developed privacy standards. Individuals could have control over this decision through the ability to opt in to the service or to opt out, if the service were automatic. This should preserve individual choice and satisfy persons especially concerned about privacy. To ensure accuracy and consistency, income illustrations of balances in the 401(k) and SSA projections would need to be produced using compatible methodologies that allow the projected monthly income estimates to be combined for a complete picture of estimated retirement income. This is not a terribly difficult problem. This reform will give people important information about how to plan their futures. They desperately need this information, and providing it should be fairly simple and cost-effective. Using an Enhanced Statement as a Base for Additional Guidance and Education An enhanced quarterly statement with a consistent message that retirement plan participation is intended as retirement income will set the stage for more effective education when the participant leaves the employer. The current statement format that focuses on aggregate savings amount and the performance of investments sends the message that the balances could be used for other purposes. This encourage leakage when employees change jobs and may leave the impression that the savers has sufficient resources to use part or all of that money for other purposes. While the information on investment returns is important and should remain on the statement, it should be de-emphasized, with the focus moving to retirement income that it can provide. As an aside, let me be clear that I do not favor eliminating the ability to withdraw savings before retirement in the event of an emergency. For one thing, doing so would reduce participation, and could hurt vulnerable populations that have no other major source of savings. However, the purpose of the quarterly statement should be to inform savers of their future retirement income, and its orientation should be towards that goal. Encouraging Participants to Preserve Savings When They Move to a New Job Several studies show that the biggest source of leakage occurs when employees change jobs. Part of the reason for this loss of savings may be the way that employers handle the discussion about retirement assets upon separation. A discussion that is centered on the open question of what should we do with your money may encourage savers to simply ask for their money as a lump sum. This is especially true if the participant is not informed of the tax consequences of an early withdrawal and the potential effect on future retirement income. On the other hand, if the participant has received a consistent message that the account is for retirement income, and is informed of the potential consequences of withdrawing the money, they would be less likely to take the funds and more likely to leave the money in the current employer’s plan or to roll it into a plan offered by the new employer or an IRA. Of course, part of this decision would be determined by whether the current employer is willing to allow the money to remain in their plan or if they would prefer it to be moved to another location. As a side note, the process of combining retirement savings from one employer to another would be much easier if there is a simple mechanism that can be used to make such transfers. As I can testify from personal experience, it can be extremely complex to roll retirement money from one employers’ plan to another’s even for those of us who work in this field. Plan administrators from both the sending and receiving plans make this process overly difficult in part because one party needs to know if it is a legitimate transfer as opposed to a withdrawal, and the other needs to know that the money it is receiving has the proper tax status. While it is beyond the scope of today’s hearing, it is definitely worth the effort for regulators and if necessary legislators to simplify the process and encourage automatic rollovers between employers. Contents of Model Notices for Participants Changing Employers: Given this background, a disclosure notice provided to employees who are moving to another employer should include specific information about several topics. However, a one-shot notice will be far less effective than an educational campaign that includes information about how poor decisions when changing jobs can adversely affect retirement security. This information should not be limited to when an employee departs; it should also be included in regular communications. When an employee moves to another employer, he or she needs to know: Ability to retain fund in the account or roll them into another account: The employee should be informed that moving the money to another retirement account, ideally that of the new employer, is the best option. He or she should also be informed if the current plan is willing to continue to hold the money. Information about how to effect the rollover and/or a third party willing to assist with the transaction can be provided on a separate sheet. Tax consequences of withdrawing the money: An early withdrawal from a traditional account is usually subject to both income taxes and a penalty. The employer should be informed of both the combined marginal rate and the total amount of retirement money that will be lost by taking the money out of the system. Effect on retirement security of withdrawing the money: Using an income projection, the participant should be shown that a withdrawal will potentially reduce their income at retirement by a certain dollar amount. They should also be shown how long it will take to replace that amount of saving. Potential costs of moving to the wrong IRA provider: Moving from a relatively low administrative cost employer plan into an IRA with higher fees could have a major effect on the eventual retirement income. Participants should be informed of this and offered a separate sheet discussing how to tell if an IRA provider has appropriate fee levels. This can ge general information rather than tailored to the specific employee. Continuing to save at the same rate in the new employer’s plan: Finally, the employee should be encourage to start saving in the new employer’s plan at least at the same level that they have been contributing to the plan of the current employer. These disclosures do not need to be extremely detailed or presented in legal terms. If the participant cannot immediately understand what is being said, the information is essentially useless. To relieve employers’ worry about legal liability, a model form that protects them from liability would be worth creating. However, this information is important, and could have a major effect on whether the money leaks out of the retirement system or remains in it. Finally, the term “model form” does not need to mean a single form. In cases where a great deal of information needs to be available, one form could summarize the situation, while others provide more detailed information about certain subjects. However, this does not mean that these other forms should be written in long, legalistic language. Both the summary form and others should be in clear, concise language with appropriate graphics. Assisting Participants to Make Appropriate Decisions When They Retire Decisions about how to translate retirement savings into an appropriate income strategy can be among the most complex that an individual faces. Even those of us who work in the field can find the decision about whether to use an annuity or longevity insurance to supplement other strategies daunting. This confusion is only made worse by the focus of today’s quarterly statements on lump sums and investment performance. Ideally, retirement income disclosures would be combined with an automatic enrollment-like withdrawal strategy that the employee could adopt simply by not opting out. Unfortunately, while this is the subject of much research by both many groups and companies, it is not currently available. To be most effective, education on retirement income strategies should not be delayed until the participant reaches a specific age. Rather, it should begin with the design of the quarterly statement and continue with regular discussions of how to create a retirement strategy throughout an employee’s career. Even if the participant does not pay much attention for many years, the information will form a backdrop that will be recalled when he or she starts to think about retirement. Because retirement income strategies are complex, the notices should include both a short summary sheet and individual longer notices on specific topics. Covered information should include: An overview sheet with general information: A general discussion of how to think of retirement income as well as the general elements that can be combined to provide an appropriate amount of secure income. The role of Social Security: Social Security pays an inflation-indexed annuity that serves as the basis for retirement income strategies. Employees should be given information about how much they can expect, how to apply for benefits, and the value of delaying their benefits. What income options are in the employer plan: If the employer plan offers any income options, they should be disclosed and explained. If not, the employee should be informed that they would need to go outside the plan and given advice on how to select a provider (see below). This would include the potential problems of turning the money over to a broker to manage. How long an individual is likely to live: Most people have no idea how long they could live in retirement. A brief discussion of the average longevity for their specific gender and birth cohort along with a notation that average longevity means that half of them will live longer would be helpful. Longevity insurance and how to use it: Longevity insurance can be a valuable part of a retirement income plan. How to think about it and choose a policy would be valuable. Using immediate annuities and how to buy one: This is a separate discussion from longevity insurance. While few of today’s retirees may be interested in immediate annuities, information on how to select one should be included. Positives and negatives of a phased-withdrawal system: Most retirees will use a phased-withdrawal system for at least some of their retirement income. This would briefly explain the value of one, the drawbacks of withdrawing a set percentage of savings each year, and how to choose a plan. How to choose a financial advisor: Hopefully, may employees will seek the advice of a professional. If the employer does not provide access to an adviser, tips on how to select one and what questions to ask would be useful. Again, this is complex information, and employers should also be encouraged to sponsor seminars and counseling sessions for retiring employees. As mentioned repeatedly, the value of this information and the employee’s receptivity to it would be much greater if it has been part of a regular communications strategy that is simple and accessible. A Consistent Message Will Enhance Retirement Security The contents of individual notices are important, but they will be much more effective if they are placed in the context of a communications strategy with a consistent message. Making the focus of participant education the fact that the purpose of saving in the plan is to produce retirement income rather than lump sums will help participants understand the importance of rolling over their money when changing employers and of developing a sound income strategy when they retire. Authors David C. John Publication: US Department of Labor Advisory Council on Employee Welfare and Pension Benefit Plans Image Source: © Max Whittaker / Reuters Full Article
on Social Security coverage for state and local government workers: A reconsideration By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 02 Oct 2015 14:34:00 -0400 Since it was created in 1935, Social Security has grown from covering about half of the work force to covering nearly all workers. The largest remaining exempted group is a subset of state and local government workers (SLGWs). As of 2008, Social Security did not cover about 27 percent of the 23.8 million SLGWs (Congressional Research Service 2011). Non-coverage of SLGWs is concentrated in certain states scattered around the country and includes workers in a diverse set of jobs, ranging from administrators to custodial staff. Some police and fire department employees are not covered. About 40 percent of public school teachers are not covered by Social Security (Kan and Alderman 2014). Under current law, state and local governments that do not offer their own retirement plan must enroll their employees in Social Security. But if it does offer a retirement plan, the state or local government can choose whether to enroll its workers in Social Security. This paper reviews and extends discussion on whether state and local government workers should face mandatory coverage in Social Security.[1] Relative to earlier work, we focus on links between this issue and recent developments in state and local pensions. Although some of the issues apply equally to both existing and newly hired SLGWs, it is most natural to focus on whether newly hired employees should be brought into Social Security.[2] The first thing to note about this topic is that it is purely a transitional issue. If all SLGWs were already currently enrolled in Social Security, there would not be a serious discussion about whether they should be removed. For example, there is no discussion of whether the existing three quarters of all SLGWs that are enrolled in Social Security should be removed from coverage. Bringing state and local government workers into the system would allow Social Security to reach the goal of providing retirement security for all workers. The effects on Social Security finances are mixed. Bringing SLGWs into the system would also help shore up Social Security finances over the next few decades and, under common scoring methods, push the date of trust fund insolvency back by one year, but after that, the cost of increased benefit payments would offset those improvements. Mandatory coverage would also be fairer. Other workers pay, via payroll taxes, the “legacy” costs associated with the creation of Social Security as a pay-as-you-go system. Early generations of Social Security beneficiaries received far more in payouts than they contributed to the system and those net costs are now being paid by current and future generations. There appears to be no convincing reason why certain state and local workers should be exempt from this societal obligation. As a result of this fact and the short-term benefit to the program’s finances, most major proposals and commissions to reform Social Security and all commissions to shore up the long-term federal budget have included the idea of mandatory coverage of newly hired SLGWs. While these issues are long-standing, recent developments concerning state and local pensions have raised the issue of mandatory coverage in a new light. Linking the funding status of state and local pension plans and the potential risk faced by those employees with the mandatory coverage question is a principal goal of this paper. One factor is that many state and local government pension plans are facing significant underfunding of promised pension benefits. In a few municipal bankruptcy cases, the reduction of promised benefits for both current employees and those who have already retired has been discussed. The potential vulnerability of these benefits emphasizes the importance of Social Security coverage, and naturally invites a rethinking of whether newly hired SLGWs should be required to join the program. On the other hand, the same pension funding problems imply that any policy that adds newly-hired workers to Social Security, and thus requires the state to pay its share of those contributions, would create added overall costs for state and local governments at a time when pension promises are already hard to meet. The change might also divert a portion of existing employee or employer contributions to Social Security and away from the state pension program. We provide two key results linking state government pension funding status and SLGW coverage. First, we show that states with governmental pension plans that have greater levels of underfunding tend also to have a smaller proportion of SLGW workers that are covered by Social Security. This tends to raise the retirement security risks faced by those workers and provides further fuel for mandatory coverage. While one can debate whether future public pension commitments or future Social Security promises are more risky, a solution resulting in less of both is the worst possible outcome for the workers in question. Second, we show that state pension benefit levels for career workers are somewhat compensatory, in that states with lower rates of Social Security coverage for SLGWs tend to have somewhat higher pension benefit levels. The extent to which promised but underfunded benefits actually compensate for the higher risk to individual workers of non-Social Security coverage is an open question, though. Mandatory coverage of newly hired SLGWs could improve the security of their retirement benefits (by diversifying the sources of their retirement income), raise average benefit levels in many cases (even assuming significant changes in state and local government pensions in response to mandatory coverage), and would improve the quality of benefits received, including provisions for full inflation indexation, and dependent, survivor and disability benefits in Social Security that are superior to those in most state pension plans. The ability to accrue and receive Social Security benefits would be particularly valuable for the many SLGWs who leave public service either without ever having been vested in a government pension or having been vested but not reaching the steep part of the benefit accrual path. Just as there is strong support for mandatory coverage in the Social Security community and literature, there is strong opposition to such a change in elements of the state and local government pension world. The two groups that are most consistently and strongly opposed to mandatory coverage of newly hired SLGWs are the two parties most directly affected – state and local governments that do not already provide such coverage and their uncovered employees. Opponents cite the higher cost to both employees and the state and local government for providing that coverage and the potential for losing currently promised pension benefits. They note that public pensions – unlike Social Security – can invest in risky assets and thus can provide better benefits at lower cost. This, of course, is a best-case alternative as losses among those risky assets could also increase pressure on pension finances. There is nothing inconsistent about the two sides of these arguments; one set tends to focus on benefits, the other on costs. They can be, and probably are, all true simultaneously. There is also a constitutional issue that used to hang over the whole debate – whether the federal government has the right to tax the states and local government units in their roles as employers – but that seems resolved at this point. Section II of this paper discusses the history and current status of Social Security coverage for SLGWs. Section III discusses mandatory coverage in the context of Social Security funding and the federal budget. Section IV discusses the issues in the context of state and local budgets, existing pension plans, and the risks and benefits to employees of those governments. Section V concludes. [1] Earlier surveys of these issues provide excellent background. See Government Accountability Office (1998), Munnell (2005), and Congressional Research Service (2011). [2] A variety of related issues are beyond the scope of the paper, including in particular how best to close gaps between promised benefits and accruing assets in state and local pension plans and the level of those benefits. Note: A revised version of this paper is forthcoming in The Journal of Retirement. Downloads Download the paper Authors William G. GaleSarah E. HolmesDavid C. John Full Article
on Two important new retirement savings initiatives from the Obama Administration By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 20 Nov 2015 11:10:00 -0500 In recent weeks, the Obama Administration has taken the two most important steps in nearly a decade to increase access to retirement savings for more than 55 million Americans who currently do not participate in a retirement saving plan. The Treasury Department's myRA program, launched this month, will help new savers and the self-employed start accounts without risk or fees. And earlier this week, the Department of Labor clarified rules that will make it easier for states to create retirement savings plans for small business employees. myRA The new myRAs provide another way for new savers to build small nest eggs. They will also help consultants, contract employees, and part-time workers save for retirement or for emergencies. For employees, myRAs are payroll deduction savings accounts designed to meet the needs of new savers and lower income workers. They have no fees, cost nothing to open, and allow savers to regularly contribute any amount. Savings are invested in US Treasury bonds, so savers can’t lose principal, an important feature for low-income workers who might otherwise abandon plans if they face early losses. Those who are not formal employees and thus lack access to an employer-sponsored plan can participate in myRA through direct withdrawals from a checking or other bank account. As the growing “gig economy” creates more independent workers, the myRA will be a valuable entry to the private retirement system. These workers might otherwise retire on little more than Social Security. All workers can build myRA balances by redirecting income tax refunds into their accounts. Because a myRA is a Roth IRA (that is, contributions are made from after-tax income), savers can withdraw their own contributions at any time without penalties or tax liability. When a myRA reaches $15,000, it must be rolled into another account, and Treasury may make it possible for workers to transfer these savings into funds managed by one of several pre-approved private providers. MyRAs won’t replace either state-sponsored plans or employer-related pension or retirement savings plans. However, they will make it possible for new and lower-income savers as well as the self-employed to build financial security without risk or fees. State-Sponsored Retirement Savings Plans The DOL announcement gave the green light to several state models, including Automatic IRAs, marketplace models, and Multiple Employer Plans. About two dozen states are considering these plans and, so far, Illinois and Oregon have passed “Secure Choice” plans based on the Automatic IRA, while Washington State has passed a marketplace plan. DOL’s proposed Automatic IRA rules (open for a 60 day comment period) would let states administer automatic enrollment payroll deduction IRAs provided that the plans meet certain conditions for selecting or managing the investments and consumer protections. States would also have to require businesses to offer such a plan if they don’t already offer their employees a pension or other retirement savings plan. Companies that are not required to offer an Automatic IRA or other plan, but decide to join the state plan voluntarily could still be subject to ERISA. The Retirement Security Project at the Brookings Institution first designed the Automatic IRA, which was proposed by the Administration before being adopted by some states. In a separate interpretation, DOL allowed states to offer marketplace plans without being subject to the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA). These plans are essentially websites where small businesses may select pre-screened plans that meet certain fee or other criteria. Under the DOL guidance, these marketplaces may include ERISA plans, but states cannot require employers to offer them. However, if states sponsor a marketplace model, they could also require employers without other plans to offer Automatic IRAs. Finally, DOL’s rules let states administer Multiple Employer Plans (MEPs), where individual employers all use the same ERISA-covered model plan. MEPs are usually simplified 401(k)-type plans. Because the state would be acting on behalf of participating employers, it could assume some functions that would otherwise be the responsibility of the employer. These include handling ERISA compliance, selecting investments, and managing the plan. The Retirement Security Project has issued a paper and held an event discussing ways states could create small business retirement savings plans. The paper is available here and the event is available here. Together, the two initiatives—the new MyRA and the state-sponsored plans-- could greatly increase the number of American workers who’ll be able to supplement their Social Security benefits with personal savings. Authors William G. GaleDavid C. John Full Article
on Public pensions in flux: Can the federal government's experiences inform state responses? By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 17 Mar 2016 15:20:00 -0400 In many policy-related situations, the states can be useful laboratories to determine the most appropriate federal actions. Variations across states in health care programs, earned income credit rules, minimum wages, and other policies have helped inform debates about federal interventions. In this paper, we reverse that approach. Many state and local governments currently face difficulties financing future pension obligations for their workers. The federal government, however, faced similar circumstances in the 1980s and successfully implemented a substantial reform. We examine the situation the federal government faced and how it responded to the funding challenge. We present key aspects of the situation facing state governments currently and draw comparisons between them and the federal situation in the 1980s. Our overarching conclusion is that states experiencing distress today about the cost and funding of its pension plans could benefit from following an approach similar to the federal government’s resolution of its pension problems in the 1980s. The federal government retained the existing Civil Service Retirement System (CSRS) for existing employees and created a new Federal Employees’ Retirement System (FERS) for new employees. FERS combined a less generous defined benefit plan than CSRS, mandatory enrollment in Social Security, and a new defined contribution plan with extensive employer matching. Although we do not wish to imply that a “one size fits all” solution applies to the very diverse situations that different states face, we nonetheless conclude that the elements of durable, effective, and just reforms for state pension plans will likely include the major elements of the federal reform listed above. Section II discusses the federal experience with pension reform. Section III discusses the status and recent developments regarding state and local pensions. Section IV discusses the similarities in the two situations and how policy changes structured along the lines of the federal reform could help state and local governments and their employees. Download "Public Pensions in Flux: Can the Federal Government’s Experiences Inform State Responses?" » Downloads Download "Public Pensions in Flux: Can the Federal Government’s Experiences Inform State Responses?"Download the policy brief Authors William G. GaleSarah E. HolmesDavid C. John Image Source: © Max Whittaker / Reuters Full Article
on The carbon tax opportunity By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 06 May 2020 19:17:01 +0000 The COVID-19 pandemic has brought economic and social activity around the world to a near standstill. As a result, carbon dioxide emissions have declined sharply, and the skies above some large cities are clean and clear for the first time in decades. But “degrowth” is not a sustainable strategy for averting environmental disaster. Humanity should protect… Full Article
on Figures of the week: The costs of financing Africa’s response to COVID-19 By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 07 May 2020 16:21:13 +0000 Last month’s edition of the International Monetary Fund (IMF)’s biannual Regional Economic Outlook for Sub-Saharan Africa, which discusses economic developments and prospects for the region, pays special attention to the financial channels through which COVID-19 has—and will—impact the economic growth of the region. Notably, the authors of the report reduced their GDP growth estimates from… Full Article
on A once-in-a-century pandemic collides with a once-in-a-decade census By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 07 May 2020 20:15:08 +0000 Amid the many plans and projects that have been set awry by the rampage of COVID-19, spare a thought for the world’s census takers. For the small community of demographers and statisticians that staff national statistical offices, 2020—now likely forever associated with coronavirus—was meant to be something else entirely: the peak year of the decennial… Full Article
on Putting women and girls’ safety first in Africa’s response to COVID-19 By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 08 May 2020 15:12:51 +0000 Women and girls in Africa are among the most vulnerable groups exposed to the negative impacts of the coronavirus pandemic. Although preliminary evidence from China, Italy, and New York shows that men are at higher risk of contraction and death from the disease—more than 58 percent of COVID-19 patients were men, and they had an… Full Article
on Making sense of the monthly jobs report during the COVID-19 pandemic By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 05 May 2020 18:43:02 +0000 The monthly jobs report—the unemployment rate from one survey and the change in employer payrolls from another survey—is one of the most closely watched economic indicators, particularly at a time of an economic crisis like today. Here’s a look at how these data are collected and how to interpret them during the COVID-19 pandemic. What… Full Article
on Students have lost learning due to COVID-19. Here are the economic consequences. By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 06 May 2020 15:41:11 +0000 Because of the COVID-19 crisis, the US economy has nearly ground to a halt. Tens of millions of workers are now seeing their jobs and livelihoods disappear—in some cases, permanently. Many businesses will never reopen, especially those that have or had large debts to manage. State and federal lawmakers have responded by pouring trillions of… Full Article
on Unpredictable and uninsured: The challenging labor market experiences of nontraditional workers By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 07 May 2020 14:30:21 +0000 As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. labor market has deteriorated from a position of relative strength into an extraordinarily weak condition in just a matter of weeks. Yet even in times of relative strength, millions of Americans struggle in the labor market, and although it is still early in the current downturn,… Full Article
on Exposure on the job By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 07 May 2020 15:16:53 +0000 In addition to the primary devastation of thousands of lives lost, the COVID-19 pandemic has led to economic despair and joblessness for millions of Americans. But it is not just those out of work at risk of hardship. “Essential workers” who continue to go to work while the virus is actively spreading in the population… Full Article
on Supporting students and promoting economic recovery in the time of COVID-19 By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 07 May 2020 16:00:37 +0000 COVID-19 has upended, along with everything else, the balance sheets of the nation’s elementary and secondary schools. As soon as school buildings closed, districts faced new costs associated with distance learning, ranging from physically distributing instructional packets and up to three meals a day, to supplying instructional programming for television and distributing Chromebooks and internet… Full Article
on Class Notes: Harvard Discrimination, California’s Shelter-in-Place Order, and More By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 08 May 2020 19:21:40 +0000 This week in Class Notes: California's shelter-in-place order was effective at mitigating the spread of COVID-19. Asian Americans experience significant discrimination in the Harvard admissions process. The U.S. tax system is biased against labor in favor of capital, which has resulted in inefficiently high levels of automation. Our top chart shows that poor workers are much more likely to keep commuting in… Full Article
on A conversation with the CIA’s privacy and civil liberties officer: Balancing transparency and secrecy in a digital age By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 22 May 2019 18:59:40 +0000 The modern age poses many questions about the nature of privacy and civil liberties. Data flows across borders and through the hands of private companies, governments, and non-state actors. For the U.S. intelligence community, what do civil liberties protections look like in this digital age? These kinds of questions are on top of longstanding ones… Full Article
on Women and the war on terror: An insider account By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Mon, 22 Jul 2019 20:16:12 +0000 I am often asked what it is like to work for the Central Intelligence Agency. I spent 30 years there, both as an analyst and an operator abroad. A new book by Nada Bakos—“The Targeter: My Life in the CIA, Hunting Terrorists and Challenging the White House” (with Davin Coburn, published by Little, Brown and… Full Article
on Webinar: Becoming Kim Jong Un — A former CIA officer’s insights into North Korea’s enigmatic young dictator By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 16 Apr 2020 21:40:05 +0000 When it became clear in 2009 that Kim Jong Un was being groomed to be the leader of North Korea, Jung Pak was a new analyst at the Central Intelligence Agency. Her job was to analyze this then little-known young man who would take over a nuclear-armed country and keep the highest levels of the… Full Article
on Trump’s politicization of US intelligence agencies could end in disaster By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 28 Apr 2020 20:59:15 +0000 Full Article
on Stocks and the economy By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: The stock market started 2016 with its worst first two weeks ever, renewing a decline in stocks that began around mid-2015. In mid-December, the Fed indicated its confidence in the economy's expansion by finally raising the policy interest rate above zero. Does the falling stock market reflect signs of economic trouble that the Fed missed?… Full Article
on Is there any ammo left for recession fighting? By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: A government’s arsenal for moderating business cycles consists of fiscal and monetary policy. But the U.S. has little scope for using either if a new recession should now emerge. The Fed has only limited options left for stimulating the economy. And political gridlock may prevent any timely injection of fiscal stimulus. How big are the… Full Article
on Should the Fed’s discretion be constrained by rules? By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Mon, 26 Sep 2016 14:47:29 +0000 The Federal Reserve is the most second-guessed agency in the government. Congress regularly calls on the Fed Chairperson to explain its actions and part of Wall Street is always blaming the Fed for something it did or did not do. But suffering such scrutiny comes with being responsible for important policy making. A deeper issue,… Full Article
on Donald Trump’s fiscal package promises to promote expansion By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 13 Dec 2016 17:32:25 +0000 One month after the election, a huge market rally shows stock-market investors like the changes Donald Trump will bring to the business world. At the same time, great uncertainty remains about the new Administration's policies toward the Middle East, Russia, trade relations, and other matters of state and defense. But on the core issues of… Full Article
on Will President Trump derail the U.S. economy? By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Mon, 27 Feb 2017 17:02:52 +0000 Is the great surge in the stock market since Trump’s election a promise of better economic times ahead? It is easy to see why Trump's core economic proposals sharply raised stock prices and why they could help the expansion in the near term. The rest of the Trump program--the attacks on immigrants and trading partners--promise… Full Article
on There’s no recession, but a market correction could cause one By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 09 May 2017 17:12:41 +0000 Before last Friday’s employment release, some pessimistic observers feared a recession was near. The latest GDP release from the BEA showed real output growth slowed to a crawl in the first quarter, rising at an annual rate of only 0.7 percent. And that followed the report on March employment that had shown an abrupt slowdown… Full Article
on Iran’s corona-diplomacy By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 29 Apr 2020 19:16:16 +0000 While President Trump’s campaign of “maximum pressure” against Iran has been building for three years now, the COVID-19 pandemic is making its impact much more acute. The administration of Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has been pressing the U.S. to ease or lift sanctions in light of the public health and economic crises affecting a huge… Full Article
on How Gulf states can lead the global COVID-19 response By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 30 Apr 2020 08:36:04 +0000 As the coronavirus pandemic intensifies, it is becoming clear that no unified international response is in the works. Indeed, international organizations have been undermined by national actions, such as U.S. President Donald Trump’s shortsighted decision to suspend funding to the World Health Organization (WHO). In lieu of global coordination, the buck has been passed down… Full Article
on GCC News Roundup: Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Kuwait implement new economic measures (April 1-30) By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 05 May 2020 10:15:33 +0000 Gulf economies struggle as crude futures collapse Gulf debt and equity markets fell on April 21 and the Saudi currency dropped in the forward market, after U.S. crude oil futures collapsed below $0 on a coronavirus-induced supply glut. Saudi Arabia’s central bank foreign reserves fell in March at their fastest rate in at least 20… Full Article
on Webinar: Public health and COVID-19 in MENA: Impact, response and outlook By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 05 May 2020 11:47:01 +0000 The coronavirus pandemic has exacted a devastating human toll on the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, with over 300,000 confirmed cases and 11,000 deaths to date. It has also pushed the region’s public healthcare systems to their limits, though countries differ greatly in their capacities to test, trace, quarantine, and treat affected individuals. MENA governments… Full Article
on Pandemic politics: Does the coronavirus pandemic signal China’s ascendency to global leadership? By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Wed, 06 May 2020 07:52:44 +0000 The absence of global leadership and cooperation has hampered the global response to the coronavirus pandemic. This stands in stark contrast to the leadership and cooperation that mitigated the financial crisis of 2008 and that contained the Ebola outbreak of 2014. At a time when the United States has abandoned its leadership role, China is… Full Article
on Black Americans are not a monolithic group so stop treating us like one By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 07 May 2020 22:24:04 +0000 Full Article
on Artificial Intelligence Won’t Save Us From Coronavirus By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 07 May 2020 22:46:30 +0000 Full Article
on Record-setting White House staff turnover continues with news of Counsel’s departure By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 19 Oct 2018 14:32:20 +0000 With the recent departure of White House Counsel, Don McGahn (and premature announcement of his successor, Pat Cipollone), turnover within the most senior level of White House staff members bumped up to 83 percent. Ten of the twelve Tier One staff members have departed, leaving only Cabinet Secretary, Bill McGinley, and Chairman of the Council… Full Article
on Tracking turnover in the Trump administration By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Thu, 20 Dec 2018 13:00:55 +0000 The rate of turnover among senior level advisers to President Trump has generated a great deal of attention. Below, we offer four resources to help measure and contextualize this turnover. The first set of resources tracks turnover among senior-ranking advisers in the executive office of the president (which does not include Cabinet secretaries), whereas the second… Full Article
on Kirstjen Nielsen, secretary of Homeland Security, out amidst national emergency By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 09 Apr 2019 15:30:13 +0000 Kirstjen Nielsen, the secretary of Homeland Security, submitted her resignation letter on Sunday, April 7, 2019, marking the 15th Cabinet-level departure in the Trump administration since January 2017. By contrast, President Obama had seven departures after three full years in office, and President George W. Bush had four departures after three full years. Cabinet turnover… Full Article
on With Acosta’s resignation, how is high turnover affecting the administration? By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Fri, 12 Jul 2019 18:27:36 +0000 Following Labor Secretary Alex Acosta's resignation, Kathryn Dunn Tenpas updates her count of the Trump administration's unprecedented levels of senior staff turnover and examines the effect leadership turmoil has on the ability of departments and agencies to govern. http://directory.libsyn.com/episode/index/id/10499969 Related material: Tracking turnover in the Trump administration Why is Trump’s staff turnover higher than the… Full Article
on Crippling the capacity of the National Security Council By webfeeds.brookings.edu Published On :: Tue, 21 Jan 2020 19:07:23 +0000 The Trump administration’s first three years saw record-setting turnover at the most senior level of the White House staff and the Cabinet. There are also numerous vacancies in Senate-confirmed positions across the executive branch. As of September 22, 2019, the turnover rate among senior White House aides had reached 80 percent, a rate that exceeded… Full Article