f The dangers of a noisy ocean -- and how we can quiet it down | Nicola Jones By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Wed, 11 Mar 2020 15:03:00 +0000 The ocean is a naturally noisy place full of singing whales, grunting fish, snapping shrimp, cracking ice, wind and rain. But human-made sounds -- from ship engines to oil drilling -- have become an acute threat to marine life, says science journalist Nicola Jones. Watch (and listen) as she discusses the strange things that happen to underwater creatures in the face of ocean noise pollution -- and shares straightforward ways we can dial down the sound to see almost immediate impacts. Full Article Higher Education
f The beautiful, mysterious science of how you hear | Jim Hudspeth By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Fri, 13 Mar 2020 14:57:05 +0000 Have you ever wondered how your ears work? In this delightful and fascinating talk, biophysicist Jim Hudspeth demonstrates the wonderfully simple yet astonishingly powerful mechanics of hair cells, the microscopic powerhouses that make hearing possible -- and explains how, when it's really quiet, your ears will begin to beam out a spectrum of sounds unique to you. Full Article Higher Education
f How we could change the planet's climate future | David Wallace-Wells By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Fri, 13 Mar 2020 19:09:40 +0000 The climate crisis is too vast and complicated to solve with a silver bullet, says author David Wallace-Wells. What we need is a shift in how we live. Follow along as he lays out some of the dramatic actions we could take to build a livable, prosperous world in the age of global warming. Full Article Higher Education
f A campaign for period positivity | Ananya Grover By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mon, 16 Mar 2020 15:05:35 +0000 Having your period is exhausting -- and for many people across the world, menstruation is even more challenging because of stigmas and difficulty getting basic hygiene supplies, says social activist Ananya Grover. In this uplifting, actionable talk, she shares how "Pravahkriti," her campaign to spread period positivity, creatively engages with everyone to promote menstrual health, raise awareness and break taboos around periods. Full Article Higher Education
f Why COVID-19 is hitting us now -- and how to prepare for the next outbreak | Alanna Shaikh By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mon, 16 Mar 2020 20:11:06 +0000 Where did the new coronavirus originate, how did it spread so fast -- and what's next? Sharing insights from the outbreak, global health expert and TED Fellow Alanna Shaikh traces the spread of COVID-19, discusses why travel restrictions aren't effective and highlights the medical changes needed worldwide to prepare for the next pandemic. "We need to make sure that every country in the world has the capacity to identify new diseases and treat them," she says. (Recorded March 5, 2020. Update: the CDC is now calling for everyone to wear face coverings in public.) Full Article Higher Education
f A fascinating time capsule of human feelings toward AI | Lucy Farey-Jones By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Tue, 17 Mar 2020 14:59:28 +0000 How comfortable are you with robots taking over your life? Covering a wide range of potential applications -- from the mundane (robot house cleaner) to the mischievous (robot sex partner) to the downright macabre (uploading your brain to live on after death) -- technology strategist Lucy Farey-Jones shares data-backed evidence of how our willingness to accept AI may be radically changing. Full Article Higher Education
f Without farmers, you'd be hungry, naked and sober | Eric Sannerud By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Wed, 18 Mar 2020 15:10:43 +0000 Farmers keep us fed and our economies stable, but in the US they're retiring faster than they're being replaced. Take a crash course in agricultural policy with Eric Sannerud to see why this problem can't be solved by simply buying from your local farmer's market -- and learn how you can use your vote to create a better future for farmers. Full Article Higher Education
f How repaying loans with social service transforms communities | Angie Murimirwa By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Thu, 19 Mar 2020 14:48:40 +0000 What if you could repay loans through volunteering and mentorship instead of money? Activist Angie Murimirwa shares how a game-changing economic tool known as "social interest" is reinvigorating sub-Saharan communities once trapped in cycles of poverty. Join her as she explains how this approach to lending is creating opportunities for thousands of African women and girls -- and shows why this model can be replicated anywhere with lasting effects. Full Article Higher Education
f Go ahead, dream about the future | Charlie Jane Anders By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Fri, 20 Mar 2020 14:50:16 +0000 "You don't predict the future -- you imagine the future," says sci-fi writer Charlie Jane Anders. In a talk that's part dream, part research-based extrapolation, she takes us on a wild, speculative tour of the delights and challenges the future may hold -- and shows how dreaming up weird, futuristic possibilities empowers us to construct a better tomorrow. Full Article Higher Education
f The weird history of the "sex chromosomes" | Molly Webster By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mon, 23 Mar 2020 14:48:37 +0000 The common thinking on biological sex goes like this: females have two X chromosomes in their cells, while males have one X and one Y. In this myth-busting talk, science writer and podcaster Molly Webster shows why the so-called "sex chromosomes" are more complicated than this simple definition -- and reveals why we should think about them differently. Full Article Higher Education
f How to be your best self in times of crisis | Susan David By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Wed, 25 Mar 2020 03:46:48 +0000 "Life's beauty is inseparable from its fragility," says psychologist Susan David. In a special virtual conversation, she shares wisdom on how to build resilience, courage and joy in the midst of the coronavirus pandemic. Responding to listeners' questions from across the globe, she offers ways to talk to your children about their emotions, keep focus during the crisis and help those working on the front lines. (This virtual conversation is part of the TED Connects series, hosted by head of TED Chris Anderson and current affairs curator Whitney Pennington Rodgers. Recorded March 23, 2020) Full Article Higher Education
f Simple, effective tech to connect communities in crisis | Johanna Figueira By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Wed, 25 Mar 2020 14:48:21 +0000 The world is more connected than ever, but some communities are still cut off from vital resources like electricity and health care. In this solution-oriented talk, activist Johanna Figueira discusses her work with Code for Venezuela -- a platform that gathers technologists to address Venezuela's needs for information and medical supplies -- and shares ideas for how it could be used as a model to help other communities in need. Full Article Higher Education
f The quest for the coronavirus vaccine | Seth Berkley By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Fri, 27 Mar 2020 16:36:31 +0000 When will the coronavirus vaccine be ready? Epidemiologist Seth Berkley (head of Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance) takes us inside the effort to create a vaccine for COVID-19. With clarity and urgency, he explains what makes it so challenging to develop, when we can expect it to be rolled out at scale and why we'll need global collaboration to get it done. (This virtual conversation is part of the TED Connects series, hosted by head of TED Chris Anderson and current affairs curator Whitney Pennington Rodgers. Recorded March 26, 2020) Full Article Higher Education
f What the world can learn from China's response to the coronavirus | Gary Liu By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Fri, 27 Mar 2020 16:55:50 +0000 From Hong Kong, South China Morning Post CEO Gary Liu tracks China's response to the coronavirus pandemic -- from the initial outbreak in Wuhan to the shutdown of Hubei province and the containment measures taken across its major cities. Sharing insights into how the culture in places like Hong Kong and South Korea contributed to fast action against the virus, Liu identifies lessons people across the world can use to stop its spread. (This virtual conversation is part of the TED Connects series, hosted by head of TED Chris Anderson and current affairs curator Whitney Pennington Rodgers. Recorded March 25, 2020) Full Article Higher Education
f How to create meaningful connections while apart | Priya Parker By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mon, 30 Mar 2020 15:39:05 +0000 Author Priya Parker shares tools for creating meaningful connections with friends, family and coworkers during the coronavirus pandemic -- and shows how we can take advantage of gatherings that are unique to this moment of social distancing. "We don't necessarily need to gather more," she says. "We need to gather better." (This virtual conversation is part of the TED Connects series, hosted by head of TED Chris Anderson and current affairs curator Whitney Pennington Rodgers. Recorded March 27, 2020) Full Article Higher Education
f How forgiveness can create a more just legal system | Martha Minow By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mon, 30 Mar 2020 19:57:59 +0000 Pardons, commutations and bankruptcy laws are all tools of forgiveness within the US legal system. Are we using them frequently enough, and with fairness? Law professor Martha Minow outlines how these merciful measures can reinforce racial and economic inequality -- and makes the case for creating a system of restorative justice that focuses on accountability and reconciliation rather than punishment. Full Article Higher Education
f How you can help save the monarch butterfly -- and the planet | Mary Ellen Hannibal By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Wed, 01 Apr 2020 15:01:51 +0000 Monarch butterflies are dying at an alarming rate around the world -- a looming extinction that could also put human life at risk. But we have just the thing to help save these insects, says author Mary Ellen Hannibal: citizen scientists. Learn how these grassroots volunteers are playing a crucial role in measuring and rescuing the monarch's dwindling population -- and how you could join their ranks to help protect nature. (You'll be in good company: Charles Darwin was a citizen scientist!) Full Article Higher Education
f It's OK to feel overwhelmed. Here's what to do next | Elizabeth Gilbert By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Fri, 03 Apr 2020 15:03:12 +0000 If you're feeling anxious or fearful during the coronavirus pandemic, you're not alone. Offering hope and understanding, author Elizabeth Gilbert reflects on how to stay present, accept grief when it comes and trust in the strength of the human spirit. "Resilience is our shared genetic inheritance," she says. (This virtual conversation is part of the TED Connects series, hosted by head of TED Chris Anderson and head of curation Helen Walters. Recorded April 2, 2020) Full Article Higher Education
f The intangible effects of walls | Alexandra Auer By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Fri, 03 Apr 2020 20:18:10 +0000 More barriers exist now than at the end of World War II, says designer Alexandra Auer. And when you erect one wall, you unwittingly create a second -- an "us" versus "them" partition in the mind that compromises our collective safety. With intriguing results from her social design project focused on two elementary schools separated by a fence, Auer encourages us to dismantle our biases and regain perspective on all the things we have in common. Full Article Higher Education
f In uncertain times, think like a mother | Yifat Susskind By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mon, 06 Apr 2020 14:50:53 +0000 There's a simple and powerful way to confront the world's most pressing crises, says women's rights activist Yifat Susskind: think like a mother. As she puts it: "When you think like a mother, you prioritize the needs of the many, not the whims of the few." Follow along as she shares moving stories of people around the world who embody this mindset -- and shows how it can also help you see beyond suffering and act to build a better world. Full Article Higher Education
f An ethical plan for ending the pandemic and restarting the economy | Danielle Allen By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Tue, 07 Apr 2020 15:04:19 +0000 As COVID-19 continues to spread, the world is facing two existential threats at once: a public health emergency and an economic crisis. Political theorist Danielle Allen describes how we can ethically and democratically address both problems by scaling up "smart testing," which would track positive cases with peer-to-peer software on people's cell phones -- so we can end the pandemic and get back to work. (This virtual conversation is part of the TED Connects series, hosted by head of TED Chris Anderson and business curator Corey Hajim. Recorded April 6, 2020) Full Article Higher Education
f A history of Indigenous languages -- and how to revitalize them | Lindsay Morcom By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Tue, 07 Apr 2020 20:17:14 +0000 Indigenous languages across North America are under threat of extinction due to the colonial legacy of cultural erasure, says linguist Lindsay Morcom. Highlighting grassroots strategies developed by the Anishinaabe people of Canada to revive their language and community, Morcom makes a passionate case for enacting policies that could protect Indigenous heritage for generations to come. Full Article Higher Education
f What coronavirus means for the global economy | Ray Dalio By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Thu, 09 Apr 2020 15:05:51 +0000 "I'm a capitalist. I believe in the system. I believe you can increase the size of the pie and you could divide it well," says Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates. He offers wide-ranging insight and advice on how we might recover from the global economic fallout of the coronavirus crisis -- and use it as an opportunity to reform the systems that help grow our economy. (This virtual conversation is part of the TED Connects series, hosted by head of TED Chris Anderson and business curator Corey Hajim. Recorded April 8, 2020) Full Article Higher Education
f How the coronavirus pandemic is changing the world | Fareed Zakaria By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Fri, 10 Apr 2020 16:57:35 +0000 The coronavirus pandemic is more global, dramatic and unusual than any crisis we've seen in a long time, says journalist Fareed Zakaria. Listen as he shares his perspective on how we can recover from the economic fallout, why certain countries were able to avoid major outbreaks and what this might mean for the balance of global power. (This virtual conversation is part of the TED Connects series, hosted by head of TED Chris Anderson and current affairs curator Whitney Pennington Rodgers. Recorded April 9, 2020) Full Article Higher Education
f The galactic recipe for a living planet | Karin Öberg By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Fri, 10 Apr 2020 19:53:34 +0000 Did you know that one of the most notorious poisons is also a key ingredient for life as we know it? Join space chemist Karin Öberg and learn how she scans the universe in search of this paradoxical chemical using ALMA, the world's largest radio telescope, to detect hotbeds of molecular activity and the formation of life-sustaining planets. Full Article Higher Education
f The wonders of the molecular world, animated | Janet Iwasa By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mon, 13 Apr 2020 15:01:51 +0000 Some biological structures are so small that scientists can't see them with even the most powerful microscopes. That's where molecular animator and TED Fellow Janet Iwasa gets creative. Explore vast, unseen molecular worlds as she shares mesmerizing animations that imagine how they might work. Full Article Higher Education
f How to spark your curiosity, scientifically | Nadya Mason By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Wed, 15 Apr 2020 14:47:27 +0000 Curious how stuff works? Do a hands-on experiment at home, says physicist Nadya Mason. She shows how you can demystify the world around you by tapping into your scientific curiosity -- and performs a few onstage experiments of her own using magnets, dollar bills, dry ice and more. Full Article Higher Education
f Racism has a cost for everyone | Heather C. McGhee By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Thu, 16 Apr 2020 14:56:14 +0000 Racism makes our economy worse -- and not just in ways that harm people of color, says public policy expert Heather C. McGhee. From her research and travels across the US, McGhee shares startling insights into how racism fuels bad policymaking and drains our economic potential -- and offers a crucial rethink on what we can do to create a more prosperous nation for all. "Our fates are linked," she says. "It costs us so much to remain divided." Full Article Higher Education
f What's missing from the American immigrant narrative | Elizabeth Camarillo Gutierrez By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Tue, 21 Apr 2020 14:55:25 +0000 Recounting her story of finding opportunity and stability in the US, Elizabeth Camarillo Gutierrez examines the flaws in narratives that simplify and idealize the immigrant experience -- and shares hard-earned wisdom on the best way to help those around us. "Our world is one that flourishes when different voices come together," she says. Full Article Higher Education
f An ode to living on Earth | Oliver Jeffers By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Wed, 22 Apr 2020 17:03:40 +0000 If you had to explain to a newborn what it means to be a human being living on Earth in the 21st century, what would you say? Visual artist Oliver Jeffers put his answer in a letter to his son, sharing pearls of wisdom on existence and the diversity of life. He offers observations of the "beautiful, fragile drama of human civilization" in this poetic talk paired with his original illustrations and animations. Full Article Higher Education
f How to shift your mindset and choose your future | Tom Rivett-Carnac By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Wed, 22 Apr 2020 19:54:31 +0000 When it comes to big life problems, we often stand at a crossroads: either believe we're powerless against great change, or we rise to meet the challenge. In an urgent call to action, political strategist Tom Rivett-Carnac makes the case for adopting a mindset of "stubborn optimism" to confront climate change -- or whatever crisis may come our way -- and sustain the action needed to build a regenerative future. As he puts it: "Stubborn optimism can fill our lives with meaning and purpose." Full Article Higher Education
f A global pandemic calls for global solutions | Larry Brilliant By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Fri, 24 Apr 2020 15:14:13 +0000 Examining the facts and figures of the coronavirus outbreak, epidemiologist Larry Brilliant evaluates the global response in a candid interview with head of TED Chris Anderson. Brilliant lays out a clear plan to end the pandemic -- and shows why, to achieve it, we'll have to work together across political and geographical divides. "This is not the zombie apocalypse; this is not a mass extinction event," he says. "We need to be the best version of ourselves." (Recorded April 22, 2020) Full Article Higher Education
f Crisis support for the world, one text away | Nancy Lublin By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mon, 27 Apr 2020 15:13:21 +0000 What if we could help people in crisis anytime, anywhere with a simple text message? That's the idea behind Crisis Text Line, a free 24-hour service that connects people in need with trained, volunteer crisis counselors -- "strangers helping strangers around the world, like a giant global love machine," as cofounder and CEO Nancy Lublin puts it. Learn more about their big plans to expand to four new languages, providing a third of the globe with crucial, life-saving support. (This ambitious plan is a part of the Audacious Project, TED's initiative to inspire and fund global change.) Full Article Higher Education
f The injustice of "policing for profit" -- and how to end it | Dick M. Carpenter II By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Tue, 28 Apr 2020 15:12:24 +0000 Many countries have an active, centuries-old law that allows government agencies to take your things -- your house, your car, your business -- without ever convicting you of a crime. Law researcher Dick M. Carpenter II exposes how this practice of civil forfeiture threatens your rights and creates a huge monetary incentive for law enforcement to pocket your possessions -- and he lays out a path to end "policing for profit" once and for all. Full Article Higher Education
f The mental health benefits of storytelling for health care workers | Laurel Braitman By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Tue, 05 May 2020 19:47:19 +0000 Health care workers are under more stress than ever before. How can they protect their mental health while handling new and complex pressures? TED Fellow Laurel Braitman shows how writing and sharing personal stories helps physicians, nurses, medical students and other health professionals connect more meaningfully with themselves and others -- and make their emotional well-being a priority. Full Article Higher Education
f The cost of work stress -- and how to reduce it | Rob Cooke By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Wed, 06 May 2020 14:59:58 +0000 By some estimates, work-related stress drains the US economy of nearly 300 billion dollars a year -- and it can hurt your productivity and personal health too, says wellness advocate Rob Cooke. He shares some strategies to help put your mental, physical and emotional well-being back at the forefront. Full Article Higher Education
f How face surveillance threatens your privacy and freedom | Kade Crockford By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Thu, 07 May 2020 15:54:08 +0000 Privacy isn't dead, but face surveillance technology might kill it, says civil rights advocate Kade Crockford. In an eye-opening talk, Kade outlines the startling reasons why this invasive technology -- powered by often-flawed facial recognition databases that track people without their knowledge -- poses unprecedented threats to your fundamental rights. Learn what can be done to ban government use before it's too late. Full Article Higher Education
f 4th Consumer Financial Protection Bureau research conference on consumer finance, Dec 12-13, 2019 By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Wed, 14 Aug 2019 14:07:58 +0000 SUBMISSION DEADLINE: SEPTEMBER 3, 2019 What: 4th CFPB Research Conference on Consumer Finance When: December 12th-13th, 2019 Where: Catholic University in Washington, DC In December 2019, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) will host its fourth research conference on consumer finance at Catholic University in Washington, DC. Information on prior conferences can be found here: […] The post 4th Consumer Financial Protection Bureau research conference on consumer finance, Dec 12-13, 2019 appeared first on Decision Science News. Full Article Conferences 2019 bureau Catholic cfpb Conference Consumer dc december finance Financial protection research university washington
f Professorship in decision making at Wharton, Operations, Information and Decisions (OID), University of Pennsylvania By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Thu, 12 Sep 2019 18:39:24 +0000 APPLICATION DEADLINE OCTOBER 15, 2019 The Operations, Information and Decisions Department at the Wharton School is seeking applicants for a full-time, tenure track, Assistant Professor faculty position in the area of decision-making. Our decision-making faculty is comprised of scholars with a diverse set of backgrounds and interests, and we encourage applicants with degrees in economics, […] The post Professorship in decision making at Wharton, Operations, Information and Decisions (OID), University of Pennsylvania appeared first on Decision Science News. Full Article Jobs assistant decisions information OID operations professor school wharton
f SJDM Newsletter is ready for download By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Fri, 01 Nov 2019 07:11:22 +0000 SOCIETY FOR JUDGMENT AND DECISION MAKING NEWSLETTER The quarterly Society for Judgment and Decision Making newsletter is available for download from the SJDM site: http://sjdm.org/newsletters/ It features announcements, conferences, jobs, and the 2019 Conference program. See y’all in Montreal (nobody ever says that but the 2019 SJDM meeting will take place in Montreal, November 15-18, […] The post SJDM Newsletter is ready for download appeared first on Decision Science News. Full Article SJDM SJDM-Conferences announcements Conference decision jdm Jobs making montreal newsletter
f 2019 SJDM Conference program available online By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mon, 11 Nov 2019 21:34:39 +0000 SOCIETY FOR JUDGMENT AND DECISION MAKING CONFERENCE PROGRAM: DOWNLOAD AWAY The program for the 2019 SJDM conference (taking place this weekend (Nov 15-19, 2019) in Montreal, Canada) can be found in two places The SJDM home page (program link) The SJDM Newsletter (link) Please get it while it is hot. The post 2019 SJDM Conference program available online appeared first on Decision Science News. Full Article Programs SJDM SJDM-Conferences
f 57th Edwards Bayesian Research Conference, Feb 27-29, 2020, Fullerton, CA By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Wed, 20 Nov 2019 05:19:22 +0000 SUBMISSION DEADLINE DECEMBER 13, 2019 In this conference, investigators present original research on a variety of topics related to judgment and decision making, including but not limited to: Decision making under risk, uncertainty, and ambiguity Intertemporal choice Cognitive models of judgment and decision making Mathematical and statistical methodology for analyzing behavioral data Applications of JDM […] The post 57th Edwards Bayesian Research Conference, Feb 27-29, 2020, Fullerton, CA appeared first on Decision Science News. Full Article Conferences bayes bayesian ca decision edwards fullerton judgment making workshop
f IC2S2: 6th International Conference on Computational Social Science, MIT, July 17-20, 2020 By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Wed, 27 Nov 2019 13:28:18 +0000 SUBMISSION DEADLINE FEBRUARY 16, 2020 Call For Papers IC2S2 brings together researchers in computational science, complexity, and social science, and provides a platform for new work in the field of computational social science. Contributed abstracts are presented orally in parallel thematic sessions or as posters at the three day conference, which takes place at MIT […] The post IC2S2: 6th International Conference on Computational Social Science, MIT, July 17-20, 2020 appeared first on Decision Science News. Full Article Conferences 2020 computational Conference IC2S2 international july MIT science social
f Foundations of Utility and Risk (FUR) Conference, Sydney, July 1-4, 2020 By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Wed, 04 Dec 2019 18:31:35 +0000 ABSTRACT SUBMISSION DEADLINE JANUARY 15, 2020 The Foundations of Utility and Risk (FUR) Conference will, for the first time, take place in the Asia Pacific area in 2020. We invite all Economists and other Social Scientists interested in the study of Decision-making to submit papers to the conference. Since 1982, FUR gathers every two years […] The post Foundations of Utility and Risk (FUR) Conference, Sydney, July 1-4, 2020 appeared first on Decision Science News. Full Article Conferences 2020 australia Conference deadline Foundations FUR lionel page risk sydney Utility
f How visualizing inferential uncertainty can mislead readers about treatment effects in scientific results By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Tue, 10 Dec 2019 21:09:33 +0000 STANDARD ERRORS VS STANDARD DEVIATIONS Click to enlarge There’s an ancient haiku that goes: People confuse a well-estimated mean with a certain outcome Ok, that’s not true. But Jake Hofman, Dan Goldstein, and Jessica Hullman have a new paper (recently accepted at CHI 2020) about this. They bet you’ll think the results of their paper […] The post How visualizing inferential uncertainty can mislead readers about treatment effects in scientific results appeared first on Decision Science News. Full Article Conferences Ideas 2020 certain chi goldstein hofman hullman inferential mean mislead outcome readers results scientific uncertainty well-estimated
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