Part 1 Andrew Lilley, Gianluca Rinaldi, and Matthew Lilley write: You might be familiar with a recent paper by Correira, Luck, and Verner who argued that cities that enacted non-pharmaceutical interventions earlier / for longer during the Spanish Flu of 1918 had higher subsequent economic growth. The paper has had extensive media coverage – e.g. […]

Robin Lee writes: To check for linearity and homoscedasticity, we are taught to plot residuals against y fitted value in many statistics classes. However, plotting residuals against y fitted value has always been a confusing practice that I know that I should use but can’t quite explain why. It is not until this week I […]

By default, ggplot expands the space above and below the x-axis (and to the left and right of the y-axis). Andrew has made it pretty clear that he thinks the x axis should be drawn at y = 0. To remove the extra space around the axes when you have continuous (not discrete or log […]

David Rohde points us to this new seminar series that has the following description: Machine learning is changing the world we live in at a break neck pace. From image recognition and generation, to the deployment of recommender systems, it seems to be breaking new ground constantly and influencing almost every aspect of our lives. […]

John Fund writes: [Imperial College epidemiologist Neil] Ferguson was behind the disputed research that sparked the mass culling of eleven million sheep and cattle during the 2001 outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease. He also predicted that up to 150,000 people could die. There were fewer than 200 deaths. . . . In 2002, Ferguson predicted that […]

After getting 80 zillion comments on that last post with all that political content, I wanted to share something that’s purely technical. It’s something Bob Carpenter wrote in a conversation regarding implementing algorithms in Stan: One thing we are doing is having the matrix library return more expression templates rather than copying on return as […]

Ivan Oransky points us to this amusing retraction of a meta-analysis. The problem: “Standard errors were used instead of standard deviations when using data from one of the studies”! Actually, I saw something similar happen in a consulting case once. The other side had a report with estimates and standard errors . . . the […]

Proposal to temporarily loosen restrictions on on-site sales faces uncertain prospect in session's final days.

After closing amid the coronavirus pandemic, the National Park Service is testing public access at several parks across the nation, including two in Utah, with limited offerings and services. Visitor centers and campgrounds remain largely shuttered at Bryce Canyon and Capitol Reef, but visitors are welcome at some of the sites.

A sheriff's deputy in North Carolina is facing criminal charges after authorities say he led a group of armed people to wrong home in a search for a missing girl.

Two legislative stalwarts lose endorsements as a wave of younger, more liberal challengers emerges in Minneapolis.

Bruising convention battle calls into question party unity behind the Peterson challenger.

The decision to shelve detailed advice from the nation's top disease control experts for reopening communities during the coronavirus pandemic came from the highest levels of the White House, according to internal government e-mails.

As heads of state, local leaders, business owners and individual citizens weighed the costs of re-opening the global economy, fears of new outbreaks grew. A central question emerged: How much infection and loss of life will emerge amid the push to restart business?

Returning Internal Revenue Service workers in Kansas City are being directed to a room well-stocked with face masks, while some other IRS offices were still telling staffers to buy or make their own as the Trump administration starts rolling out a location-based plan for returning more of the some 2 million federal workers to job sites.

Bank runs should not be a concern, thanks to the system that protects your deposits.

After snapping up more than $500 billion in emergency loans in just three weeks, small-business owners have lost interest in the federal Paycheck Protection Program. Minnesota business owners are among those who may give back a chunk of their forgivable loans.

Companies are rushing to readjust their office designs as they prepare to reopen workplaces amid the pandemic. Strategists and designers are putting aside past concerns about branding and flashy office amenities to focus on employee safety.

It's understandable for anyone near retirement to feel extra anxious. Just remember your best interests.

Declining state and local government spending really can make an economic downturn worse. And this recession is bad enough already.

Pandemic expected to magnify differences between healthy retailers and those with big financial troubles.

It's the first Orioles game to be played there under a long-term partnership with the Naval Academy.

The fan-favorite outfielder abruptly left the team last week.

The Baltimore Orioles' Opening Day will be delayed by at least two weeks after Major League Baseball announced its response to the coronavirus outbreak Thursday.

The commissioner's office said clubs remain committed to playing "as many games as possible" when the season begins.

The union representing 700 hospitality workers at Camden Yards is asking for financial help on what would have been opening day.

The journeyman's career saw a resurgence after he joined the Orioles. He went on to be the MVP of the 2018 World Series with the Boston Red Sox.

Baltimore Orioles' Trey Mancini announced Tuesday he is undergoing chemotherapy for Stage 3 colon cancer. 

The announcement follows MLB's decision that refunds could be issued.

The Orioles outfielder was open with reporters after publishing an emotional essay.

Dear Reader, It’s been a month since I left the house to dine at a restaurant with friends. I remember that as the day BEFORE I realized that staying home was the best choice for my health and for our […]

The post [Surnetkids] Gardening appeared first on Newsletters » Surfnetkids.

Dear Reader, “May you live in interesting times” is a curse couched to sound like a blessing. We most certainly are living through interesting times, and it’s easy to count the many difficulties we currently face. So, tell me something […]

The post [Surnetkids] How to Make a Face Mask appeared first on Newsletters » Surfnetkids.

Dear Reader, This is the first spring for my husband’s newly planted cactus garden. And apparently the cacti and succulents loved all the rain, because they are BLOOMING! Here’s a picture I recently posted on Facebook. The picture is public, […]

The post [Surnetkids] Flowers appeared first on Newsletters » Surfnetkids.

Strom, Jeannine "Lilly" Carl Oct 13, 1941 - Apr 27, 2020 Jeannine "Lilly" Carol Strom passed away on April 27, 2020 at the age .....

Phillips, William "Bill" May 18, 1928 - May 6, 2020 William "Bill" Phillips (age 91) passed away peacefully to be with his Lord and .....

McGraw, Richard Allen Apr 1, 1946 - May 4, 2020 Richard Allen McGraw, 74, of Port Charlotte, Florida, died on May 4, 2020. Funeral .....

Marino, Jenna Lyn Oct 24, 1980 - Apr 27, 2020 Jenna Lyn Marino, 39, of Sarasota, Florida, died on Apr 27, 2020. Funeral arrangements .....

Leber Jr., Kenneth Miles Oct 29, 1922 - May 3, 2020 Kenneth Miles Leber, Jr., of Sarasota, Florida, peacefully passed away on Sunday May .....

Karvelas, William Jul 19, 1931 - Apr 29, 2020 William Karvelas, 88, of Venice, Florida, died on Apr 29, 2020. .....

Holmes, Suzanne Marie Apr 12, 1952 - Apr 28, 2020 Suzanne Marie Holmes 68, passed away peacefully in comfort of her home surrounded by .....

Herdegen, Richard Jan 31, 1940 - Apr 26, 2020 Richard Herdegen, 80, of Bradenton, FL, died on Apr 26, 2020. Funeral arrangements by: Shannon .....

Engel, Jacqueline Apr 7, 1932 - Apr 9, 2020 Jacqueline "Jill" Engel passed away at her home in Venice, Florida on Thursday, April 9, .....

Crandall, William Feb 24, 1921 - May 7, 2020 William Crandall, 99, of Punta Gorda, FL, died on May 7, 2020. Funeral arrangements by: .....

Clark, David Alan May 2, 1958 - Apr 24, 2020 David Alan Clark, 61, of Englewood, Florida, died on Apr 24, 2020. Funeral arrangements .....

Rodriguez Campos, Consuelo Sep 23, 1924 - May 02, 2020 Consuelo Rodriguez Campos, 95, of Sarasota, FL., died on May 02, 2020. Funeral arrangements .....

Cain, James W Feb 12, 1949 - Apr 29, 2020 James W Cain, 71, of Bradenton, Florida, died on Apr 29, 2020. Funeral arrangements .....