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A 10% swing in win probability corresponds (approximately) to a 0.4% swing in predicted vote

There’s some confusion regarding jumps in election forecasts. New information is coming in every day, so it makes sense that forecasts change too. But they don’t change very much. Each new piece of information tells you only a little bit. … Continue reading




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What if the polls are right? (some scatterplots, and some comparisons to vote swings in past decades)

There’s a lot of talk about how the polls can go wrong. Fair enough—I wrote an article a few years ago on failure and success in political polling and election forecasting, and a few years before that, Julia Azari and … Continue reading




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Fake data on the honeybee waggle dance, followed by the inevitable “It is important to note that the conclusions of our studies remain firm and sound.”

I hadn’t thought about bee dancing for a long time, when someone pointed me to this post by Laura Luebbert and Lior Pachter on a bit of data fraud in biology. Luebbert writes: Four years ago, during the first year … Continue reading




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Bad science as genre fiction: I think there’s a lot to be said for this analogy!

I came across this blog comment from a couple years ago saying that, whatever was going on in the head of Brian “Pizzagate” Wansink when he wrote up those papers with the fake data, in any case his papers papers … Continue reading




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If you wanted to be a top tennis player in the late 1930s, there was a huge benefit to being a member of ____. Or to being named ____.

This post is by Phil. A couple of months ago, this blog had a discussion that was prompted by the fact that 2 of the top 5 female American tennis players are the children of billionaires. One, that could be … Continue reading




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Polling by asking people about their neighbors: When does this work? Should people be doing more of it? And the connection to that French dude who bet on Trump

Several people pointed me to this news report on a successful bettor in an election prediction market: Not only did he see Donald Trump winning the presidency, he wagered that Trump would win the popular vote—an outcome that many political … Continue reading




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Christ Jesus Came into the World to Save Sinners

I was completely at a loss when, in 1980, I was asked to create a completely unique and original work of art for a Billy Graham...




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Suggested reading: Hallnäs, L., & Redström, J. (2002). From use to presence: On the expressions and aesthetics of everyday computational things.

When investigating how we frame technology in the design process,... more




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How to Customize Your WooCommerce Cart Page for More Sales!

The average abandoned cart rate is 70%. That’s every seven out of ten of your store customers who set up their cart don’t complete their purchase—your WooCommerce cart page is leaking money! You can fix this by customizing it. Adding your brand, upsell offers, discount coupons, and trust-building elements are great ways to make customers […]

The post How to Customize Your WooCommerce Cart Page for More Sales! appeared first on Elegant Themes Blog.




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How to Make a Responsive Website in 2024 (No Coding)

Is your website not performing well on mobile devices? Poor layout or slow loading times can cause users to leave your site before they even engage with your content. In today’s mobile-first world, a responsive website is no longer just an option—it’s a necessity. Whether you’re starting fresh or improving an existing website, a responsive […]

The post How to Make a Responsive Website in 2024 (No Coding) appeared first on Elegant Themes Blog.




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Divi Dash vs Competitors: Which One’s Best For WordPress Management?

Managing multiple WordPress websites can be difficult, especially as a freelancer or budding web agency. Keeping track of updates, ensuring security, and optimizing performance for each site can be time-consuming. Additionally, when managing dozens or even hundreds of websites, you’re much more prone to making errors or skipping crucial updates. This is where a site […]

The post Divi Dash vs Competitors: Which One’s Best For WordPress Management? appeared first on Elegant Themes Blog.




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Carrier Loses Contest to Liability for Injuries

A New York appellate court rejected an insurance carrier’s challenge to its liability for injuries two workers suffered while being transported in a van to a jobsite. Case: Matter of Reyes Bonilla…




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Police Officer's Retirement Not Related to Prior On-Duty Injuries

A New York appellate court upheld a finding that a police officer’s retirement was voluntary and not caused by his prior duty-related injuries. Case: Matter of Carroll v. Nassau County Police Department, No.




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Worker Gets Summary Judgment on Labor Law Claim; Court Splits on Judgment for Subcontractor

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker should have been granted partial summary judgment on his Labor Law claims but split on whether a subcontractor on the project…




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Worker Should Have Been Denied Leave to Add Defendant to Labor Law Claim

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker should have been denied permission to amend his complaint to add a new defendant to his Labor Law action. Case: Rowe v.




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Report: Union Says CrowdStrike Outage Halted Payments to 9/11 Responders

The New York Daily News reports that union officials are claiming that 9/11 first responders have not received workers’ compensation benefits since the CrowdStrike outage last week. Direct deposit payments ranging…




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Staffing Service Provider's Employee Can't Get Tort Remedy From Employer's Client

A New York appellate court ruled that an employee of a staffing service provider could not pursue a civil remedy against her employer’s client for injuries she sustained. Case: Miolan v.




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WCB to Index More Claims Starting in September

The New York State Workers’ Compensation Board announced that it will expand in September the number of claims that it indexes. The WCB said the majority of claims assembled on or…




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Court: Dispute Over Alleged Sexual Abuse Shouldn't Have Gone to WCB

A New York appellate court ruled that a dispute between former newspaper delivery persons and the successor-in-interest to the newspaper for alleged sexual abuse should not have been referred to…




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Carrier's Failure to Issue Disclaimer of Liability to Additional Insureds Can't Avoid Coverage

A federal appellate court ruled that an insurance carrier’s failure to issue notice of its disclaimer of liability to two additional insureds prevented it from relying on an exclusion to defeat demands…




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Defendants Entitled to Trial, but Not on Damages

A New York appellate court ruled that the defendants in a Labor Law action were entitled to a trial, but they could not have a jury’s determination on damages set…




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WCB to Require Electronic Submission of CMS-1500 Form

The New York State Workers’ Compensation Board said part of its ongoing modernization initiatives will require health care providers to contract with an electronic submission partner to submit the CMS-1500…




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Former Postal Worker Pleads Guilty to Comp Fraud

A former U.S. Postal Service employee pleaded guilty to four counts of making false statements to receive federal workers’ compensation benefits, the U.S. Justice Department announced. Christopher Gleason, 36, of Auburn,…




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Worker Not Entitled to File Late Claim for Alleged Crane Accident Injuries

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker was properly denied leave to file a late notice of claim. Case: Matter of Polak v. MTA Long Island Railroad, Nos. 2022-00039…




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Injury Fund Entitled to Reimbursement From Auto Insurance Carrier

A New York appellate court ruled that an injury compensation fund was entitled to reimbursement from an insurance carrier of a motorist who caused an accident. Case: In the Matter of State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance…




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Carrier Has Duty to Cover Property Owner for Labor Law Claim

A New York appellate court ruled that an insurance company had a duty to provide coverage to a property owner defending against a Labor Law claim. Case: Arch Specialty Insurance Co.




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Court: Worker Should Have Been Allowed to File Late Claim

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker should have been granted leave to belatedly file a claim for injuries allegedly received while working on a school construction project. Case:…




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Worker Not Entitled to Summary Judgment on Labor Law Claims

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker was not entitled to summary judgment on his Labor Law claims for an alleged fall from a ladder. Case: Injai v. Circle F…




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Worker Not Entitled to Relief From Adverse Summary Judgment

A New York appellate court ruled that an injured worker could not obtain relief from an adverse grant of summary judgment. Case: Benegas v. Ardsley Country Club Inc., Nos. 2020-04106 and…




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Worker Struck by Motorized Bicycles After Happy Hour Event Gets Benefits

A New York appellate court upheld a finding that a worker was entitled to benefits for his injuries from being struck by two motorized bicycles after he left a happy…




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Worker Fails to Link Amputation of Leg to Prior Work Accident

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker failed to prove the amputation of his leg was related to his injuries from a fall in 2006. Case: Matter of DiPippo…




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Worker Gets Benefits for Ladder Fall Injuries Despite Intoxication

A New York appellate court upheld an award of benefits for a worker even though he was heavily intoxicated when he fell from a ladder. Case: Matter of Lujan-Espinzo v. Electrical Illuminations by…




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Worker Fails to Prove Exacerbation of PTSD From Job Stress

A New York appellate court upheld the denial of a worker’s claim for the exacerbation of her preexisting psychological condition by alleged workplace stress. Case: Matter of Gorbea v. Verizon New…




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Annuity Interest Rate Increases to 4.36%

The Nevada Division of Industrial Relations announced an increase in the interest rate to calculate permanent partial disability lump-sum settlements. The division said the interest rate will increase to 4.36% from…




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Worker's Claim for Attorney Fees Moot

A federal appellate court upheld the dismissal of an injured worker’s claim for fees for the work her attorney did in securing benefits she was owed under the Longshore and…




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DIR Proposes Rules to Implement SB 274

The Nevada Division of Industrial Relations proposed rules to implement the various provisions of a multifaceted 2023 bill that made a host of changes to the state’s workers’ compensation law. The…




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Supreme Court Clarifies Carrier's Rights, Obligations to Collect on Subrogation Lien

The Nevada Supreme Court overturned its own precedent and ruled that an insurance carrier does not need to intervene or otherwise participate in a worker’s third-party claim to recover on…




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WCS Posts Guidance on New Claims Administrator Law

The Nevada Workers' Compensation Section posted a sheet of answers to frequently asked questions about new requirements for claims administrators. Lawmakers last year passed Senate Bill 274, which enacted a host…




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WCA Announces Judicial Appointment of Doug Christopherson

The New Mexico Workers' Compensation Administration announced that Doug Christopherson was appointed as the agency's newest judge. Doug Christopherson Christopherson will fill the vacancy created by the retirement of Leonard Padilla in…




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DOL Announces $13,500 Settlement With Contractor for Preventable Death

The U.S. Department of Labor announced a $13,500 settlement with a New Jersey contractor it says could have prevented a fatal fall. The department said a 39-year-old worker fell five stories…




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Contractor Faces $819,417 in Penalties for Fall Hazards

The federal Occupational Safety and Health Administration proposed $819,417 in penalties for a New Jersey contractor that it says has a history of exposing workers to potentially deadly fall hazards. OSHA…




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Worker Can't Maintain Tort Claim Over Attack by Colleague

The Superior Court of New Jersey’s Appellate Division upheld the summary dismissal of a worker’s tort claims arising from an attack by his colleague.   Case: Scott v. City of Newark, No.




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Carrier Has No Duty to Defend Employer From Intentional Tort Claims

The New Jersey Superior Court’s Appellate Division ruled that a carrier had no duty to defend an employer against an injured worker’s intentional tort claims. Case: De Tapia v. 74 Industries…




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Worker Fails to Allege Viable Claims for Discrimination, Retaliation

A federal appellate court ruled that an injured worker failed to allege a viable claim of disability discrimination or workers’ compensation retaliation. Case: Wraith v. Wayfair Inc., No. 23-2400, 09/11/2024, unpublished. Facts:…




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Supreme Court Says Injured Police Officers Must Repay Sick Leave Benefits to City

The New Hampshire Supreme Court ruled that a group of injured police officers were obligated to repay the sick leave benefits they received while awaiting a determination of their eligibility…




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Attorney for Injured Worker Fails to Negotiate Fee for Himself in Settlement

The Delaware Superior Court ruled that the attorney for an injured worker was not entitled to demand a fee from a settlement that did not provide a payment to him. Case:…




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Supreme Court Upholds Denial of Benefits to Poultry Plant Worker for COVID-19 Infection

The Delaware Supreme Court upheld a denial of benefits to a poultry plant worker for his occupational disease claim based on a COVID-19 infection. Case: Fowler v. Perdue Inc., No. 412, 2023,…




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Governor Signs Bill Allowing Commissioner to Adopt Criteria for Safety Program Discount

Delaware Gov. John Carney signed a bill allowing the insurance commissioner to adopt criteria for employers to qualify for a workplace safety program that aims to provide lower workers’ compensation…




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Report: Former Postal Worker Sentenced to Probation for Fraud

A former U.S. Postal Service worker in Delaware was sentenced to three years of probation and ordered to pay nearly $94,000 in restitution for defrauding the federal workers’ compensation program,…




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Court Reverses Finding That Worker Failed to Exhaust Reasonable Conservative Treatment

The Delaware Superior Court overturned a determination that an injured worker failed to exhaust reasonable conservative measures to treat his knee injury before opting for surgery. Case: Baxter v. Verizon Communications,…