c Preface By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 26 Aug 2019 04:00 EDT Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 4, 685--685. Full Article
c A note on monotonicity of spatial epidemic models By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 10 Jun 2019 04:04 EDT Achillefs Tzioufas. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 3, 674--684.Abstract: The epidemic process on a graph is considered for which infectious contacts occur at rate which depends on whether a susceptible is infected for the first time or not. We show that the Vasershtein coupling extends if and only if secondary infections occur at rate which is greater than that of initial ones. Nonetheless we show that, with respect to the probability of occurrence of an infinite epidemic, the said proviso may be dropped regarding the totally asymmetric process in one dimension, thus settling in the affirmative this special case of the conjecture for arbitrary graphs due to [ Ann. Appl. Probab. 13 (2003) 669–690]. Full Article
c Estimation of parameters in the $operatorname{DDRCINAR}(p)$ model By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 10 Jun 2019 04:04 EDT Xiufang Liu, Dehui Wang. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 3, 638--673.Abstract: This paper discusses a $p$th-order dependence-driven random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive time series model ($operatorname{DDRCINAR}(p)$). Stationarity and ergodicity properties are proved. Conditional least squares, weighted least squares and maximum quasi-likelihood are used to estimate the model parameters. Asymptotic properties of the estimators are presented. The performances of these estimators are investigated and compared via simulations. In certain regions of the parameter space, simulative analysis shows that maximum quasi-likelihood estimators perform better than the estimators of conditional least squares and weighted least squares in terms of the proportion of within-$Omega$ estimates. At last, the model is applied to two real data sets. Full Article
c Unions of random walk and percolation on infinite graphs By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 10 Jun 2019 04:04 EDT Kazuki Okamura. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 3, 586--637.Abstract: We consider a random object that is associated with both random walks and random media, specifically, the superposition of a configuration of subcritical Bernoulli percolation on an infinite connected graph and the trace of the simple random walk on the same graph. We investigate asymptotics for the number of vertices of the enlargement of the trace of the walk until a fixed time, when the time tends to infinity. This process is more highly self-interacting than the range of random walk, which yields difficulties. We show a law of large numbers on vertex-transitive transient graphs. We compare the process on a vertex-transitive graph with the process on a finitely modified graph of the original vertex-transitive graph and show their behaviors are similar. We show that the process fluctuates almost surely on a certain non-vertex-transitive graph. On the two-dimensional integer lattice, by investigating the size of the boundary of the trace, we give an estimate for variances of the process implying a law of large numbers. We give an example of a graph with unbounded degrees on which the process behaves in a singular manner. As by-products, some results for the range and the boundary, which will be of independent interest, are obtained. Full Article
c Stochastic monotonicity from an Eulerian viewpoint By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 10 Jun 2019 04:04 EDT Davide Gabrielli, Ida Germana Minelli. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 3, 558--585.Abstract: Stochastic monotonicity is a well-known partial order relation between probability measures defined on the same partially ordered set. Strassen theorem establishes equivalence between stochastic monotonicity and the existence of a coupling compatible with respect to the partial order. We consider the case of a countable set and introduce the class of finitely decomposable flows on a directed acyclic graph associated to the partial order. We show that a probability measure stochastically dominates another probability measure if and only if there exists a finitely decomposable flow having divergence given by the difference of the two measures. We illustrate the result with some examples. Full Article
c A Jackson network under general regime By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 10 Jun 2019 04:04 EDT Yair Y. Shaki. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 3, 532--548.Abstract: We consider a Jackson network in a general heavy traffic diffusion regime with the $alpha$-parametrization . We also assume that each customer may abandon the system while waiting. We show that in this regime the queue-length process converges to a multi-dimensional regulated Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. Full Article
c Density for solutions to stochastic differential equations with unbounded drift By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 10 Jun 2019 04:04 EDT Christian Olivera, Ciprian Tudor. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 3, 520--531.Abstract: Via a special transform and by using the techniques of the Malliavin calculus, we analyze the density of the solution to a stochastic differential equation with unbounded drift. Full Article
c Spatially adaptive Bayesian image reconstruction through locally-modulated Markov random field models By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 10 Jun 2019 04:04 EDT Salem M. Al-Gezeri, Robert G. Aykroyd. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 3, 498--519.Abstract: The use of Markov random field (MRF) models has proven to be a fruitful approach in a wide range of image processing applications. It allows local texture information to be incorporated in a systematic and unified way and allows statistical inference theory to be applied giving rise to novel output summaries and enhanced image interpretation. A great advantage of such low-level approaches is that they lead to flexible models, which can be applied to a wide range of imaging problems without the need for significant modification. This paper proposes and explores the use of conditional MRF models for situations where multiple images are to be processed simultaneously, or where only a single image is to be reconstructed and a sequential approach is taken. Although the coupling of image intensity values is a special case of our approach, the main extension over previous proposals is to allow the direct coupling of other properties, such as smoothness or texture. This is achieved using a local modulating function which adjusts the influence of global smoothing without the need for a fully inhomogeneous prior model. Several modulating functions are considered and a detailed simulation study, motivated by remote sensing applications in archaeological geophysics, of conditional reconstruction is presented. The results demonstrate that a substantial improvement in the quality of the image reconstruction, in terms of errors and residuals, can be achieved using this approach, especially at locations with rapid changes in the underlying intensity. Full Article
c Fractional backward stochastic variational inequalities with non-Lipschitz coefficient By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 10 Jun 2019 04:04 EDT Katarzyna Jańczak-Borkowska. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 3, 480--497.Abstract: We prove the existence and uniqueness of the solution of backward stochastic variational inequalities with respect to fractional Brownian motion and with non-Lipschitz coefficient. We assume that $H>1/2$. Full Article
c L-Logistic regression models: Prior sensitivity analysis, robustness to outliers and applications By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 10 Jun 2019 04:04 EDT Rosineide F. da Paz, Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan, Jorge Luis Bazán. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 3, 455--479.Abstract: Tadikamalla and Johnson [ Biometrika 69 (1982) 461–465] developed the $L_{B}$ distribution to variables with bounded support by considering a transformation of the standard Logistic distribution. In this manuscript, a convenient parametrization of this distribution is proposed in order to develop regression models. This distribution, referred to here as L-Logistic distribution, provides great flexibility and includes the uniform distribution as a particular case. Several properties of this distribution are studied, and a Bayesian approach is adopted for the parameter estimation. Simulation studies, considering prior sensitivity analysis, recovery of parameters and comparison of algorithms, and robustness to outliers are all discussed showing that the results are insensitive to the choice of priors, efficiency of the algorithm MCMC adopted, and robustness of the model when compared with the beta distribution. Applications to estimate the vulnerability to poverty and to explain the anxiety are performed. The results to applications show that the L-Logistic regression models provide a better fit than the corresponding beta regression models. Full Article
c A rank-based Cramér–von-Mises-type test for two samples By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 10 Jun 2019 04:04 EDT Jamye Curry, Xin Dang, Hailin Sang. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 3, 425--454.Abstract: We study a rank based univariate two-sample distribution-free test. The test statistic is the difference between the average of between-group rank distances and the average of within-group rank distances. This test statistic is closely related to the two-sample Cramér–von Mises criterion. They are different empirical versions of a same quantity for testing the equality of two population distributions. Although they may be different for finite samples, they share the same expected value, variance and asymptotic properties. The advantage of the new rank based test over the classical one is its ease to generalize to the multivariate case. Rather than using the empirical process approach, we provide a different easier proof, bringing in a different perspective and insight. In particular, we apply the Hájek projection and orthogonal decomposition technique in deriving the asymptotics of the proposed rank based statistic. A numerical study compares power performance of the rank formulation test with other commonly-used nonparametric tests and recommendations on those tests are provided. Lastly, we propose a multivariate extension of the test based on the spatial rank. Full Article
c Influence measures for the Waring regression model By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 04 Mar 2019 04:00 EST Luisa Rivas, Manuel Galea. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 2, 402--424.Abstract: In this paper, we present a regression model where the response variable is a count data that follows a Waring distribution. The Waring regression model allows for analysis of phenomena where the Geometric regression model is inadequate, because the probability of success on each trial, $p$, is different for each individual and $p$ has an associated distribution. Estimation is performed by maximum likelihood, through the maximization of the $Q$-function using EM algorithm. Diagnostic measures are calculated for this model. To illustrate the results, an application to real data is presented. Some specific details are given in the Appendix of the paper. Full Article
c A temporal perspective on the rate of convergence in first-passage percolation under a moment condition By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 04 Mar 2019 04:00 EST Daniel Ahlberg. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 2, 397--401.Abstract: We study the rate of convergence in the celebrated Shape Theorem in first-passage percolation, obtaining the precise asymptotic rate of decay for the probability of linear order deviations under a moment condition. Our results are presented from a temporal perspective and complement previous work by the same author, in which the rate of convergence was studied from the standard spatial perspective. Full Article
c Hierarchical modelling of power law processes for the analysis of repairable systems with different truncation times: An empirical Bayes approach By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 04 Mar 2019 04:00 EST Rodrigo Citton P. dos Reis, Enrico A. Colosimo, Gustavo L. Gilardoni. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 2, 374--396.Abstract: In the data analysis from multiple repairable systems, it is usual to observe both different truncation times and heterogeneity among the systems. Among other reasons, the latter is caused by different manufacturing lines and maintenance teams of the systems. In this paper, a hierarchical model is proposed for the statistical analysis of multiple repairable systems under different truncation times. A reparameterization of the power law process is proposed in order to obtain a quasi-conjugate bayesian analysis. An empirical Bayes approach is used to estimate model hyperparameters. The uncertainty in the estimate of these quantities are corrected by using a parametric bootstrap approach. The results are illustrated in a real data set of failure times of power transformers from an electric company in Brazil. Full Article
c Necessary and sufficient conditions for the convergence of the consistent maximal displacement of the branching random walk By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 04 Mar 2019 04:00 EST Bastien Mallein. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 2, 356--373.Abstract: Consider a supercritical branching random walk on the real line. The consistent maximal displacement is the smallest of the distances between the trajectories followed by individuals at the $n$th generation and the boundary of the process. Fang and Zeitouni, and Faraud, Hu and Shi proved that under some integrability conditions, the consistent maximal displacement grows almost surely at rate $lambda^{*}n^{1/3}$ for some explicit constant $lambda^{*}$. We obtain here a necessary and sufficient condition for this asymptotic behaviour to hold. Full Article
c A new log-linear bimodal Birnbaum–Saunders regression model with application to survival data By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 04 Mar 2019 04:00 EST Francisco Cribari-Neto, Rodney V. Fonseca. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 2, 329--355.Abstract: The log-linear Birnbaum–Saunders model has been widely used in empirical applications. We introduce an extension of this model based on a recently proposed version of the Birnbaum–Saunders distribution which is more flexible than the standard Birnbaum–Saunders law since its density may assume both unimodal and bimodal shapes. We show how to perform point estimation, interval estimation and hypothesis testing inferences on the parameters that index the regression model we propose. We also present a number of diagnostic tools, such as residual analysis, local influence, generalized leverage, generalized Cook’s distance and model misspecification tests. We investigate the usefulness of model selection criteria and the accuracy of prediction intervals for the proposed model. Results of Monte Carlo simulations are presented. Finally, we also present and discuss an empirical application. Full Article
c Failure rate of Birnbaum–Saunders distributions: Shape, change-point, estimation and robustness By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 04 Mar 2019 04:00 EST Emilia Athayde, Assis Azevedo, Michelli Barros, Víctor Leiva. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 2, 301--328.Abstract: The Birnbaum–Saunders (BS) distribution has been largely studied and applied. A random variable with BS distribution is a transformation of another random variable with standard normal distribution. Generalized BS distributions are obtained when the normally distributed random variable is replaced by another symmetrically distributed random variable. This allows us to obtain a wide class of positively skewed models with lighter and heavier tails than the BS model. Its failure rate admits several shapes, including the unimodal case, with its change-point being able to be used for different purposes. For example, to establish the reduction in a dose, and then in the cost of the medical treatment. We analyze the failure rates of generalized BS distributions obtained by the logistic, normal and Student-t distributions, considering their shape and change-point, estimating them, evaluating their robustness, assessing their performance by simulations, and applying the results to real data from different areas. Full Article
c Modified information criterion for testing changes in skew normal model By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 04 Mar 2019 04:00 EST Khamis K. Said, Wei Ning, Yubin Tian. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 2, 280--300.Abstract: In this paper, we study the change point problem for the skew normal distribution model from the view of model selection problem. The detection procedure based on the modified information criterion (MIC) for change problem is proposed. Such a procedure has advantage in detecting the changes in early and late stage of a data comparing to the one based on the traditional Schwarz information criterion which is well known as Bayesian information criterion (BIC) by considering the complexity of the models. Due to the difficulty in deriving the analytic asymptotic distribution of the test statistic based on the MIC procedure, the bootstrap simulation is provided to obtain the critical values at the different significance levels. Simulations are conducted to illustrate the comparisons of performance between MIC, BIC and likelihood ratio test (LRT). Such an approach is applied on two stock market data sets to indicate the detection procedure. Full Article
c The coreset variational Bayes (CVB) algorithm for mixture analysis By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 04 Mar 2019 04:00 EST Qianying Liu, Clare A. McGrory, Peter W. J. Baxter. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 2, 267--279.Abstract: The pressing need for improved methods for analysing and coping with big data has opened up a new area of research for statisticians. Image analysis is an area where there is typically a very large number of data points to be processed per image, and often multiple images are captured over time. These issues make it challenging to design methodology that is reliable and yet still efficient enough to be of practical use. One promising emerging approach for this problem is to reduce the amount of data that actually has to be processed by extracting what we call coresets from the full dataset; analysis is then based on the coreset rather than the whole dataset. Coresets are representative subsamples of data that are carefully selected via an adaptive sampling approach. We propose a new approach called coreset variational Bayes (CVB) for mixture modelling; this is an algorithm which can perform a variational Bayes analysis of a dataset based on just an extracted coreset of the data. We apply our algorithm to weed image analysis. Full Article
c A brief review of optimal scaling of the main MCMC approaches and optimal scaling of additive TMCMC under non-regular cases By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 04 Mar 2019 04:00 EST Kushal K. Dey, Sourabh Bhattacharya. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 2, 222--266.Abstract: Transformation based Markov Chain Monte Carlo (TMCMC) was proposed by Dutta and Bhattacharya ( Statistical Methodology 16 (2014) 100–116) as an efficient alternative to the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm, especially in high dimensions. The main advantage of this algorithm is that it simultaneously updates all components of a high dimensional parameter using appropriate move types defined by deterministic transformation of a single random variable. This results in reduction in time complexity at each step of the chain and enhances the acceptance rate. In this paper, we first provide a brief review of the optimal scaling theory for various existing MCMC approaches, comparing and contrasting them with the corresponding TMCMC approaches.The optimal scaling of the simplest form of TMCMC, namely additive TMCMC , has been studied extensively for the Gaussian proposal density in Dey and Bhattacharya (2017a). Here, we discuss diffusion-based optimal scaling behavior of additive TMCMC for non-Gaussian proposal densities—in particular, uniform, Student’s $t$ and Cauchy proposals. Although we could not formally prove our diffusion result for the Cauchy proposal, simulation based results lead us to conjecture that at least the recipe for obtaining general optimal scaling and optimal acceptance rate holds for the Cauchy case as well. We also consider diffusion based optimal scaling of TMCMC when the target density is discontinuous. Such non-regular situations have been studied in the case of Random Walk Metropolis Hastings (RWMH) algorithm by Neal and Roberts ( Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability 13 (2011) 583–601) using expected squared jumping distance (ESJD), but the diffusion theory based scaling has not been considered. We compare our diffusion based optimally scaled TMCMC approach with the ESJD based optimally scaled RWM with simulation studies involving several target distributions and proposal distributions including the challenging Cauchy proposal case, showing that additive TMCMC outperforms RWMH in almost all cases considered. Full Article
c The equivalence of dynamic and static asset allocations under the uncertainty caused by Poisson processes By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 14 Jan 2019 04:01 EST Yong-Chao Zhang, Na Zhang. Source: Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Volume 33, Number 1, 184--191.Abstract: We investigate the equivalence of dynamic and static asset allocations in the case where the price process of a risky asset is driven by a Poisson process. Under some mild conditions, we obtain a necessary and sufficient condition for the equivalence of dynamic and static asset allocations. In addition, we provide a simple sufficient condition for the equivalence. Full Article
c NDN coping mechanisms : notes from the field By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:34:09 -0300 Author: Belcourt, Billy-Ray, author.Callnumber: PS 8603 E516 N46 2019ISBN: 9781487005771 (softcover) Full Article
c Odysseus asleep : uncollected sequences, 1994-2019 By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:34:09 -0300 Author: Sanger, Peter, 1943- author.Callnumber: PS 8587 A372 O44 2019ISBN: 9781554472048 Full Article
c The Grand River watershed : a folk ecology : poems By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:34:09 -0300 Author: Houle, Karen, author.Callnumber: PS 8565 O78 G73 2019ISBN: 9781554471843 paperback Full Article
c Nights below Foord Street : literature and popular culture in postindustrial Nova Scotia By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:34:09 -0300 Author: Thompson, Peter, 1981- author.Callnumber: PS 8131 N6 T56 2019ISBN: 0773559345 Full Article
c Novel bodies : disability and sexuality in eighteenth-century British literature By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:34:09 -0300 Author: Farr, Jason S., 1978- author.Callnumber: PR 858 P425 F37 2019ISBN: 9781684481088 hardcover alkaline paper Full Article
c Heavy metalloid music : the story of Simply Saucer By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:34:09 -0300 Author: Locke, Jesse, 1983- author.Callnumber: ML 421 A14 L63 2018ISBN: 9781771613682 (Paper) Full Article
c Public-private partnerships in Canada : law, policy and value for money By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:34:09 -0300 Author: Murphy, Timothy J. (Timothy John), author.Callnumber: KE 1465 M87 2019ISBN: 9780433457985 (Cloth) Full Article
c Reclaiming indigenous governance : reflections and insights from Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and the United States By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:34:09 -0300 Callnumber: K 3247 R43 2019ISBN: 9780816539970 (paperback) Full Article
c Globalizing capital : a history of the international monetary system By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:34:09 -0300 Author: Eichengreen, Barry J., author.Callnumber: HG 3881 E347 2019ISBN: 9780691193908 (paperback) Full Article
c Fully grown : why a stagnant economy is a sign of success By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:34:09 -0300 Author: Vollrath, Dietrich, author.Callnumber: HC 110 E44 V65 2020ISBN: 9780226666006 hardcover Full Article
c Documenting rebellions : a study of four lesbian and gay archives in queer times By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:34:09 -0300 Author: Sheffield, Rebecka Taves, author.Callnumber: CD 3021 S45 2020ISBN: 9781634000918 paperback Full Article
c Figuring racism in medieval Christianity By dal.novanet.ca Published On :: Fri, 1 May 2020 19:34:09 -0300 Author: Kaplan, M. Lindsay, author.Callnumber: BT 734.2 K354 2019ISBN: 9780190678241 hardcover alkaline paper Full Article
c Can $p$-values be meaningfully interpreted without random sampling? By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Thu, 26 Mar 2020 22:02 EDT Norbert Hirschauer, Sven Grüner, Oliver Mußhoff, Claudia Becker, Antje Jantsch. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 14, 71--91.Abstract: Besides the inferential errors that abound in the interpretation of $p$-values, the probabilistic pre-conditions (i.e. random sampling or equivalent) for using them at all are not often met by observational studies in the social sciences. This paper systematizes different sampling designs and discusses the restrictive requirements of data collection that are the indispensable prerequisite for using $p$-values. Full Article
c Flexible, boundary adapted, nonparametric methods for the estimation of univariate piecewise-smooth functions By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Tue, 04 Feb 2020 04:00 EST Umberto Amato, Anestis Antoniadis, Italia De Feis. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 14, 32--70.Abstract: We present and compare some nonparametric estimation methods (wavelet and/or spline-based) designed to recover a one-dimensional piecewise-smooth regression function in both a fixed equidistant or not equidistant design regression model and a random design model. Wavelet methods are known to be very competitive in terms of denoising and compression, due to the simultaneous localization property of a function in time and frequency. However, boundary assumptions, such as periodicity or symmetry, generate bias and artificial wiggles which degrade overall accuracy. Simple methods have been proposed in the literature for reducing the bias at the boundaries. We introduce new ones based on adaptive combinations of two estimators. The underlying idea is to combine a highly accurate method for non-regular functions, e.g., wavelets, with one well behaved at boundaries, e.g., Splines or Local Polynomial. We provide some asymptotic optimal results supporting our approach. All the methods can handle data with a random design. We also sketch some generalization to the multidimensional setting. To study the performance of the proposed approaches we have conducted an extensive set of simulations on synthetic data. An interesting regression analysis of two real data applications using these procedures unambiguously demonstrates their effectiveness. Full Article
c Scalar-on-function regression for predicting distal outcomes from intensively gathered longitudinal data: Interpretability for applied scientists By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Tue, 05 Nov 2019 22:03 EST John J. Dziak, Donna L. Coffman, Matthew Reimherr, Justin Petrovich, Runze Li, Saul Shiffman, Mariya P. Shiyko. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 13, 150--180.Abstract: Researchers are sometimes interested in predicting a distal or external outcome (such as smoking cessation at follow-up) from the trajectory of an intensively recorded longitudinal variable (such as urge to smoke). This can be done in a semiparametric way via scalar-on-function regression. However, the resulting fitted coefficient regression function requires special care for correct interpretation, as it represents the joint relationship of time points to the outcome, rather than a marginal or cross-sectional relationship. We provide practical guidelines, based on experience with scientific applications, for helping practitioners interpret their results and illustrate these ideas using data from a smoking cessation study. Full Article
c Halfspace depth and floating body By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Fri, 21 Jun 2019 22:03 EDT Stanislav Nagy, Carsten Schütt, Elisabeth M. Werner. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 13, 52--118.Abstract: Little known relations of the renown concept of the halfspace depth for multivariate data with notions from convex and affine geometry are discussed. Maximum halfspace depth may be regarded as a measure of symmetry for random vectors. As such, the maximum depth stands as a generalization of a measure of symmetry for convex sets, well studied in geometry. Under a mild assumption, the upper level sets of the halfspace depth coincide with the convex floating bodies of measures used in the definition of the affine surface area for convex bodies in Euclidean spaces. These connections enable us to partially resolve some persistent open problems regarding theoretical properties of the depth. Full Article
c Pitfalls of significance testing and $p$-value variability: An econometrics perspective By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Wed, 03 Oct 2018 22:00 EDT Norbert Hirschauer, Sven Grüner, Oliver Mußhoff, Claudia Becker. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 12, 136--172.Abstract: Data on how many scientific findings are reproducible are generally bleak and a wealth of papers have warned against misuses of the $p$-value and resulting false findings in recent years. This paper discusses the question of what we can(not) learn from the $p$-value, which is still widely considered as the gold standard of statistical validity. We aim to provide a non-technical and easily accessible resource for statistical practitioners who wish to spot and avoid misinterpretations and misuses of statistical significance tests. For this purpose, we first classify and describe the most widely discussed (“classical”) pitfalls of significance testing, and review published work on these misuses with a focus on regression-based “confirmatory” study. This includes a description of the single-study bias and a simulation-based illustration of how proper meta-analysis compares to misleading significance counts (“vote counting”). Going beyond the classical pitfalls, we also use simulation to provide intuition that relying on the statistical estimate “$p$-value” as a measure of evidence without considering its sample-to-sample variability falls short of the mark even within an otherwise appropriate interpretation. We conclude with a discussion of the exigencies of informed approaches to statistical inference and corresponding institutional reforms. Full Article
c A review of dynamic network models with latent variables By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Mon, 03 Sep 2018 04:01 EDT Bomin Kim, Kevin H. Lee, Lingzhou Xue, Xiaoyue Niu. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 12, 105--135.Abstract: We present a selective review of statistical modeling of dynamic networks. We focus on models with latent variables, specifically, the latent space models and the latent class models (or stochastic blockmodels), which investigate both the observed features and the unobserved structure of networks. We begin with an overview of the static models, and then we introduce the dynamic extensions. For each dynamic model, we also discuss its applications that have been studied in the literature, with the data source listed in Appendix. Based on the review, we summarize a list of open problems and challenges in dynamic network modeling with latent variables. Full Article
c An approximate likelihood perspective on ABC methods By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Fri, 08 Jun 2018 22:03 EDT George Karabatsos, Fabrizio Leisen. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 12, 66--104.Abstract: We are living in the big data era, as current technologies and networks allow for the easy and routine collection of data sets in different disciplines. Bayesian Statistics offers a flexible modeling approach which is attractive for describing the complexity of these datasets. These models often exhibit a likelihood function which is intractable due to the large sample size, high number of parameters, or functional complexity. Approximate Bayesian Computational (ABC) methods provides likelihood-free methods for performing statistical inferences with Bayesian models defined by intractable likelihood functions. The vastity of the literature on ABC methods created a need to review and relate all ABC approaches so that scientists can more readily understand and apply them for their own work. This article provides a unifying review, general representation, and classification of all ABC methods from the view of approximate likelihood theory. This clarifies how ABC methods can be characterized, related, combined, improved, and applied for future research. Possible future research in ABC is then outlined. Full Article
c Variable selection methods for model-based clustering By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Thu, 26 Apr 2018 04:00 EDT Michael Fop, Thomas Brendan Murphy. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 12, 18--65.Abstract: Model-based clustering is a popular approach for clustering multivariate data which has seen applications in numerous fields. Nowadays, high-dimensional data are more and more common and the model-based clustering approach has adapted to deal with the increasing dimensionality. In particular, the development of variable selection techniques has received a lot of attention and research effort in recent years. Even for small size problems, variable selection has been advocated to facilitate the interpretation of the clustering results. This review provides a summary of the methods developed for variable selection in model-based clustering. Existing R packages implementing the different methods are indicated and illustrated in application to two data analysis examples. Full Article
c A design-sensitive approach to fitting regression models with complex survey data By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Wed, 17 Jan 2018 04:00 EST Phillip S. Kott. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 12, 1--17.Abstract: Fitting complex survey data to regression equations is explored under a design-sensitive model-based framework. A robust version of the standard model assumes that the expected value of the difference between the dependent variable and its model-based prediction is zero no matter what the values of the explanatory variables. The extended model assumes only that the difference is uncorrelated with the covariates. Little is assumed about the error structure of this difference under either model other than independence across primary sampling units. The standard model often fails in practice, but the extended model very rarely does. Under this framework some of the methods developed in the conventional design-based, pseudo-maximum-likelihood framework, such as fitting weighted estimating equations and sandwich mean-squared-error estimation, are retained but their interpretations change. Few of the ideas here are new to the refereed literature. The goal instead is to collect those ideas and put them into a unified conceptual framework. Full Article
c Basic models and questions in statistical network analysis By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Thu, 07 Sep 2017 22:02 EDT Miklós Z. Rácz, Sébastien Bubeck. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 11, 1--47.Abstract: Extracting information from large graphs has become an important statistical problem since network data is now common in various fields. In this minicourse we will investigate the most natural statistical questions for three canonical probabilistic models of networks: (i) community detection in the stochastic block model, (ii) finding the embedding of a random geometric graph, and (iii) finding the original vertex in a preferential attachment tree. Along the way we will cover many interesting topics in probability theory such as Pólya urns, large deviation theory, concentration of measure in high dimension, entropic central limit theorems, and more. Full Article
c Measuring multivariate association and beyond By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Wed, 16 Nov 2016 22:00 EST Julie Josse, Susan Holmes. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 10, 132--167.Abstract: Simple correlation coefficients between two variables have been generalized to measure association between two matrices in many ways. Coefficients such as the RV coefficient, the distance covariance (dCov) coefficient and kernel based coefficients are being used by different research communities. Scientists use these coefficients to test whether two random vectors are linked. Once it has been ascertained that there is such association through testing, then a next step, often ignored, is to explore and uncover the association’s underlying patterns. This article provides a survey of various measures of dependence between random vectors and tests of independence and emphasizes the connections and differences between the various approaches. After providing definitions of the coefficients and associated tests, we present the recent improvements that enhance their statistical properties and ease of interpretation. We summarize multi-table approaches and provide scenarii where the indices can provide useful summaries of heterogeneous multi-block data. We illustrate these different strategies on several examples of real data and suggest directions for future research. Full Article
c A comparison of spatial predictors when datasets could be very large By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Tue, 19 Jul 2016 14:13 EDT Jonathan R. Bradley, Noel Cressie, Tao Shi. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 10, 100--131.Abstract: In this article, we review and compare a number of methods of spatial prediction, where each method is viewed as an algorithm that processes spatial data. To demonstrate the breadth of available choices, we consider both traditional and more-recently-introduced spatial predictors. Specifically, in our exposition we review: traditional stationary kriging, smoothing splines, negative-exponential distance-weighting, fixed rank kriging, modified predictive processes, a stochastic partial differential equation approach, and lattice kriging. This comparison is meant to provide a service to practitioners wishing to decide between spatial predictors. Hence, we provide technical material for the unfamiliar, which includes the definition and motivation for each (deterministic and stochastic) spatial predictor. We use a benchmark dataset of $mathrm{CO}_{2}$ data from NASA’s AIRS instrument to address computational efficiencies that include CPU time and memory usage. Furthermore, the predictive performance of each spatial predictor is assessed empirically using a hold-out subset of the AIRS data. Full Article
c Fundamentals of cone regression By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Thu, 19 May 2016 09:04 EDT Mariella Dimiccoli. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 10, 53--99.Abstract: Cone regression is a particular case of quadratic programming that minimizes a weighted sum of squared residuals under a set of linear inequality constraints. Several important statistical problems such as isotonic, concave regression or ANOVA under partial orderings, just to name a few, can be considered as particular instances of the cone regression problem. Given its relevance in Statistics, this paper aims to address the fundamentals of cone regression from a theoretical and practical point of view. Several formulations of the cone regression problem are considered and, focusing on the particular case of concave regression as an example, several algorithms are analyzed and compared both qualitatively and quantitatively through numerical simulations. Several improvements to enhance numerical stability and bound the computational cost are proposed. For each analyzed algorithm, the pseudo-code and its corresponding code in Matlab are provided. The results from this study demonstrate that the choice of the optimization approach strongly impacts the numerical performances. It is also shown that methods are not currently available to solve efficiently cone regression problems with large dimension (more than many thousands of points). We suggest further research to fill this gap by exploiting and adapting classical multi-scale strategy to compute an approximate solution. Full Article
c A unified treatment for non-asymptotic and asymptotic approaches to minimax signal detection By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Tue, 19 Jan 2016 09:04 EST Clément Marteau, Theofanis Sapatinas. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 9, 253--297.Abstract: We are concerned with minimax signal detection. In this setting, we discuss non-asymptotic and asymptotic approaches through a unified treatment. In particular, we consider a Gaussian sequence model that contains classical models as special cases, such as, direct, well-posed inverse and ill-posed inverse problems. Working with certain ellipsoids in the space of squared-summable sequences of real numbers, with a ball of positive radius removed, we compare the construction of lower and upper bounds for the minimax separation radius (non-asymptotic approach) and the minimax separation rate (asymptotic approach) that have been proposed in the literature. Some additional contributions, bringing to light links between non-asymptotic and asymptotic approaches to minimax signal, are also presented. An example of a mildly ill-posed inverse problem is used for illustrative purposes. In particular, it is shown that tools used to derive ‘asymptotic’ results can be exploited to draw ‘non-asymptotic’ conclusions, and vice-versa. In order to enhance our understanding of these two minimax signal detection paradigms, we bring into light hitherto unknown similarities and links between non-asymptotic and asymptotic approaches. Full Article
c Statistical inference for dynamical systems: A review By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Tue, 10 Nov 2015 09:20 EST Kevin McGoff, Sayan Mukherjee, Natesh Pillai. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 9, 209--252.Abstract: The topic of statistical inference for dynamical systems has been studied widely across several fields. In this survey we focus on methods related to parameter estimation for nonlinear dynamical systems. Our objective is to place results across distinct disciplines in a common setting and highlight opportunities for further research. Full Article
c $M$-functionals of multivariate scatter By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Fri, 20 Mar 2015 09:11 EDT Lutz Dümbgen, Markus Pauly, Thomas Schweizer. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 9, 32--105.Abstract: This survey provides a self-contained account of $M$-estimation of multivariate scatter. In particular, we present new proofs for existence of the underlying $M$-functionals and discuss their weak continuity and differentiability. This is done in a rather general framework with matrix-valued random variables. By doing so we reveal a connection between Tyler’s (1987a) $M$-functional of scatter and the estimation of proportional covariance matrices. Moreover, this general framework allows us to treat a new class of scatter estimators, based on symmetrizations of arbitrary order. Finally these results are applied to $M$-estimation of multivariate location and scatter via multivariate $t$-distributions. Full Article
c Semi-parametric estimation for conditional independence multivariate finite mixture models By projecteuclid.org Published On :: Fri, 06 Feb 2015 08:39 EST Didier Chauveau, David R. Hunter, Michael Levine. Source: Statistics Surveys, Volume 9, 1--31.Abstract: The conditional independence assumption for nonparametric multivariate finite mixture models, a weaker form of the well-known conditional independence assumption for random effects models for longitudinal data, is the subject of an increasing number of theoretical and algorithmic developments in the statistical literature. After presenting a survey of this literature, including an in-depth discussion of the all-important identifiability results, this article describes and extends an algorithm for estimation of the parameters in these models. The algorithm works for any number of components in three or more dimensions. It possesses a descent property and can be easily adapted to situations where the data are grouped in blocks of conditionally independent variables. We discuss how to adapt this algorithm to various location-scale models that link component densities, and we even adapt it to a particular class of univariate mixture problems in which the components are assumed symmetric. We give a bandwidth selection procedure for our algorithm. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our algorithm using a simulation study and two psychometric datasets. Full Article