Carlos Ungil writes: The IHME released an update to their model yesterday. Using now a better model and taking into account the relaxation of mitigation measures their forecast for US deaths has almost doubled to 134k (95% uncertainty range 95k-243k). My [Ungil’s] charts of the evolution of forecasts across time can be found here. I […]

John Fund writes: [Imperial College epidemiologist Neil] Ferguson was behind the disputed research that sparked the mass culling of eleven million sheep and cattle during the 2001 outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease. He also predicted that up to 150,000 people could die. There were fewer than 200 deaths. . . . In 2002, Ferguson predicted that […]

Ivan Oransky points us to this amusing retraction of a meta-analysis. The problem: “Standard errors were used instead of standard deviations when using data from one of the studies”! Actually, I saw something similar happen in a consulting case once. The other side had a report with estimates and standard errors . . . the […]

The Baltimore Orioles' Opening Day will be delayed by at least two weeks after Major League Baseball announced its response to the coronavirus outbreak Thursday.

The commissioner's office said clubs remain committed to playing "as many games as possible" when the season begins.

Creech, Wanda Jo Sep 15, 1937 - Apr 29, 2020 Wanda Jo Creech, 82, of Palmetto, Florida, died on Apr 29, 2020. Funeral arrangements .....

Crandall, William Feb 24, 1921 - May 7, 2020 William Crandall, 99, of Punta Gorda, FL, died on May 7, 2020. Funeral arrangements by: .....

Corbett, Sr., Randall Joseph May 1, 1943 - May 7, 2020 Randall Joseph Corbett, Sr., 77, of Plymouth, Massachusetts and Venice, Florida, died on .....

Clark, David Alan May 2, 1958 - Apr 24, 2020 David Alan Clark, 61, of Englewood, Florida, died on Apr 24, 2020. Funeral arrangements .....

The coronavirus pandemic has disrupted the daily lives of people around the world and virtually every industry has felt the impact of COVID-19 and the measures taken to combat the deadly outbreak. Thoroughbred bloodstock markets are no exception. Sales of 2-year-olds in training are being rearranged and there is uncertainty as the breeding season is […]

The post The Friday Show Presented By Kentucky Equine Research: Bloodstock Market Impact appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

Saturday's 14-race Florida Derby Day card gets under way at 11:30 a.m. from Gulfstream Park in Hallandale Beach, Fla., and the Grade 1 Derby will feature a full field of 3-year-olds competing for $750,000 and 170 qualifying points for the Kentucky Derby, now scheduled for Sept. 5 (100 points to the winner, 40 to second, […]

The post Triple Crown News Minute Presented By Kentucky Equine Research: Closer Look At Florida Derby Contenders appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

Ricardo Santana Jr., whose six-year streak as Oaklawn's leading rider was ended in 2019 by David Cohen, has been suspended the final 10 racing days of the 2020 race meeting at the Hot Springs, Ark., track for an incident involving Cohen in the stretch run of the seventh race on Sunday, April 5. Santana was […]

The post Elbow Room: Santana Suspended 10 Days By Oaklawn Stewards For Careless Riding appeared first on Horse Racing News | Paulick Report.

Grand Canyon National Park is closed.

Information about rescheduling backcountry permit reservations can be obtained by emailing grca_bic@nps.gov

Due to the closure of Grand Canyon National Park, backcountry permits are not being issued, and staff are instructed to deny any permit requests they receive. Please wait to submit new backcountry permit requests until the park re-opens (we do not know when that might be). Thank you for your patience and understanding!

Starting November 1 the University of Michigan Library has access to the new version of chemistry database SciFinder — SciFinder-n. In fact, both will be accessible to our users with the same login and password information.

On Saturday, March 28, 2009, Grand Canyon National Park will host Archeology Day in honor of "Arizona Archaeology and Heritage Awareness Month".  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2009-03-17_arch_day.htm

On Saturday, April 25, 2009, Grand Canyon National Park will celebrate National Junior Ranger Day with kid-friendly activities and programs for the entire family. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-njrd-03-09.htm

On Saturday, May 2, 2009, the staff and friends of Grand Canyon National Park will be celebrating their second annual Celebrate Wildlife Day with special exhibits and programs, live animal demonstrations and fun for the entire family. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-04-09-cwd.htm

The National Park Service (NPS), with the assistance of the Department Public Safety, searched today for three individuals last seen earlier today in the Colorado River near Phantom Ranch. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-missing-4-30.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-rx-update-2009-05-13.htm

Grand Canyon National Park has completed two of three South Rim prescribed fires planned for this spring. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-05-16-rx.htm

  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-06-08-fires.htm

Two lightening strike fires, the Quincy Fire and the Game Reserve Fire, are currently burning within Grand Canyon National park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news-2009-06-11-fires.htm

Endangered Humpback Chub to be Translocated to Shinumo Creek in Grand Canyon National Park https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/endangered-humpback-chub-to-be-translocated-to-shinumo-creek-in-grand-canyon-national-park.htm

One organization is managing the complex in a cooperative effort between the Grand Canyon National Park and the Kaibab National Forest. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/ruby-complex-update.htm

A proposed rule to update regulations associated with the management of the Colorado River and adjoining lands administered by the National Park Service within Grand Canyon National Park was published in the Federal Register today. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-national-park-releases-proposed-rule-to-update-regulations-governing-colorado-river.htm

Grand Canyon National Park search and rescue personnel are intensifying their search efforts as they re-asses who they are looking for. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-07-23_search.htm

Fire Update Grand Canyon National Park https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/fire-update-grand-canyon-national-park.htm

The Cape Royal Road on the North Rim of Grand Canyon National Park remains closed as fire management staff continue to manage the Aspen Fire for resource benefits. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-08-03_fires.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/sixteenth-annual-native-american-heritage-days-starts-august-13-on-north-rim-of-grand-canyon.htm

The Cape Royal Road on the North Rim of Grand Canyon National Park has re-opened with pilot car escorts from 9:00 a.m. to 3:00 p.m. daily.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-08-05_fires.htm

The Cape Royal Road on the North Rim of Grand Canyon National Park is open to visitor traffic. Restricted one-lane traffic on the road will be necessary as fire crews continue to work on clearing potential hazards. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-08-06_fires.htm

Grand Canyon National Park Superintendent Steve Martin today announced the availability of the Final Environmental Impact Statement and Assessment of Effect (FEIS/AEF) to update the park’s Fire Management Plan. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-releases-final-environmental-impact-statement-and-assessment-of-effect-to-update-grand-canyon-national-park-fire-management-plan.htm

The Aspen Fire, located on the Walhalla Plateau east of the North Rim developed area continues to meet resource objectives.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-08-08_fires.htm

The Aspen Fire, located on the Walhalla Plateau east of the North Rim developed area in Grand Canyon National Park, continues to be managed for resource benefits.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-08-11_fires.htm

Preliminary Data Indicate Humpback Chub Translocation Successful to Date https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-08-17_chub.htm

The Aspen Fire is currently burning along the west rim of the Walhalla Plateau and has now reached 3,835 acres in size. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-08-17_fire.htm

The Aspen Fire, located on the Walhalla Plateau east of the North Rim developed area in Grand Canyon National Park, received precipitation on Saturday, August 22, reducing visible smoke and fire activity.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-08-23_aspen.htm

This year National Public Lands Day at Grand Canyon National Park will be commemorated with more than free admission and volunteer opportunities. Park staff and friends will also be celebrating the park’s first Dia de la Familia. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-09-01_npld-dia.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/grand-canyon-national-park-to-celebrate-dia-de-la-familia-on-national-public-lands-day.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-10-21_sr_rx.htm

Grand Canyon National Park fire officials implemented the Hearst Tank prescribed burn on the South Rim Saturday, Oct. 24. Approximately 100 acres were ignited.    https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-10-25_sr_rx.htm

On Veteran’s Day, Wednesday, November 11, 2009, all military veterans and current members of the U.S. Armed Forces and their families will be admitted to Grand Canyon National Park free of charge. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-11-02_v-day.htm

Veterans Day, will now be entrance-fee-free for ALL who visit the park on November 11, 2009. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/news_2009-11-04_v-day-update.htm

The National Park Service is now accepting applications for noncommercial river trip permits to raft the Colorado River through Grand Canyon National Park. The permits are for specific launch dates within calendar year 2011. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/national-park-service-accepting-applications-for-noncommercial-colorado-river-rafting-permits-for-2011-calendar-year.htm

On Saturday, March 27, 2010, Grand Canyon National Park will host Archeology Day in honor of "Arizona Archaeology and Heritage Awareness Month." https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2010-03-02_arch_day.htm

Grand Canyon National Park’s greenhouse population of sentry milk-vetch blooming in early March 2010, representing a major landmark in the park’s effort to recover its only federally-listed, endangered plant species. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2010-03-24_smv.htm

On Saturday, May 1, 2010, Grand Canyon National Park will host its third Celebrate Wildlife Day.  https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/2010-04-14_cwd.htm

https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/second-translocation-of-endangered-humpback-chub-to-shinumo-creek-to-occur-in-late-june.htm

The Saffron Fire continues to be managed for multiple objectives on the North Rim of Grand Canyon National Park. https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/7jul10_news.htm