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Pirate's Cove Adventure Golf - $1 off regular admission (up to 6 people)

Valid Through: 10/31/2015
$1 off regular admission (up to 6 people)
8501 International Dr.
Orlando, FL 32819




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Sushiology - 61 piece sushi platter for $36.00

Valid Through: 4/30/2015
61 piece sushi platter for $36.00
6400 International Drive Suite 130
Orlando, FL 32819




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Zebra's Sports Bar & Grille at Rosen Inn at Pointe Orlando - Sing for Free Beer or Wine

Valid Through: 4/30/2015
Sing for Free Beer or Wine
9000 International Drive
Orlando, FL 32819




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Orlando International Premium Outlets - free coupon book

Valid Through: 10/31/2015
free coupon book
4951 International Drive
Orlando, FL 32819




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RISMedia’s 2024 Real Estate Rookie of the Year Revealed at Annual Power Broker Gala

Above, from left, John Featherston, Tina Lapp, Heather Stenson and Brian Joyner During its 28th Annual Power Broker Reception & Dinner held at the Renaissance Boston Seaport Hotel Friday night, RISMedia announced its 2024 Real Estate Rookie of the Year winner, Heather Stenson, a REALTORⓇ with Connect Realty in The Woodlands, Texas. Designed to honor…

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Court Report: DOJ’s Future Unclear; Weichert Latest Brokerage to Settle Commission Lawsuit

The COURT REPORT is RISMedia’s weekly look at current and upcoming lawsuits, investigations and other legal developments around real estate. Search for new Attorney General underway Given the ongoing antitrust investigation into the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) by the Department of Justice (DOJ), any shakeup at the DOJ could have ripple effects on the…

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Pets, Politics and Presidents: Yun Forecasts Economy, Policy at NAR NXT

Boston, MA—Addressing an audience of hundreds on yet another big stage last week, Dr. Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR), acknowledged that the broad-based real estate rally that he and many other economists have been predicting has not—and will not—happen this year. “As you know, 2024 has been a very…

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Anthony Hitt Stepping Down as Engel & Völkers America CEO at the End of 2024

Above, Anthony Hitt Engel & Völkers America announced today that longtime CEO Anthony Hitt will be stepping down from his position come Dec. 31, 2024. A release said that Hitt is resigning to focus on “personal interests.”  “Developing and guiding Engel & Völkers in the Americas has been a true privilege and one of my…

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Century 21 Expands into Washington State’s Pacific County

Century 21 Real Estate LLC has announced it is growing its network along the Pacific Coast with its latest affiliation of Pacific Realty, based in Long Beach, Washington.  The boutique firm has served communities along the coast for roughly 50 years, most recently under the leadership of Leslie Brophy. Under Brophy’s leadership, the firm and…

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Healthy Eating On The Go

I have finally solved the great mystery of making healthful choices outside of the house.  As with many great mysteries, the solution was right in front of me the whole time.  It’s advice I’ve given to others over the years but never applied it to this degree before.  Prepare your own food as much as […]



  • Health and Wellness

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Rededicating After an Upset

How many times have you gone into a vacation with the best of intentions, only to get derailed by temptation?  Or maybe you give yourself a vacation from healthful living while you’re away and intend to get right back on track afterward.  Did you know the average cruise passenger gains 7-10 lbs on a week […]



  • Health and Wellness

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The Key to Ultimate Weight Loss

In response to my recent success story I’ve been getting a lot of questions about exactly what I’m doing.  What is the Ultimate Weight Loss Program and how do I get started?  The “program”, as I usually refer to it, was originally taught as a multi-day seminar in-person by Chef AJ and John Pierre in Los […]



  • Health and Wellness

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Assistant Professor, Video Games & Digital Art: Louisiana State University

Job Description: Responsibilities include teaching, advising and working with undergraduate and graduate students. Candidate will: sustain an active record of scholarship in an area that intersects with digital art or video games; participate in the development of courses and curricula; and contribute to service activities such as outreach to high schools and serving the School, College, and University on committees. Initial responsibilities include engagement with the LSU Cain Center to aid in video games and esports curriculum development for the Digital Design & Emerging Media Pathway. Candidate will also maintain a commitment to ensuring an inclusive and collaborative environment that promotes diversity and creative freedom for those involved in the digital art and video games entangled communities.   Required Qualifications:● Master’s degree, doctorate, OR combination of bachelor’s and commensurateexperience/practice in a field relevant to digital art and video games.● An equivalent combination of education and experience in digital art and video games sufficient to successfully perform the essential duties of the job.   Additional Job Description: Special Instructions To receive full consideration, please provide the following: (1) a letter of application (cover memo) with a narrative description of your background, interests and qualifications for the position (3-page maximum). Describe courses you are qualified to teach and/or classes you have taught in the past, your research interests and scholarly activities, and relevant practice experience. Submissions must also include: (2) a curriculum vita; (3) the names, addresses, telephone numbers, and e-mail addresses of three references; and (4) links to or examples of at least 3 scholarly/creative works. A copy of your transcript(s) may be attached to yourapplication; however, original transcripts can be provided prior to hire. Please attach ALL documents in a single PDF under the Resume/CV section of your application. Application review will begin immediately, and will continue until a candidate is selected. The position will remain open until filled.   More information about the College of Art & Design, School of Art, Digital Art concentration, and Digital Media Arts & Engineering program are available at http://design.lsu.edu, http://art.lsu.edu, http://digitalart.lsu.edu, and http://dmae.lsu.edu.     Special Instructions: The School of Art at Louisiana State University seeks a full-time, tenure-track Assistant Professor in the area of Video Games & Digital Art. The successful candidate will be an innovative and dedicated practitioner and educator, with demonstrable skills in video game and digital art related fields which fall within the broad academic scope and research/creative activities of the School of Art and Digital Media Arts and Engineering programs. Candidates withclear evidence of potential for excellence in teaching, research, and service are encouraged to apply.   Posting Date: August 9, 2022   Closing Date (Open Until Filled if No Date Specified):   Additional Position Information: Background Check - An offer of employment is contingent on a satisfactory pre-employment background check. Benefits - LSU offers outstanding benefits to eligible employees and their dependents including health, life, dental, and vision insurance; flexible spending accounts; retirement options; various leave options; paid holidays; wellness benefits; tuition exemption for qualified positions; training and development opportunities; employee discounts; and more!   Essential Position (Y/N):   LSU is an Equal Opportunity Employer: LSU believes diversity, equity, and inclusion enrich the educational experience of our students, faculty, and staff, and are necessary to prepare all people to thrive personally and professionally in a global society. We celebrate diversity and are committed to the principles of diversity and inclusion. We actively seek and encourage qualified applications from persons with diverse backgrounds, cultures and experiences. To learn more about how LSU is committed to diversity and inclusivity, please see LSU’s Diversity Statement and Roadmap. Persons needing accommodations or assistance with the accessibility of materials related to this search are encouraged to contact the Office of Human Resource Management (hr@lsu.edu).     HCM Contact Information: Questions or concerns can be directed to the LSU Human Resources Management Office at 225-578-8200 or emailed HR@lsu.edu




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The Lake House: A 2020 Update

If there’s a satisfying update to be had this year, it’s most likely because my mom has been making a lot of progress updating the Lake House, almost entirely without my help. I did build the deck stairs, and one time wedged myself through this tiny hole to fix a broken hose spigot…   1.) Yes, […]



  • The Lake House

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Well, That’s Different

After a number of years with just exposed OSB subfloor (and a couple of rugs) as the flooring in my kitchen… It now has (part of) a floor. Do not be fooled by that picture. It is still mostly this… I have been avoiding this project for actual years because 1.) I couldn’t find flooring […]



  • The Farm & Very Old House

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SCCM Pod-435 Intracranial and Cerebral Perfusion Pressure Thresholds Associated with In-Hospital Mortality Across Pediatric Neurocritical Care

Targets for treatment of raised intracranial pressure or decreased cerebral perfusion pressure in pediatric neurocritical care are not well defined.




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SCCMPod-442 Continuous Prediction of Mortality in the PICU: A Recurrent Neural Network Model in a Single-Center Dataset

As a proof of concept, a recurrent neural network (RNN) model was developed using electronic medical record (EMR) data capable of continuously assessing a child's risk of mortality throughout an ICU stay as a proxy measure of illness severity.




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SCCMPod-445 The Association of Workload and Outcomes in the Pediatric Cardiac ICU

Healthcare workload has emerged as an important metric associated with poor outcomes. To measure workload, studies have used bed occupancy as a surrogate. However, few studies have examined frontline clinician workload and outcomes.




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SCCMPod-447 eSIMPLER: A Dynamic, Electronic Health Record-Integrated Checklist

The increasing use of electronic health records (EHRs) has inspired the need for a more dynamic checklist. Geva et al conducted a before-after quality improvement study by replacing a static checklist with an updated dynamic checklist.




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Operator "A" (Water) (Employment Opportunity & Training Opportunity) EX21-973




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899 The Future of Photography Education

In this episode Chris looks at creativity, how it often depends on the right puzzle pieces to come together at the right time, and how a little bit (or a lot) of pressure can bring this all together and allow you to make it into something entirely new. Like the new interactive teaching platform that … Continue reading "899 The Future of Photography Education"

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Join me at Out of Chicago IN-DEPTH and GET $50 OFF

Aug 21-23 2020 will bring you an exciting live online photography workshop weekend with 35+ advanced, exciting sessions from world-class photographers (and I still can’t believe that I got accepted to teach with them! Yey! o/) For each session, two photographers will team up to deep-dive into a topic from multiple angles. And I couldn’t … Continue reading "Join me at Out of Chicago IN-DEPTH and GET $50 OFF"

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  • Tips from the Top Floor

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904 Evacuated (Are we obsolete?)

Chris talks about a profound realization he had a few years ago. It’s about the way we learn and why we might benefit from a bit of Dunning Kruger Syndrome in the process. Guest on today’s show: Allan Attridge. We talk about our own obsolescence. A fun topic for a weekend for shure ???? Watch … Continue reading "904 Evacuated (Are we obsolete?)"

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909 Generator Chris

Chris has now received the magical tool to generate photography out of thin air. But OpenAi’s DALL-E 2 is turning out to be quite a learning curve that is very different from actual photography. Topics: [PHOTO, AI] I’m a Generator : I finally got access to DALL-E 2, OpenAi’s image generator. And boy is it … Continue reading "909 Generator Chris"

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920 Death of a Workhorse

Chris brings you a bit of a different episode today because his main production machine has just died. Want to support? Go to tfttf.com/support Topics: [OTHER] Pellworm : We spent a week on Pellworm, a 37 square kilometer island located in the Wadden Sea. We’ve taken pictures too. [COOL] Lost Places – Horror-Hospital … AI … Continue reading "920 Death of a Workhorse"

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931 The Moon Cheat

A special episode with a special guest. Don Komarechka is back on the show. He and Chris discuss HP and their DRM, Samsung and their moon cheat and a German lawsuit involving a photo wallpaper. It’s also the week of the GPT-4 release and the two prove that they are geeks beyond photography. Topics: [OTHER] … Continue reading "931 The Moon Cheat"

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She wants to know what are best practices on flagging bad responses and cleaning survey data and detecting bad responses. Any suggestions from the tidyverse or crunch.io?

A colleague who works in a field that uses a lot of survey research asks: Can you recommend papers about detecting bad survey responses? We have some such methods where I work, but I’m curious what the Census Bureau and … Continue reading




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Here is the Data Sharing Statement, in its entirety, for van Dyck CH, Swanson CJ, Aisen P, et al. Trial of Lecanemab in Early Alzheimer’s Disease. N Engl J Med. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2212948.

Data-share this, pal: As the man said, you have no obligation to share any of your data and I have no obligation to believe anything you say.




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Here is the Data Sharing Statement, in its entirety, for Goodwin GM, Aaronson ST, Alvarez O, et al. Single-Dose Psilocybin for a Treatment-Resistant Episode of Major Depression. N Engl J Med. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2206443.

As forwarded to us by Max Shepsi: I’m starting to see a pattern here!




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Different perspectives on the claims in the paper, The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development

I was talking with an economist today about the recent prize given to the authors of the very influential 2001 article, The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation. According to my colleague, many economists have issues with that … Continue reading




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Columbia Surgery Prof Fake Data Update . . . (yes, he’s still being promoted on the university webpage)

Someone pointed me to this news article with the delightful url, https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/16/science/sam-yoon-columbia-cancer-surgeon-5-more-retractions.html: Columbia Cancer Surgeon Notches 5 More Retractions for Suspicious Data The chief of a cancer surgery division at Columbia University this week had five research articles retracted and … Continue reading




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What is the purpose of a methods section?

A frustrating aspect of science papers is that the methods section doesn’t fully describe what was actually done. It can take a lot of sleuthing to figure out how to reconstruct published results—and that doesn’t even get into all the … Continue reading




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Supporting Bayesian modeling workflows with iterative filtering for multiverse analysis

Anna Riha, Nikolas Siccha, Antti Oulasvirta, and Aki Vehtari write: When building statistical models for Bayesian data analysis tasks, required and optional iterative adjustments and different modelling choices can give rise to numerous candidate models. In particular, checks and evaluations … Continue reading




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ChatGPT o1-preview can code Stan

This is Bob. Yes, but can it Stan? The first few instantiations of ChatGPT haven’t been so good at Stan. This is perhaps not surprising, because there’s relatively little written about Stan on the web compared to, say, Python, C++, … Continue reading




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Which book should you read first, Active Statistics or Regression and Other Stories?

Kiran Gauthier writes: I was checking the web pages for Active Statistics and Regression and Other Stories and although I saw that Active Statistics is meant to accompany Regression and Other Stories, I was wondering how you would recommend reading … Continue reading




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Postdoc opportunity! to work with me here at Columbia! on Bayesian workflow! for contamination models! With some wonderful collaborators!!

Laboratory assays are central to much of biomedical research. My colleagues and I recently received a research grant to do better assays using Bayesian inference. Beyond the usual challenges of fitting nonlinear hierarchical models to real data that can sometimes … Continue reading




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Flatiron Institute hiring: postdocs, joint faculty, and permanent research positions

This is Bob. We’re hiring It’s that time of year again and we’re hiring at all levels at the Center for Computational Mathematics (CCM) at Flatiron Institute (the in-house research arm of Simons Foundation). As they are listed, job ads … Continue reading




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“Reduce likelihood of a tick bite by 73.6 times”? Forking paths on the Appalachian Trail.

Shira writes: As an Appalachian Trail hiker, I always treat my clothes with permethrin. I’m a big fan of Sawyer products, but this claim caught my eye: Reduce likelihood of a tick bite by 73.6 times by treating shoes and … Continue reading




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NYT catches up to Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

A colleague pointed to this news article, “Do People in ‘Blue Zones’ Actually Live Longer?”, and wrote that I might find it blog-worthy. I replied that, yeah, the topic is blog-worthy enough that it’s already appeared on the blog, with … Continue reading




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A question for Nate Cohn at the New York Times regarding a claim about adjusting polls using recalled past vote

A colleague writes: Have you seen this article by Nate Cohn at the New York Times? A few things in it seemed weird. For one, he writes: The tendency for recall vote to overstate the winner of the last election … Continue reading




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What makes an MCMC sampler GPU-friendly?

(This post is by Charles) Art Owen (Stanford) read our paper on nesting Rhat to assess convergence in the many-short-chains regime of MCMC. He made a lot of great comments and asked some clarification questions. Notably: It wasn’t clear to me … Continue reading




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Leave-one-out cross validation (LOO) for an astronomy problem

Harrison Siegel pointed us to this project with Maximiliano Isi and Will Farr on gravitational-wave analysis. The compare models using predictive evaluation, in particular leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO), as discussed here and here. Siegel writes: We discuss our implementation of the … Continue reading




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Stan Playground: Run Stan on the web, play with your program and data at will, and no need to download anything on your computer

Just in time for Halloween, we have a scarily effective implementation of Stan on the web, full of a veritable haunted house of delicious treats. Brian Ward, Jeff Soules, and Jeremy Magland write: Stan Playground is a new open-source, browser-based … Continue reading




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“Trivia question for you. I kept temperature records for 100 days one year in Boston, starting August 15th (day “0”). What would you guess is the correlation between day# and temp? r=???”

Shane Frederick writes: Trivia question for you. I kept temperature records for 100 days one year in Boston, starting August 15th (day “0”). What would you guess is the correlation between day# and temp? r=??? Shane sends me this kind … Continue reading




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Calibration is sometimes sufficient for trusting predictions. What does this tell us when human experts use model predictions?

This is Jessica. I got through a long string of deadlines and invited talks and now I’m back to thinking about calibration and decision-making. In a previous post I was wondering about the relationship between calibration and Bayesian use of … Continue reading




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A 10% swing in win probability corresponds (approximately) to a 0.4% swing in predicted vote

There’s some confusion regarding jumps in election forecasts. New information is coming in every day, so it makes sense that forecasts change too. But they don’t change very much. Each new piece of information tells you only a little bit. … Continue reading




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Violent science teacher makes ridiculously unsupported research claims, gets treated by legislatures/courts/media as expert on the effects of homeschooling

Paul Alper shares this horrifying news story by Laura Meckler: Brian Ray has spent the last three decades as one of the nation’s top evangelists for home schooling. As a researcher, he has published studies purporting to show that these … Continue reading




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Should pollsters preregister their design, data collection, and analyses?

There are actually two questions here: 1. Should pollsters share all the information on their design, data collection, and analyses? 2. If yes on question 1 above, should this information be made public ahead of time, before the survey is … Continue reading




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Probabilistic numerics and the folk theorem of statistical computing

U.S. election day is tomorrow. So let’s talk about something else: 1. Encoding prior information using non-generative modeling I was talking with Hong Ge about the uses of non-generative models in probabilistic programming. An example I gave is the use … Continue reading




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What if the polls are right? (some scatterplots, and some comparisons to vote swings in past decades)

There’s a lot of talk about how the polls can go wrong. Fair enough—I wrote an article a few years ago on failure and success in political polling and election forecasting, and a few years before that, Julia Azari and … Continue reading