or Orlando Vineland Premium Outlets - Free VIP Coupon Book By www.internationaldriveorlando.com Published On :: Fri, 10 Apr 2015 14:23:35 GMT Valid Through: 10/31/2015Free VIP Coupon Book8200 Vineland Ave.Orlando, FL 32821 Full Article
or Redfin CEO Apologizes to Shareholders After Profit Eludes Company in Q3 Earnings Report By www.rismedia.com Published On :: Fri, 08 Nov 2024 19:46:12 +0000 2024’s third quarter dragged down Redfin’s financials, according to the company’s latest earnings report. Redfin’s revenue declined to $278 million, down from $295 million during Q2 2024, but was up 3% year-over-year from Q3 2023’s $269 million. The company also saw a net loss of $33.8 million, a larger loss than $27.9 million in Q2… The post Redfin CEO Apologizes to Shareholders After Profit Eludes Company in Q3 Earnings Report appeared first on RISMedia. Full Article Industry News Latest News National News Premier Chris Nielsen Clear Cooperation Commissions earnings report Glenn Kelman Q3 2024 Redfin
or Mastering Marketing: How to Build a Strong Personal Brand and Win More Clients By www.rismedia.com Published On :: Fri, 08 Nov 2024 20:29:09 +0000 Your brand. Yes. Your personal brand. It starts there. It is everything you do to influence the experience someone has with you and your business. Anything you offer that someone can see, hear, touch, smell or taste will dictate how they feel about you. It is every email and text you send. Every phone conversation.… The post Mastering Marketing: How to Build a Strong Personal Brand and Win More Clients appeared first on RISMedia. Full Article Industry News Latest News Lead Story National News Branding Business Development client relationship-building clients Homes for Heroes Marketing Personal Brand top of the funnel marketing videos
or Court Report: DOJ’s Future Unclear; Weichert Latest Brokerage to Settle Commission Lawsuit By www.rismedia.com Published On :: Tue, 12 Nov 2024 16:53:36 +0000 The COURT REPORT is RISMedia’s weekly look at current and upcoming lawsuits, investigations and other legal developments around real estate. Search for new Attorney General underway Given the ongoing antitrust investigation into the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) by the Department of Justice (DOJ), any shakeup at the DOJ could have ripple effects on the… The post Court Report: DOJ’s Future Unclear; Weichert Latest Brokerage to Settle Commission Lawsuit appeared first on RISMedia. Full Article Agents Brokers Industry News Latest News National News Premier Attorney General Court Report Department of Justice DOJ Housing Politics Lawsuit Settlements Lawsuits MLSNewsFeed NAR Politics Real Estate Lawsuits Settlement Trump
or Montana’s Cromwell Island Hits Market With Land id Marketing Support By www.rismedia.com Published On :: Tue, 12 Nov 2024 17:28:22 +0000 The nation’s largest freshwater island under single ownership in the western U.S. is on the market, listed by Hall and Hall of Missoula, Montana, with marketing support from Land id. The 348-acre Cromwell Island is as rich in natural wonder as it is history, already adorned with a partially constructed primary residence that upon completion… The post Montana’s Cromwell Island Hits Market With Land id Marketing Support appeared first on RISMedia. Full Article Agents Brokers Industry News Latest News Marketing National News Cromwell Island Hall and Hall Land id Listings Luxury Real Estate Montana Real Estate Marketing Video Marketing
or Pets, Politics and Presidents: Yun Forecasts Economy, Policy at NAR NXT By www.rismedia.com Published On :: Tue, 12 Nov 2024 17:33:01 +0000 Boston, MA—Addressing an audience of hundreds on yet another big stage last week, Dr. Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR), acknowledged that the broad-based real estate rally that he and many other economists have been predicting has not—and will not—happen this year. “As you know, 2024 has been a very… The post Pets, Politics and Presidents: Yun Forecasts Economy, Policy at NAR NXT appeared first on RISMedia. Full Article Agents Brokers Industry News Latest News Lead Story National News Premier annualized home sales case-shiller home price Existing-Home Sales Feature Lawrence Yun MLS MLSNewsFeed MLSSpotlight NAR National Association of REALTORS® Pending Home Sales Real Estate Sales trump tariffs
or Corcoran Welcomes First Franchise in Mexico By www.rismedia.com Published On :: Tue, 12 Nov 2024 20:15:56 +0000 Corcoran Group® LLC has announced its first Mexican franchise with the launch of Corcoran The Baja Real Estate Co. Owned and led by Blake Harrington, the brokerage will serve clients throughout the greater Cabo San Lucas area. The announcement, made by Pamela Liebman, president and CEO of The Corcoran Group®, illustrates the company’s ongoing expansion… The post Corcoran Welcomes First Franchise in Mexico appeared first on RISMedia. Full Article Industry News Latest News Luxury National News Blake Harrington Cabo San Lucas Corcoran Expansion Mexico Pamela Liebman
or Simple Ideas For Entertaining By beansnotbambi.wordpress.com Published On :: Wed, 06 May 2015 14:37:00 +0000 A dinner party is suddenly just around the corner. You have no idea what to prepare. Just keep it simple, plan in advance, have a few options, and POW! A delightful dinner is served. Full Article Health and Wellness avocado bbq cookout dessert dinner dinner party entertaining fruit fruit platter healthy recipes host hosting mango summer vegan vegetables vegetarian veggie burgers veggies
or Staff Core Software Engineer: Cryptic Studios By jobs.gamasutra.com Published On :: 2022-09-21 Cryptic Studios is an industry leader in the development of free-to-play massively multiplayer role-playing games on PC and console including Champions Online, Star Trek Online, and Neverwinter. We bring these popular properties to life with innovative gameplay mechanics, gorgeous graphics, and impressive sound to create an engaging and immersive player experience. We have adopted a flexible work policy that allows options for onsite work in our Los Gatos, CA studio or fully remotely from anywhere throughout the US. Come and join us! Cryptic Studios is currently seeking a Staff Core Software Engineer. The creation and operation of massive multiplayer online games requires a wide range of innovative technologies. As a Core Software Engineer, you can help define and drive improved workflows and engine features for Cryptic’s game development teams. Every day you could be: * Collaborating with world-class artists, designers, and engineers to build game systems and powerful tools for the creation of fantastic virtual worlds and gameplay. * Extending systems to meet the ever-changing needs of a massively multiplayer online game. * Upgrading our workflows to improve team productivity and enhance content for customers. * Analyzing performance of key systems and refactoring or re-implementing them to perform and scale better under load. * Working in a custom, state of the art, client-server game engine and tool suite. * Researching and introducing new technologies to all engineers and management. Systems you might work on * Core components of Cryptic's game client/server architecture, including simulation technologies (AI, cloth, movement, physics), and audio/visual technologies (animation, audio, visual effects). * The many in-engine tools used to build content for our games. * Integration with platforms such as Xbox Live, PlayStation Network, Steam, and Epic. * Internal improvements to keep up with the latest software development tools * Graphics team support What we need to see: * 5+ years of experience programming and debugging. * 1+ year of professional experience programming and debugging with C/C++. * Solid understanding of pointers and memory management. * Working knowledge of asynchronous systems such as multi-threaded or multi-process systems. * Ability to work comfortably within a large pre-existing code base * A passion for delivering great work. * Clear and concise communication skills. * Bachelor's degree in Computer Science or related field (or equivalent experience). * Must be eligible to work in the United States. What we’d like to see: * Experience in the video game industry and with MMO’s is a huge plus! * Worked on a team developing software that shipped in a finished product. * 2+ years of game development experience. * In-depth knowledge of and experience with games. C/C++ Programming Cryptic’s software engineers work almost exclusively in a high performance, cross-platform C/C++ code base. In addition to problem solving skills, this job requires a high degree of proficiency with pointers and memory management and the interview process will test for these skills. (Java and C# are not utilized in this job.) What Cryptic Offers * Remote Work Options - Anywhere Within The US * A fun tight-knit team where your contributions will have a major impact * Full-Time role * Paid Holiday, Sick Time & Paid Time off * Health Insurance & Perks: Medical, Dental, Vision * Company social events * Pet-Friendly Environment Full Article
or Lecturer/Senior Lecturer/Professor of Practice in Game Design: Indiana University By jobs.gamasutra.com Published On :: 2022-09-26 The Media School at Indiana University Bloomington invites applications for a Lecturer, Senior Lecturer, or Professor of Practice position in game design (appointment dependent on professional experience and impact in the field). We seek candidates with senior experience in the game industry as well as a deep understanding of game design and/or systemic design. The ideal applicant will have some teaching experience and technical skill in some portion of the production pipeline. Applicants with little or no classroom experience are still encouraged to apply and should discuss their interest and preparedness to teach students at the college level. A bachelor’s degree is required and an advanced degree preferred, though significant professional experience will be considered in lieu of an advanced academic degree. The candidate may teach courses on the game industry, advanced design classes, special topics courses based on their expertise, and support students through their sequence of capstone courses. Duties will include teaching and service to the game design program with the potential for leadership within the program, including directorship of the degree. Applications should include a cover letter, curriculum vitae, teaching statement, diversity statement outlining contributions and commitment to equity and inclusion, and a list of academic or professional references. Applications will be reviewed immediately, and the position will remain open until filled. Applications received by October 28, 2022, will be given full consideration. Interested candidates should submit application materials online at https://indiana.peopleadmin.com/postings/13810. The expected start date is August 1, 2023. Indiana University is an equal employment and affirmative action employer and a provider of ADA services. All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment based on individual qualifications. Indiana University prohibits discrimination based on age, ethnicity, color, race, religion, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity or expression, genetic information, marital status, national origin, disability status or protected veteran status. Diversity and inclusion are central to The Media School’s mission. Indiana University is located in Bloomington, Indiana, a vibrant city full of cultural life, diversity, and opportunity, with a population of some 85,000 people from all over the world. It is not uncommon to bump into world-renowned poets, professors, musicians, and researchers at one of the city’s notable local restaurants, cafes, or breweries. IU Bloomington is home to a lively arts community, with independent local theaters, university orchestras, and one of the best university cinemas in the country. Questions regarding this position or the application process should be directed to the chair of the search committee, Will Emigh, Interim Director of the Game Design Program, at wemigh@indiana.edu. See more about The Media School at https://mediaschool.indiana.edu/index.html. Full Article
or Assistant Professor, Video Games & Digital Art: Louisiana State University By jobs.gamasutra.com Published On :: 2022-09-27 Job Description: Responsibilities include teaching, advising and working with undergraduate and graduate students. Candidate will: sustain an active record of scholarship in an area that intersects with digital art or video games; participate in the development of courses and curricula; and contribute to service activities such as outreach to high schools and serving the School, College, and University on committees. Initial responsibilities include engagement with the LSU Cain Center to aid in video games and esports curriculum development for the Digital Design & Emerging Media Pathway. Candidate will also maintain a commitment to ensuring an inclusive and collaborative environment that promotes diversity and creative freedom for those involved in the digital art and video games entangled communities. Required Qualifications:● Master’s degree, doctorate, OR combination of bachelor’s and commensurateexperience/practice in a field relevant to digital art and video games.● An equivalent combination of education and experience in digital art and video games sufficient to successfully perform the essential duties of the job. Additional Job Description: Special Instructions To receive full consideration, please provide the following: (1) a letter of application (cover memo) with a narrative description of your background, interests and qualifications for the position (3-page maximum). Describe courses you are qualified to teach and/or classes you have taught in the past, your research interests and scholarly activities, and relevant practice experience. Submissions must also include: (2) a curriculum vita; (3) the names, addresses, telephone numbers, and e-mail addresses of three references; and (4) links to or examples of at least 3 scholarly/creative works. A copy of your transcript(s) may be attached to yourapplication; however, original transcripts can be provided prior to hire. Please attach ALL documents in a single PDF under the Resume/CV section of your application. Application review will begin immediately, and will continue until a candidate is selected. The position will remain open until filled. More information about the College of Art & Design, School of Art, Digital Art concentration, and Digital Media Arts & Engineering program are available at http://design.lsu.edu, http://art.lsu.edu, http://digitalart.lsu.edu, and http://dmae.lsu.edu. Special Instructions: The School of Art at Louisiana State University seeks a full-time, tenure-track Assistant Professor in the area of Video Games & Digital Art. The successful candidate will be an innovative and dedicated practitioner and educator, with demonstrable skills in video game and digital art related fields which fall within the broad academic scope and research/creative activities of the School of Art and Digital Media Arts and Engineering programs. Candidates withclear evidence of potential for excellence in teaching, research, and service are encouraged to apply. Posting Date: August 9, 2022 Closing Date (Open Until Filled if No Date Specified): Additional Position Information: Background Check - An offer of employment is contingent on a satisfactory pre-employment background check. Benefits - LSU offers outstanding benefits to eligible employees and their dependents including health, life, dental, and vision insurance; flexible spending accounts; retirement options; various leave options; paid holidays; wellness benefits; tuition exemption for qualified positions; training and development opportunities; employee discounts; and more! Essential Position (Y/N): LSU is an Equal Opportunity Employer: LSU believes diversity, equity, and inclusion enrich the educational experience of our students, faculty, and staff, and are necessary to prepare all people to thrive personally and professionally in a global society. We celebrate diversity and are committed to the principles of diversity and inclusion. We actively seek and encourage qualified applications from persons with diverse backgrounds, cultures and experiences. To learn more about how LSU is committed to diversity and inclusivity, please see LSU’s Diversity Statement and Roadmap. Persons needing accommodations or assistance with the accessibility of materials related to this search are encouraged to contact the Office of Human Resource Management (hr@lsu.edu). HCM Contact Information: Questions or concerns can be directed to the LSU Human Resources Management Office at 225-578-8200 or emailed HR@lsu.edu Full Article
or Assistant Arts Professor, Game Design: NYU By jobs.gamasutra.com Published On :: 2022-09-27 The Game Design department of New York University’s Tisch School of the Arts seeks to fill a full-time faculty position starting in the 2023-2024 academic year. Join the NYU Game Center—a passionate community of game creators, researchers, and educators who are committed to building the world’s greatest game design program, to teaching the next generation of game innovators, and to furthering games as a meaningful cultural form via game design as creative practice. We are seeking applicants for an Assistant Arts Professor (non-tenure, continuing contract) position to start in September 2023 and serve as part of our faculty on an ongoing basis. Applicants must have professional experience in one or more of the following domains: game design, game development, and creative direction. Ideal candidates should have creatively led and released multiple game projects, whether in large-scale commercial games (AAA), indie games, and/or artistic projects centered on play. Hands-on familiarity with game engines such as Unity, GameMaker, and Unreal is preferred. As part of Tisch School of the Arts, Game Center faculty are expected to combine teaching with an active, ongoing professional practice and/or research in the world of games. We are looking for candidates who are active participants in the field, doing original and innovative work as independent developers in solo/consulting practice or as part of larger teams. Ideal candidates would have experience speaking or writing about their own and/or other game creators’ work from a critical perspective and should be able to draw on their professional experience to create a compelling and effective learning environment. Previous teaching experience is not a requirement, but it is a strong plus. The NYU Game Center is a highly collaborative environment where decisions about the operations of the department are made collectively whenever possible; leadership and consensus-building skills are also highly valued. We are actively seeking applicants that have a commitment to equity-forward teaching practices and who recognize and embrace the values of inclusivity and diversity, both in the classroom and in game development. Whether you are an industry veteran with triple-A experience who wants a chance to share your knowledge of the complex craft of game development or an independent developer exploring the experimental edge of game aesthetics, we want to talk to you about joining the NYU Game Center. . Duties: Duties include teaching five courses a year, student advising, and participation in departmental and school-wide committees. On-going professional work while teaching is expected. Includes an excellent benefits package. Applicants must provide a cover letter, full C.V., and three letters of recommendation with contact information for each recommender. All these materials must be submitted by November 1, 2022. For more information, please visit: https://tisch.nyu.edu/faculty/faculty-positions. Finalists will be asked to submit a portfolio of creative work, to provide selected course syllabi and teaching evaluations if applicable, and to give a short lecture on a topic of their choice to NYU Game Center students and faculty. NYU is an Equal Opportunity Employer and is committed to a policy of equal treatment and opportunity in every aspect of its recruitment and hiring process without regard to age, alienage, caregiver status, childbirth, citizenship status, color, creed, disability, domestic violence victim status, ethnicity, familial status, gender and/or gender identity or expression, marital status, military status, national origin, parental status, partnership status, predisposing genetic characteristics, pregnancy, race, religion, reproductive health decision making, sex, sexual orientation, unemployment status, veteran status, or any other legally protected basis. Women, racial and ethnic minorities, persons of minority sexual orientation or gender identity, individuals with disabilities, and veterans are encouraged to apply for vacant positions at all levels. Full Article
or Senior Environment Artist: Xbox Game Studios By jobs.gamasutra.com Published On :: 2022-09-28 Turn 10 Studios, creators of the award-winning Forza franchise based in Redmond, WA, are looking for the right person to join our high-caliber team. At Turn 10 we make genre-leading racing games for Xbox and Windows that are known for consistent quality, innovation, and authenticity. Our vision is to grow Forza into the world’s leading brand for automotive entertainment. Come play a key role on our team and help us achieve this ambitious goal. Critically acclaimed Forza Motorsport franchise are seeking a Senior Environment Artist with an exceptional eye for detail and a passion for creating stunning photorealistic environments, You will partner with the Environment Lead and other disciplines and apply your artistic and technical abilities to drive quality set out by our Directors and Leads through research and benchmarking to meet the visual goals of the project to create rich, beautiful and stunning environments that delight our players. Responsibilities Create stunning photorealistic organic and hard surface content for environments Strong art and technical background and eager to prototype content and drive up visual quality Collaborate and work closely with Art Director/Lead to deliver or exceed established visual bar Research and contribute to processes, workflows and production pipeline improvements Work well within the environment team and able to help educate and guide other team members Document processes for creation of environment art Work collaboratively with internal teams and external partners Review and provide feedback on outsourced content Troubleshoot and problem solve production challenges through collaboration and creative solutions Strong and effective communicator and collaborator Proactively research and stay up to date on new software, industry trends and processes Qualifications 8+ years of industry experiencing building AAA quality game environments. Experience shipping multiple AAA video game titles on consoles and PC (full-cycle) Relevant software proficiencies: 3DSMAX, Substance Designer, Substance Painter, Zbrush, Photoshop Portfolio demonstrating strong examples of photoreal environments and assets Knowledge of natural scenery and composition Experience adapting easily to change and a excellent multi-tasker Bonus Points Knowledge and experience working with Houdini Experience working with remote teams Foundation in traditional arts Microsoft is an equal opportunity employer. All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to age, ancestry, color, family or medical care leave, gender identity or expression, genetic information, marital status, medical condition, national origin, physical or mental disability, political affiliation, protected veteran status, race, religion, sex (including pregnancy), sexual orientation, or any other characteristic protected by applicable laws, regulations and ordinances. We also consider qualified applicants regardless of criminal histories, consistent with legal requirements. If you need assistance and/or a reasonable accommodation due to a disability during the application or the recruiting process, please send a request via the Accommodation request form. Full Article
or Kick Ass or Die By diydiva.net Published On :: Wed, 21 Oct 2020 21:45:30 +0000 Well, shit. That’s about the only articulate thing I can say about 2020. To be fair, I’m out of practice. However, I’d also guess I’m not the only person stuck in the space between “there are a lot of things that should be said about this year” and “dear god, I’m sick of people talking […] Full Article All Time Favorite Posts On Kicking Ass Stories about Telling Stories Uncategorized
or No, My Kitchen Doesn’t Have a Floor (And Other True Stories) By diydiva.net Published On :: Sun, 29 Nov 2020 23:15:12 +0000 I’ve had bare subfloor in my kitchen since one day back in 2015 when I was definitely not starting my kitchen renovation, but also happened to have a dumpster and my house and was probably drinking beer and decided to indulge in my favorite beer-drinking sport… hitting something with a hammer. Which is how this […] Full Article The Farm & Very Old House
or SCCM Pod-435 Intracranial and Cerebral Perfusion Pressure Thresholds Associated with In-Hospital Mortality Across Pediatric Neurocritical Care By sccm-audio.s3.amazonaws.com Published On :: Wed, 28 Apr 2021 13:30:00 -0500 Targets for treatment of raised intracranial pressure or decreased cerebral perfusion pressure in pediatric neurocritical care are not well defined. Full Article Medicine
or SCCMPod-442 Continuous Prediction of Mortality in the PICU: A Recurrent Neural Network Model in a Single-Center Dataset By sccm-audio.s3.amazonaws.com Published On :: Thu, 2 Sep 2021 18:18:58 UTC As a proof of concept, a recurrent neural network (RNN) model was developed using electronic medical record (EMR) data capable of continuously assessing a child's risk of mortality throughout an ICU stay as a proxy measure of illness severity. Full Article Medicine
or SCCMPod-445 The Association of Workload and Outcomes in the Pediatric Cardiac ICU By sccm-audio.s3.amazonaws.com Published On :: Thu, 14 Oct 2021 19:20:17 UTC Healthcare workload has emerged as an important metric associated with poor outcomes. To measure workload, studies have used bed occupancy as a surrogate. However, few studies have examined frontline clinician workload and outcomes. Full Article Medicine
or SCCMPod-447 eSIMPLER: A Dynamic, Electronic Health Record-Integrated Checklist By sccm-audio.s3.amazonaws.com Published On :: Thu, 28 Oct 2021 17:49:39 UTC The increasing use of electronic health records (EHRs) has inspired the need for a more dynamic checklist. Geva et al conducted a before-after quality improvement study by replacing a static checklist with an updated dynamic checklist. Full Article Medicine
or Operator "A" (Water) (Employment Opportunity & Training Opportunity) EX21-973 By www.greatersudbury.ca Published On :: Tue, 07 Dec 2021 16:53:26 GMT Full Article
or 898b A Few Words, 05-JUN-2020 By tipsfromthetopfloor.com Published On :: Fri, 05 Jun 2020 16:04:28 +0000 video version The world is a crazy place right now.. and I’ve been struggling whether I should say something here, whether I should use this podcast as a platform, because this is a show about photography. But right now, it’s about human beings and about how we treat each other, this is about things being … Continue reading "898b A Few Words, 05-JUN-2020" The post 898b A Few Words, 05-JUN-2020 appeared first on PHOTOGRAPHY TIPS FROM THE TOP FLOOR. Full Article Specials Tips from the Top Floor injustice Update
or 909 Generator Chris By tipsfromthetopfloor.com Published On :: Wed, 20 Jul 2022 11:00:23 +0000 Chris has now received the magical tool to generate photography out of thin air. But OpenAi’s DALL-E 2 is turning out to be quite a learning curve that is very different from actual photography. Topics: [PHOTO, AI] I’m a Generator : I finally got access to DALL-E 2, OpenAi’s image generator. And boy is it … Continue reading "909 Generator Chris" The post 909 Generator Chris appeared first on PHOTOGRAPHY TIPS FROM THE TOP FLOOR. Full Article Tips from the Top Floor AI Dall-E OpenAI Photo Road Trip Skills
or 920 Death of a Workhorse By tipsfromthetopfloor.com Published On :: Wed, 12 Oct 2022 22:06:12 +0000 Chris brings you a bit of a different episode today because his main production machine has just died. Want to support? Go to tfttf.com/support Topics: [OTHER] Pellworm : We spent a week on Pellworm, a 37 square kilometer island located in the Wadden Sea. We’ve taken pictures too. [COOL] Lost Places – Horror-Hospital … AI … Continue reading "920 Death of a Workhorse" The post 920 Death of a Workhorse appeared first on PHOTOGRAPHY TIPS FROM THE TOP FLOOR. Full Article Tips from the Top Floor computer North Sea Pellworm
or She wants to know what are best practices on flagging bad responses and cleaning survey data and detecting bad responses. Any suggestions from the tidyverse or crunch.io? By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Sun, 13 Oct 2024 13:36:03 +0000 A colleague who works in a field that uses a lot of survey research asks: Can you recommend papers about detecting bad survey responses? We have some such methods where I work, but I’m curious what the Census Bureau and … Continue reading → Full Article Miscellaneous Statistics Political Science Public Health Sociology
or Where have all the count words gone? In defense of “fewer” and “among” By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Sun, 13 Oct 2024 19:00:23 +0000 This is cranky linguist Bob. The lack of count markers is starting to bug me. To wit… Usage of “fewer” vs. “less” The prescriptive rule in English is that “fewer” applies to groups of countable objects whereas “less” applies to … Continue reading → Full Article Zombies
or “Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections” By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Mon, 14 Oct 2024 13:07:34 +0000 Richard Calvo, Vincent Pons, and Jesse Shapiro write: Many observers have forecast large partisan shifts in the US electorate based on demographic trends. Such forecasts are appealing because demographic trends are often predictable even over long horizons. We backtest demographic … Continue reading → Full Article Political Science Sociology
or Here is the Data Sharing Statement, in its entirety, for van Dyck CH, Swanson CJ, Aisen P, et al. Trial of Lecanemab in Early Alzheimer’s Disease. N Engl J Med. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2212948. By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Wed, 16 Oct 2024 13:06:27 +0000 Data-share this, pal: As the man said, you have no obligation to share any of your data and I have no obligation to believe anything you say. Full Article Decision Analysis Public Health Zombies
or Here is the Data Sharing Statement, in its entirety, for Goodwin GM, Aaronson ST, Alvarez O, et al. Single-Dose Psilocybin for a Treatment-Resistant Episode of Major Depression. N Engl J Med. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2206443. By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Wed, 16 Oct 2024 13:32:11 +0000 As forwarded to us by Max Shepsi: I’m starting to see a pattern here! Full Article Decision Analysis Public Health Zombies
or Different perspectives on the claims in the paper, The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Thu, 17 Oct 2024 13:25:11 +0000 I was talking with an economist today about the recent prize given to the authors of the very influential 2001 article, The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation. According to my colleague, many economists have issues with that … Continue reading → Full Article Causal Inference Economics Political Science
or “It’s a very short jump from believing kale smoothies are a cure for cancer to denying the Holocaust happened.” By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Fri, 18 Oct 2024 13:59:56 +0000 Campos quotes a comment from a thread on RFK Jr. and his running mate: It’s a very short jump from believing kale smoothies are a cure for cancer to denying the Holocaust happened. He points to this link: The physiologist … Continue reading → Full Article Miscellaneous Science Political Science Sociology
or Carroll/Langer: Credulous, scientist-as-hero reporting from a podcaster who should know better By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Sat, 19 Oct 2024 13:19:57 +0000 tl;dr. To the extent that healing is important, I think it’s important not to overstate evidence for speculative claims about what works. Individual and societal resources are limited. If you want to say something like, “Sure, this is pie-in-the-sky research, … Continue reading → Full Article Public Health Zombies
or Supporting Bayesian modeling workflows with iterative filtering for multiverse analysis By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Mon, 21 Oct 2024 13:16:30 +0000 Anna Riha, Nikolas Siccha, Antti Oulasvirta, and Aki Vehtari write: When building statistical models for Bayesian data analysis tasks, required and optional iterative adjustments and different modelling choices can give rise to numerous candidate models. In particular, checks and evaluations … Continue reading → Full Article Bayesian Statistics Miscellaneous Statistics Stan Statistical Computing
or 3M misconduct regarding knowledge of “forever chemicals”: As is so often the case, the problem was in open sight for a long time before anything was done By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Tue, 22 Oct 2024 13:13:08 +0000 Horrifying story here from Sharon Lerner how chemical products company 3M (which has successfully branded itself as the cuddly people behind Post-it notes) polluted the world’s water supply and covered it up for decades. It features several issues we’ve discussed … Continue reading → Full Article Economics Miscellaneous Science Zombies
or Which book should you read first, Active Statistics or Regression and Other Stories? By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Wed, 23 Oct 2024 13:25:40 +0000 Kiran Gauthier writes: I was checking the web pages for Active Statistics and Regression and Other Stories and although I saw that Active Statistics is meant to accompany Regression and Other Stories, I was wondering how you would recommend reading … Continue reading → Full Article Bayesian Statistics Literature Miscellaneous Statistics Teaching
or Postdoc opportunity! to work with me here at Columbia! on Bayesian workflow! for contamination models! With some wonderful collaborators!! By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Thu, 24 Oct 2024 13:16:46 +0000 Laboratory assays are central to much of biomedical research. My colleagues and I recently received a research grant to do better assays using Bayesian inference. Beyond the usual challenges of fitting nonlinear hierarchical models to real data that can sometimes … Continue reading → Full Article Bayesian Statistics Jobs Multilevel Modeling Public Health Stan Statistical Computing
or Prediction markets and the need for “dumb money” as well as “smart money” By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Fri, 25 Oct 2024 13:01:08 +0000 tl;dr. Prediction markets give good forecasts because they attract “smart money” that will fix any gaps between current odds and best available information. The “smart money” is in turn motivated by the profits they can take from “dumb money” coming … Continue reading → Full Article Decision Analysis Economics Political Science
or “Reduce likelihood of a tick bite by 73.6 times”? Forking paths on the Appalachian Trail. By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Sun, 27 Oct 2024 13:09:07 +0000 Shira writes: As an Appalachian Trail hiker, I always treat my clothes with permethrin. I’m a big fan of Sawyer products, but this claim caught my eye: Reduce likelihood of a tick bite by 73.6 times by treating shoes and … Continue reading → Full Article Miscellaneous Statistics Multilevel Modeling Public Health Zombies
or A question for Nate Cohn at the New York Times regarding a claim about adjusting polls using recalled past vote By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Tue, 29 Oct 2024 01:38:12 +0000 A colleague writes: Have you seen this article by Nate Cohn at the New York Times? A few things in it seemed weird. For one, he writes: The tendency for recall vote to overstate the winner of the last election … Continue reading → Full Article Political Science
or Leave-one-out cross validation (LOO) for an astronomy problem By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Wed, 30 Oct 2024 13:33:49 +0000 Harrison Siegel pointed us to this project with Maximiliano Isi and Will Farr on gravitational-wave analysis. The compare models using predictive evaluation, in particular leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO), as discussed here and here. Siegel writes: We discuss our implementation of the … Continue reading → Full Article Bayesian Statistics Decision Analysis Miscellaneous Statistics
or StanCon 2024 Oxford: recorded talks are now released! By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Wed, 30 Oct 2024 22:47:45 +0000 (This post is by Charles) The title says it all: recordings of StanCon 2024 are now available on Stan’s youtube channel. We’re happy to make the content of StanCon 2024 accessible, even to those who couldn’t make it in person. … Continue reading → Full Article Bayesian Statistics Stan Statistical Computing
or “Trivia question for you. I kept temperature records for 100 days one year in Boston, starting August 15th (day “0”). What would you guess is the correlation between day# and temp? r=???” By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Fri, 01 Nov 2024 13:18:03 +0000 Shane Frederick writes: Trivia question for you. I kept temperature records for 100 days one year in Boston, starting August 15th (day “0”). What would you guess is the correlation between day# and temp? r=??? Shane sends me this kind … Continue reading → Full Article Miscellaneous Statistics Teaching
or Calibration is sometimes sufficient for trusting predictions. What does this tell us when human experts use model predictions? By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Fri, 01 Nov 2024 16:21:44 +0000 This is Jessica. I got through a long string of deadlines and invited talks and now I’m back to thinking about calibration and decision-making. In a previous post I was wondering about the relationship between calibration and Bayesian use of … Continue reading → Full Article Decision Analysis Miscellaneous Science Miscellaneous Statistics Statistical Computing
or A 10% swing in win probability corresponds (approximately) to a 0.4% swing in predicted vote By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Sat, 02 Nov 2024 20:46:56 +0000 There’s some confusion regarding jumps in election forecasts. New information is coming in every day, so it makes sense that forecasts change too. But they don’t change very much. Each new piece of information tells you only a little bit. … Continue reading → Full Article Bayesian Statistics Political Science
or Violent science teacher makes ridiculously unsupported research claims, gets treated by legislatures/courts/media as expert on the effects of homeschooling By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Sun, 03 Nov 2024 14:56:37 +0000 Paul Alper shares this horrifying news story by Laura Meckler: Brian Ray has spent the last three decades as one of the nation’s top evangelists for home schooling. As a researcher, he has published studies purporting to show that these … Continue reading → Full Article Causal Inference Sociology Teaching Zombies
or Interpreting recent Iowa election poll using a rough Bayesian partition of error By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Mon, 04 Nov 2024 01:25:52 +0000 A political science colleague wrote in: We are all abuzz about the Harris +3 in that Iowa Poll with its great track record. When I check the write up of this poll I see a reasonably detailed description of their … Continue reading → Full Article Bayesian Statistics Political Science
or Probabilistic numerics and the folk theorem of statistical computing By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Mon, 04 Nov 2024 14:15:08 +0000 U.S. election day is tomorrow. So let’s talk about something else: 1. Encoding prior information using non-generative modeling I was talking with Hong Ge about the uses of non-generative models in probabilistic programming. An example I gave is the use … Continue reading → Full Article Bayesian Statistics Stan Statistical Computing
or Fake data on the honeybee waggle dance, followed by the inevitable “It is important to note that the conclusions of our studies remain firm and sound.” By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Thu, 07 Nov 2024 14:26:28 +0000 I hadn’t thought about bee dancing for a long time, when someone pointed me to this post by Laura Luebbert and Lior Pachter on a bit of data fraud in biology. Luebbert writes: Four years ago, during the first year … Continue reading → Full Article Miscellaneous Science Sociology Zombies
or Bad science as genre fiction: I think there’s a lot to be said for this analogy! By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Fri, 08 Nov 2024 14:19:54 +0000 I came across this blog comment from a couple years ago saying that, whatever was going on in the head of Brian “Pizzagate” Wansink when he wrote up those papers with the fake data, in any case his papers papers … Continue reading → Full Article Literature Miscellaneous Science Zombies
or If you wanted to be a top tennis player in the late 1930s, there was a huge benefit to being a member of ____. Or to being named ____. By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Fri, 08 Nov 2024 18:25:37 +0000 This post is by Phil. A couple of months ago, this blog had a discussion that was prompted by the fact that 2 of the top 5 female American tennis players are the children of billionaires. One, that could be … Continue reading → Full Article Sports sports tennis
or Polling by asking people about their neighbors: When does this work? Should people be doing more of it? And the connection to that French dude who bet on Trump By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Sat, 09 Nov 2024 14:11:07 +0000 Several people pointed me to this news report on a successful bettor in an election prediction market: Not only did he see Donald Trump winning the presidency, he wagered that Trump would win the popular vote—an outcome that many political … Continue reading → Full Article Miscellaneous Statistics Political Science Sociology