o This Virus Is Tough, but History Provides Perspective: The 1968 Pandemic and the Vietnam War By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 24, 2020 Apr 24, 2020Nathaniel L. Moir recounts the events of 1968: The war in Vietnam and extensive civil unrest in the United States — and yet another big problem that made life harder. In 1968, the H3N2 pandemic killed more individuals in the United States than the combined total number of American fatalities during both the Vietnam and Korean Wars. Full Article
o To Pressure Iran, Pompeo Turns to the Deal Trump Renounced By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 26, 2020 Apr 26, 2020The secretary of state is preparing an argument that the U.S. remains a participant in the Obama-era nuclear deal, with the goal of extending an arms embargo or destroying the accord. Full Article
o Poll: What the American Public Likes and Hates about Trump's Nuclear Policies By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 27, 2020 Apr 27, 2020The authors conducted a study which highlights how the U.S. public as a whole and various demographic groups view President Donald Trump's positions on nuclear weapons. Full Article
o How the Pentagon Is Struggling to Stay out of Politics By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 28, 2020 Apr 28, 2020 Gen. Mark. A. Milley’s job is to provide sound military advice to the president. But at a deeper level, his responsibility is to safeguard the independence and integrity of the armed forces. The last thing the country needs is a military leadership that’s trying to curry favor with any commander in chief, particularly one who’s hungry for affirmation. Full Article
o Why Bernie Sanders Will Win in 2020, No Matter Who Gets Elected By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 28, 2020 Apr 28, 2020Stephen Walt writes that even though Bernie Sanders is out of the presidential race, the time has come for many of the policies that he promoted: Universal Healthcare; Democratic Socialism; Income Redistribution; and Foreign Policy. Full Article
o Oil's Collapse Is a Geopolitical Reset In Disguise By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 29, 2020 Apr 29, 2020The world is on the cusp of a geopolitical reset. The global pandemic could well undermine international institutions, reinforce nationalism and spur de-globalization. But far-sighted leadership could also rekindle cooperation, glimmers of which appeared in the G-20’s offer of debt relief for some of the world’s poorest countries, a joint plea from more than 200 former national leaders for a more coordinated pandemic response and an unprecedented multinational pact to arrest the crash in oil markets. Full Article
o Romney's Reckless China Rhetoric Risks New Cold War By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: May 3, 2020 May 3, 2020Rachel Esplin Odell argues for a wiser and more conservative strategy that resists the temptation to exaggerate the challenge posed by China. Full Article
o The United States Forgot Its Strategy for Winning Cold Wars By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: May 5, 2020 May 5, 2020Stephen Walt writes that arguments against U.S. offshore balancing misunderstand history. The strategy that worked against the Soviet Union can work against China. Full Article
o Maxwell Taylor's Cold War: From Berlin to Vietnam By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: May 6, 2020 May 6, 2020Nathaniel Moir reviews Maxwell Taylor's Cold War: From Berlin to Vietnam by Ingo Trauschweizer. Full Article
o Breaking the Ice: How France and the UK Could Reshape a Credible European Defense and Renew the Transatlantic Partnership By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: May 7, 2020 May 7, 2020History is replete with irony, but rarely more poignantly than in the summer of 2016 when, on 23 June, the UK voted to leave the European Union and the next day, 24 June, the EU published its Global Strategy document asserting its ambition of “strategic autonomy.” Whither Franco-British defense cooperation in such chaotic circumstances? This paper attempts to provide the outline of an answer to that question. Full Article
o Factoring Pandemic Risks into Financial Modelling By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 1, 2020 Apr 1, 2020Today’s economic crisis leaves us with an unsettling and perplexing regret. Why weren’t financial portfolios already adjusted for risks that stem from health events such as pandemics? After all, financial portfolios are adjusted for liquidity risks, market risks, credit risks, and even operational and political risks. Full Article
o Letter from London on the coronavirus: An order to stay apart brought us together By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 2, 2020 Apr 2, 2020Dear America, In London there is much talk of a new “spirit of the Blitz” in the face of another deadly threat to us all. But 80 years on, that spirit is expressing itself very differently. When the Luftwaffe bombs fell, to continue with normal life was an act of patriotic defiance. Now as COVID-19 spreads, to continue with normal life is an act of punishable deviance. Full Article
o Oil Markets Provide a Glimpse of the Post-Pandemic Future By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 7, 2020 Apr 7, 2020Henry Kissinger warns that many existing domestic and international institutions that have helped govern the past decades will not survive the Covid-19 crisis. He is surely correct. Full Article
o Selective Wilsonianism: Material Interests and the West's Support for Democracy By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 9, 2020 Apr 9, 2020Analysis of the West's differing responses to Ukrainian and Armenian mass movements reveal that, contrary to the popular Wilsonian narrative, the West assists democratic movements only when that assistance coincides with its material interests. Full Article
o Transatlantic Dialogue: The Missing Link in Europe’s Post-Covid-19 Green Deal? By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 10, 2020 Apr 10, 2020This policy brief emphasizes that the European Green Deal's effectiveness in a post Covid-19 world will require the involvement of strategic partners, especially the US. In the context of a potential US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement and the consequential vacuum, it will be even more important to engage the US in implementing the GD. In light of divergence between the US and the EU during past climate negotiations (e.g. Kyoto, Copenhagen, and Paris), we suggest a gradual approach to US engagement with GD initiatives and objectives. Full Article
o No, COVID-19 Isn’t Turning Europe Pro-China (Yet) By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 15, 2020 Apr 15, 2020Ever since the World Health Organization declared Europe the new epicenter of the coronavirus pandemic on March 13, China has seized the opportunity to provide relief to some of the worst-hit European countries as part of a concerted PR offensive aiming at polishing up the Communist Party’s image internationally and — above all — domestically. Although China’s aid offers have generally been welcomed by those leaders struggling to contain the outbreak, it is still far too early to conclude that Beijing is actually winning over any European hearts and minds. Full Article
o No, the Coronavirus Will Not Change the Global Order By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 16, 2020 Apr 16, 2020Joseph Nye advises skepticism toward claims that the pandemic changes everything. China won't benefit, and the United States will remain preeminent. Full Article
o The Global Pandemic Has Spawned New Forms of Activism — and They're Flourishing By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 20, 2020 Apr 20, 2020The authors have identified nearly 100 distinct methods of nonviolent action that include physical, virtual and hybrid actions. Full Article
o There's No Such Thing as Good Liberal Hegemony By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 21, 2020 Apr 21, 2020Stephen Walt argues that as democracies falter, it's worth considering whether the United States made the right call in attempting to create a liberal world order. Full Article
o In a Global Emergency, Women are Showing How to Lead By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 21, 2020 Apr 21, 2020Zoe Marks argues that to the extent that female heads of state are performing better than men against the coronavirus crisis, it's likely because women are expected to be — and have learned to be — more democratic leaders, more collaborative and more compassionate communicators. Full Article
o Global Problem, Local Solutions By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 21, 2020 Apr 21, 2020The Arctic Initiative is pairing policy and science scholars with local experts to find practical climate solutions. Full Article
o Action on Plastic: On Track with the Regional Action Plan for the Arctic By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 22, 2020 Apr 22, 2020In October 2019, the Belfer Center's Arctic Initiative and the Wilson Center's Polar Institute co-hosted a workshop on Policy and Action on Plastic in the Arctic Ocean with the Icelandic Chairmanship of the Arctic Council. The Arctic Council asked Magnús Jóhannesson, the Council's designated Special Coordinator on Plastics Pollution and Marine Litter, and Gunn-Britt Retter, Head of Arctic and Environmental Unit at the Saami Council — who both participated in the workshop — to comment on some of the points that the report raises. Full Article
o So Do Morals Matter in U.S. Foreign Policy? I Asked the Expert. By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 24, 2020 Apr 24, 2020In his new book, Do Morals Matter? Presidents and Foreign Policy from FDR to Trump, Joseph S. Nye developed a scorecard to determine how U.S. presidents since 1945 factored questions of ethics and morality into their foreign policy. In an interview, Henry Farrell asked him a few questions to get to the heart of his findings. Full Article
o How COVID-19 is Testing American Leadership By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 26, 2020 Apr 26, 2020Joseph Nye suggests that a new U.S. administration might take a leaf from the success of the post-1945 American presidents that are described in Do Morals Matter? Presidents and Foreign Policy from FDR to Trump. The United States could launch a massive COVID-19 aid program like the Marshall Plan. Full Article
o Oil's Collapse Is a Geopolitical Reset In Disguise By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 29, 2020 Apr 29, 2020The world is on the cusp of a geopolitical reset. The global pandemic could well undermine international institutions, reinforce nationalism and spur de-globalization. But far-sighted leadership could also rekindle cooperation, glimmers of which appeared in the G-20’s offer of debt relief for some of the world’s poorest countries, a joint plea from more than 200 former national leaders for a more coordinated pandemic response and an unprecedented multinational pact to arrest the crash in oil markets. Full Article
o What Caused the COVID-19 Testing Deficit? By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 30, 2020 Apr 30, 2020As the divergent experiences of the US and South Korea show, testing can be the difference between disease containment and catastrophe. Rather than relying on national governments to ensure the rapid development, production, and deployment of diagnostics during outbreaks, the world needs a global coordinating platform. Full Article
o The Arctic is Transforming… Can We? By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: May 1, 2020 May 1, 2020Joel Clement describes how the Arctic is transforming into a warmer, wetter, and less predictable climate state, what the consequences are for the Arctic's indigenous inhabitants, and what measures can be taken to build resilience. Full Article
o The United States Forgot Its Strategy for Winning Cold Wars By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: May 5, 2020 May 5, 2020Stephen Walt writes that arguments against U.S. offshore balancing misunderstand history. The strategy that worked against the Soviet Union can work against China. Full Article
o Breaking the Ice: How France and the UK Could Reshape a Credible European Defense and Renew the Transatlantic Partnership By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: May 7, 2020 May 7, 2020History is replete with irony, but rarely more poignantly than in the summer of 2016 when, on 23 June, the UK voted to leave the European Union and the next day, 24 June, the EU published its Global Strategy document asserting its ambition of “strategic autonomy.” Whither Franco-British defense cooperation in such chaotic circumstances? This paper attempts to provide the outline of an answer to that question. Full Article
o An Abysmal Failure of Leadership By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: May 7, 2020 May 7, 2020During times of crisis, the most effective leaders are those who can build solidarity by educating the public about its own interests. Sadly, in the case of COVID-19, the leaders of the world's two largest economies have gone in the opposite direction, all but ensuring that the crisis will deepen. Full Article
o We Must Prepare for the Next Pandemic By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Jun 17, 2019 Jun 17, 2019Bruce Schneier explains why accurate information will be just as important as effective treatments when the next pandemic strikes. Full Article
o Capital Choices: Sectoral Politics and the Variation of Sovereign Wealth By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Jul 8, 2019 Jul 8, 2019Capital Choices analyzes the creation of different SWFs from a comparative political economy perspective, arguing that different state-society structures at the sectoral level are the drivers for SWF variation. Juergen Braunstein focuses on the early formation period of SWFs, a critical but little understood area given the high levels of political sensitivity and lack of transparency that surround SWF creation. Braunstein’s novel analytical framework provides practical lessons for the business and finance organizations and policymakers of countries that have created, or are planning to create, SWFs. Full Article
o Juergen Braunstein: Can Swiss Afford a State Fund? By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Aug 23, 2019 Aug 23, 2019The idea of a Swiss sovereign wealth fund (SWF) which could use a part of the country’s massive reserves for investments arose after Switzerland had established in 2011 its currency link to the Euro. Since then various sovereign wealth options have been discussed, from a SWF with a savings mandate to a fund with a strategic investment mandate, a private equity-type fund that invests in technology start-ups and protects against hostile foreign takeovers of strategic companies. Full Article
o ISIS is a Survivor By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Aug 27, 2019 Aug 27, 2019Stephen Walt explains ISIS's ability to hang around despite its unrelieved brutality and its near-total failure to deliver on any its promises. Full Article
o Civil Action and the Dynamics of Violence By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Sep 25, 2019 Sep 25, 2019A new book edited by Erica Chenoweth, Deborah Avant, Marie Berry, Rachel Epstein, Cullen Hendrix, Oliver Kaplan, and Timothy Sisk, Civil Action and the Dynamics of Violence, looks at recent conflicts in Syria, Peru, Kenya, Northern Ireland, Mexico, Bosnia, Afghanistan, Spain, and Colombia to explore the role that civil action played. Full Article
o Home, Again: Refugee Return and Post-Conflict Violence in Burundi By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Oct 28, 2019 Oct 28, 2019In post-conflict societies, divisions can emerge between returnee and nonmigrant groups, which can in turn lead to violence and destabilization when government institutions favor one group over another. Full Article
o Sending Refugees Back Makes the World More Dangerous By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Nov 27, 2019 Nov 27, 2019Repatriating refugees to dangerous countries violates international law and breeds conflict, instability, and future crises. Regional work visas and long-term integration into host countries are more promising solutions. Full Article
o China’s African Envoys Take Twitter Tips from Trump in PR Offensive By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Dec 14, 2019 Dec 14, 2019Chinese diplomats in Africa are robustly defending Beijing’s policies on Twitter as part of a new and sometimes aggressive public relations campaign which is playing out across the globe as the country’s envoys answer President Xi Jinping’s call to “tell China stories well”.south chi Full Article
o How to Topple Dictators and Transform Society By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Jan 3, 2020 Jan 3, 2020Nonviolent resistance scholar Erica Chenoweth explains the key ingredients of successful social movements. Full Article
o Armed Rebel Groups Lobby in D.C., Just Like Governments. How Does That Influence U.S. Policy? By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Feb 6, 2020 Feb 6, 2020Armed rebel groups push for funding and recognition, and often get it. Full Article
o H-Diplo Review Essay 192 on Lawson. Anatomies of Revolution By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Feb 14, 2020 Feb 14, 2020Emily Whalen reviews Anatomies of Revolution by George Lawson (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2019). Full Article
o Will the Coronavirus Trigger a Global Recession? By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Feb 24, 2020 Feb 24, 2020At the start of this year, things seemed to be looking up for the global economy. True, growth had slowed a bit in 2019: from 2.9% to 2.3% in the United States, and from 3.6% to 2.9% globally. Still, there had been no recession, and as recently as January, the International Monetary Fund projected a global growth rebound in 2020. The new coronavirus, COVID-19, has changed all of that. Full Article
o The COVID-19 Cash Out By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mar 19, 2020 Mar 19, 2020Because hand-to-hand exchange of physical currency could transmit the coronavirus, countries around the world are being forced to reconsider the use of cash. In fact, COVID-19 might turn out to be the catalyst that finally brings digital payments fully into the mainstream. Not surprisingly, the digital-payments industry is already focusing on the opportunities created by the crisis. Full Article
o U.S. Intervention in Russia-Saudi Impasse Isn't Tenable (Radio) By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mar 20, 2020 Mar 20, 2020Meghan L. O’Sullivan, Professor of International Affairs at Harvard’s Kennedy School, former National Security Council advisor, and a Bloomberg Opinion columnist, discusses the oil market plunge, and the Russia-Saudi relationship. Hosted by Lisa Abramowicz and Paul Sweeney. Full Article
o COVID-19 Pandemic Accelerates the Rise of Digital Payments By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Mar 20, 2020 Mar 20, 2020Could using the cash in your pocket have the potential to spread covid-19? That question has rarely appeared in the news, but many governments and leaders in the digital payments industry are wondering how the virus might impact the use of cash. Several countries have already taken drastic measures to limit circulation of bank notes. Could such interventions lead to the end of cash payments? Full Article
o Factoring Pandemic Risks into Financial Modelling By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 1, 2020 Apr 1, 2020Today’s economic crisis leaves us with an unsettling and perplexing regret. Why weren’t financial portfolios already adjusted for risks that stem from health events such as pandemics? After all, financial portfolios are adjusted for liquidity risks, market risks, credit risks, and even operational and political risks. Full Article
o The Impact of AI and Digitalization on Social Cohesion By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 1, 2020 Apr 1, 2020February 24th, 2020, in Cambridge, Massachusetts, Dr. Gesche Joost, Professor of Design Research at the Berlin University of the Arts and head of the Design Research Lab since 2005, discussed the digital divide and how it will shape social connectivity in an event moderated by Cathryn Clüver Ashbrook, Executive Director of the Future of Diplomacy Project and the Project on Europe and the Transatlantic Relationship, and Lauren Zabierek, Executive Director of the Cyber Project. Full Article
o Oil Markets Provide a Glimpse of the Post-Pandemic Future By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 7, 2020 Apr 7, 2020Henry Kissinger warns that many existing domestic and international institutions that have helped govern the past decades will not survive the Covid-19 crisis. He is surely correct. Full Article
o What Caused the COVID-19 Testing Deficit? By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: Apr 30, 2020 Apr 30, 2020As the divergent experiences of the US and South Korea show, testing can be the difference between disease containment and catastrophe. Rather than relying on national governments to ensure the rapid development, production, and deployment of diagnostics during outbreaks, the world needs a global coordinating platform. Full Article
o An Abysmal Failure of Leadership By feedproxy.google.com Published On :: May 7, 2020 May 7, 2020During times of crisis, the most effective leaders are those who can build solidarity by educating the public about its own interests. Sadly, in the case of COVID-19, the leaders of the world's two largest economies have gone in the opposite direction, all but ensuring that the crisis will deepen. Full Article