ac

Eastern Pacific Hurricane Lorena Tropical Cyclone Update


000
WTPZ65 KNHC 210437
TCUEP5

Hurricane Lorena Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152019
1035 PM MDT Fri Sep 20 2019

...LORENA MAKES LANDFALL NEAR LA VENTANA MEXICO IN SOUTHEASTERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR...

Satellite images and surface observations indicate that Hurricane
Lorena made landfall near La Ventana, Mexico, in the state of Baja
California Sur around 0400 UTC (10 pm MDT) with maximum winds of 80
mph (130 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 1035 PM MDT...0435 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 110.0W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SE OF LA PAZ MEXICO
ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM N OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi





ac

Eastern Pacific Remnants Of Priscilla Advisory Number 4


000
WTPZ34 KNHC 210234
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Priscilla Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192019
1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

...PRISCILLA DISSIPATES OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 104.7W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM ESE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the remnants of Priscilla were located
near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 104.7 West. The remnants are
moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The remnants of Priscilla are expected to produce
rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with local amounts to 15
inches, across portions of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, and Michoacan
in southwestern Mexico through Tuesday night. This rainfall could
produce flash flooding and mudslides within steep terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Priscilla.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi




ac

Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Advisory Number 6


000
WTPZ31 KNHC 262034
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020
200 PM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020

...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 119.4W
ABOUT 770 MI...1240 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E
was located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 119.4 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h). A motion toward the west-northwest is expected by late
afternoon, followed by a turn toward the west tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased near 30 mph (45 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48
hours, and the system is expected to dissipate by Monday tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant
low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Stewart




ac

Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone SEVENTEEN-E Special Forecast/Advisory Number 4 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019 1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS Advisory... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTIN


000
WTPZ22 KNHC 161752
TCMEP2

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E
SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172019
1800 UTC WED OCT 16 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OF WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 96.6W AT 16/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 96.6W AT 16/1800Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 95.7W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.3N 97.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 96.6W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





ac

Eastern Pacific Remnants of PRISCILLA ICAO Advisory Number 4 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP192019 0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2019 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20191021/0300Z TCAC: KNHC TC: PRISCILLA NR: 004 PSN: N2000 W10442 MOV: NNW 09KT C: 1005HPA MAX WIND: 025

 
 000
 FKPZ24 KNHC 210234
 TCAPZ4
 
 REMNANTS OF PRISCILLA ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER   4
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192019
 0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2019
 
 TC ADVISORY
 DTG:                      20191021/0300Z
 TCAC:                     KNHC
 TC:                       PRISCILLA
 NR:                       004
 PSN:                      N2000 W10442
 MOV:                      NNW 09KT
 C:                        1005HPA
 MAX WIND:                 025KT
 FCST PSN +6 HR:           21/0900Z N2036 W10450
 FCST MAX WIND +6 HR:      020KT
 FCST PSN +12 HR:          21/1500Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +12 HR:     ///KT
 FCST PSN +18 HR:          21/2100Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +18 HR:     ///KT
 FCST PSN +24 HR:          22/0300Z N//// W/////
 FCST MAX WIND +24 HR:     ///KT
 RMK:                      THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
                           THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
                           OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
                           0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
 NXT MSG:                  NO MSG EXP
 
 ..
 
 




ac

Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone ONE-E Forecast/Advisory Number 6 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 119.4W AT 2


000
WTPZ21 KNHC 262034
TCMEP1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020
2100 UTC SUN APR 26 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 119.4W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 119.4W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 119.1W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.7N 120.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.1N 122.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.3N 125.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 119.4W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT
LOW...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





ac

NHC Northeast Pacific High Seas Forecast


000
FZPN03 KNHC 040942
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE NOV 04 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE NOV 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED NOV 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 18.4N 110.0W 970 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV 04
MOVING N-NE OR 025 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...AND 210 NM SE AND
NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...300 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...EXCEPT AS
DESCRIBED WITH LOW PRES NEAR 11N129W IN SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
SECTION...FROM 08N TO 25W BETWEEN 105W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 22.0N 108.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH
SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...180
NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA BOUNDED BY 22N104W TO 10N106W TO
10N130W TO 24N130W TO 30N120W TO 22N104W...EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED
OFF W COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN SYNOPSIS AND
FORECAST SECTION...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION VANCE NEAR 24.1N 107.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW VANCE INLAND NEAR
26.0N 107.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE
FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13.5N96W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W
AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 14.5N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 14.5N
BETWEEN 94W AND 98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY
IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N105W 1008 MB MOVING NW AT 10 KT. WITHIN 180
NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE
FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N106W 1007 MB. WITHIN 90 NM E
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N129W 1008 MB MOVING W AT 10 KT. WITHIN 90 NM N
QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO
12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 21N W OF A LINE FROM 21N114W TO
18N114W TO 10N132W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
PRIMARILY IN NE WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N133W 1008 MB. WITHIN 270 NM N
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED
NE WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 24N W OF 130W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NE WIND WAVES
AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10N137W 1008 MB. WITHIN 210 NM N
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL.
ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 21N W OF 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO
9 FT IN NE SWELL.

.WITHIN FROM 09.5N TO 11.5N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FROM 07N TO 11N
BETWEEN 92W AND 95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED
NE AND SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS MERGED WITH AREA
DESCRIBED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE WARNING.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 26N NW TO N WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 27N NW TO N WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N NW TO N WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N NW TO N WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST OFF W COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM 24N TO 28N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0815 UTC TUE NOV 04...
.HURRICANE VANCE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH
SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM N QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 07N77W TO 09N84W TO 07N94W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 11.5N105W 1008 MB...THEN CONTINUES FROM 13N115W TO 19N119W
TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N129W 1008 MB TO 10N132W. ITCZ AXIS FROM
10N132W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 02N TO
7.5N E OF 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO
09N BETWEEN 93W AND 99W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 210
NM N AND NE QUADRANTS OF LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N105W WITH SCATTERED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 270 NM E QUADRANT OF LOW PRES NEAR
11N129W.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.




ac

Huracan Humberto Advertencia Numero 18 CENTRO NACIONAL DE HuracanES MIAMI FL AL092019 TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 1100 PM EDT lunes 16 de septiembre de 2019 ...SE ESPERA QUE HUMBERTO SE FORTALEZCA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DI


000
WTCA44 TJSJ 170242
TCPSP4

BOLETIN
Huracan Humberto Advertencia Numero 18
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL092019
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
1100 PM EDT lunes 16 de septiembre de 2019

...SE ESPERA QUE HUMBERTO SE FORTALEZCA DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA
O MAS...


RESUMEN DE LAS 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMACION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...30.3 NORTE 75.1 OESTE
ALREDEDOR DE 625 MI...1000 KM O DE BERMUDA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...ENE O 75 GRADOS A 8 MPH...13 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...966 MB...28.53 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:

Ninguno.

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO:

Una vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical esta en efecto para...
* Bermuda

Una Vigilancia de Tormenta Tropical significa que se esperan
condiciones de tormenta tropical dentro del area bajo vigilancia,
generalmente dentro de 48 horas.

Para informacion especifica para su area, favor monitorear los producots
emitidos por su oficina de servicio nacional meteorologico.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO
----------------------
A las 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), el ojo del Huracan Humberto
estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 30.3 norte, longitud 75.1 oeste.
Humberto se mueve hacia el este-noreste a cerca de 8 mph (13 km/h).
Se espera este movimiento general con un aumento en la velocidad de
traslacion hasta temprano el jueves. En el pronostico de
trayectoria, se espera que el centro de Humberto se acerque a
Bermuda tarde el miercoles en la noche.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos han aumentado a cerca de 90 mph (150
km/h) con rafagas mas altas. Se pronostica fortalecimiento adicional
durante las proximas 48 horas, y Humberto pudiera convertirse en
huracan mayor en la noche del martes o miercoles en la manana.

Los vientos con fuerza de huracan se extienden hasta 30 millas (45
km) del centro y los vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se
extienden a 150 millas (240 km).

La presion minima central estimada por el Avion Caza huracanes de
la Fuerza Aerea es de 966 mb (28.53 pulgadas).


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
VIENTO: Condiciones de tormenta tropical son posibles sobre Bermuda
tarde el miercoles.

LLUVIA: Humberto puede resultar en lluvia fuerte sobre Bermuda comenzando
tarde el martes.

RESACAS: Las marejadas grandes generadas por Humberto aumentaran a lo
largo de la costa de Bermuda en la noche del martes.

Las marejadas afectaran el noroeste de las Bahamas y la costa
sureste de Estados Unidos desde el este central de Florida hasta
Carolina del Norte durante los proximos dias.

Estas marejadas pudieran causar resacas fuertes amenazantes a vida y
corrientes marinas peligrosas. Favor referirse a los productos
emitidos por su oficina local de meteorologia en Bermuda.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
Proxima advertencia intermedia a las 200 AM EDT.
Proxima advertencia completa a las 500 AM EDT.

$$

Pronosticador Pasch
Traduccion RVazquez




ac

The PR Week: 2.14.2020: Teneshia Jackson Warner, Egami Group

Egami Group's CEO joins The PR Week to discuss launching her own agency and the latest industry news.




ac

Tormenta Tropical Sebastien Advertencia Numero 12 Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL202019 Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 500 AM AST viernes 22 de noviembre de 2019 ...NO SE ESPERA QUE SEBASTIEN SE FORTALEZCA... RES


000
WTCA45 TJSJ 221030
TCPSP5

BOLETIN
Tormenta Tropical Sebastien Advertencia Numero 12
Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL202019
Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
500 AM AST viernes 22 de noviembre de 2019

...NO SE ESPERA QUE SEBASTIEN SE FORTALEZCA...


RESUMEN DE LAS 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMACION
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...24.8 NORTE 57.0 OESTE
CERCA DE 600 MILLAS...965 KM NE DEL NORTE DE LAS ISLAS SOTAVENTO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...ENE O 65 GRADOS A 15 MPH...24 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...999 MB...29.50 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
----------------------
No existen vigilancias o avisos costers en efecto.


DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVA
------------------------
A las 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), el centro de la Tormenta Tropical
Sebastien estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 24.8 norte, longitud
57.0 oeste. Sebastien esta moviendose hacia el este-noreste a cerca de
15 mph (24 km/h). Se espera un movimiento hacia el este-noreste a noreste
durante los proximos dias.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 60 mph (95 km/h) con
rafagas mas fuertes. Algo de fortalecimiento se espera durante las
proximas 24 horas y Sebastien pudiera convertirse en ciclon post-
tropical este fin de semana.

Los vientos de Tormenta Tropical se extienden hasta 160 millas (260
km) del centro.

La presion minima central estimada es de 999 mb (29.50 pulgadas)


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
-------------------------
NINGUNO


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
Proxima advertencia completa a las 1100 AM AST.

$$

Pronosticador Cangialosi
Traduccion RVazquez




ac

NHC East Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion


000
AXPZ20 KNHC 091543
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1503 UTC Sat May 9 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from Panama near 08N78W to 07N122W. The
ITCZ extends from there to 06N140W. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is noted north of 05N east of 90W, from 03N to
11N between 94W and 114W, and from 05N to 07W west of 138W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A weak ridge of high pressure extends from 30N128W through the
Revillagigedo Islands to 14N96W. As a result, winds this morning
off of Mexico and in the Gulf of California were only moderate
breeze or weaker. High pressure building over the Gulf of Mexico
will promote strong N gap winds across the Tehuantepec region
late tonight and continue through Mon night. Peak seas should
reach 10-12 ft due to N wind waves and SW swell. Elsewhere
tranquil conditions are expected across the area through at least
Wed night.

Long period SW swell will impact the waters through Monday. An
altimeter pass showed peak seas of 8 to 9 ft south of Mexico
late last night.

Haze and areas of smoke from agricultural fires in Mexico may
reduce visibilities near the coast from the Tehuantepec region to
near Cabo Corrientes.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

A flat pressure gradient over the waters is forcing winds of
only fresh breeze or weaker. Winds will remain tranquil during
the next several days.

Large, long period SW swell will continue to impact the offshore
waters of Central America, Ecuador and Colombia through the
weekend before gradually fading. Peak seas observed by an
altimeter pass last night were around 10 ft between the Galapagos
and Ecuador.

Haze and areas of smoke may reduce visibilities near the coasts
of Costa Rica, El Salvador and Guatemala during the next few
days.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A weak ridge of high pressure extends from 30N128W through the
Revillagigedo Islands to 14N96W. The relatively flat pressure
gradient from the ridge to the ITCZ is causing NE trades of
generally moderate breeze or weaker this morning. Peak seas are 8
to 10 ft east of 120W and south of 15N, primarily due to long-
period SW swell.

A weak cold front will reach our NW corner of 30N140W Sun morning
and progress to 30N132W to 24N140W Mon morning, before
dissipating by Tue morning. SW winds ahead and NW winds behind
the front should remain fresh breeze or weaker. A NW swell of 8
to 10 ft will impact the waters north of 25N west of 130W Sun
night through Tue morning. Elsewhere winds should remain tranquil
through at least Wed night.

Large, long period SW swell will continue to impact the high seas
waters south of 15N and east of 125W through the weekend before
gradually fading. Peak seas observed by an altimeter pass last
night were around 10 ft well west of the Galapagos.

$$
Landsea




ac

Huracan Lorenzo Advertencia Numero 29 Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL132019 Traduccion por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 1100 AM AST domingo 29 de septiembre de 2019 ...INTERESES EN AZORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE LOREN


000
WTCA43 TJSJ 291521
TCPSP3

Huracan Lorenzo Advertencia Numero 29
Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL132019
Traduccion por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
1100 AM AST domingo 29 de septiembre de 2019

...INTERESES EN AZORES DEBEN MONITOREAR EL PROGRESO DE LORENZO...
...VIGILANCIAS PUDIERAN SER EMITIDAS PARA ESAS ISLAS TARDE EN EL
DIA DE HOY O ESTA NOCHE...


RESUMEN DE LAS 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMACION
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...25.9 N 44.4 O
ALREDEDOR DE 1315 MI...2115 KM AL SO DE LOS AZORES
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NNE O 15 GRADOS A 10 MPH...17 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...938 MILIBARES...27.70 PULGADAS


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
No hay vigilancias o avisos costeros en efecto.

Intereses en los Azores deben monitorear el progres de Lorenzo.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO
----------------------
A las 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), el centro del Huracan Lorenzo estaba
localizado cerca de la latitud 25.9 norte, longitud 44.4 oeste.
Lorenzo se esta moviendo hacia el norte-noreste a cerca de 10 mph
(17 km/h) y se espera que este movimiento continue hasta esta noche.
Un giro hacia el noreste, en conjunto con un aumento en su velicidad
de traslacion deben ocurrir el lunes y continuar hasta el miercoles.

Los vientos maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 145 mph (260 km/h) con
rafagas mas fuertes. Lorenzo es un huracan categoria 4 en la escala
de vientos de huracan Saffir-Simpson. Se espera un debilitamiento
constante durante los proximos dias, pero se sigue esperando que
Lorenzo siga siendo un huracan potente para los proximos par de dias.

Lorenzo es un huracan grande, con vientos con fuerza de huracan
extendiendose hasta 80 millas (135 km) del centro y los vientos con
fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 275 millas (445 km)
del centro.

La presion central minima estimada es de 938 mb (27.70 pulgadas).


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA ADENTRO
---------------------------------

LLUVIA: Se espera que Lorenzo produzca un total de acumulacion de
lluvia de 3 a 6 pulgadas sobre la mayoria del oeste de Azores y de 1
a 2 pulgadas sobre el centro de Azores el martes y miercoles. Esta
lluvia pudiera causar inundaciones repentinas que amenacen la vida
en el oeste de Azores.

RESACAS: Marejadas generada por Lorenzo se estan desplazando a
traves de la mayoria de la cuenca del Atlantico. Estas marejadas son
muy probables que caucen condiciones de resacas y corrientes marinas
que amenacen la vida. Favor de consultar los productos de su oficina
local de meteorologia.


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------------
Proxima advertencia completa a las 500 PM AST.

$$

Pronosticador Latto
Traduccion FRamos




ac

Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone Octave Discussion Number 9


000
WTPZ43 KNHC 192039
TCDEP3

Post-Tropical Cyclone Octave Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182019
200 PM PDT Sat Oct 19 2019

Deep convection has not returned, now being absent for at least 12
hours. The environment around Octave is dry and stable, and it is
unlikely that significant convection will come back any time soon.
Octave has therefore become a remnant low, and its maximum winds are
estimated to be 30 kt based on recent scatterometer data. The
remnant low is expected to linger for at least the next 5 days with
its intensity holding steady or decreasing due to moderate
southeasterly shear and mid-level relative humidities of 30-40
percent.

The initial motion remains very slowly east-northeastward, or 070/2
kt. The remnant low is trapped in a weak steering regime, and it
is expected to meander for the next 5 days, only moving a net
distance of 50-100 n mi during that period. A slight westward
adjustment was made to this last NHC official forecast to account
for the latest multi-model consensus aids and the ECMWF, which lies
along the western edge of the guidance envelope.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/2100Z 11.6N 125.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 20/0600Z 11.4N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 20/1800Z 11.1N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 21/0600Z 10.8N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 21/1800Z 10.9N 125.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 22/1800Z 11.7N 125.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 23/1800Z 12.4N 125.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 24/1800Z 12.0N 124.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Berg




ac

Eastern Pacific


000
ABPZ30 KNHC 010512
TWSEP

Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM PST Sun Dec 1 2019

For the eastern North Pacific, east of 140 degrees west longitude:

One tropical storm (Raymond) and one tropical depression (Twenty
One-E) formed in the basin in November. Although the long-term
average is one tropical storm forms in the basin every second or
third year, this is the second straight November with at least one
named storm forming. In fact, named storms have formed in November
in five of the past six years.

Overall, the 2019 eastern Pacific hurricane season featured near
average activity. There were seventeen named storms, of which seven
became hurricanes and four became major hurricanes - category 3 or
higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. This compares to
the long-term averages of fifteen named storms, eight hurricanes,
and four major hurricanes. There were also two tropical depressions
that did not reach tropical storm strength. In terms of Accumulated
Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the strength and duration of
tropical storms and hurricanes, activity in the basin in 2019 was
a little below the long-term mean.

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at
the National Hurricane Center website at:
www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2019&basin=epac

Summary Table

Name Dates Max Wind (mph)
---------------------------------------------------
H Alvin 25-29 Jun 75*
MH Barbara 30 Jun- 5 Jul 155*
TS Cosme 6- 7 Jul 50*
TD Four-E 12-13 Jul 35*
TS Dalila 22-25 Jul 45*
MH Erick 27 Jul- 4 Aug 130*/**
H Flossie 28 Jul- 5 Aug 80
TS Gil 3- 4 Aug 40
TS Henriette 12-13 Aug 45*
TS Ivo 21-25 Aug 70*
MH Juliette 1- 7 Sep 125
TS Akoni 4- 6 Sep 45**/***
MH Kiko 12-24 Sep 130
H Lorena 17-22 Sep 85*
TS Mario 17-23 Sep 65
TS Narda Sep 29- 1 Oct 50
TS Octave 18-19 Oct 45
TS Priscilla 20-21 Oct 40
TS Raymond 15-17 Nov 55
TD Twenty-One-E 16-18 Nov 35
---------------------------------------------------

* Denotes a storm for which NHC's post-storm analysis is complete.
** Maximum winds occurred in the central Pacific basin.
*** First became a tropical depression in the eastern Pacific

$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit




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ac

Eastern Pacific Hurricane Kiko Tropical Cyclone Update...Corrected


000
WTPZ63 KNHC 150036 CCA
TCUEP3

Hurricane Kiko Tropical Cyclone Update...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019
530 PM PDT Sat Sep 14 2019

Corrected location coordinates

...HURRICANE KIKO NEAR MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH...

Recent satellite-based intensity estimates indicate that Hurricane
Kiko has rapidly strengthened since the last advisory. The maximum
sustained winds have increased to 110 mph (175 km/h). The higher
intensity will be reflected in the next forecast advisory, which
will be issued before 800 PM PDT.


SUMMARY OF 530 PM AST...0030 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 119.7W
ABOUT 760 MI...1225 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky





ac

Eastern Pacific Remnants of PRISCILLA Forecast/Advisory Number 4 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP192019 0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 104.7W AT 21/0300Z POSITION


000
WTPZ24 KNHC 210233
TCMEP4

REMNANTS OF PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192019
0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 104.7W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 104.7W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 104.5W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 104.7W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON PRISCILLA.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





ac

Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone OCTAVE Forecast/Advisory Number 9 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 125.7W AT


000
WTPZ23 KNHC 192037
TCMEP3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019
2100 UTC SAT OCT 19 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 125.7W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 125.7W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 125.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 11.4N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.1N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 10.8N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 10.9N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 11.7N 125.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 12.4N 125.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 12.0N 124.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 125.7W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

$$
FORECASTER BERG





ac

Eastern Pacific Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Advisory Number 4


000
WTPZ32 KNHC 161752
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E Special Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172019
100 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...DISTURBANCE NOW UNLIKELY TO BRING TROPICAL-STORM CONDITIONS TO
THE COAST OF MEXICO...
...RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 96.6W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM WNW OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM N OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
for the coast of southeastern Mexico.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches of warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
16.6 North, longitude 96.6 West. The system is moving toward the
northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight. On this track, the disturbance is
expected to move farther inland over southeastern Mexico during the
next several hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
While the chances that the disturbance will become a tropical
cyclone are decreasing, there is still a small chance that a
tropical depression could develop if the center can re-form along
the coast later today or tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches along the southwest coast of Mexico
from Chiapas to Jalisco, and 2 to 4 inches over southern Guatemala.
Isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible in Mexico.
Rainfall in both Guatemala and Mexico could produce life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: A few wind gusts to tropical-storm force may occur along
portions of the coast of southeastern Mexico today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Please refer to forecasts and warnings from
the Meteorological Service of Mexico for more information on the
ongoing rainfall threat.

$$
Forecaster Beven




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