2

Reining in Rebellion: The Decline of Political Violence in South America, 1830–1929

After a century of rebellion, South America experienced a rapid decline in revolts in the early 1900s. Historical narratives and an analysis of a comprehensive new dataset show that the decrease stemmed in large part from the expansion and professionalization of the region’s militaries, which were driven by an export boom and the threat of interstate conflict. 




2

211557: Home Minister meets U.S.' Burns

During a 20-minute discussion of Pakistan, Chidambaram asked Burns to treat groups "aimed at India" in the same way we treated "the groups directed against Americans in Afghanistan."




2

218043: Ice may have cracked, but Sharifs stil distrust in Zardari

Shahbaz noted that Zardari appealed to the PML-N to avoid mentioning allegations that former Chief Justice Hamid Dogar had arranged preferential treatment for his daughter's school admission




2

U.S. feared LeT attack in India in mid-2009; warned Pakistan

U.S. feared another LeT attack in India in mid-2009, and sought Pakistan's help to ‘disrupt and prevent' it



  • The India Cables

2

213621: USG concerned about possible LeT attack

As the November 2008 Mumbai attack has shown, LeT is capable of launching attacks that can directly undermine Pakistan,s relations with its neighbors and regional stability generally.




2

237503: The President's announcement on the way forward in Afghanistan and Pakistan

This cable contains information which we hope will be useful to you in engaging host governments, media, and the public after the President's address.




2

211549: Under Secretary Burns meets Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh

In a June 11 meeting, Prime Minister Singh assured Under Secretary Burns of his strong personal commitment to strengthening further India's ties to the United States.




2

250737: NSA Menon discusses regional security and trade issues with Codel McCaskill

In a wide-ranging meeting with CODEL McCaskill February 17, National Security Advisor Shivshankar Menon touched on several regional security and trade-related issues.




2

214563: NSA Jones' June 25 meeting with President Zardari

Zardari made repeated pleas for drones to be "put in Pakistan's hands" so that Pakistan would own the issue and drone attacks (including collateral damage) would not provoke anti-americanism.




2

236332: US saw "additional opportunities" to embed own troops in Pakistan military’s FATA operations




2

226157: Pakistan accepted U.S. military role in counter-insurgency operations




2

207373: U.S. Special Forces embedded with Pakistan Special Services Group and Frontier Corps for operations in NWFP




2

204652: US. "boots on the ground" were to accompany Pakistan Frontier Corps for a joint operation, but were "denied deployment" at the last minute




2

204260: U.S. special forces were embedded with Pakistan troops in 2009 anti-Taliban operations in the North-West Frontier Province




2

127580: Ambassador's meeting with Benazir Bhutto on security and investigation of Karachi attack

Benazir Bhutto claimed that the Sindh Government had informed her that if she goes to Larkhana (her ancestral home), she would be attacked.




2

126768: Bhutto asks Ambassador for security assessment assistance

Embassy strongly recommends against providing a U.S. Government evaluation, saying it will inevitably expose performance gaps that would not meet American standards of training and equipment.




2

127495: Discussion with Bhutto designees regarding security

Even with support from the government, serious threats against Bhutto will persist.




2

128579: security status of Benazir Bhutto when she was assasinated

It was made clear to the PPP representatives that certain dangers were inherent in the return of Bhutto to Karachi, mostly directed by elements from the northern areas.




2

178082: Extremist recruitment on the rise in southern Punjab

During recent trips to southern Punjab, Principal Officer was repeatedly told that a sophisticated jihadi recruitment network had been developed in the Multan, Bahawalpur, and Dera Ghazi Khan Divisions.




2

208236: Punjab Home Secretary fears Hafiz Saeed's release

Admitting that they are "facing a tough time in the courts," Asif related that the LHC has asked for the evidence that the Home Department used to extend the detention. "There has never been a case against them," he noted, "and we have no criminal record of these gentlemen."




2

230969: Extremism in Southern Punjab and Northern Sindh

Though the Northwest Frontier Province (NWFP) and Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) continue to grab headlines for terrorist violence, poor and underdeveloped regions in the rest of "settled" Pakistan are increasingly the recruiting and training ground for extremism and militancy.




2

Maran called Karunanidhi's October 2008 resignation threat a diversionary ‘drama'

Spoke of DMK leader's attempted ‘blackmail' on Sri Lanka, warned that the Congress ‘will carry this grudge and retaliate at the right time'




2

142702: Maran says ruling coalition in trouble

DMK Member of Parliament Dayanidhi Maran spoke candidly about India's current political scene.




2

176372: DMK calls off threat to pull support from UPA over Sri Lanka violence

The resignation drama has helped distract attention from the DMK party's woes in advance of next years Parliamentary elections.




2

248366: Scenesetter for Codel Kerry's visit to India

You will find an Indian government that is more committed than ever to building a durable and wide ranging USG-GOI relationship after Prime Minister Singh's Washington visit in November.




2

246564: Holbrooke meets Krishna

Holbrooke cited the U.S. and India's shared interest in Pakistani stability and reassured Krishna the U.S. had been pushing Islamabad for action on terrorism, while noting the weakness of Pakistan's civilian leadership.




2

45425: India proposes US observer status at SAARC

In a surprise development, the GOI has told us that it would welcome US participation as an Observer to SAARC.




2

41524: OFAC discusses WMD, terror financing with UAEG, banks

UAEG officials pledged their cooperation on cases of mutual interest, but Central Bank Governor Sultan Nasser al-Suweidi noted his frustration with the USG over the frozen assets of A.Q. Khan's daughter, Dina Khan.




2

223755: Finance minister on Pakistan's budget woes, Tokyo pledges, and U.S. assistance

In a September 3 meeting with the Ambassador, Finance Minister Shaukat Tarin said the GOP had included $2 billion in Tokyo Pledges in its budget but was grappling with a shortfall in actual donor assistance.




2

233602: Finance minister Tarin on budgets, CSF dollar fund, and Pakistan's improving economic outlook

Tarin requested that an additional $500 million of U.S. assistance flow through the GOP - in addition to the $174 million already committed - to bolster GOP credibility and allow the GOP to more adequately support its priorities.




2

134295: fixing coalition support funding to Pakistan

Between August 2006 and July 2007, we received a claim for 26 million USD in barbed wire and pickets. While these items are no doubt helpful in protecting outposts, the claim figures are highly suspect.




2

151227: Pakistan's F-16 program — at risk of failure?

For the Pakistani military, the F-16 sale is tangible proof of the post-9/11 bilateral relationship, and we seriously doubt they will allow it to fail.




2

189129: The way forward for Pakistan's F-16 program

The bottom line is that Pakistan cannot afford the $2 billion required to complete this F-16 program.




2

122429: Reassuring Pakistan on the F-16 sale

It is hard to exaggerate the effect the failure of the F-16 sale would have on U.S. relations with Pakistan and on our allies in the Pakistani military.




2

242073: Action request for senior level engagement on terrorism finance

Cutting off the flow of funds to terrorist organizations and achieving stability in Af/Pak are top U.S. priorities.




2

221726: Indian information inadequate to warrant listing of three Pakistan-based individuals

Chinese officials had approached the Indian government for more information but had since been reportedly told by the Indian government that the information presented was sufficient to justify the listing.




2

244326: China requested to drop UN 1267 hold on Makki, Cheema and Azhar Alvi

Political Officer requested that the People's Republic of China not place a new hold on these three listings.




2

213853: China thanked for support of nominations of 3 Pakistan-based individuals for UNSCR 1267 designation

Deputy Director Shen acknowledged the message but offered no further comment.




2

236981: U.S. Tauscher engages Rao in strategic security dialogue

While each side adhered to familiar positions, the chemistry between the principals was good and the dialogue was cordial and frank.




2

191725: Ambassador presses Menon to implement civil nuclear cooperation with U.S.

The Indian civil nuclear bureaucracy understands it is "essential" to advance cooperation with the U.S., but claims progress is stymied by the inability of U.S. firms to share sensitive technical information pending the authorizations required under U.S. licensing regulations.




2

Data | 2021 Monsoon session: LS passed 14 Bills after discussing each less than 10 minutes

The average time spent on discussing a Bill dropped from 213 minutes in 2019 to 85 minutes in 2021




2

Data | How election fund was spent during 2021 State polls

The AIADMK spent the highest share in spreading the party’s propaganda (99.5%) and relied only on media and advertisements




2

Data | Anonymous donations to parties in FY21: Congress tops list, BJP close second

In FY21, national parties and regional parties received ₹427 crore and ₹264 crore worth of funds, respectively, from unknown sources




2

ISP Research Fellow Apekshya Prasai Selected as a 2023 HFG Emerging Scholar

Apekshya Prasai, a political science doctoral candidate at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, was recently named a 2023 Harry Frank Guggenheim Foundation Emerging Scholar.   The Emerging Scholars (nine in all) are doctoral candidates who are in the final year of writing dissertations on the nature of and responses to violence around the world.




2

For the Common Defense Study Group: Key Themes from the Fall 2023 Seminar Series

The Belfer Center's National Security Fellows (NSFs), as part of the Defense, Emerging Technology, and Strategy (DETS) program, developed and taught the "For the Common Defense" study group throughout the Fall 2023 semester. Each “Common Defense” seminar is an in-depth exploration of a national security or defense-related subject taught by senior defense officials. Over the course of eight seminars, this study group examined key foreign policy topics, including Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and great power competition.

 




2

Stephen Walt Looks Ahead to 2024

Stephen Walt elaborates on what he is expecting for 2024:  the Israel-Gaza conflict widening, the 75th anniversary of NATO, the possible re-election of Donald Trump, and the election results from other populous democracies, to name a few.




2

Former Colombian President Iván Duque Discusses Resurgent Left Wing in Latin America at Kennedy School Event

Former Colombian President Iván Duque discussed Latin America’s resurgent left wing and advocated for environmental action at the Harvard Kennedy School on Thursday afternoon.




2

Q&A with Desirée Cormier Smith

In honor of International Women's Day and U.S. Women's History Month, Erika Manouselis, Manager of the Future of Diplomacy Project, spoke with Desirée Cormier Smith, the U.S. State Department’s first ever Special Representative for Racial Equity and Justice.




2

Remembering Owen Coté

Owen R. Coté Jr., who exerted a profound influence on security studies as Co-Editor and later Editor of the Belfer Center journal International Security, died on June 8, 2024. He was 63. Owen was also the Principal Research Scientist and Associate Director of the Security Studies Program (SSP) at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT).

“All of us at the Belfer Center are saddened to learn of the passing of Owen Coté,” said Belfer Center Director Meghan O’Sullivan. “While he was based at MIT, he has been an integral part of our Center through his decades-long work with our signature publication, the journal International Security. Our hearts go out to his family, friends, and colleagues.”
 




2

The U.S.-Russia Initiative to Prevent Nuclear Terrorism Newsletter: November 2019 - November 2020

 

  • Elbe Group Discusses Strategic Stability, Hybrid Warfare and Terrorism.
  • Mowatt-Larssen’s Book Details Lessons He Learned While Tracking Al-Qaida’s WMD Programs.
  • Experts on New START Extension and Other Nuclear Priorities of Biden Presidency.
  • Kazakhstan’s Last HEU Eliminated.
  • William Potter Joins Russian Academy of Sciences.
  • COVID, Nuclear Security On Agenda of IAEA’s 64th General Conference.
  • Mayak Aims to Process Entire range of SNF.
  • Atomguard Reports Foiling Unauthorized Access.
  • Allison: US Vital Interest in Prevention of Nuclear Terrorism Will Continue to Guide Its North Korea Policy.
  • Learning from COVID-19 to Prepare for Nuclear Attack.
  • Hecker, Kassianova Encourage Young US and RF Professionals to Explore Lessons of Nuclear Accidents.
  • Experts Weigh in on 75th Anniversary of Hiroshima Bombing.
  • A New Look at IAEA’s Nuclear Security Recommendations.
  • Azerbaijan Has Threatened to Strike Armenia’s NPP With Missiles.
  • IAEA Notified of 189 Incidents Of Material Being Out Of Regulatory Control in 2019.
  • Russia To Retrieve More Radioactive Debris from Bottom of Ocean.
  • Researchers Propose Fast Way to Detect Weapons Grade Materials.
  • Keeping Nuclear Power Plants Out of Reach of Terrorists During the Coronavirus Pandemic.
  • Bunn, Tobey and Roth Testify on Prevention of Nuclear Theft, Call for Cooperation With Russia.
  • Budapest Memorandum Parsed.
  • IAEA Holds A Ministerial on Nuclear Security.
  • Assessing Progress on Nuclear Security.
  • 12th GUMO Officer On Trial for Embezzlement.
  • Lukashenko: Pompeo Alerted Me to Nuclear Materials at Border.
  • US and Russia Reported HEU and Plutonium to IAEA.
  • IAEA Bank Receives LEU.
  • GICNT Hosted 8 Multilateral Activities in 2019.