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Roth MKM Gives Buy Rating to Bitcoin Co. Following October Production Update

Source: Darren Aftahi 11/06/2024

Terawulf Inc. (WULF:NASDAQ) "gained better insight into its supply chain for delivering ~72.5MW of HPC capacity by 2Q25, with the potential to generate ~US$90M in annualized revenue with US$60M+ in profit," wrote a Roth MKM analyst in an updated report.

Roth MKM analyst Darren Aftahi, in a research report published on November 5, 2024, maintained a Buy rating on Terawulf Inc. (WULF:NASDAQ) with a price target of US$7.50. The report follows TeraWulf's October production update and insights into its HPC capacity expansion plans.

Aftahi highlighted the company's HPC capacity development, stating, "WULF gained better insight into its supply chain for delivering ~72.5MW of HPC capacity by 2Q25, with the potential to generate ~US$90M in annualized revenue with US$60M+ in profit (exit run rate). Its 2.5MW concept building is now complete, and its 20MW facility is on schedule for 1Q25."

Regarding October's production metrics, the analyst noted, "WULF mined 150 BTC in October, up 7% m/m on a comparable basis to only Lake Mariner in September (140 BTC). The ending hash rate is now 8.1 EH/s (vs. 10) from the removal of Nautilus." He added that "machine efficiency is now 22 J/TH vs. the prior combined rate of ~24.6 J/TH."

The analyst observed operational improvements, commenting, "Avg. operating hash rate was ~6.8 or ~84%, slightly ahead of prior months (although reported in aggregate). Part of this is being driven by the accelerated replacement of older miners at Lake Mariner."

The report noted that upon reinstallation of damaged miners at Lake Mariner, the hash rate would increase to approximately 8.7 EH/s, though power cost per BTC increased about 5% month over month.

Roth MKM's valuation methodology is based on an EBITDA multiple approach. Aftahi explained, "We apply a ~24x multiple to our projected FY25 adj. EBITDA of ~US$120M to arrive at our price target of US$7.50."

The analyst outlined several risk factors, including Bitcoin price volatility, regulatory changes, unproven new business segments, capital requirements, weather impacts, competition, power contracts, and reliance on third-party suppliers.

In conclusion, Roth MKM's maintenance of their Buy rating and US$7.50 price target reflects confidence in TeraWulf's operational execution and growth potential in both Bitcoin mining and HPC capacity. The share price at the time of the report of US$5.98 represents a potential return of approximately 25.4% to the analyst's target price.

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Important Disclosures:

  1. This article does not constitute investment advice and is not a solicitation for any investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her personal financial adviser and perform their own comprehensive investment research. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports' terms of use and full legal disclaimer. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company.

For additional disclosures, please click here.

Disclosures for Roth MKM, TeraWulf Inc., November 5, 2024

Regulation Analyst Certification ("Reg AC"): The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this report certifies the following under Reg AC: I hereby certify that all views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.

Disclosures: Within the last twelve months, ROTH Capital Partners, or an affiliate to ROTH Capital Partners, has received compensation for investment banking services from TeraWulf, Inc.. Shares of TeraWulf, Inc. may be subject to the Securities and Exchange Commission's Penny Stock Rules, which may set forth sales practice requirements for certain low-priced securities.

Not Covered [NC]: ROTH Capital does not publish research or have an opinion about this security. ROTH Capital Partners, LLC expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking or other business relationships with the covered companies mentioned in this report in the next three months. The material, information and facts discussed in this report other than the information regarding ROTH Capital Partners, LLC and its affiliates, are from sources believed to be reliable, but are in no way guaranteed to be complete or accurate. This report should not be used as a complete analysis of the company, industry or security discussed in the report. Additional information is available upon request. This is not, however, an offer or solicitation of the securities discussed. Any opinions or estimates in this report are subject to change without notice. An investment in the stock may involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements. Additionally, an investment in the stock may involve a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. No part of this report may be reproduced in any form without the express written permission of ROTH. Copyright 2024. Member: FINRA/SIPC.

( Companies Mentioned: WULF:NASDAQ, )




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October Report Highlights Big Gains in Crypto Mining Efficiency and Expansion

Source: Streetwise Reports 11/06/2024

Terawulf Inc. (WULF:NASDAQ) has reported its October 2024 production and operations. Read more about the companys mining efficiency gains, expansion plans, and high-performance computing initiatives.

Terawulf Inc. (WULF:NASDAQ) has reported its October 2024 production and operations. The report included significant advancements in self-mining with an operational capacity reaching 8.1 exahash per second (EH/s). This marks a 62% increase from the prior year. The company mined a total of 150 bitcoins during the month, averaging approximately 4.8 bitcoins per day, at a power cost of US$36,789 per bitcoin mined or about US$0.048 per kWh (kilowatt-hour). To improve efficiency, TeraWulf continued its miner refresh program at its Lake Mariner facility, replacing older models with upgraded S19 XP miners following its sale of interest in the Nautilus Cryptomine facility, which enabled additional hardware acquisitions.

Focusing on high-performance computing (HPC) infrastructure, TeraWulf's aim is to establish 72.5 MW HPC hosting capacity at Lake Mariner by Q2 2025. October's operational hash rate averaged 6.8 EH/s, with adjustments made for demand response events and performance optimization measures to enhance profitability. Construction on the company's 20 MW HPC hosting facility, CB-1, remains on schedule for Q1 2025, and a larger 50 MW HPC facility, CB-2, is expected by Q2 2025. The recent sale of TeraWulf's equity interest in Nautilus and new financing through convertible notes are anticipated to support these growth initiatives.

Sean Farrell, Senior Vice President of Operations at TeraWulf, explained in the press release, "October marked another productive month, with TeraWulf mining 150 bitcoin and sustaining an average daily production of around 5 bitcoin . . . In line with our previously outlined plans, we are accelerating the transition to more efficient mining hardware by replacing older miners at Lake Mariner with S19 XP models. We are also working closely with Bitmain's warranty department on a recovery plan to repair and replace 1.5 EH of mining equipment with a target completion by the end of the year. Furthermore, we have established a dedicated Business Development and Performance Optimization team focused on integrating advanced IT and software solutions to improve our operational hash rate and overall efficiency. Building 5, which has been designed to handle higher heat exhaust of the latest generation miners, remains on track to be operational in Q1 2025."

Why Crypto Mining?

The cryptocurrency mining sector has seen recent momentum, bolstered by the U.S. election results and the evolving landscape for Bitcoin. As Benzinga reported on November 6, bitcoin mining stocks experienced notable gains following the U.S. presidential election, which led to Bitcoin reaching record highs. The outcome was anticipated to benefit U.S.-focused mining companies as pro-crypto policies, including a preference for domestic bitcoin production, gained prominence. Benzinga noted that Trump had previously expressed support for more bitcoin mining within the U.S., a stance that influenced broader market optimism in the days following his election.

On November 4, Yahoo! Finance highlighted the growing trend among Bitcoin miners to integrate artificial intelligence (AI) to power a "new industrial revolution." As described by Rob Nelson, who emphasized the impact of cryptocurrency mining as a vehicle for both economic and technological change. This trend has driven miners to secure deals within the AI sector, given the synergies in computational power required for both cryptocurrency and AI initiatives. Nelson projected that this cross-industry expansion could have far-reaching effects, creating value for both miners and AI-focused enterprises.

Additionally, a November 6 report from Time explored the significance of the recent Presidential election outcome for the crypto industry's future regulatory environment. According to Time, Trump's support for the industry included ambitions to boost the country's bitcoin mining footprint, which aligned with crypto PACs' efforts to secure pro-crypto candidates. The article reported that these advocacy groups saw the election as an opportunity to reshape crypto regulation and encourage growth in U.S.-based bitcoin mining.

TeraWulf's Catalysts

TeraWulf's recent initiatives set a foundation for further growth and operational efficiency. According to the company's investor presentation, the sale of its 25% equity interest in the Nautilus facility enhances liquidity. This enables TeraWulf to reinvest in its flagship Lake Mariner site for both HPC and AI expansion.

The transaction also reduces exposure to the expiring Nautilus 2¢ power contract by 2027, positioning the company to benefit from projected power price increases at Lake Mariner. This strategic realignment is anticipated to improve fleet efficiency, with an upgraded mining fleet targeting 13 EH/s by Q1 2025, supported by the deployment of next-gen S21 Pro miners.

What Experts Are Saying...

On November 5, 2024, Roth MKM analyst Darren Aftahi assigned TeraWulf a "Buy" rating and set a price target of US$7.50. Roth highlighted optimism around the company's expansion and potential in high-performance computing (HPC) and bitcoin mining. Roth noted that TeraWulf's planned 72.5 MW of HPC capacity by Q2 2025 could generate annualized revenue of approximately US$90 million, with over US$60 million in profit. [OWNERSHIP_CHART-11184]

The report highlighted the completion of TeraWulf's initial 2.5 MW HPC project and its upcoming 20 MW facility, which remains on track for Q1 2025. Roth analysts pointed to the operational progress at TeraWulf's Lake Mariner facility, emphasizing the company's improvements in mining efficiency with new S19 XP models, which brought its machine efficiency to 22 J/TH.

Ownership and Share Structure

According to Refinitiv, management and insiders hold 6.67% of TeraWulf. Of them, Co-founder, COO, and CTO Nazar M. Khan holds the most, with 4.43%.

Strategic investors hold 21.37%. Of them, Riesling Power LLC holds the most at 5.23%, Baryshore Capital LLC holds 4.77%, Revolve Capital LLC has 4.67%, Opportunity Four of Parabolic Ventures owns 2.46%, and Lake Harriet Holdings LLC has 1.90%.

Institutions have 45.11%. The largest holders there are The Vanguard Group at 6.12%, BlackRock Instituional Trust with 4.22%, Two Sigma Investments LP at 2.28%, Beryl Capital Management LLC holds 1.74%, and Geode Capital Management LLC has 1.66%. The rest is retail.

TeraWulf has a market cap of US$2,375.93 million and 275.29 million free float shares. Their 52-week range is US$ 0.8911 - 7.28.
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Important Disclosures:

1) James Guttman wrote this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an employee.

2) This article does not constitute investment advice and is not a solicitation for any investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her personal financial adviser and perform their own comprehensive investment research. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports' terms of use and full legal disclaimer. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company.

For additional disclosures, please click here.

( Companies Mentioned: WULF:NASDAQ, )