There’s some confusion regarding jumps in election forecasts. New information is coming in every day, so it makes sense that forecasts change too. But they don’t change very much. Each new piece of information tells you only a little bit. … Continue reading →

Paul Alper shares this horrifying news story by Laura Meckler: Brian Ray has spent the last three decades as one of the nation’s top evangelists for home schooling. As a researcher, he has published studies purporting to show that these … Continue reading →

There are actually two questions here: 1. Should pollsters share all the information on their design, data collection, and analyses? 2. If yes on question 1 above, should this information be made public ahead of time, before the survey is … Continue reading →

U.S. election day is tomorrow. So let’s talk about something else: 1. Encoding prior information using non-generative modeling I was talking with Hong Ge about the uses of non-generative models in probabilistic programming. An example I gave is the use … Continue reading →

There’s a lot of talk about how the polls can go wrong. Fair enough—I wrote an article a few years ago on failure and success in political polling and election forecasting, and a few years before that, Julia Azari and … Continue reading →

Continuing our election-eve counterprogramming, here’s another post with no political content. It comes from Constantine Frangakis, who writes: I think I have found something new and interesting. In studying the topic of “evidence” for my class, where the typical principles … Continue reading →

(Before going on, please read the last sentence of the P.P.S. below to put this post in context.) Blake McShane points us to this 1977 article, “Frequentist Probability and Frequentist Statistics,” by Jerzy Neyman, the statistician who made fundamental contributions … Continue reading →

I hadn’t thought about bee dancing for a long time, when someone pointed me to this post by Laura Luebbert and Lior Pachter on a bit of data fraud in biology. Luebbert writes: Four years ago, during the first year … Continue reading →

Here’s another job opportunity for baseball enthusiasts and Stan users! The Boston Red Sox are building out their R&D group and are currently hiring for the position of Senior Analyst, Baseball Analytics. Although the listed qualifications don’t specifically mention Stan, … Continue reading →

I came across this blog comment from a couple years ago saying that, whatever was going on in the head of Brian “Pizzagate” Wansink when he wrote up those papers with the fake data, in any case his papers papers … Continue reading →

This is Jessica. Larry Hedges relayed a quote to me recently that I thought others here might appreciate. It appears in an old Annals of Mathematical Statistics paper by Tukey and Cornfield: In almost any practical situation where analytical statistics … Continue reading →

This post is by Phil. A couple of months ago, this blog had a discussion that was prompted by the fact that 2 of the top 5 female American tennis players are the children of billionaires. One, that could be … Continue reading →

Several people pointed me to this news report on a successful bettor in an election prediction market: Not only did he see Donald Trump winning the presidency, he wagered that Trump would win the popular vote—an outcome that many political … Continue reading →

With news items such How the Trump Whale Correctly Called the Election and Prediction markets got Trump’s victory right; Betting markets predicted a Trump victory, while traditional polls were showing a tossup, prediction markets are having their coming-out party. Before … Continue reading →

Erik van Zwet, Witold Więcek, and I write: Effect sizes typically vary among studies of the same intervention. In a random effects meta-analysis, this variation is explicitly taken into account. However, when we have only one study, the heterogeneity remains … Continue reading →

This post is by Lizzie. I hope you like the cats photo from this summer. I do. I am looking for help. I decided to change my term course (12-14 weeks-long) on `introduction to Bayesian modeling with some hierarchical modeling’ … Continue reading →

I just learned about this paper from 2020, Specification curve analysis, by Uri Simonsohn, Joseph Simmons, and Leif Nelson: Empirical results hinge on analytical decisions that are defensible, arbitrary and motivated. These decisions probably introduce bias (towards the narrative put … Continue reading →

Dear Reader, Wishing you and yours a very Happy Mother’s Day! See ya on the Net, Barbara J. Feldman “Surfing the Net with Kids” https://www.surfnetkids.com Mother’s Day Cards https://www.surfnetkids.com/resources/mothers-day-cards/ Mother’s Day Cards Printable(** for Premium Members only) https://www.surfnetkids.com/printables/files/printables-club/mothers_day_cards.pdf The history […]

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Dear Reader, What are your plans for Memorial Day weekend? We don’t have specific plans yet, but I do associate Memorial Day with the start of summer. And I’m always reminded of the advice my mother gave me: don’t wear […]

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Dear Reader, I have come to a crossroad. I’m turning 70 in a couple of weeks, and I’ve been writing the Surfnetkids reviews for 27 years. It’s time to figure out what’s next for me, and what’s next for Surfnetkids.com. […]

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I love October. Crisp mornings and hot cider help me welcome autumn. Change is in the air—you can feel it. One of my very favorite things about October...

Christian author, speaker, and disability advocate Joni Eareckson Tada was honored with the Pillar Award for History by the Museum of the Bible...

I heard on the news years ago that the Hubble telescope discovered a powerful megastar that is not only one hundred million times brighter than...

I was completely at a loss when, in 1980, I was asked to create a completely unique and original work of art for a Billy Graham...

Major Ian Thomas of The Torchbearers is a powerful preacher but a very humble man. A friend of mine once approached him after he preached...

We are happy to invite you to the Open Presentations... more

RAWGraphs is used in many academic resources. In many of... more

The project provides a visual representation of the creative process... more

This track investigates and explores ways to make visible the... more

When investigating how we frame technology in the design process,... more

The CNRS, the Gephi Consortium and the University of Aalborg... more

Carousels are a great way to interactivity to your website. With the Divi Carousel Module 2.0 plugin, you can create carousels for just about any type of content. Showcase client testimonials, images, logos, team members, and more with this intuitive tool. Read on to learn about its features, how to use it, and what it […]

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After years of watching clients struggle with clunky, one-size-fits-all designs, we’ve learned that a great website needs to fit perfectly into any screen it meets, no matter how great the design is. Many see responsive design as a technical maze, but in this post, we’ll try to guide you through some of the challenges (and […]

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Last month, we released the Divi 5 Public Alpha, and we’ve been 100% focused on fixing the bugs you’ve been reporting. We released two new versions (Public Alpha Version 1 and Public Alpha Version Two), including over 200 bug fixes and improvements. Download The Divi 5 Alpha Next Stop, Stability We have our eyes set […]

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Our Divi Black Friday Sale isn’t just about the best discounts of the year — it’s about unlocking exclusive rewards. This year, we’re giving away over 11,000 premium products valued at over $864,000. You could walk away with up to 9 free prizes just by participating. In this post, we’ll give you a sneak peek […]

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Divi empowers you to build the best websites possible, and now, Divi Quick Sites takes website creation to a whole new level. This revolutionary tool lets anyone, regardless of skill level, generate a complete website in under two minutes! Divi Quick Sites provides everything you need to launch your dream website instantly. You can choose […]

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Is your website not performing well on mobile devices? Poor layout or slow loading times can cause users to leave your site before they even engage with your content. In today’s mobile-first world, a responsive website is no longer just an option—it’s a necessity. Whether you’re starting fresh or improving an existing website, a responsive […]

The post How to Make a Responsive Website in 2024 (No Coding) appeared first on Elegant Themes Blog.

Managing multiple WordPress websites can be difficult, especially as a freelancer or budding web agency. Keeping track of updates, ensuring security, and optimizing performance for each site can be time-consuming. Additionally, when managing dozens or even hundreds of websites, you’re much more prone to making errors or skipping crucial updates. This is where a site […]

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The Divi 5 Public Alpha is available for testing. As we progress towards the final release, we’ll update Divi 5 every two weeks, appearing as a standard update in your WordPress dashboard. If you use Divi 5, you’ll notice an update notification for Public Alpha Version 3 today. Thanks to everyone who has reported bugs so […]

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A New York appellate court upheld a finding that a police officer’s retirement was voluntary and not caused by his prior duty-related injuries. Case: Matter of Carroll v. Nassau County Police Department, No.

A New York appellate court upheld the denial of an emergency medical technician’s hearing loss claim. Case: Matter of DeWolf v. Wayne County, No. CV-23-2014, 06/27/2024, published. Facts: Andrew DeWolf worked for…

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker should have been granted partial summary judgment on his Labor Law claims but split on whether a subcontractor on the project…

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker should have been granted summary judgment on his Labor Law claim for his fall from an unsecured ladder. Case: Rivera v. 712…

A New York appellate court ruled that a worker should have been denied permission to amend his complaint to add a new defendant to his Labor Law action. Case: Rowe v.

The New York Daily News reports that union officials are claiming that 9/11 first responders have not received workers’ compensation benefits since the CrowdStrike outage last week. Direct deposit payments ranging…

The New York State Workers’ Compensation Board said it has significantly reduced turnaround times in resolving billing disputes between health care providers and payers. The board said it has reduced the…

A New York appellate court ruled that an employee of a staffing service provider could not pursue a civil remedy against her employer’s client for injuries she sustained. Case: Miolan v.

The New York State Workers’ Compensation Board announced that it will expand in September the number of claims that it indexes. The WCB said the majority of claims assembled on or…

A New York appellate court ruled that an employer was entitled to the dismissal of an injured worker’s civil claims against it after it was held liable for workers’ compensation…