of 20-year anniversary of this blog By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Sat, 12 Oct 2024 13:00:54 +0000 Our first post was twenty years ago today. It was followed by posts on The Electoral College favors voters in small states; Why it’s rational to vote; Bayes and Popper; and Overrepresentation of small states/provinces, and the USA Today effects. … Continue reading → Full Article Decision Analysis Literature Zombies
of Where have all the count words gone? In defense of “fewer” and “among” By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Sun, 13 Oct 2024 19:00:23 +0000 This is cranky linguist Bob. The lack of count markers is starting to bug me. To wit… Usage of “fewer” vs. “less” The prescriptive rule in English is that “fewer” applies to groups of countable objects whereas “less” applies to … Continue reading → Full Article Zombies
of “Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections” By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Mon, 14 Oct 2024 13:07:34 +0000 Richard Calvo, Vincent Pons, and Jesse Shapiro write: Many observers have forecast large partisan shifts in the US electorate based on demographic trends. Such forecasts are appealing because demographic trends are often predictable even over long horizons. We backtest demographic … Continue reading → Full Article Political Science Sociology
of Here is the Data Sharing Statement, in its entirety, for van Dyck CH, Swanson CJ, Aisen P, et al. Trial of Lecanemab in Early Alzheimer’s Disease. N Engl J Med. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2212948. By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Wed, 16 Oct 2024 13:06:27 +0000 Data-share this, pal: As the man said, you have no obligation to share any of your data and I have no obligation to believe anything you say. Full Article Decision Analysis Public Health Zombies
of Here is the Data Sharing Statement, in its entirety, for Goodwin GM, Aaronson ST, Alvarez O, et al. Single-Dose Psilocybin for a Treatment-Resistant Episode of Major Depression. N Engl J Med. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2206443. By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Wed, 16 Oct 2024 13:32:11 +0000 As forwarded to us by Max Shepsi: I’m starting to see a pattern here! Full Article Decision Analysis Public Health Zombies
of Different perspectives on the claims in the paper, The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Thu, 17 Oct 2024 13:25:11 +0000 I was talking with an economist today about the recent prize given to the authors of the very influential 2001 article, The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation. According to my colleague, many economists have issues with that … Continue reading → Full Article Causal Inference Economics Political Science
of Columbia Surgery Prof Fake Data Update . . . (yes, he’s still being promoted on the university webpage) By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Fri, 18 Oct 2024 00:11:03 +0000 Someone pointed me to this news article with the delightful url, https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/16/science/sam-yoon-columbia-cancer-surgeon-5-more-retractions.html: Columbia Cancer Surgeon Notches 5 More Retractions for Suspicious Data The chief of a cancer surgery division at Columbia University this week had five research articles retracted and … Continue reading → Full Article Zombies
of What is the purpose of a methods section? By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Sun, 20 Oct 2024 13:47:22 +0000 A frustrating aspect of science papers is that the methods section doesn’t fully describe what was actually done. It can take a lot of sleuthing to figure out how to reconstruct published results—and that doesn’t even get into all the … Continue reading → Full Article Literature Miscellaneous Science Sociology
of 3M misconduct regarding knowledge of “forever chemicals”: As is so often the case, the problem was in open sight for a long time before anything was done By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Tue, 22 Oct 2024 13:13:08 +0000 Horrifying story here from Sharon Lerner how chemical products company 3M (which has successfully branded itself as the cuddly people behind Post-it notes) polluted the world’s water supply and covered it up for decades. It features several issues we’ve discussed … Continue reading → Full Article Economics Miscellaneous Science Zombies
of “Reduce likelihood of a tick bite by 73.6 times”? Forking paths on the Appalachian Trail. By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Sun, 27 Oct 2024 13:09:07 +0000 Shira writes: As an Appalachian Trail hiker, I always treat my clothes with permethrin. I’m a big fan of Sawyer products, but this claim caught my eye: Reduce likelihood of a tick bite by 73.6 times by treating shoes and … Continue reading → Full Article Miscellaneous Statistics Multilevel Modeling Public Health Zombies
of Props to the liberal anticommunists of the 1930s-1950s By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Tue, 29 Oct 2024 13:29:35 +0000 In the 1930s and 1940s, there were many prominent communist sympathizers: leading scientists such as J. B. S. Haldane and J. Robert Oppenheimer, powerful labor leaders, influential intellectuals, and various popular-front politicians, including at one period the vice-president of the … Continue reading → Full Article Political Science
of Violent science teacher makes ridiculously unsupported research claims, gets treated by legislatures/courts/media as expert on the effects of homeschooling By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Sun, 03 Nov 2024 14:56:37 +0000 Paul Alper shares this horrifying news story by Laura Meckler: Brian Ray has spent the last three decades as one of the nation’s top evangelists for home schooling. As a researcher, he has published studies purporting to show that these … Continue reading → Full Article Causal Inference Sociology Teaching Zombies
of Interpreting recent Iowa election poll using a rough Bayesian partition of error By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Mon, 04 Nov 2024 01:25:52 +0000 A political science colleague wrote in: We are all abuzz about the Harris +3 in that Iowa Poll with its great track record. When I check the write up of this poll I see a reasonably detailed description of their … Continue reading → Full Article Bayesian Statistics Political Science
of Probabilistic numerics and the folk theorem of statistical computing By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Mon, 04 Nov 2024 14:15:08 +0000 U.S. election day is tomorrow. So let’s talk about something else: 1. Encoding prior information using non-generative modeling I was talking with Hong Ge about the uses of non-generative models in probabilistic programming. An example I gave is the use … Continue reading → Full Article Bayesian Statistics Stan Statistical Computing
of Self-reference and self-reproduction of evidence By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Tue, 05 Nov 2024 14:51:21 +0000 Continuing our election-eve counterprogramming, here’s another post with no political content. It comes from Constantine Frangakis, who writes: I think I have found something new and interesting. In studying the topic of “evidence” for my class, where the typical principles … Continue reading → Full Article Decision Analysis Miscellaneous Statistics
of Fake data on the honeybee waggle dance, followed by the inevitable “It is important to note that the conclusions of our studies remain firm and sound.” By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Thu, 07 Nov 2024 14:26:28 +0000 I hadn’t thought about bee dancing for a long time, when someone pointed me to this post by Laura Luebbert and Lior Pachter on a bit of data fraud in biology. Luebbert writes: Four years ago, during the first year … Continue reading → Full Article Miscellaneous Science Sociology Zombies
of Two spans of the bridge of inference By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Fri, 08 Nov 2024 17:22:17 +0000 This is Jessica. Larry Hedges relayed a quote to me recently that I thought others here might appreciate. It appears in an old Annals of Mathematical Statistics paper by Tukey and Cornfield: In almost any practical situation where analytical statistics … Continue reading → Full Article Miscellaneous Science Miscellaneous Statistics Sociology
of If you wanted to be a top tennis player in the late 1930s, there was a huge benefit to being a member of ____. Or to being named ____. By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Fri, 08 Nov 2024 18:25:37 +0000 This post is by Phil. A couple of months ago, this blog had a discussion that was prompted by the fact that 2 of the top 5 female American tennis players are the children of billionaires. One, that could be … Continue reading → Full Article Sports sports tennis
of Polling by asking people about their neighbors: When does this work? Should people be doing more of it? And the connection to that French dude who bet on Trump By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Sat, 09 Nov 2024 14:11:07 +0000 Several people pointed me to this news report on a successful bettor in an election prediction market: Not only did he see Donald Trump winning the presidency, he wagered that Trump would win the popular vote—an outcome that many political … Continue reading → Full Article Miscellaneous Statistics Political Science Sociology
of Help teaching short-course that has a healthy dose of data simulation By statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Published On :: Mon, 11 Nov 2024 17:15:36 +0000 This post is by Lizzie. I hope you like the cats photo from this summer. I do. I am looking for help. I decided to change my term course (12-14 weeks-long) on `introduction to Bayesian modeling with some hierarchical modeling’ … Continue reading → Full Article Bayesian Statistics Teaching fake data teaching
of Year of the Ox By www.surfnetkids.com Published On :: Tue, 12 Jan 2021 10:21:21 +0000 The post Year of the Ox appeared first on Coloring Pages » Surfnetkids. Full Article Chinese New Year
of Year of the Cat By www.surfnetkids.com Published On :: Sat, 01 Jan 2022 10:20:42 +0000 The post Year of the Cat appeared first on Coloring Pages » Surfnetkids. Full Article Big Cats Chinese New Year
of Year of the Rabbit By www.surfnetkids.com Published On :: Thu, 22 Dec 2022 10:19:55 +0000 The post Year of the Rabbit appeared first on Coloring Pages » Surfnetkids. Full Article Bunny and Rabbit Chinese New Year
of Year of the Dragon By www.surfnetkids.com Published On :: Wed, 10 Jan 2024 10:19:17 +0000 The post Year of the Dragon appeared first on Coloring Pages » Surfnetkids. Full Article Chinese New Year Dragon
of Joni Eareckson Tada honored by the Museum of the Bible By joniandfriends.org Published On :: Sat, 02 Nov 2024 22:00:00 +0000 Christian author, speaker, and disability advocate Joni Eareckson Tada was honored with the Pillar Award for History by the Museum of the Bible... Full Article Press Release
of A Mouthful of Praise By joniandfriends.org Published On :: Thu, 07 Nov 2024 08:00:00 +0000 It doesn’t happen all the time, but when it does, it’s ecstatic. The other night, after the lights went out, I tried to get to sleep but couldn’t. My prayer... Full Article Daily Devotional daily devotional devotional More Precious Than Silver Devotional
of Visualizing genetic networks of Gustave Roud’s literary works By densitydesign.org Published On :: Thu, 07 Apr 2022 14:25:42 +0000 The project provides a visual representation of the creative process... more Full Article
of Suggested reading: Hallnäs, L., & Redström, J. (2002). From use to presence: On the expressions and aesthetics of everyday computational things. By densitydesign.org Published On :: Mon, 18 Jul 2022 13:38:47 +0000 When investigating how we frame technology in the design process,... more Full Article Uncategorized critical design suggested reading
of Recap of the “Gephi Week” at SciencePo: inquiring the community detection algorithm of Gephi By densitydesign.org Published On :: Wed, 07 Sep 2022 07:33:23 +0000 The CNRS, the Gephi Consortium and the University of Aalborg... more Full Article Design Reading
of GAFAM Empire. An exploration of acquisitions by big tech companies By densitydesign.org Published On :: Thu, 30 Mar 2023 13:49:22 +0000 Since the mid-1970s, the world has witnessed the rise and... more Full Article
of Police Officer's Retirement Not Related to Prior On-Duty Injuries By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Mon, 08 Jul 2024 00:00:00 -0700 A New York appellate court upheld a finding that a police officer’s retirement was voluntary and not caused by his prior duty-related injuries. Case: Matter of Carroll v. Nassau County Police Department, No. Full Article
of Court Upholds Denial of EMT's Hearing Loss Claim By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Tue, 09 Jul 2024 00:00:00 -0700 A New York appellate court upheld the denial of an emergency medical technician’s hearing loss claim. Case: Matter of DeWolf v. Wayne County, No. CV-23-2014, 06/27/2024, published. Facts: Andrew DeWolf worked for… Full Article
of WCB Reports Faster Resolution of Medical Billing Disputes By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Fri, 26 Jul 2024 00:00:00 -0700 The New York State Workers’ Compensation Board said it has significantly reduced turnaround times in resolving billing disputes between health care providers and payers. The board said it has reduced the… Full Article
of Employer Liable for Comp Gets Dismissal of Worker's Civil Claim By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Tue, 30 Jul 2024 00:00:00 -0700 A New York appellate court ruled that an employer was entitled to the dismissal of an injured worker’s civil claims against it after it was held liable for workers’ compensation… Full Article
of Carrier's Failure to Issue Disclaimer of Liability to Additional Insureds Can't Avoid Coverage By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Thu, 01 Aug 2024 00:00:00 -0700 A federal appellate court ruled that an insurance carrier’s failure to issue notice of its disclaimer of liability to two additional insureds prevented it from relying on an exclusion to defeat demands… Full Article
of WCB to Require Electronic Submission of CMS-1500 Form By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Thu, 08 Aug 2024 00:00:00 -0700 The New York State Workers’ Compensation Board said part of its ongoing modernization initiatives will require health care providers to contract with an electronic submission partner to submit the CMS-1500… Full Article
of Defendants Get Summary Dismissal of Suit Over Ladder Accident By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Mon, 16 Sep 2024 00:00:00 -0700 A New York appellate court upheld a grant of summary judgment for the defendants in a Labor Law case. Case: Acevedo-Espinosa v. RH 250 Sherman Avenue LLC, No. 2023-01248, 09/11/2024, published. Facts:… Full Article
of Labor Law Defendants Get Summary Dismissal of Claim By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Thu, 03 Oct 2024 00:00:00 -0700 A New York appellate court upheld summary judgment for the defendants in a Labor Law case involving a worker’s fall from the roof of a home undergoing renovations. Case: Argueta v… Full Article
of Employer of Allegedly Injured Worker Gets Dismissal of Third-Party Claim By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Mon, 07 Oct 2024 00:00:00 -0700 A New York appellate court ruled that a third-party suit against an allegedly injured worker’s employer should have been summarily dismissed. Case: Hernandez v. Opera Owners Inc., No. 32526/19, 09/24/2024, published. Facts:… Full Article
of WCB Reopening Most Offices By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Tue, 08 Oct 2024 00:00:00 -0700 The New York State Workers’ Compensation Board is reopening most offices for in-person services today. The board said the reopening of the Manhattan and Queens offices will be delayed because of… Full Article
of Worker Fails to Link Amputation of Leg to Prior Work Accident By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Wed, 23 Oct 2024 00:00:00 -0700 A New York appellate court ruled that a worker failed to prove the amputation of his leg was related to his injuries from a fall in 2006. Case: Matter of DiPippo… Full Article
of Worker Fails to Prove Exacerbation of PTSD From Job Stress By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Mon, 28 Oct 2024 00:00:00 -0700 A New York appellate court upheld the denial of a worker’s claim for the exacerbation of her preexisting psychological condition by alleged workplace stress. Case: Matter of Gorbea v. Verizon New… Full Article
of DIR Moving Las Vegas Office By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Mon, 23 Sep 2024 00:00:00 -0700 The Nevada Division of Industrial Relations announced that its Las Vegas office and the last day business will be conducted in the current location is Tuesday. Starting Thursday, the DIR will… Full Article
of Court Overturns Denial of Hotel Housekeeper's Claim for Knee Injury By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Thu, 16 May 2024 00:00:00 -0700 The New Mexico Court of Appeals overturned the denial of a hotel housekeeper’s claim for a knee injury. Case: Moorhead v. Hyatt Regency Tamaya, No. A-1-CA-40191, 05/07/2024, unpublished. Facts: Irene Moorhead worked… Full Article
of Worker's Choice of Pleading Removes Court's Jurisdiction Over Retaliation Claim By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Fri, 05 Jul 2024 00:00:00 -0700 The New Mexico Court of Appeals ruled that an injured worker pleaded his retaliation claims in such a way as to remove his case from the jurisdiction of the state… Full Article
of WCA Seeks Public Review of Rule Changes By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Tue, 27 Aug 2024 00:00:00 -0700 New Mexico's Workers' Compensation Administration says rule changes will take effect on Jan. 1, and the agency invites the public to take part in a webinar and to submit comments… Full Article
of WCA Proposes Package of Rule Changes By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Wed, 09 Oct 2024 00:00:00 -0700 The New Mexico Workers’ Compensation Administration proposed a package of rule changes that would increase food and lodging reimbursements and double the payment owed to doctors for deposition testimony. The rules… Full Article
of Federal Court Upholds Damage Award for Carrier's Breach of Contract By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Wed, 16 Oct 2024 00:00:00 -0700 The U.S. 10th Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that an employer was entitled to more than $541,000 in damages for its insurance carrier’s breach of contract. Case: MVT Services LLC v. Great… Full Article
of WCA Announces Judicial Appointment of Doug Christopherson By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Fri, 25 Oct 2024 00:00:00 -0700 The New Mexico Workers' Compensation Administration announced that Doug Christopherson was appointed as the agency's newest judge. Doug Christopherson Christopherson will fill the vacancy created by the retirement of Leonard Padilla in… Full Article
of Court Upholds Denial of Caregiver's Request for Amended Complaint, Dismisses Claims By ww3.workcompcentral.com Published On :: Mon, 20 May 2024 00:00:00 -0700 The New Jersey Superior Court’s Appellate Division upheld the denial of a caregiver’s request to amend her complaint as well as the dismissal of her claims against her alleged employers. Case:… Full Article